Fantasy Baseball 2012: Devin Mesoraco or Travis d'Arnaud?
Two of the best catching prospects in the majors right now are about to make an impact on their respective major league rosters in 2012, and fantasy owners should take notice. Reds catcher Devin Mesoraco, barring an injury, will be the starting catcher in Cincinnati this season. On the other hand, Blue Jays catching prospect Travis d'Arnaud may need to wait a few months, via some AAA seasoning, before getting the call to the big league team.
I was reading Keith Law's chat over at ESPN on Thursday afternoon, and came across this Q & A:
Beau (NOLA)
D'Arnaud or Mesoraco? Why?
Klaw
(1:38 PM)Mesoraco. Major-league ready immediately, cleaner health record. Both are future stars though.
I have to agree with Law here, but I may be biased, as I own Mesoraco in an NL-Only keeper league. Catchers who can hit for a good average and solid power are few and far between, which makes them very valuable in MLB as well as in fantasy baseball.
Like I mentioned previously, Mesoraco will be starting the 2012 season as the Reds starting catcher, with Ryan Hanigan backing him up. d'Arnaud will start the season in AAA, as he is currently blocked by 2011 call up J.P. Arencibia, although d'Arnaud is considered the better all around catcher, providing value at the plate and behind it.
John's thoughts on Mesoraco and d'Arnaud and more after the jump:
John has not published his Top 20 Reds prospects for 2012 yet, but this is what he wrote about Mesoraco in his Cincinatti Reds Top 20 PRESEASON Prospects in Review back in late July:
2) Devin Mesoraco, C, Grade B+: Hitting .305/.376/.496 with 38 walks, 73 strikeouts in 351 at-bats for Triple-A Louisville. Has caught 25% of runners. Very strong year confirms '10 was not a fluke.
Mesoraco did prove that his breakout in 2010 was no fluke, as he continued to hit for average and power, yet his
SLG indicates some dropoff as he moved up a level. His home runs dropped from 26 in 2010 to 15 in 2011, yet his
doubles dropped from 36 to 25. Even with the power dropoff, Mesoraco maintained a solid eye at the plate as he
walked in just over 10% of his at bats. I wonder if John will maintain his B+ ranking or he pushes him to an A- for 2012.
Here are Devin Mesoraco's career minor league stats, courtesy of Baseball-Reference:
| Year | Age | Lev | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 19 | Rk | 40 | 137 | 16 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 26 | .219 | .310 | .270 | .580 |
| 2008 | 20 | A | 83 | 306 | 29 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 20 | 64 | .261 | .311 | .399 | .710 |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ | 92 | 312 | 32 | 71 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 35 | 76 | .228 | .311 | .381 | .692 |
| 2010 | 22 | AA-A+-AAA | 113 | 397 | 71 | 120 | 25 | 5 | 26 | 75 | 43 | 80 | .302 | .377 | .587 | .964 |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | 43 | 158 | 24 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 19 | 29 | .335 | .414 | .620 | 1.035 |
| 2010 | 22 | AA | 56 | 187 | 42 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 18 | 37 | .294 | .363 | .594 | .957 |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA | 14 | 52 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 14 | .231 | .310 | .462 | .772 |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA | 120 | 436 | 60 | 126 | 36 | 2 | 15 | 71 | 52 | 83 | .289 | .371 | .484 | .855 |
| 5 Seasons | 448 | 1588 | 208 | 427 | 100 | 9 | 59 | 233 | 165 | 329 | .269 | .344 | .455 | .799 | ||
Generated 12/17/2011.
1) Travis D'Arnaud, C, Grade B+: Borderline A-: He would be an A- or maybe even an A if he was more effective at throwing out runners and struck out less often, but he can really hit and is still a superior prospect even with those weaknesses.
| Year | Age | Lev | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 18 | Rk | 41 | 141 | 18 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 23 | .241 | .278 | .348 | .626 |
| 2008 | 19 | A--A | 64 | 239 | 33 | 73 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 39 | .305 | .367 | .464 | .831 |
| 2008 | 19 | A- | 48 | 175 | 21 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 29 | .309 | .371 | .463 | .833 |
| 2008 | 19 | A | 16 | 64 | 12 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | .297 | .357 | .469 | .826 |
| 2009 | 20 | A | 126 | 482 | 71 | 123 | 38 | 1 | 13 | 71 | 41 | 75 | .255 | .319 | .419 | .738 |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ | 71 | 263 | 36 | 68 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 20 | 63 | .259 | .315 | .411 | .726 |
| 2011 | 22 | AA | 114 | 424 | 72 | 132 | 33 | 1 | 21 | 78 | 33 | 100 | .311 | .371 | .542 | .914 |
| 5 Seasons | 416 | 1549 | 230 | 430 | 112 | 4 | 50 | 237 | 121 | 300 | .278 | .336 | .452 | .788 | ||
Generated 12/17/2011.
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Comments
Mesoraco
The only problem with him is how much playing time he gets, given that the Reds still have Ryan Hanigan, and they seem to like having a more even split of catching playing time than most other clubs. Also, given the Reds have Votto, he won’t ever get slotted in at first base to keep his bat in the lineup the way that Cleveland do with Carlos Santana.
by A Behemoth on Dec 18, 2025 8:05 AM EST reply actions
good point
I watch lot of NL baseball being a Dodgers fan, and also play in several NL-only leagues, and the Reds announcers have always praised Hanigan for his ability to coach, and say that he will probably end up being a coach somewhere in MLB. With that said, he is no slouch at the plate, so I could see a bit of a split of playing time to begin the season.
But, everything I read from John Fay, the Reds beat writer for the Cincinnati Post says Meso will be the starter.
