Fantasy Baseball: Top Fantasy Second Base Prospects for 2011
IIn the third article in the series of top prospects by position, here is my early look at the Top Fantasy Second Base Prospects for 2011. I will give you the top second base prospects for 2011 for fantasy purposes, so this should be slightly different than what you would see form John and other prospect experts. In addition, I will post an aggregated list of top second base prospects that will combine the 2011 list along with the top second base prospects for keeper leagues.
Here is my look at the Top Second Base prospects for 2011:
1. Jason Kipnis, CLE-Kipnis performed well in his first full minor league season in 2010, hitting .307-.386-.492 with 16 HRs, 74 RBIs, 9 SBs and a 107-55 K/BB rate at two levels. He ended the season at AA Akron, where he hit .311-.385-.502 in 315 at bats. He is blocked by Luis Valbuena and Jason Donald at the big league level, but they will not hold him back once he is ready. He should start the season at AAA, and could see some time in the big leagues in 2011. Otherwise, he should be ready in 2012. He should be owned in all keeper leagues, and could be a late round pick in larger mixed leagues in 2011.
2. Brett Lawrie, TOR-Lawrie was recently traded to the Blue Jays for starting pitcher Shaun Marcum. Lawrie may have worn out his welcome with the Milwaukee front office after declining to play in the Arizona Fall League this fall. Nevertheless, Lawrie is still a very solid prospect with a good bat. He hit .285-.346-.451 with 8 HRs, 63 RBIs, 30 SBs, 36 2B, 16 3B and a 118-47 K/BB rate. Many have stated that he will probably move to the OF, but has yet to play in the OF yet. I wonder if he was asked to play the OF in the AFL, leading to him declining the request. He should be owned in all keeper leagues.
More after the jump:
3. Dustin Ackley, SEA-Ackley probably has the best chance to see time in the big leagues in 2011, but I am not sure if he will have the fantasy impact that Kipnis and Lawrie can have at the plate. Ackley, the 2010 AFL MVP, hit .267-.368-.407 with 7 HRs, 51 RBIs, 10 SBs and an excellent 79-75 K/BB rate at AA and AAA this year. He will more than likely start the season at AAA Tacoma, but could up get a call by June. He should be owned in all keeper leagues, and is a late round pick in larger mixed league drafts.
4. Daniel Descalso, STL-Descalso had a solid 2010 campaign, hitting .282-.350-.421 with 9 HRs, 71 RBIs, 9 SBs and an excellent 48-47 K/BB rate at AAA Memphis. Descalso may not be the prospects that Kipnis, Lawrie and Ackley are, but he is another who could see plenty of playing time in St. Louis in 2011. Skip Schumaker is currently blocking him at 2B, but that should be short-lived, as Schumaker is more of a utility guy in my opinion. Descalso is a late round pick in larger mixed league drafts.
5. Johnny Giavotella, KC-Giavotella had a breakout season in 2010 at AA Northwest Arkansas hitting .322-.395-.460 with 9 HRs, 65 RBIs, 13 SBs and an excellent 67-61 K/BB rate. One has to wonder if his breakout season is due to the excellent hitting environment in Northwest Arkansas, or if this is what we can expect from Giavotella going forward. Then again, Wilmington is far fro being friendly to hitters. Giavotella is probably in line for a promotion to AAA in 2011 and could get a call to Kansas City at some point in 2011.
6. Ivan DeJesus, LAD-DeJesus missed most of the 2009 season due to a broken leg suffered in spring training. He has since moved from SS to 2B on a full time basis. He hit .296-.335-.405 with 7 HRs, 70 RBIs and 6 SBs in 2010 at AAA Albuquerque. His once solid plate discipline slipped in 2010 to a 81-32 K/BB rate, after his solid K/BB rate of 81-76 in 2008. DeJesus is probably nothing more than a backup at the big league level, but injuries could change things in LA in 2011.
7. Chris Nelson, COL-Nelson hasn't done much since his 2007 breakout season which saw him hit .289-.358-.503 with 19 HRs, 99 RBIs and 27 SBs at A+, as he has been slowed by injuries. Nelson hit .313-.376-.492 with 12 HRs and 55 RBIs at AAA Colorado Springs in 2010, offering another glimpse at what he can do at the plate. Many, including the folks at Purple Row-SB Nations' Rockies site, feel that Nelson should be given an opportunity to win the 2B job in spring training, but with the moves GM Dan O'Dowd has made this offseason, one has to wonder if the Rockies front office feel he is more of a AAAA guy or bench guy.
