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Zack Greinke Trade Reaction

My quick reaction to the Greinke trade: without knowing exactly what else was on the table, I'd say the Royals did OK but not great.

Alcides Escobar: Good glove, can't hit right now, might hit a bit in the future, more long-term value than Betancourt.
Lorenzo Cain: Good glove, fast, athletic, offensive track record is mixed. I've always kind of liked him, C+/B- type prospect.
Jake Odorizzi: i love him. I haven't gotten to the Brewers yet on my prospect lists but he was going to get a B+.
Jeremy Jeffress: Love the arm strength, command is questionable, I think he can be a great closer...If he throws enough strikes. I'm not worried about the drug angle. Grade B prospect.

So the Royals get a B+ pitching prospect, a B-with-huge-upside pitching prospect, a C+/B- outfielder, and a shortstop who isn't great but is at least younger than the guy he's replacing, in exchange for a guy one year removed from winning the Cy Young Award. It's OK.

When i get to the Brewers system, I'll have to redo the Royals list too.

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Comments

Display:

Do you really think this was the best they could get?

I feel like they could have done much better

by Flamefox111 on Dec 20, 2025 2:02 AM EST reply actions  

From who?

And what?

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Dec 20, 2025 10:02 AM EST up reply actions  

Exactly

No one knows who offered kc what exactly. Do we know for certain that drabek and snider were both dangled? No. So to say they couldve done better without knowing other offers is just, IMO, jumping on the Dayton is an idiot bandwagon and that’s not the case here.

by thehitonecafe on Dec 20, 2025 11:59 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

But...

He didn’t have to deal him either.

by waitone on Dec 20, 2025 2:13 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

greinke asked to be traded.

good luck with holding onto a player when he does that. nothing like having a player who doesn’t want to be on your team.

by larry on Dec 20, 2025 2:51 PM EST up reply actions  

And he changed agents

To make this trade happen quicker. He wasn’t staying in kc, that much is obvious

by thehitonecafe on Dec 20, 2025 3:28 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

So what

He was still under contract with the Royals! They didn’t put a gun to his head and force him to sign the extension.

by Jay212033 on Dec 20, 2025 4:12 PM EST up reply actions  

It doesn't matter

The last thing a team wants in their clubhouse is a star player who doesn’t want to be there. It is a huge distraction and never ends well for either the player or the team. The Royals were forced to trade Greinke, but perhaps if they had done it sooner, he never would have made his trade demands as public.

by King Billy Royal on Dec 20, 2025 4:15 PM EST up reply actions  

“2) Alcides Escobar, SS, Grade B+: He’s ready now. Terrific glove, will steal bases, but has no power and might not hit much higher than .260 with a .320 OBP currently. Will have a very long career as a defensive specialist and could win Gold Gloves.”

Barely better than Yuni because of a bad initial year (with a .264 BABIP, I might point out). Seems pretty harsh.

by BlueEyes_Austin on Dec 20, 2025 2:02 AM EST reply actions  

So...

Avilies moves to 2B and Getz gets benched I presume.

by Havok1517 on Dec 20, 2025 5:18 AM EST reply actions  

?

Aviles was going to play 3B next year with Getz playing 2B. Escobar doesn’t change that, he just replaces Yuni

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Dec 20, 2025 10:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Won't Betemit play 3B?

And I think Aviles will play a combo of 2B and 3B with Getz being a part-time 2B. It would be the smartest so that Aviles can take over for whichever player struggles more (I’m assuming that would be Getz)

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by The Congo Hammer on Dec 20, 2025 10:30 AM EST up reply actions  

Betemit's glove was pretty brutal...

…and yet, the FO has said that he’s a utilityman in 2011.

Aviles was the expected 3B before this deal. That doesn’t change.

by kcemigre on Dec 20, 2025 5:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Who cares?

Seriously? Not to be a jerk but … the Royals have all but written off the upcoming season. What does it matter who plays where and who gets benched?

by jackweiland on Dec 20, 2025 12:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Agree, to an extent

Getz, Aviles, and Betemit are all pretty marginal but, Escobar could end up a very significant piece of tyhe team. Despite whatever some defensiuver metyrics may say I think he’s a VERY significant upgrade over Betancourt withy the glove.

"If my uniform doesn't get dirty, I haven't done anything in the baseball game." - Rickey Henderson

by casejud on Dec 20, 2025 1:48 PM EST up reply actions  

i care

R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9
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by doublestix on Dec 20, 2025 2:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Updates

I wanted to ask this somewhere but didn’t really know where, but will you be updating other lists too, with Loux to Texas, Lawrie to Toronto, ect, or will they just be updated in the book?

If everybody likes you, then either no one knows anything about you, or you're dead.

Fantasy Prospect Central: http://fantasyprospectcentral.blogspot.com/

by Archie A on Dec 20, 2025 8:50 AM EST reply actions  

You really think KC could have done better

than a team’s #1 and #2 prospects this year, and #1 and #8 prospects last year?

I just don’t know what people were seriously expecting here. I think KC had a very nice haul that fits in nicely with their current mix of prospects

by deezle on Dec 20, 2025 9:41 AM EST reply actions  

Brewers have a thin system though

if you took Odorizzi and Jeffress and put them in the Rays system, where would they rank? in the 5-10 range (looking at the letter grades of the Rays’ prospects this year). Cain would be down in the 15-20 range.

