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Prospect Promotion Updates: Jacob Turner, Paul Goldschmidt, Brett Lawrie

Important Recent Promotions: Jacob Turner, Paul Goldschmidt, Brett Lawrie

A trio of top prospects has been promoted to the majors recently: pitcher Jacob Turner of the Detroit Tigers, first baseman Paul Goldschmidt of the Arizona Diamondbacks, and of course third baseman Brett Lawrie of the Toronto Blue Jays, who was called up Thursday evening. Normally all three guys would have been Prospect of the Day when promoted, except I already wrote about each of them earlier in the year and I don't want to recycle content. Nevertheless, I want to take a brief updated look at the trio.

Star-divide

Jacob Turner was Prospect of the Day back on June 14th.

Turner posted a 3.48 ERA with a 90/32 K/BB in 114 innings for Erie before his promotion, allowing 112 hits. He made one start for the Tigers and pitched quite well, going 5.1 innings and allowing two runs on three hits, three walks, while fanning six. He was sent down to Triple-A Toledo after the Tigers acquired Doug Fister.

The most recent word is that the Tigers want to be careful about his innings load.  He is expected to finish the season with the Mud Hens, although it is possible he could still see some major league action if another starter is needed in August or early September. His first start shows what he's capable of, and his pre-season rank as an elite prospect has certainly been confirmed.

Paul Goldschmidt was Prospect of the Day on June 4th.

His batting average tailed off after my initial report, as he hit "just" .290 in June and .271 in July, though he retained excellent OBP (.405, .432) and SLG (.602, .553) marks both months. His final numbers for Mobile before his promotion: .306/.435/.626, with 30 homers, 82 walks, and 92 strikeouts in 366 at-bats.

Despite these gaudy numbers and his significantly reduced strikeout rate compared to 2010, scouting opinion on Goldschmidt remains mixed, with some scouts still doubting that his hitting success will translate to the major league level. I am among the optimists, although right now I'm not sure if I would give him a strong Grade B+ or a Grade A-. Fortunately I don't have to decide that for another five months, assuming he doesn't end up exceeding rookie qualifications.

Brett Lawrie was Prospect of the Day on June 3rd.

As you know, Lawrie ended up missing all of June and most of July with a hand injury, but he's back in action now and showed no ill effects from time off, hitting .348/.415/.609 in 17 games for Las Vegas after returning. He ended up hitting .353/.415/.661 with 18 homers, 26 walks, 53 strikeouts in 292 at-bats, with 13 steals in 15 attempts overall. My take on Lawrie now is the same as it was in the June report: he's going to be a masher, and his numbers are not merely a statistical illusion created by the Pacific Coast League and Las Vegas. His bat speed is truly outstanding.

Lawrie may have some strike zone issues at first, and he'll commit some errors at third base, but Lawrie has everything needed to be a star hitter, and I think people will be pleasantly surprised by his defense.

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Comments

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I don't want to jinx the kid, but...

I see BLaw (Lawrie) as a Molitor type bat but with more power.

Escobar®, Rasmus (L), Bautista®, Lind (L), Encarnacion®, Thames (L), Lawrie®, Hill®, Arencibia®
Man - when your number nine hitter has 18 dingers - WOW.

Oh baby - I see some serious rakin’ gonna be goin’ on!

by Mylegacy on Aug 4, 2025 11:51 PM EDT reply actions  

I really like what the Jays have going on

They stole Rasmus, who is going to be a monster in Toronto, Lawrie is my favorite prospect not named Trout, Bautista is a beast, Arencibia and D’Arnaud are going to be quite the catching tandem. The only hole I see in their lineup is 2B, but Hill isnt the worst you can do

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by mathisrocks5 on Aug 4, 2025 11:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hill isn't the worst?

Can’t blame the kid for trying.

Had hit/power going for him. Last year he lost the hit. Now he’s missing both.

by RedHopeful on Aug 5, 2025 1:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

Possible Hill can rebound

It’s become routine to say this in these situations, but going by his LD% I’d say he’s gotten pretty unlucky on BABIP this year. I can see him getting back to being a fringe-average to solid average second baseman next year.

