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Around SBN: The Worst Team Ever Projected?

Community Pitching Prospect #44

With 26.4% of the open vote and 53.3% in the runoff, Jose Campos is elected Community Pitching Prospect #43.

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RESULTS:

Jose Campos: 26.4% (53.3% In Runoff)

Luis Heredia: 20.8% (46.7% In Runoff)

Casey Kelly: 17.0%

Matt Barnes: 9.4%

Daniel Norris: 7.5%

Taylor Guerrieri: 5.7%

Allen Webster: 5.7%

Jeurys Familia: 1.9%

Jed Bradley: 1.9%

Deck McGuire: 1.9% (write in)

Jesse Biddle: 1.9% (write in)

Jose Fernandez: 0%

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CANDIDATES: Luis Heredia, Casey Kelly, Matt Barnes, Daniel Norris, Taylor Guerrieri, Allen Webster, Deck McGuire, Addison Reed, Jesse Biddle, Liam Hendriks

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IN ROTATION: Nathan Eovaldi (#41-0%), Jarred Cosart (#42-1.8%), Tom Milone (#42-1.8%), John Lamb (#42-1.8%), Tyler Thornburg (#42-0%), Jeurys Familia (#43-1.9%), Jed Bradley (#43-1.9%), Jose Fernandez (#43-0%)

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TESTERS: Enny Romero, Neil Ramirez, Daniel Corcino, David Holmberg, Alex Colome, Chris Archer, Anthony Ranaudo, Alexander Torres, Alex Meyer,John Hellweg, Cody Bucknel, Kelvin Herrera, Patrick Corbin, Kyle McPherson, Andrew Chafin, Andrew Oliver, Casey Crosby, Drew Smyly, Lance Lynn, Trevor Rosenthal, Adonys Cardona

Star-divide

#01 - MATT MOORE - 91.0%

#02 - JULIO TEHERAN - 57.3%

#03 - SHELBY MILLER - 66.7%

#04 - TREVOR BAUER - 40.0%

#05 - TYLER SKAGGS - 30.0%

#06 - GERRIT COLE - 24.3% (65.2% In Runoff)

#07 - JAMESON TAILLON - 26.0% (34.7 In 3-Way Runoff, 51.2% In 2-Way Runoff)

#08 - DYLAN BUNDY - 39.3%

#09 - DANNY HULTZEN - 45.6%

#10 - TAIJUAN WALKER - 31.6% (51.5% In Runoff)

#11 - DREW POMERANZ - 34.2%

#12 - JACOB TURNER - 45.7%

#13 - JARROD PARKER - 44.4%

#14 - JAMES PAXTON - 24.6% (51.6% In Runoff)

#15 - CARLOS MARTINEZ - 48.0%

#16 - RANDALL DELGADO - 28.6%

#17 - ARCHIE BRADLEY - 33.3%

#18 - MARTIN PEREZ - 32.3% (52.6% In Runoff)

#19 - ZACK WHEELER - 29.7% (67.9% In Runoff)

#20 - MATT HARVEY - 32.2% (55.4% In Runoff)

#21 - ROBBIE ERLIN - 37.1%

#22 - ARODYS VIZCAINO - 26.9% (58.5% In Runoff)

#23 - A.J. COLE - 32.2%

#24 - MANNY BANUELOS - 35.0%

#25 - BRAD PEACOCK - 22.4%

#26 - JAKE ODORIZZI - 28.3%

#27 - MIKE MONTGOMERY - 26.8%

#28 - NOAH SYNDERGAARD - 23.0% (50.9% In Runoff)

#29 - TREVOR MAY - 33.3%

#30 - TYRELL JENKINS - 25.0% (64.6% In Runoff)

#31 - ZACH LEE - 27.7% (58.7% In Runoff)

#32 - DREW HUTCHISON - 28.8%

#33 - KEYVIUS SAMPSON - 24.1%

#34 - CHAD BETTIS - 27.5% (52.1% In Runoff)

#35 - NESTOR MOLINA - 24.0%

#36 - WILY PERALTA - 20.9% (77.5% In Runoff)

#37 - DELLIN BETANCES - 23.5 (55.6% In Runoff)

#38 - SONNY GRAY - 19.6%

#39 - GARRETT RICHARDS - 18.9%

#40 - JUSTIN NICOLINO - 21.0% (51.0% in Runoff)

#41 - JOE WIELAND - 28.9%

#42 - TAYLOR JUNGMANN - 21.1%

#43 - JOSE CAMPOS - 26.4% (53.3% In Runoff)

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LUIS HEREDIA

by auclairkeithbc on Jan 11, 2026 7:21 PM EST reply actions   3 recs

+1

by auclairkeithbc on Jan 11, 2026 7:22 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

by GrandeRojoMachina on Jan 11, 2026 9:20 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

by GrandeRojoMachina on Jan 12, 2026 1:38 PM EST up reply actions  

-1

by GrandeRojoMachina on Jan 12, 2026 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

Yoenis Cespedes
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aW9ge8l3jY8

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jan 13, 2026 6:40 AM EST up reply actions  

MATT BARNES

by auclairkeithbc on Jan 11, 2026 7:21 PM EST reply actions   3 recs

+1

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 11, 2026 7:49 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

"When the going gets tough, the tough get going."

by BenMc5 on Jan 12, 2026 9:52 AM EST up reply actions  

+1

XandyMan Coming for you!!!!1

by DominicanDandy on Jan 12, 2026 4:45 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

Read Me At: Twitter/Blog/MLBBonusBaby /Giants Nirvana

by Gobroks on Jan 11, 2026 7:25 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

by Jersey Transplant on Jan 12, 2026 1:52 PM EST up reply actions  

LIAM HENDRIKS

by auclairkeithbc on Jan 11, 2026 7:22 PM EST reply actions   2 recs

Trevor Rosenthal

I think he’s a better prospect than many of the other testers.

by montalban on Jan 11, 2026 8:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Adonys Cardona

Like Heredia, very young with great stuff. Good results in the GCL this year.

by gabrielsyme on Jan 12, 2026 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Erik Surkamp

I was watching video of pitchers for my draft and, I actually thinjk this kid has a chance. I at least think that if Tom Millone is considered, he should be. Tremendous numbers.