I think it was a decent haul, but it’s misleading to just say “hey they got the Brewers’ best 2 prospects, what more can you ask for?”

by ugen64 on Dec 20, 2025 1:11 PM EST up reply actions  

does two top 100 prospects work better?

b/c thats what they got…to go along with cain and escobar

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Dec 20, 2025 1:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Jeffress is a reliever

and not a Top 100 prospect on a meaningful list. Odorizzi is the only top 100 prospect here, unless your counting Escobar’s prior status as such.

by blackoutyears on Dec 20, 2025 3:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Depends on your opinion of KG

I think including Jeffress on a Top 100, knowing that he’s almost surely a reliever, would make a list less meaningful.

by blackoutyears on Dec 21, 2025 2:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Odorizzi

will be on quite a few top 100’s this year

If everybody likes you, then either no one knows anything about you, or you're dead.

Fantasy Prospect Central: http://fantasyprospectcentral.blogspot.com/

by Archie A on Dec 21, 2025 9:14 AM EST up reply actions  

I completely read your comment wrong

For some reason I though you wrote Odorizzi is only a top 100 prospect here (as in on minorleagueball)

If everybody likes you, then either no one knows anything about you, or you're dead.

Fantasy Prospect Central: http://fantasyprospectcentral.blogspot.com/

by Archie A on Dec 21, 2025 12:09 PM EST up reply actions  

I though you wrote Odorizzi is only a top 100 prospect here

No, I think he’s clearly one of the 100 best prospects in baseball regardless of venue.

by blackoutyears on Dec 21, 2025 2:15 PM EST up reply actions  

My philosophy on moving an ace with 2 full years left is that you should get an impact player or multiple potential impact players. To me, Escobar and Cain should be very good bench players or ok starters. I don’t think Jeffress is likely to be the kind of top closer that I’d call an impact player. That leaves Odorizzi.

by rlwhite on Dec 20, 2025 9:51 AM EST reply actions  

Escobar as a very good bench player seems ridiculously negative

when 12 months ago he was the next Elvis Andrus and a future All Star. Interesting how a .264 BABIP rookie year can warp reality.

by deezle on Dec 20, 2025 10:15 AM EST up reply actions  

It wasn't just his BABIP

He showed zero power, and has no idea how to control the strike zone. He goes up the plate with no plan and is simply an easy out.

by King Billy Royal on Dec 20, 2025 12:13 PM EST up reply actions  

But if his BABIP is normalized

it makes his year at the plate look fine for a rookie season. That’s the point.

He’s never going to hit like Hanley, but if his defense plays as projected he will be extremely valuable as a .725-.750 OPS guy.

by deezle on Dec 20, 2025 12:30 PM EST up reply actions  

.725-.750 OPS?????????????????!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

How the hell is he going to pull that off? It was .614 this year and he has shown ZERO ability to drive the ball (14 doubles!!!!) and no ability to control the strike zone. Personally he reminds me of a young Royce Clayton and that isn’t really a good thing.

by King Billy Royal on Dec 20, 2025 12:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Probably the same way he did in AA and AAA

when he had .363/.434 and .353/.409 lines, respectively. Hell, normalize his BABIP last year and you are basically there.

Of course it’s probably reasonable to ignore his track record and only focus on a BABIP-induced rookie year line, eh?

by deezle on Dec 20, 2025 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

LOL

It isn’t just his track record. Myself, and numerous others, have been saying for a long time that he will get exposed in the majors. If you watched him play this year you would know that he looked helpless at the plate. Even if you look at his track record you will see he only had 2 seasons over a .725 OPS and his career minor league OPS was only .709. Until this guy learns to take a walk, or drive the ball, he is going to be another all glove, no hit shortstop.

by King Billy Royal on Dec 20, 2025 12:53 PM EST up reply actions  

if he posts a normal babip....

his season was in no way a failure. He had a good LD rate with terribly unlucky results

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Dec 20, 2025 12:54 PM EST up reply actions  

But also with a huge infield fly rate

I think he can probably be a .275/.325/.370 hitter with good defense at shortstop… a pretty good regular, but not a star. Although it certainly doesn’t help when he’s reportedly got some attitude issues and he’s moving to the harder league.

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I'm an editor for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.

by Satchel Price on Dec 20, 2025 1:01 PM EST up reply actions  

the IF fly rate is bad....

but that should have no effect on the results of the line drives he hits

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Dec 20, 2025 1:07 PM EST up reply actions  

He had a good LD rate with terribly unlucky results

How long was this posted before/after Cameron’s column at FG? lol

by blackoutyears on Dec 20, 2025 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Not sure what else to say to you, as it’s apparent you either don’t understand BABIP or just choose to ignore it here, and instead bring up the career OPS of a young Venezuelan as some kind of counter.

by deezle on Dec 20, 2025 12:59 PM EST up reply actions  

HAHAAH

You mention the track record of his OPS, and then you criticize me for bringing it up? That is honestly classic.

by King Billy Royal on Dec 20, 2025 1:24 PM EST up reply actions  

14 doubles?

And 10 triples. I suppose you think he should be penalized for being fast enough to take an extra base?

Elvis Andrus, Yunel Escobar, and Erick Aybar all had ISOs significantly lower than Escobar’s in 2010, his first full year in the majors.. Orlando Cabrera’s was identical, and Jason Bartlett and Derek Jeter were within 10 points.