Ray Guilfoyle
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 18, 2025 8:33 AM EST up reply actions
I'm not sure how good Mesoraco's defense is
but isn’t d’Arnaud defense supposedly rated as plus? I think he’s real life value is higher than his fantasy value.
His 2011 wRC+ is 26
by Pikachu on Dec 18, 2025 10:33 AM EST reply actions
which is exactly
why I voted Mesoraco.
Although we’ll have to see how TDA’s defense really is.
Blogging about the Toronto Blue Jays at Bluebird Banter
by Woodman663 on Dec 18, 2025 11:02 AM EST up reply actions
yeah
I’d vote for Mesoraco, if it’s only for fantasy
His 2011 wRC+ is 26
by Pikachu on Dec 18, 2025 11:24 AM EST up reply actions
With the Grandal trade, Mesoraco faces no real threat of being supplanted by another catching prospect in the near future.
On the other hand, A.J. Jimenez could potentially swipe d’Arnaud’s job within 2 to 3 years seeing that he’s pretty good at what d’Arnaud struggles with (throwing) and hits well albeit with limited power. And then there’s also the powerful but erratic bat of Arencibia lurking at the big league level too. My choice is Mesoraco, primarily because he’s put up 2 strong offensive seasons in succession at the AA and AAA levels and secondarily for the reasons above (Arencibia and Jimenez are bigger threats to get playing time looking forward than Hanigan and Tucker Barnhart). Having typed that and stating the obvious, Mesoraco still has to hit in the spring to win the Reds’ starting catching job. If he struggles, the Reds (and Baker) would be more than comfortable beginning the year with Hanigan as the starter and allowing Mesoraco to get more of that proverbial seasoning in AAA.
by reillocity on Dec 18, 2025 11:08 AM EST reply actions
but
they don’t have a backup catcher now that Ramon Hernandez signed with the Rockies. I don’t see Mesoraco heading back to AAA, but stranger things have happened (see Belt, Brandon).
Ray Guilfoyle
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 18, 2025 2:18 PM EST up reply actions
I agree that it is fairly unlikely that he’d struggle enough in Arizona to warrant being sent down (<20% probability). Most likely Mesoraco hits enough to begin the year as the starter.
by reillocity on Dec 19, 2025 1:54 PM EST up reply actions
I
went with D’Arnaud solely because I believe they are similar talents and D’Arnaud gets to play with and in that Blue Jays offense.
by McCutchenIsTheTruth on Dec 18, 2025 11:22 AM EST reply actions
Mesoraco
hits in a hitters park and a pretty decent lineup as well.
Ray Guilfoyle
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 18, 2025 2:18 PM EST up reply actions
Rogers Centre is certainly a hitters park
I have no problem with grading Mesoraco as a better hitter in the long run, but judging by park factors, GABP and Rogers Centre is about even.
by msgg139 on Dec 19, 2025 2:09 PM EST up reply actions
i'm confused
yet he increased his doubles from 36 to 25.
i’m not great at math, but i do know that going from 36 to 25 is not an increase.
by JoelGuzman'sScout on Dec 18, 2025 11:38 AM EST reply actions
corrected
thanks.
Ray Guilfoyle
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www.minorleagueball.com
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 18, 2025 2:21 PM EST up reply actions
Uh, not really
His home runs dropped from 26 in 2010 to 15 in 2011, yet his doubles dropped from 36 to 25.
Grammatically, “yet” would imply a contrasting point, and factually his doubles increased from 25 to 36. We all have those days dude.
by Evan_S on Dec 19, 2025 4:04 AM EST up reply actions
Since we are talking fantasy baseball I will take the guy not in Petco!!!!
Big Sexy
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by King Billy Royal on Dec 18, 2025 12:08 PM EST reply actions
You're thinking of Yasmani Grandal
the guy the Reds traded.. Mesoraco plays in Great American
I am the Walrus
by yleviticus on Dec 18, 2025 12:24 PM EST up reply actions
My bad
Good point. KBR had a long night at work and needs to give his head a shake. I think I would still go D’Arnaud since he can steal some DH at bats but it is a tough call.
Big Sexy
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by King Billy Royal on Dec 18, 2025 1:05 PM EST up reply actions
Sickels' grade progression
D’Arnaud was a B- before 2011, and has just gone to a B+, borderline A-.
Mesoraco was a B+ before the 2011 season. His season proved that the 2010 breakout was not a fluke; should be A- at minimum once the Reds get graded.
by DevilsAdvocate on Dec 18, 2025 12:45 PM EST reply actions
Yep
but that’s the entire package and not just fantasy.
I like D’Arnaud in a Blue Jays offense over Mesoraco in a Reds offense for fantasy purposes.
by McCutchenIsTheTruth on Dec 18, 2025 1:14 PM EST up reply actions
even hitting
in the hitter’s park that is Great American Ballpark?
Ray Guilfoyle
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 18, 2025 2:22 PM EST up reply actions
The Rogers Center is a hitters park too
but I agree with you, for fantasy defiantly Mesoraco
Do you have a young, talented cost controlled player having a down year who's "attitude" has cased problems with an aging player or manager?
Don't worry, I Alex Anthopoulos will take him off your hands, I'll even give you some moderately useful veterans that will "help you make a playoff run".
I tweet sometimes
by jaysfan100 on Dec 18, 2025 3:44 PM EST up reply actions
D'arnaud!!!
In a 5 category fantasy baseball league, D’arnaud had better 2011 stats in each of the 5 categories (Avg, Hr , Rbi, Runs, adn Steals). Also Toronto’s offense is better generally than Reds (more runs scored), and D’arnaud is likely to be protected by Escobar vs Mesoraco would probably be protected by the pitcher.
by Matthew Mueller on Dec 19, 2025 12:17 PM EST reply actions 1 recs

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