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Prospect of the Day: Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, Arizona Diamondbacks

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Prospect of the Day: Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, Arizona Diamondbacks
    One of the best bats in the minor leagues this year belongs to Arizona Diamondbacks first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Currently hitting .330/.451/.670 for Double-A Mobile, Goldschmidt is destroying Southern League pitching while answering questions raised following his impressive '10 performance in the California League.

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Goldschmidt was drafted in the eighth round in 2009 from Texas State University, where he holds the school record for career home runs. He was quite successful in college, but scouts didn't like his 6-3, 245 pound body, and many felt he would strike out too much against pro pitching, plus right-handed hitting first baseman have to really impress scouts to rank highly on draft day . He hit .334/.408/.638 in the Pioneer League after signing, but there were still plenty of skeptics due to the pro-hitting nature of that rookie-ball circuit. Moved up to the California League in '10, he responded with a .314/.384/.606 mark, with 35 homers, for Visalia. However, doubters pointed out that he struck out 161 times in 525 at-bats, a very high ratio, and many scouts weren't convinced he could handle advanced pitching in a less-friendly environment.
     It hasn't been a problem.
     As noted above, Goldschmidt is bashing the ball again this year, hitting for average and power. He's doing it in a more difficult environment against better pitching, and he's shown dramatic improvement in his plate discipline and contact ability: he's drawn 41 walks already, compared to 57 all last year, and he's cut his strikeout rate by a huge amount, just 36 whiffs in 188 at-bats. He's reduced his strikeout rate from 31% of his at-bats to 19%, while improving his already-stellar production numbers across the board. He's especially deadly against left-handed pitching, hitting .404 with a 1.021 SLG this year; he hit .413 with an .860 SLG last year.
     Goldschmidt's glove is better than you might expect given his size: he has some mobility, and makes few errors, just one so far this year. While he'll be limited to a first base/DH role in the majors by his lack of running speed, his bat looks truly outstanding. Juan Miranda isn't a long-term solution at first base for Arizona, but Goldschmidt looks like the answer.

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This guy really looks like the real deal.

Hits for average, hits for power, he cut down his strike outs and he plays consistant D. This is a nice prospect and will really help the Diamondback, they really needed to find a first basemen and this guy definitly fits whats needed.

by Jt Malley on Jun 2, 2025 8:36 AM EDT reply actions  

Agreed

I’ve been a big believer in Paul Goldschmidt for a couple years & his 2011 thus far isn’t exactly unsurprising even though many industry voices seemed to gloss over him even within his parent organization since being drafted up until this season. His 11 game hitting streak ended a couple nights ago, but he had a huge game yesterday by going 3-5 with his 18th HR of the year, 4 RBI & a SB. He’s now slugging .684 in the Southern League by the way.

Probably my favorite (formerly) under the radar position player prospect in the minors, it’s good to see him get his due. I think he’s Arizona’s future 1b & maintain he’ll be a very good one - he is a better defender than given credit for & is more athletic than a cursory glance at his height/weight might suggest.

by Matt0330 on Jun 2, 2025 9:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

Why is being a right-handed hitting first baseman such a bad thing?

"Some field has fences, and sometime, the field cant hold a player, but most of the time, a field cant hold Domingo"

http://www.domingobeisbol.com/

by hero66 on Jun 2, 2025 9:47 AM EDT reply actions  

You lose about a half second in reaction time when your back is turned to the runner.

Essentially the same reason lefties have faster times to first base than righties.

Bad Left Hook - The SB Nation boxing blog
"Baseball is played on the field, not on a calculator."

by Brickhaus on Jun 2, 2025 10:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

and

if you’re turning a double play, a lefty can just field the ball and throw to 2nd. A righty has to turn their body 180 degrees and then throw.

The tag on a pickoff throw is also more natural for a lefty. Back to the runner as apoxonbothyourhouses says.

by noelman31 on Jun 2, 2025 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Premium left-handed power hitters

tougher to find that righties as well?

by blackoutyears on Jun 2, 2025 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Question for John

John if you were running the D-Backs what is your plan for Goldschmidt as for as promotions to AAA and/or the majors?
Also even though your not a mind reader what’s your guess as to what the D-Backs will actually do?

by eastin on Jun 2, 2025 10:59 AM EDT reply actions  

I'm not John

but Brandon Allen is either destined for LF or to be a complimentary piece in a deal this summer for more pitching.

by apoxonbothyourhouses on Jun 2, 2025 11:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

Goldy

Allen is a decent player but Goldy will be better. I would promote Goldy to AAA in early July, move Allen to LF. I would be looking at Goldy as my 1B to open in 2012 unless he crashes in AAA, which seems unlikely

by John Sickels on Jun 2, 2025 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

thanks

Thanks for the answer John

by eastin on Jun 2, 2025 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Is a September call up a possibility?

If he tears up AAA, or do you think that’s to aggressive?

by noelman31 on Jun 2, 2025 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Why not?