Escobar’s 6.5% walk rate was dead smack in the middle for qualified shortstops last year.

Escobar’s 13.8% strikeout rate was 8th best among shortstops last year.

The arguments that you are trying to make are easily dismissed with a quick survey of the statistics. Am I missing something?

by PissedMick on Dec 21, 2025 2:01 AM EST up reply actions  

he was the next Elvis Andrus

They were contemporaries for the most part, and it’s odd to say that Escobar is the next Andrus when Andrus is barely established and over two years younger. They were somewhat comparable prospects who arrived at roughly the same time.

by blackoutyears on Dec 20, 2025 3:33 PM EST up reply actions  

he was the next Elvis Andrus

They were contemporaries for the most part, and it’s odd to say that Escobar is the next Andrus when Andrus is barely established and over two years younger. They were somewhat comparable prospects who arrived at roughly the same time.

by blackoutyears on Dec 20, 2025 3:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Is Lawrie the best prospect of this group?

I realize the Royals got quantity here in relation to the Jays, but is it curious that Marcum netted the Jays the best prospect of the bunch?

by Buck Martinez's Wig on Dec 20, 2025 10:10 AM EST reply actions  

In a vacuum, maybe

but an elite defensive SS with offensive upside is much more valuable to the Royals than another corner OF prospect.

by deezle on Dec 20, 2025 10:20 AM EST up reply actions  

But couldn't they flip Lawrie

for someone better? I do feel like KC could’ve gotten a better package if this was done before the Marcum trade.

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by achengy on Dec 20, 2025 11:42 AM EST up reply actions  

Not, not necessarily

This isn’t fantasy baseball.

And I think an argument could definitely be made that a plus-plus defensive shortstop with offensive upside is more valuable than a nice hitting corner OF.

by deezle on Dec 20, 2025 12:07 PM EST up reply actions  

With offensive upside? Its too early to write Escobar off, but the guy looks like he will barely hit. Counting on him to flip the switch offensively is probably as likely as Lawrie becoming a viable option defensively at 2B or 3B (which isn’t even that ridiculous because he obviously has the athletic ability to do do).

by metafour on Dec 20, 2025 12:33 PM EST up reply actions  

The guy had a .264 BABIP, when his LD rate of 22% suggested at least a .320 BABIP. His batting average on line drives was second worst in baseball.

Not sure how much more it can be spelled out, but Escobar was just very unlucky at the plate last year, and I expect a reversion to the mean.

by deezle on Dec 20, 2025 12:42 PM EST up reply actions  

OK, he was unlucky….big whoop. He still hits for no power. He still doesn’t walk. I guess if you factor in luck he goes from a guy who isn’t completely terrible to a guy who is passable offensively. Is that really worthwhile of the “offensive upside” tag?

by metafour on Dec 20, 2025 12:51 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t know why you keep bringing up “power”, as if that is at all relevant here. Escobar has never projected to hit for power - he was a top 20 overall prospect due to plus-plus defense at a premium position and nice offensive upside via BA and OBP. His scouting profile has not changed one iota from 12-24 months ago.

His defense and offense profile him as a potential 3 WAR player once he develops with 5 WAR upside, with an easy comp to Elvis Andrus. That is very valuable, especially to KC that lacked a premium SS prospect outside of a semi-SS in Colon.

by deezle on Dec 20, 2025 12:56 PM EST up reply actions  

His OBP had upside?

The guy never saw a pitch he didn’t like, so how exactly did his OBP have upside?

by King Billy Royal on Dec 20, 2025 12:59 PM EST up reply actions  

How many different times does it need to be explained to you?

You seem like a good poster but you continue to ignore a crucial point. Normalizing for BABIP he would have had a higher BA, and a higher BA also increases OBP.

by deezle on Dec 20, 2025 1:04 PM EST up reply actions  

a large part of that

is that players with not much power are going to get more strikes. it’s not really surprising to see a player like escobar with a walk rate at 5 or 6%. why walk him when the worst he’ll do is hit a double.

by larry on Dec 20, 2025 1:12 PM EST up reply actions  

This is whay Luis Castillo never walked

Oh, wait.

"Rollins helps them with the small ball when he's not in the lineup." - Joe Morgan

by Manstein on Dec 20, 2025 3:24 PM EST up reply actions  

luis castillo

had a great batting eye. Escobar doesn’t. Castillo’s career swing % is 35… Escobar’s is 47, 32% out of the zone. He actually did very good at making contact on pitches outside the zone, which is probably a bad thing because they were all probably weak ground balls or infield popups. Until he learns to take a pitch or 4, he’s a .650 OPS #8 hitter.

by another know it all on Dec 20, 2025 8:57 PM EST up reply actions  

poor comparison.

considering castillo was crap his first few years in the league, i imagine his numbers may have been much closer to escobar’s. since we don’t have the data, we don’t know. but, even if we did, i wouldn’t be comparing a career line with a rookie year line.

by larry on Dec 21, 2025 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

My point is

That walk rate does not depend on power. You can take walks and not hit for power. If a guy is not taking walks it’s not because pitchers give him only strikes because he has no power. That’s a bullshit excuse.

