Prospect of the Day: Travis D'Arnaud, C, Toronto Blue Jays
Travis D'Arnaud was drafted by the Philadelphia Phillies in the supplemental first round in 2007, from high school in Lakewood, California. The younger brother of Pittsburgh Pirates shortstop Chase D'Arnaud, Travis put up mediocre numbers in the Gulf Coast Rookie League after signing (.241/.278/.348) but was much more effective in the New York-Penn and South Atlantic Leagues in 2008 (combined .305/.367/.464). In '09 he showed some pop by hitting 13 homers for Lakewood in the Sally League, though his overall line of .255/.319/.419 wasn't special.
Included in the Halladay trade, he was plagued with back problems for much of 2010 and hit a somewhat disappointing .259/.315/.411 in 71 games for High-A Dunedin in the Florida State League, though he made progress with defense. Moving up to Double-A New Hampshire this year, he's having his best professional season despite the jump in competition, hitting .326/.395/.562 with 29 doubles and 15 homers so far in 313 at-bats.
D'Arnaud has above-average bat speed and a compact stroke. Although he doesn't have Arencibia-like raw power, he has legitimate pop and should hit double-digit homers with maturity. His plate discipline could use some tightening and he isn't a walk machine, but he keeps his strikeout rate reasonably low and has greatly improved his ability to handle breaking balls and changeups over the last year.
As good as the bat looks right now, scouts are just as high on his defense. His throwing arm is well above average, and he's ironing out some flaws in his mechanics that inhibited his throwing at times. He threw out just 19% of runners in 2008, but improved that to 30% last year and again this year. He is very mobile. His blocking isn't always perfect, but with more experience his glove projects as above-average in all respects.
In short, D'Arnaud has everything you want in a young catching prospect. A good dose of Triple-A would help him polish his defense and maintain his hitting progress, and barring something unforeseen happening to Arencibia, D'Arnaud should head to Las Vegas next year. However, by 2013 he'll be ready to challenge for a major league job, and his good balance of offensive and defensive skills will help him get it.
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Nice report!
d’Arnaud has really been awesome, but I’d give Arencibia another year to see what he can be before calling up d’Arnaud (and possibly trading Arencibia).
by Woodman663 on Aug 4, 2025 8:09 AM EDT reply actions
are the back problems something
that could become chronic with the rigors of catching?
Some see a glass half empty, some a glass half full. I see a glass that's twice as big as it needs to be. - George Carlin
by t ball on Aug 4, 2025 10:52 AM EDT reply actions
I was much lower on him than most
during this year’s community prospect list. He has proven me wrong so far. He will definitely be higher on my list this year. John, do you think they should promote him to AAA this year, or wait until next year?
by cookiedabookie on Aug 4, 2025 11:02 AM EDT reply actions
if he was a yankee or a red sox
he’d be the unanimous best catcher and a top 10 prospect
by nmr123321 on Aug 4, 2025 11:44 AM EDT reply actions
give me a break
you really think John and other prospect analysts are that susceptible to media hype?
by Xave on Aug 4, 2025 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Yes, actually
All of us are powerless in the wake of the all emcompassing entity that is ESPN. I believe that the act of talking up Ryan Lavarnaway & Jesus Montero respectively has been added to the company’s employee handbook going forward so NFL coverage might be bare bones at the ‘world wide leader’ for a while..
On another note, I’m constantly struck by just how underhyped non-Yankee/Red Sox prospects Mike Trout, Matt Moore & Bryce Harper are. Also, can anybody shed some light on this dude Eric Hosmer in KC right now?
by Matt0330 on Aug 4, 2025 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions
I have head a lot more about Hosmer, Trout, and Harper on ESPN and MLB Network
than I have of Montero, and especially Lavarnway.
"BA doesn't stand for Batting Average. It’s Brandon Allen, as in the percentage of a hitter’s worth compared to Brandon Allen. Ted Williams, at his best, was only 4/10th of the hitter Brandon Allen is today." - YonYonson
by hero66 on Aug 4, 2025 8:31 PM EDT up reply actions
2013 seems conservative
Granted, Arencibia could very well keep him in the minors next year but on his own merit, he should be challenging for a spot mid season 2012.
by The_Bunk on Aug 4, 2025 12:31 PM EDT reply actions
JP Arencibia
Travis D’Arnaud looks to be the catcher of the future in Toronto, but it will be interesting to see what happens with Arencibia as he is presently pretty atrocious behind the plate. However, he isn’t without value - he ranks 2nd amongst qualified catchers in isolated power, 6th in SLG & is leads American League backstops (tied for MLB lead) in HR by a catcher currently. He had a poor campaign in 2009 before adjusting in his second tour of duty in the PCL in 2010 & mayb further adjustments & improvements lay ahead for him. He might have enough bat to profile as a Mike Napoli type (he’s not that far off now in certain respects) & that’s nothing to scoff at really if he can somehow become even serviceable defensively & put the ball in play at a slightly higher rate as Napoli began to do.
by Matt0330 on Aug 4, 2025 1:00 PM EDT reply actions
JPA is good enough defensively. He really struggled offensively and defensively with that thumb injury.
by Sniderlover on Aug 4, 2025 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions
jpa is last in catcher rankings on BtB
not sure how much that should count for, but regardless, thats bad.
COLBY RASMUS
by Pikachu on Aug 4, 2025 9:24 PM EDT up reply actions
yeah at times he’s looked horrible especially with blocking but his defense looked noticeable bad often when he got hurt with that thumb. Still just a rookie so I think he can improve… should be good enough to stick at catcher IMO
by Sniderlover on Aug 4, 2025 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions
The stats look good but not great.
It would mean a lot if he can repeat the 2011 success (he’s got a BABIP of .378 - don’t know how much of that is fueled by a high LD%, though). With one good season followed by two so-so seasons, and now this very good one, would you say that the stats are the basis for the high grade or is it as much/more the scouting (apparently a quick bat and good defense)?
Kila's slash for Apr 20 to May 4, 2011, right before he was sent down: .276 / .344 / .448
by SagehenMacGyver47 on Aug 4, 2025 6:58 PM EDT reply actions
Is BABIP really useful when talking minor league stats? Pretty much every hitter has a high BABIP. Mike Trout has a .384 BABIP.
by Sniderlover on Aug 4, 2025 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions
right on
good hitters should have a high BABIP in minors.
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by doublestix on Aug 4, 2025 11:05 PM EDT up reply actions
I should have mentioned it wasn't so much high or low, but a spike
.327
.273
.312
.378
His LD rate has gone up each season, though, which is impressive. But at the same time it’s not exactly out of this world (18.6%).
http://www.statcorner.com/batter.php?id=518595
Kila's slash for Apr 20 to May 4, 2011, right before he was sent down: .276 / .344 / .448
by SagehenMacGyver47 on Aug 5, 2025 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions
well, I think we all know he is not a .330 hitter but could definitely be a .270-.280 hitter in the majors. I just don’t think its worth mentioning BABIP since most hitters will likely have a high BABIP and big years in the minors.
To use another example, Harper has a .372 BABIP in A-ball but it doesn’t make his performance any less impressive.
The good/great years in minors usually have a high BABIP
by Sniderlover on Aug 6, 2025 4:35 AM EDT up reply actions

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