AZ seems less than impressed with Brandon Allen, despite his solid Triple-A performance. I think they probably stick with Miranda/Nady for most of the season, but I could see Goldschmidt leapfrogging Allen on the depth chart if he keeps this up. Maybe he already has.

Anyone know if Goldschmidt has a chance to play LF a la Sands/Belt/Alonso?

by blackoutyears on Jun 2, 2025 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

no

The knock on him has always been questioning if he can even play 1b. Prior scouting reports said he’s a DH plain and simple. John sounds more optimistic that he can stick at 1B which is a good thing.

by noelman31 on Jun 2, 2025 11:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Any such scouting reports sound too harsh

..in my opinion. Paul Goldschmidt is actually a rangy athlete for a guy his size & I don’t think he’ll have any issue staying at 1b. He’s a good baserunner also.

You are correct that he won’t be moonlighting in the OF though in all probability.

by Matt0330 on Jun 3, 2025 11:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

That's what I'd heard,

but scouting reports change when a player gets more buzz. 1B it is.

by blackoutyears on Jun 3, 2025 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sounds good on paper

but how about the reality the Diamondbacks are in first and are in dire need of consistent production at 1B? Miranda has shown flashes but he’s in yet another funk (2 for 18 since his 2 Hr game). Nady is a thread to hit the DL at any time and Branyan is already sucking it up for another MLB team.

Seems to me they need one of these guys up now. I’m assuming it’d be Allen, but with the way they’ve kept him at AAA, could they possibly be considering calling up Goldy to the show at some point this season?

by RedHopeful on Jun 2, 2025 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

What grade would he now receive?

Big Sexy

Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey

by King Billy Royal on Jun 2, 2025 11:26 AM EDT reply actions  

goldy

I had him at a B- pre-season. He’s at MINIMUM a B+ now, probably already an A-….by the end of the year, barring a huge slump or horrible injury, he’ll get an A-. There is some chance he could get a straight A but I usually reserve that for guys who have some speed to go with the power, or who are very young for their levels.

by John Sickels on Jun 2, 2025 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks brother

I have a man crush on Goldschmidt so it is good to know that you are a big believer.

Big Sexy

Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey

by King Billy Royal on Jun 2, 2025 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Get in line

Just kidding. There is plenty of Goldschmidt to go around.

by Matt0330 on Jun 3, 2025 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

wow

that is impressive….and as a dbacks fan makes me extremely happy

does this mean you think Goldy is better than Parker and Skaggs?

by blue bulldog on Jun 2, 2025 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd say B+ at the moment

I have difficulty giving A- or A grades to first basemen, since the bat needs to be absolutely incredible to be an All-Star caliber player. I think Goldy’s bat will be very good, but have yet to be convinced it’ll be .950-OPS-good. Still 3rd in the system for me (JP and Skaggs ahead, both at B+ for now).

http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/

by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 2, 2025 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

curious about the reason for his reduction in strikeouts

Has anybody noted scouting based reasons for the change? Was there a mechanical change to fix a hole in his swing or something to that effect? Or is he just being more selective?

by jibs on Jun 2, 2025 1:00 PM EDT reply actions  

Zinter

His AA hitting coach Allen Zinter said in an interview about a month ago it’s a combination of improved pitch selection and working hard on his flaws. Zinter says Goldy struggled with the inside fastball last season and almost all of his homers were to centerfield or rightfield. Through constant work he’s improved his ability to hit an inside fastball and as a result most of his homers this season have been to leftfield and centerfield.

by eastin on Jun 2, 2025 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Paul Goldschmidt

I’ve always liked his swing & its path for a guy with such enormous power. I never felt there were major contact issues in Goldschmidt’s future either when contrasted with other power prospects & this year is evidence that the kid works hard to improve on his already stellar career thus far. It seems that even those who followed Arizona closely overlooked Goldschmidt severely but there can’t be much doubting him now, right?

His phenomenal 2011 thus far seems to be something of a shift in approach & he is killing it. HR #19 last night in Mississippi.

by Matt0330 on Jun 3, 2025 11:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

Makeup

Here’s an interesting comment from a Goldschmidt article I read

It’s part of why he gets high marks in the “makeup” category, scout-speak for a player’s intangibles. Former Diamondbacks scout Trip Couch, who signed Goldschmidt out of Couch’s area in Texas, recalled telling then-scouting director Tom Allison that he gave Goldschmidt an 80 in makeup, the highest grade possible on the scouting scale.
“After Tom met him, he goes, ‘I think you’re a little light on the makeup grade,’ " Couch said.

Read more: http://www.azcentral.com/sports/diamondbacks/articles/2011/05/19/20110519arizona-diamondbacks-prospect-paul-goldschmidt-impressing.html#ixzz1O8s0w9tW

by eastin on Jun 2, 2025 2:16 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Read this article a while back

It makes me all the more confident in his ability to adapt to advanced pitching and any struggles he faces at the big-league level.

http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/

by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 2, 2025 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

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