"Rollins helps them with the small ball when he's not in the lineup." - Joe Morgan

by Manstein on Dec 21, 2025 1:15 PM EST up reply actions  

look man

Escobar doesn’t have the best eye, but he’s not terrible. looking at the percentage of pitches outside the strike zone he swung at, he ranked 44th among 149 qualified players last year, between two pretty good shortstops - Starlin Castro and Jose Reyes. he was pretty good at making contact with those pitches - ranked 35th in the league. so even if you ignore the BABIP argument, his plate discipline is fine. I mean, as an Orioles fan, I’m praying for the day Adam Jones (2.3 WAR last year) shows half as much plate discipline that Escobar has.

by ugen64 on Dec 20, 2025 1:17 PM EST up reply actions  

ding ding ding.

low OBP doesn’t necessarily mean “never saw a pitch he didn’t like”. there are better things to look at to determine such things.

by larry on Dec 20, 2025 1:21 PM EST up reply actions  

"never saw a pitch he didn’t like"

Yeah, I’d say seeing his ABs makes a much better case. KBR is right: Escobar looked awful at the plate all year. Will he get better? Seems likely, but how much? Even Cameron’s regression at FG this morning only got Escobar to .255, which is meh.

by blackoutyears on Dec 20, 2025 3:39 PM EST up reply actions  

perhaps.

guys who have low babips tend to look awful at the plate.

by larry on Dec 20, 2025 3:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Guys

who swing at the wrong pitches and watch strikes go by tend to look bad at the plate. My problems aren’t with what happens when Escobar makes contact, it’s what happens in the rest of the plate appearance. He sets himself up to fail. He’s still young, so I’m hoping he makes some adjustments, but he was one of the least threatening hitters I saw all season.

by blackoutyears on Dec 20, 2025 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

There's a pretty big disconnect here...

between guys that understand the significance of the numbers and guys who think watching some ABs on TV can tell you more.

by PissedMick on Dec 21, 2025 2:15 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah

and the usual disconnect between people who back up their statistical research with anecdotal observation and people who think they know everything about a player based purely on metrics. I keep forgetting we live in the Matrix.

by blackoutyears on Dec 21, 2025 2:19 PM EST up reply actions  

just saw this...

…why is making contact on pitches outside the zone a good thing? Weak contact means groundouts and popouts. He needs to learn to take those pitches.

by another know it all on Dec 20, 2025 9:00 PM EST up reply actions  

I got killed

By the fantasy guys here for trading Greinke last week for Zach Britton (A-), Miguel Sano (B), and Randall Delgado (B+) in my salary dynasty….didn’t I get more than the Royals did?

Brian Sabean would return more calls if he wasn't so busy being the greatest baseball mind in the history of the game.

by The_Beard on Dec 20, 2025 10:59 AM EST reply actions  

Silly Question

Fantasy Baseball is different than real life. In reality there are tons of considerations that go into a trade than in Fantasy. First, the Brewers only really get Greinke for a brief period of time while they have control over all four of those players for an extended period. Second, Escobar’s value is much greater in reality because he is an allegedly elite glove. Third, there is no limit or cap on the number of players teams can keep so a 4 for 1 trade is not a bad thing as such quantity sometimes is preferred over quality. Fourth, salaries impact MLB decisions while in most fantasy leagues there are no salaries so a player like Greinke costs the same as a player like Escobar to keep. So, in essence, your question is rather silly as it is silly to compare most, if not all, fantasy leagues to the MLB.

by jaroche6 on Dec 20, 2025 11:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Fair enough

Obviously there are different considerations that go into a real trade and a fantasy trade. I think we can safely assume anyone reading this site would have a grasp on that.

Forget the fantasy angle because that wasn’t really even the point- My point was that I took heavy criticism for the package of players I recieved, but all the players involved in my trade and the KC-MIL swap have been recently graded by John, and I was wondering which group of prospects was a better haul for Greinke…with salary and defense and everything else taken into consideration.

Without getting into specifics, those things are all very relevant to fantasy baseball as well, making my question not ‘silly’ at all. But thanks for holding my hand through the nuances of the game.

Brian Sabean would return more calls if he wasn't so busy being the greatest baseball mind in the history of the game.

by The_Beard on Dec 20, 2025 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

My opinion

In a fantasy league such as yours, where there is a limit on the number of prospects you can keep, I do not like the deal for you. Basically, you are substituting Britton, Sano, and Delgado for 3 lesser prospects and receiving no MLB talent in return. In the fantasy realm it was a weak trade. In reality, such a trade would have been very good for the Royals. Compared to the recent Royals deal of Greinke, the Royals’ haul was superior your haul for Greinke in a fantasy league imo.

by jaroche6 on Dec 20, 2025 2:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Finally

A decent analysis of the trade rather than taking the easy way out and saying Dayton Moore is an idiot without even giving it a second thought. There were all kinds of extenuating circumstances in this deal like the decreased leverage of the Royals once it became clear that Greinke would be traded along with his no-trade clause. No doubt both of those factors impacted their return. Considering that, I think getting two position players with major league experience and upside, along with two more high upside arms isn’t bad at all. Plus they convinced the Brewers to take Yuniesky off their hands which is a win in and of itself.

by ajones2522 on Dec 20, 2025 11:33 AM EST reply actions  

there's also the unknown

of how a guy with anxiety issues would handle a “big city”, a more aggressive press or rabid fanbase. i’m certainly not qualified to opine on the reality of such concerns. but i imagine others in actual decision-making capacities have the same concern, whether founded or not.

by larry on Dec 20, 2025 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Unfounded

Zach Greinke goes out there and pitches in front of thousands and thousands of people every fifth day, often on the road in a big city. I just don’t see how people become convinced that pitching in the Bronx is different in kind than pitching in Kansas City or Detroit or Milwaukee. This I say as a guy who lives in the Bronx. Just because Javier Vazquez et al didn’t (I won’t say couldn’t) do it doesn’t mean that Javier Vazquez’s problems were mental. Pitchers fail in every city, every year. Obvious confirmation bias going on here.