"Does it make your life easier to just throw a quick, racist term at somebody? A man who has seen the things I’ve seen… experienced the loss and pain that I’ve experienced… I transcend race, hombre." - Kenny Powers

by casejud on Jan 12, 2026 8:03 PM EST up reply actions  

Enny Romero

Already a tester, and ranked high on that list, but I’d like to see him next poll. He’s about 4th-5th on list of guys I’d vote for, and he’s right on border for my Top 100 (90-110, but not finished yet).

by killa on Jan 12, 2026 8:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Biddle

Not quite sure why he isn’t getting more love. Projectable lefty with good stuff for his age. I realize there’s some concern about his drop in velocity this past season, but he performed very well and the scouting reports are still generally very good.

by ajake57 on Jan 11, 2026 10:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I have him next

After Heredia.

by auclairkeithbc on Jan 11, 2026 10:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Barnes or Familia

I think I like Barnes here, but Familia next.

I think Familia vs. Kelly is an interesting comparison, seeing as they are 6 days apart in age, and about the same size. To me, Kelly has better command, and the better change, but Familia was already the better pitcher this year, and still has more untapped upside. Familia has the better fastball and breaking ball, and has shown some good potential with the change (I think some are under-rating the improvement in that pitch this year, it looked pretty good to me).

RA9 whip h9 hr9 bb9 so9
4.44 1.30 9.1 0.6 2.6 7.0 Kelly Career
4.30 1.28 7.9 0.5 3.7 8.7 Familia Career
4.68 1.40 9.7 0.5 2.9 6.6 Kelly 2011
3.63 1.20 7.7 0.8 3.1 9.6 Familia 2011
4.41 1.37 8.7 1.0 3.6 9.9 Familia AA only (87.7 IP)

Kelly did spend the full season in AA, so comparing season stats isn’t even up. But Familia still has the better ratios comparing just AA, driven mostly by the huge difference in strikeout rates.

Familia was not the same guy this year as the guy people saw over-throwing fastballs at the futures game in 2010. The mechanics were cleaned up some, the command and secondaries continue to improve. He wasn’t dominating AA hitter just with aimless fastballs. Yes, he’s going to need continued improvement there to be more than a #3 SP, but he belongs in the discussion around here.

With Kelly, I think his success at lower levels was driven more by good fastball command and a strong changeup. I just don’t think his ceiling is ultimately as high.

by acerimusdux on Jan 12, 2026 5:03 AM EST reply actions  

Good analysis

as always. I see you went for Barnes. Familia next?

by wobatus on Jan 12, 2026 11:46 AM EST up reply actions  

or Norris or Guerrieri

Heredia is a tough call, so young, and only pitched 30 IP in the GCL, and not that well.

And the 2011 HS draftees haven’t pitched professionally yet at all. I do like Guerrieri a lot, though I still think you’d have to be happy if three years from now he is where Familia is now. But I could possibly vote for him though. Maybe even both him and Norris ahead of Familia.

McGuire, I always thought the ceiling wasn’t that high. He seems solid, but a tick behind Familia though. Biddle I liked alot in the 2010 draft, but he needs to cut down the walks. He’s still mostly a projection guy, his ratios for the SAL were just OK. I think he’s in with McGuire as a guy who will end up being solid, but not quite as high a ceiling as some of these others. I think I’d take Jed Bradley over either McGuire or Biddle.

Webster looks like a guy who hit a bit of a wall at AA, I don’t trust him enough to vote for him yet.

Addison Reed is intriguing though. I don’t usually value relievers that highly, but he looks pretty elite, and MLB ready. I could vote for him soon.

by acerimusdux on Jan 12, 2026 2:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Just a matter of fact

. . but we are getting close to the point where there aren’t going to bw say, 50, good major league starters coming out of this group. There are, however, going to be some guys who have great careers as major league relievers. They aren’t all going to be former starters either, of course.

Addison Reed, for example, is probably going to have a better major league career than half of the guys being considered here right?

"Does it make your life easier to just throw a quick, racist term at somebody? A man who has seen the things I’ve seen… experienced the loss and pain that I’ve experienced… I transcend race, hombre." - Kenny Powers

by casejud on Jan 12, 2026 8:09 PM EST reply actions  

Sure

But which half?

by auclairkeithbc on Jan 12, 2026 8:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Exactly

That is the question AK. Just sayinglast year I caught some flack for ranking a guy like Tim Collins ahead of say, Tyler Matzek. It looks like TimCollins ALREADY may have had a better major league career, maybe?

"Does it make your life easier to just throw a quick, racist term at somebody? A man who has seen the things I’ve seen… experienced the loss and pain that I’ve experienced… I transcend race, hombre." - Kenny Powers

by casejud on Jan 13, 2026 12:07 AM EST up reply actions  

Addison Reed

Totally agree. He’s easily my guy at this point & has been for a couple rounds.

I probably should’ve gone his way sooner in retrospect.

by Matt0330 on Jan 13, 2026 9:56 AM EST up reply actions  

Voting Closed

We need yet another runoff. This time between Casey Kelly and Luis Heredia.

by auclairkeithbc on Jan 12, 2026 8:44 PM EST reply actions  


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