And yeah, the Jays are doing well for themselves offensively… do they have the pitching to compete though? Romero and Morrow are a nice 1-2 but after that their rotation thins out quite a bit.

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by OremLK on Aug 5, 2025 4:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

brett cecil is a nice #3, and carlos villanueva has been great all year as our #4 until he just got injured. i’m looking forward to see what brad mills can do, and i think we’ll see henderson alvarez in toronto before long.

by Alfamale on Aug 5, 2025 4:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

Speaking of Hill..

Today on KLaw chat he responded to a guy who thought Hill was a “corpse” by saying: “I’d take a shot at Hill if I was GM of another club - unless there’s a physical issue I don’t know about, I think there’s still plenty there to work with.”

by Mylegacy on Aug 5, 2025 12:04 AM EDT reply actions  

He can still bounce back with a different hitting coach who can stop trying to get him to pull every pitch for a homerun. That 36 HR season has really changed Hill’s perception on himself who thinks he is a homerun hitter when he is not.

by Sniderlover on Aug 5, 2025 12:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Poor Trayvon

doesn’t get a blurb…

by hybrid on Aug 5, 2025 2:50 AM EDT reply actions  

Prospect of the Day maybe? I don’t think John’s done one on him yet.

I haven’t seen confirmation that it’s official yet either, though I think it’s happening.

by rlwhite on Aug 5, 2025 7:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

seem to be right

It was rumored early in the day from a credible source so I just assumed it would of been made official. Trayvon isn’t w/ the Tacoma team today so seems the rumors were correct.

by hybrid on Aug 5, 2025 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

so refreshing to hear an observation that does NOT slag on his 3B defense.

by TamRa on Aug 5, 2025 3:28 AM EDT reply actions  

I know I'm in the minority

But I think Lawrie needs more seasoning in the minors. I just can’t get over the fact that his only truly phenomenal season of production in the minors has come at such a well-known launching pad in a league of such launching pads. Don’t get me wrong, a 122 wOBA+ (thanks, StatCorner!) is very good, and bat speed is a beautiful, wonderful thing, but I don’t think it’s something that is going to translate to the big leagues quickly.

He’s an absurdly-good prospect in my eyes because of his age - at just 21 years old, the fact that he’s even reached Triple-A at all is remarkable. I just foresee some pretty upset Blue Jay fans over the next year and a half or so who expect Lawrie to come out with guns a-blazin’ in the Show. I’d think of leaving him in Triple-A for the rest of the year and giving him a call in 2012 as an everyday player, let him take a few lumps, then hope he’s ready to contribute by mid-season.

Granted, now that I’ve said all of this, he’s probably going to hit .320/.360/.540 this year and make me look like a buffoon…

Founder and Chairman of the Hire A Body Double For David Hernandez's Right Arm Commission. A non-profit organization.

by Dan Strittmatter on Aug 5, 2025 4:06 AM EDT reply actions  

Understood

Brett Lawrie has held his own at every level thus far though including the SOU in 2010 as an extremely young regular position player (possibly the youngest?) & has raised the bar considerably in 2011 even considering all of the well worn Pacific Coast league caveats.

I don’t think he has anything left to prove at AAA & this promotion was a long time coming (only delayed by injury/recovery seemingly). Sure, he might not hit the ground running in ‘2007 Ryan Braun style’ necessarily but I expect good things & sooner than later. If Alex Anthopolous & company think he needs a new challenge, it’s difficult not to agree.

by Matt0330 on Aug 5, 2025 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

On the other side of Lawrie coming up

Snider getting sent down. Is there any hope for him at this point? Is he a change of scenery guy? If so, what should the Jays look for in return?

by cookiedabookie on Aug 5, 2025 12:46 PM EDT reply actions  

I know he is young, and has done okay in the minors this year

Just seems like he can’t get it going in Toronto.

by cookiedabookie on Aug 5, 2025 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

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