And, for what it’s worth, Zach Greinke may well have a better head on his shoulders than whatever hack the Yankees get in his place. He’s been depressed, he’s had his troubles, but in interviews he seems like the kind of kid who’s been there and back and is actually stronger mentally than most people who haven’t.

Big miss by the Yankees, in my opinion. And the kid can pitch.

by Brownson on Dec 20, 2025 6:29 PM EST up reply actions  

I think that line of thinking has more to do with media attention and scrutiny, which is obviously going to be much more intense in large markets, rather than the amount of people in the stands.

by ajones2522 on Dec 20, 2025 7:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Either way, it's a kind of silly line of thinking.

Zack, BTW, gives some of the best interviews. Everyone in Kansas City knows this.

by kcemigre on Dec 21, 2025 8:19 AM EST up reply actions  

Not really

Unless you think pressure doesn’t effect players then it has to be at least somewhat valid. To what extent, it’s almost impossible to determine but I don’t think you can argue that there isn’t more pressure on players playing in New York versus players playing in Kansas City. Those guys no doubt feel pressure to justify their huge contracts as well as feel pressure to win the World Series because if they don’t, their season is a failure. That has to have an impact.

by ajones2522 on Dec 21, 2025 12:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, actually, I think it is silly...

…because this whole line of reasoning started out as armchair psychoanalysis based upon the fact that Zack has Social Anxiety Disorder. That’s all it is based upon.

Look, I know that New York media puts more pressure on you that Kansas City media. But, the difference between playing for the Yankees and playing for the Royals is less than trivial when compared to the difference between being a baseball player anywhere and being, say, the bag-boy at a grocery store.

…and Social Anxiety Disorder can prevent you from successfully handling the stress of being a bag-boy. Maybe Zack would wilt in NY, but if he is gonna wilt because of his diagnosed disorder, he can do it just as easily playing for any team in the league.

by kcemigre on Dec 21, 2025 8:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Basing it solely upon that disorder would be silly. You’re right. I’m not sure who would do that though. The pressures I spoke of earlier are real and should be taken into account with or without the disorder. Whether they should have or not, you have to think that New York may have had second thoughts about bringing him into a big city like that. It doesn’t bode well either when he lists most of the major markets on his no-trade list. He obviously didn’t want to go there but was willing to at this point just to get out of KC.

by ajones2522 on Dec 21, 2025 11:36 PM EST up reply actions  

But it is based solely on his diagnosis.

What else is it based on?

There isn’t some other reason to think that Zack “can’t handle” New York. Every single report or tweet or whatever that suggested he shouldn’t be going there refers to the fact that he has “had his issues in the past” or some such thing… this entire storyline is based upon his diagnosis.

And the no-trade isn’t anything special. Everyone puts the big markets on their no-trade lists. For most, it isn’t about not being traded. It’s about having leverage with the new team when you are traded. Leverage is useless if the team can’t afford to do anything for you, so you put all the rich teams on your list.

by kcemigre on Dec 22, 2025 7:46 AM EST up reply actions  

Clearly the Yanks

are worried about the mental toughness of their pitching acquisitions as they’ve signed such stalwarts of intestinal fortitude as A.J. Burnett and Javy Vazquez. I’m not sure Greinke wouldn’t be more fit than both to serve on the NYY rotation.

by blackoutyears on Dec 22, 2025 11:29 AM EST up reply actions  

And yes

I do mean to imply that our brains are in our intestines. Popular science!

by blackoutyears on Dec 22, 2025 11:30 AM EST up reply actions  

Of course...

…that anonymously sourced story circulated simultaneously with an anonymously sourced “debunking” along the lines of "Zack would be perfectly happy to wind up in New York.

by kcemigre on Dec 22, 2025 1:24 PM EST up reply actions  

They aren't technically contradictory.

That’s why I put “debunking” in quotes.

Also, I read what you said too quickly: I think they were two separate reports at the time, (i.e. 1 - someone in Zacks family thinks he shouldn’t go there and 2 - Zack is fine with NY). I thought you had only mentioned the first one. Sorry.

If that was a serious consideration (and I doubt any FO worries too much about anonymous sources quoted in tweets), then fine. I was just tired of seing people point to Social Anxiety Disorder as the reason he can pitch in KC but not NY. The truth is, until he got treatment, he wasn’t going to be pitching anywhere.

by kcemigre on Dec 22, 2025 5:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Look, whether correct or not, the Yankees made the decision not to take a chance on Greinke. It’s harder for some guys to play in New York, period. Maybe Greinke is that guy and may he’s not but considering he originally didn’t want to go there and his family didn’t think it was a good idea for him to go there, they probably made the right choice in not taking the chance. Why did Zach Greinke and his family think New York was a bad idea? I don’t know. Maybe it had nothing to do with his previous condition. There are plenty of reasons for a player not to go to New York that don’t have anything to do with that condition so maybe it was one of those. Some people just can’t handle the pressure, anxiety syndrome or no anxiety syndrome.

by ajones2522 on Dec 22, 2025 1:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Exactly

The Royals would have a huge crowd every time he pitched, no matter what day it was. Also wouldn’t there be more pressure when in Kansas City he was the main focus because our team sucked where as in New York he would just blend in with the other players.

by vic1124 on Dec 21, 2025 4:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Not aimed at you, by the way - only at this line of thought.

