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Prospect of the Day: Matt Carpenter, 1B-3B, St. Louis Cardinals

ST. LOUIS, MO - APRIL 15: Matt Carpenter of the St. Louis Cardinals hits an RBI single against the Chicago Cubs at Busch Stadium on April 15, 2025 in St. Louis, Missouri.  Both teams wore the number 42 in honor of Jackie Robinson Day.  The Cardinals beat the Cubs 10-3.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

Prospect of the Day: Matt Carpenter, 1B-3B, St. Louis Cardinals

With veteran Lance Berkman injured, the St. Louis Cardinals have turned to rookie Matt Carpenter to fill the gap in the lineup. So far the results have been excellent: Carpenter is hitting .409/.417/.818 in his first eight games. Overshadowed by fellow prospects Matt Adams and Zack Cox, Carpenter didn't receive a lot of pre-season hype. Is his success sustainable?

Star-divide


Matt Carpenter first drew notice by hitting .289/.391/.366 in 50 games as a freshman for Texas Christian in 2005. He followed that up with a fine sophomore campaign in '06 (.349/.432/.411, nice OBP but no power), but had to take an injury redshirt in 2007. He returned to hit .283/.381/.522 with 11 homers in 2008, then .333/.472/.662 with 11 homers as a fifth-year senior in 2009.

Carpenter was already 23 on draft day and while the Cardinals expended a 13th round pick on him, he received a microscopic $1,000 penny-pinch bonus due to his lack of leverage. This has been a terrific investment for the Cardinals. He began his pro career with a .295/.405/.390 run for Quad Cities in the Midwest League, then hit .316/.412/.487 with 12 homers and 64 walks for Double-A Springfield in 2010. He spent 2011 with Triple-A Memphis, hitting .300/.417/.463 with 12 homers and 84 walks. Although he went just 1-for-15 in a seven-game major league trial last June, he was outstanding in spring training this year (.357/.438/.661) and earned his way onto the roster.

Carpenter is a 6-3, 200 pound left-handed hitter, born November 26, 1985. At age 26 he is older than the typical rookie, but he's done nothing but hit in pro ball, showing an excellent batting eye, a low strikeout rate, and doubles power. He isn't going to hit a huge number of home runs, but he's hardly punchless and should sustain a good batting average and on-base percentage.

Scouts have never been wild about his glove at third base, pointing out below average speed and rating his range and arm as fringy. Interestingly, despite these mediocre reports, his defensive statistics at third base have always been quite good, with a low error rate and solid range indicators. I've seen him look quite good on defense, making difficult plays as well as the routine ones, and scouts have gradually come around on the idea that his glove is at least adequate. The Cardinals are using him at first base right now, and he can also play a corner outfield spot in an emergency.

Overall, while Carpenter doesn't have flashy superstar tools, he has a great feel for the game and an admirable performance record. He's not going to hit .400 all year or crush 20 homers, but his ability to hit for average and get on base is quite real.

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Comments

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So, David Freese all around?

by realitypolice on Apr 17, 2025 8:29 AM EDT via Android app reply actions  

Lance Berkman isn’t on the disabled list [yet]. Please don’t curse him like that…

by jpjazzman on Apr 17, 2025 8:46 AM EDT reply actions  

An amazing sight ...

I saw his homer the other night. He may have set an MLB for least amount of muscle mass per home run. If he misses the team plane, they can fax him to the appropriate location.

"Hosmer right in between Carter and Alvarez…. what is this list based on? height?" -- okteds, visionary (1/28/10)

by criminal type on Apr 17, 2025 10:04 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

It wasn't a cheap one, either.

To straightaway center, as I recall.

by PissedMick on Apr 17, 2025 10:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

Certainly wasn't cheap

You is right about that!

"Hosmer right in between Carter and Alvarez…. what is this list based on? height?" -- okteds, visionary (1/28/10)

by criminal type on Apr 17, 2025 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

'least amount of muscle mass per home run'

Wait until you see the guy in AAA.

by Matt0330 on Apr 17, 2025 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

What do you think he would be worth to Oakland right now?

With Freese, Descalso, and Craig making Carpenter expendable for the Cardinals, what do you think he would fetch, prospect-wise, from the 3rd-baseless A’s?

"The Mollusk" makes me want to rail LSD crystals off my friends' sternum. Rage."

by ICEYhawtSTUNNAZ on Apr 17, 2025 11:07 AM EDT reply actions  

I don't think the Cardinals see him as expendable

Sure, we have all those guys, and Zack Cox in AAA, but Freese, Craig, and Berkman have all had health problems and it’s unclear how much we’ll get out of them. Keeping him is more valuable to the Cardinals than shipping him off for whatever it might take to acquire him.

Unless maybe the acquisition is a 2B version of Carpenter.

by oplaid on Apr 17, 2025 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Kolten Wong

Why add a 2b version of Carpenter when you have the 2b version of Kolten Wong in AA? If they have any needs to address it would be age. Maybe a couple young guys for a young, sure fire (if that exists) OFer.

by rutgersjpm on Apr 17, 2025 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

$1000

that is such a small amount for a signing bonus it is almost insulting…obviously it is better than nothing and being drafted is the ultimate reward, but a 4 digit signing bonus in 2010 is basically peanuts. I can believe $1000 signing bonuses still exist.

"On [umpire] Jeff Kellogg taking a foul tip to the groin: ‘Two balls, one strike.’"

by James Westfall on Apr 17, 2025 11:47 AM EDT reply actions  

a 5th year senior doesn't have many options

VEB Proxy, Circumvent MLB.tv's Blackout Rules , Fly like an eagle

by FlimtotheFlam on Apr 17, 2025 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Carpenter

Sounds to me like he can be what we thought Daric Barton was after 2010, but at third base. Almost sounds like he’s an Athletic already, just using the Cardinals as an oddball farm team or twisted Rule 5 pick. Still, he might endear himself to Cardinal fans at this rate, when the sluggers have health issues…

Why, Albert?

by mateodh on Apr 17, 2025 12:22 PM EDT reply actions  

Nice writeup, John

Summed up Carpenter’s career quite well.

I think the guy could be a cross between Cirillo and Randa, which is a pretty sweet asset. A lot of the newfound power may stick, too, as there’s an actual reason behind it: Carpenter was tutored by both Mark McGwire and John Mabry in Spring Training, on how to use his lower half to generate better leverage into the ball.

I don’t think an immediate MLB isolated slugging of .160-.175 is too much of a stretch at all, especially given the selectivity Carpenter has shown over his career.

by Mekonsrock on Apr 17, 2025 2:21 PM EDT reply actions  

Carp

I have been a big fan of his since his TCU days and loved when we picked him in the 13th Rd. I have always felt like analysts and prospect heads have overlooked M. Carp’s true value. He is not a GG 3B but has worked very hard to get better and it was quite obvious in ST this year to me. He will also never be a power hitter at a position that is typically a power hitter position. But what he does is have a great approach at the plate, work the count well, is on OBP machine, hits plenty of doubles and goes about the game full speed all the time. When you add it all up he is an above avg 3B all around though not the sexy pick. Glad he is finally starting to get noticed as a legit big leaguer.

Redbird Dugout
http://www.redbirddugout.com

by JDizzidy on Apr 17, 2025 8:43 PM EDT reply actions  


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