I did see the “whether founded or not” qualifer there.

by Brownson on Dec 20, 2025 6:30 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

“OK but not great” sums it up pretty well.

I’ve seen wayyyyyy too much “but Team A got more when they dealt XYZ!!!” Your initial reaction to this trade can’t be judged wit the hindsight of deals past. Royals added some decent pieces, but no real game breakers (jury still out on Odorizzi and Jeffres, I suppose).

It also bears mentioning that this trade is unique in the fact that Greinke is a legit head case who would have refused a trade to most of the major market teams … haven’t seen that reflected enough in the analysis.

by jackweiland on Dec 20, 2025 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

decreased leverage of the Royals once it became clear that Greinke would be traded along with his no-trade clause.

Which would seem to be significantly offset by the fact that you’re getting two years of a pitcher who’s one year removed from a Cy Young. I tend to think that a combination of the no trade claus eruling out suitors and Moore’s alleged insistence on filling certain positions is what determined things.

I agree that losing Betancourt was a win. Escobar seems like a clear upgrade based on glove alone.

by blackoutyears on Dec 20, 2025 3:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Even if TOR wasn't willing to deal Drabek & Snider in the same package...

I’m interested to know what they would have offered.

by dbreer23 on Dec 20, 2025 11:48 AM EST reply actions  

Not sure we will ever know....

but Toronto, and every other team, had ample time to analyze the situation and make a legit and final offer.

by deezle on Dec 20, 2025 12:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Coming from a Jays fan...

My opinion is that the Greinke to Toronto stuff was grossly overblown, and quite possibly driven by the Royals in an attempt to drive the price for Greinke up. This became obvious to me after we traded Marcum, yet stories about the Jays still trying to acquire Greinke kept popping up. Trading for Greinke is a playoff-push type move; why would Toronto trade a cheap productive starter and then trade for Greinke? It makes absolutely no sense as those are polarizing moves, if you are going to acquire Greinke you obviously keep Marcum and try to make a playoff push built around the best rotation in the AL.

by metafour on Dec 20, 2025 12:39 PM EST up reply actions  

I like it for both sides....

…especially contextually. Look, MIL hasn’t signed a huge free agent since I can remember. This was the only way they were getting an elite level SP. For KC, they just addressed their most glaring minor league short comings- up the middle defense. As someone who was given the priviledge of watching alex Cora man the SS position while Reyes was out, I can’t explain the difference in confidence, as a fan, that a above average defensive SS has. For all the bats kc has, they seem to be corner players. Were the royals really sold on Jarrod dyson? Derrick Robinson? Doubt it. Obviously they didn’t buy into colons glove at SS. You add in Orodizzi (who I really like) and Jeffress as a potential high leverage reliever who either complements Soria or takes over for him when they deal him and I’m not getting the distaste for this deal on kcs end. Moore told everyone who he was targeting and it seems he found it. If the royals get 260/340/380 and 70 steals between escobar and Cain next year with plus defense at premium positions with room for growth plus the two pitchers, I think it’s a nice haul given the context and both organizations needs.

by thehitonecafe on Dec 20, 2025 12:10 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Agree

The Brewers are obviously helped, but this isn’t Halladay or Santana we are talking about. It’s Greinke, who has had one great year, and several good ones. He’s very good, but he’s no Halladay (or Santana when healthy). And when you compare this trade to the players given up for Halladay or Santana, or Cliff Lee last year, then this deal looks better and better.

by bardin on Dec 20, 2025 12:43 PM EST up reply actions  

My problem is the lack of an elite guy here

Really, the only time that you can land an elite player is when trading an elite player- particularly when he’s under control for two seasons.

But Kansas City totally failed to land that kind of player. Cain has some upside but there are serious questions about whether he’ll be more than a decent defense-first regular. Escobar reportedly has some attitude issues, which really doesn’t help when he’s got no power and doesn’t walk. And while Odorizzi and Jeffress have upside, Jeffress lost a lot of development time with the drug issues and his value is limited as a reliever, and Odorizzi has a ways to go before reaching his ceiling.

I just really don’t like the idea of trading an elite player without getting a clear potential star back in return. They didn’t need to get both Snider and Drabek from Toronto or Profar and Perez from Texas. But it just seems like they were going for needs here, taking a center fielder and a shortstop simply because those were their most obvious holes.

Absolutely love the deal for Milwaukee, but I thought the package going to Kansas City felt pretty underwhelming. You don’t land potential superstars unless you’re giving up a superstar, and it feels like the Royals just missed their chance to land another young player of that ilk.

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm an editor for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.

by Satchel Price on Dec 20, 2025 12:41 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

-1

So you’d rather lump all of your apples into one arm/bat rather than get four B/C prospects, three of which are already MLB ready at premium and needed positions? I understand the idea, but this trade was very unique for kc. They have holes that desperately need filling if they are going to compete and not be in perpetual rebuilding mode

by thehitonecafe on Dec 20, 2025 3:37 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

+1
So you’d rather lump all of your apples into one arm/bat rather than get four B/C prospects

speaking for myself, not him, Yes I would. B/C prospects come and go. Maybe the Royals see Orodizzi as actually better than B+. If that’s the case, that helps, but I’m still skeptical.

The whole problem with the world is that fools & fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts. ~ Bertrand Russell

by SagehenMacGyver47 on Dec 20, 2025 4:32 PM EST up reply actions  

not to totally disagree

because I tend to agree sort of with your premise but my point is- what about injury? You’re taking a huge risk (ie going all-in) on one prospect. We’ve all seen the prospect that couldn’t fail do just that. If you look back in 10 years and Kyle Drabek (let’s say) is the guy you traded Grienke for and Drabek blows out his elbow or loses control of his pitches, whatever- you’ve just traded a star for nothing. This way, Dayton Moore is operating with a net which, to me, is one of the biggest parts of this trade. The only guy not MLB ready could be a stud and the other guys are already there ready to contribute. It’s not like they got Cain, Escobar and a couple of Low A guys with limited upside. Jeffress and Orodizzi could be very special arms. They also could blow out their arms, in which case you have two useable parts still around.

by thehitonecafe on Dec 20, 2025 6:00 PM EST up reply actions  

I never said that they needed to settle for a one-to-one trade

If Toronto could get Lawrie for Marcum, then Kansas City probably could’ve gotten an elite guy and a few other spare parts that would be comparable to guys like Cain and Jeffress.

I certainly don’t suggest that the Royals simply trade their elite guy for a single, potentially elite guy. I’m simply saying that the package they landed is totally lacking that kind of player, and it’s hard to see where the huge upside is with anyone but Odorizzi.

In order to land an elite prospect, you generally need a top draft pick and/or a ton of money, and even then there’s a limited number of amateurs that can reach that level. There just aren’t that many chances to land a top-notch guy, and I’m worried that the Royals may have wasted one of those chances here.

Let’s say that Toronto is willing to give up Drabek, Hechavarria or Gose and another pitcher or two… don’t you prefer that package to what they got from Milwaukee? I know it’s all speculation, but it seems like one of two things is going on here: either Kansas City views Odorizzi more highly than the general consensus and regard him as that centerpiece, or the team falsely put too much of a focus on landing specific types of pieces and ended up filling holes without getting that elite guy.

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm an editor for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.

by Satchel Price on Dec 20, 2025 6:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Escobar is the centerpiece, unquestionably. I don’t see that Lawrie is a better prospect than him; Lawrie was never ranked as highly and doesn’t provide anything on the defense side of the value equation.

by BlueEyes_Austin on Dec 22, 2025 11:36 AM EST up reply actions  

+1

The lack of elite prospect makes me not like this deal from KC’s perspective, though maybe it’s because I’m concerned about Escobar’s OBP.

If you look at those UZR ratings or whatever

by dfa on Dec 20, 2025 5:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Quibble:
Really, the only time that you can land an elite player is when trading an elite player

You can also land an elite player by drafting him, which is precisely what the Royals have been trying to do. If you have a collection of prospects that you think include a number of potentially elite players, that reduces your need to acquire an elite prospect in return. Obviously you always want to trade for the best players possible but given the royals prospect picture it makes sense that they chose a lower risk package to supplement their current system.

by billexgordler on Dec 26, 2025 3:16 AM EST up reply actions  

Jeffress

I don’t know how future closer potential equals “huge upside”. What’s that - 60 IP per year???

If you’re upside is in the pen, you’re not a top prospect in my estimation. And let’s not project Mariano Rivera’s here.

by ayjackson on Dec 20, 2025 2:41 PM EST reply actions  

That's unsmart

Habitual cocaine and alcohol abuse is MUCH MUCH different than habitual marijuana use. I know you thought you were being funny but when you’re talking about things that can kill it is not.

by thehitonecafe on Dec 20, 2025 3:33 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

if he lived here in AZ

he could do it legally now!

by ScottAZ on Dec 20, 2025 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Correct me if I'm wrong

But since the brewers moved him to the 40 man he no longer gets tested for marijuana. If so, problem solved

by thehitonecafe on Dec 20, 2025 3:44 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

mj isn't on the banned list?

I would think it would be, although probably shouldn’t.

by ScottAZ on Dec 20, 2025 3:47 PM EST up reply actions  

How do you think Lincecum is still playing?
mj isn’t on the banned list?

Of course not. How else do you think Lincecum is still playing?

by Sweep_the_Leg on Dec 20, 2025 5:14 PM EST up reply actions  

problem solved

Sure, as long as you don’t think it’s a problem to take yourself to verge of being banned for life and losing out on potential millions in salary because you just have to smoke weed. Top-notch decision-maker our Mr. Jeffress. lol

by blackoutyears on Dec 20, 2025 3:47 PM EST up reply actions  

I wasn't trying to be funny

I was being funny. There is a difference.

Regardless, I am not against pot at all, although I do find pot heads annoying and the medicinal marijuana thing is especially frustrating for me. People think that it is this miracle drug that cures all symptoms, but it really isn’t all that effective.

by King Billy Royal on Dec 20, 2025 3:55 PM EST up reply actions  

And failed in an uneducated way

You might want to get facts before making broad sweeping generalizations about things.

by thehitonecafe on Dec 20, 2025 6:50 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Well thats no fun

"Some field has fences, and sometime, the field cant hold a player, but most of the time, a field cant hold Domingo"

www.domingobeisbol.com/Domingo/Home.html

by hero66 on Dec 20, 2025 8:18 PM EST up reply actions  

People think that it is this miracle drug that cures all symptoms

Unfortunately, there is only one miracle drug that cures all symptoms, and Keith Richards won’t share it with the rest of us.

sports.yahoo.com/mlb/blog/big_league_stew

by alexwithclass on Dec 20, 2025 8:20 PM EST up reply actions  

I am not uneducated on medicinal marijuana

I am probably one of the only people on this site that has actually been prescribed it in addition to many different substitutes.

by King Billy Royal on Dec 21, 2025 12:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Unsurprisingly,

you think your subjective experience is enough data to make a definitive judgment?

I’m seeing some glaring parallels here.

by PissedMick on Dec 21, 2025 2:21 AM EST up reply actions  

Definitive judgment?

I am not making a definitive judgment, I am simply stating my opinion. Pot head are annoying (see any annoying grade 10 in high school for evidence). In regards to medicinal marijuana, I have talked to numerous doctors about it and most agree that it is over hyped and definitely becoming over prescribed. There are numerous other pain killers that do less damage to your lungs that still increase your appetite.

by King Billy Royal on Dec 21, 2025 10:08 AM EST up reply actions  

People think that it is this miracle drug

I’m under the impression that many medical mj users are probably giving this idea lip service in the “wink, wink, nudge, nudge” manner. Per your pain killer remark, in terminal cases that’s not really an issue, and mm is probably much cheaper, eh?

by blackoutyears on Dec 21, 2025 2:25 PM EST up reply actions  

As for potheads being annoying,

I’ve never found that they’re more or less annoying than anyone else. People are annoying. lol

by blackoutyears on Dec 21, 2025 2:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Haha

True enough.

by King Billy Royal on Dec 21, 2025 3:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Pot may indeed be a cheaper pain killer

I am not really sure as I live in Canada and the government took care of the cost of all my different drugs.

by King Billy Royal on Dec 21, 2025 3:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Ah, I'm a big fan of Canada

I grew up in Detroit and spent a lot of time over there. Wonderful country full of wonderful people imo. I would happily move to Toronto or Vancouver tomorrow if I had a good enough reason.

And yeah, to expand the point, the problem with proposing potheads as annoying is that it’s hard to know if they’re just annoying people who happen to smoke pot, right? lol

by blackoutyears on Dec 21, 2025 4:56 PM EST up reply actions  

Steve Howe!!!!!

Steve Howe was a saint! lol

by blackoutyears on Dec 20, 2025 3:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Royals needed Lawrie

The Royals already have Christian Colon at SS and defensively, they’d be better off with Moutakas as DH than 3B. Would have been nice to potentially see an infield made up of Lawrie, Colon, Hosmer, Moutakas, Myers, and Giavotella a few years down the road. With Tim Melville and Aaron Crow having somewhat disappointing seasons, the Royals need Odorizzi to pan out.

by Big McLargeHuge on Dec 21, 2025 11:49 AM EST reply actions  

The Royals already have Christian Colon at SS

He’s a MUCH better fit at 2B.

http://bullpenbanter.com/

by Jeff Reese on Dec 21, 2025 1:41 PM EST up reply actions  

strictly defensively

they’re better off with Moose at 3B, Escobar at SS, and Colon at 2B than the above scenario. having two plus defenders up the middle is pretty damn important.

R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9
http://twitter.com/doublestix

by doublestix on Dec 21, 2025 7:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Moore did pretty well

Moving forward, how would you project a dissatisfied Grienke performing for the Royals over the next 2 years? Like a superhuman (2009) or an all-star (2008, 2010). If the former, then Moore didn’t get value. If the latter, he did pretty darn well. For a guy who had almost no leverage in trade discussions, this isn’t a bad group to get back. He’s betting on Escobar’s bat, which a lot of people would.

Hector Sanchez: Underrated. Fighting body bias since the 2009 off season. I still love you, son, even if you're fat.

by tedfordfan on Dec 22, 2025 9:31 AM EST reply actions  

When I’ve run surplus value calculations, I plug in 10 WAR over 2 years for Greinke.

by BlueEyes_Austin on Dec 22, 2025 11:38 AM EST up reply actions  

Not sure what happened to what I typed out....

You guys are forgetting. Zack blocked a trade to Washington. He blocked a trade to Toronto. And he allowed a trade to Milwaukee.

Dayton was limited in what could be done because ZG blocked things. Does it make sense? Not really, trade me. No I’m not going there. Trade me somewhere else… but zack is zack. And no one knows whats going on in his head.

I didn’t like the trade, but I also know the limitations that were involved. A lot of us play arm chair GM and don’t have a clue what’s going on behind the scenes. But I hope you appreciate it and learn from it. Remember you always would have done better than someone else. Just human nature to think that.

Scouting the Royals
Royals Prospects

by 306008 on Dec 23, 2025 1:05 AM EST reply actions  

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