8. Jemile Weeks, OAK-Weeks has been injury prone in his 2 minor league seasons, but still has an opportunity to see the majors in 2011. He hit .272-.347-.405 with 3 HRs, 34 RBIs, 16 SBs, and an excellent 41-35 K/BB rate. In his minor league career, he has a 109-84 K/BB rate which makes him a solid choice to leadoff at the major league level.
Keeper League Rankings:
1. Brett Lawrie, TOR
2. Jason Kipnis, CLE
3. Jean Segura, LAA
4. Dustin Ackley, SEA
5. Charlie Culberson, SFG
6. Johnny Giavotella, KC
7. Jemile Weeks, OAK
8. Reese Havens, NYM
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i dont get it
how can Ackley not be #1 on your keeper league list?
by another know it all on Dec 14, 2025 8:28 AM EST reply actions
Because...
its fantasy. A world where defense and arm mean little and where Dan Uggla is more valuable than Franklin Guttierez. Ackley profiles to be better in reality than fantasy where more-bat/less-glove players like Lawrie and Kipnis will thrive. I think it is fine to rank both over Ackley in a fantasy format.
by Havok1517 on Dec 14, 2025 10:05 AM EST up reply actions
well stated
Ackley doesn’t profile as a top 2B prospy in terms of fantasy. Although able to hit for a high average, his other stats won’t contribute as much to a fantasy squad as Lawrie, Kipnis, or possibly even Segura might.
by oriolenation on Dec 14, 2025 11:17 AM EST up reply actions
sure
but that is one category. If the league had OBP, definitely would improve his value, but not enough to warrant an elite 2B fantasy player.
by oriolenation on Dec 14, 2025 1:06 PM EST up reply actions
good point on OBP
which I don’t consider as it is not a traditional fantasy stat….at least not in the leagues I participate in
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 14, 2025 4:07 PM EST up reply actions
+1 to oriolenation
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 14, 2025 4:06 PM EST up reply actions
I don't see that. Ackley, with his questionable glove at 2B, might actually profile as a better fantasy 2B than real life IMO
He will perennially hit .300+ with lots of SBs and hit at the top or middle of the lineup (meaning lots of Rs and/or RBIs). He’s not a HR threat - but he’s a decent HR threat for a 2B (Not Pedroia/Cano/Utley/Kinsler category). Was 2009 Chone Figgins not really valuable? That’s a plus fantasy 2B.
Kipnis, OTOH, I don’t see as some kind of fantasy monster. More valuable IRL, I think. Solid all around but not all that much is coming in the HR or SB categories. Lawrie… don’t get that placement in either list at all. Not a 2B and blocked like hell at 2B for the foreseeable future. Unlikely to do anything in 2011, I would think, barring catastrophic injury to Aaron Hill.
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by alskor on Dec 14, 2025 1:32 PM EST up reply actions
All the same, doubtful he'll ever be an elite fantasy option at 2B with his limits, mind you
but moreso than Kipnis or Lawrie, IMO.
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by alskor on Dec 14, 2025 1:37 PM EST up reply actions
Maybe Lawrie is not so blocked
I think Hill has said he would slide over to 3B to leave Bautista in the outfield. If true then It’s not much of a stretch to see Lawrie given a shot even if he doesn’t turn 21 till next month.
Having these three top kids at 2B reminds me of the debate between Posey, Montero and Santana a year ago so it will be interesting to see if they all maintain as much relative value as the catchers have, in fantasy or real life.
"I didn't really say everything I said."-Yogi ism
by chewbalka on Dec 14, 2025 1:59 PM EST up reply actions
Except for the fact Lawrie is a terrible second baseman.
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by alskor on Dec 14, 2025 4:50 PM EST up reply actions
Ackley can get better.
He has all the tools to be a good 2B but has only played there for a few months. Lawrie… he’s not playing 2B.
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by alskor on Dec 14, 2025 4:55 PM EST up reply actions
I have heard numerous scouts disagree
Jim Callis recently said that they should move him to the OF and get it over with. That doesn’t sound like he believes he can handle 2B to me.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 14, 2025 5:05 PM EST up reply actions
I didn't say he necessarily WILL become better.
I said the difference is Ackley has all the tools to be a decent 2B why Lawrie clearly does not. Line them up side by side and work them out and you would have an easy time picking Ackley as the guy by far more likely to play 2B.
I can certainly understand the sentiment for moving him to CF and have expressed it myself on this numerous times. I never really understood why they would screw around with him at 2B when he had a very advanced bat. The hitting (and SB numbers for that matter) have all been less than anticipated b/c the kid is wasting time trying to learn a new position.
All the same, I don’t get the list for 2011. Out of the players above, Ackley is the only one with both a clear path to the MLB job & comments by his GM that he will have a chance to win the job in spring. That alone would put him at the top of my 2011 list. Its not like he’s a fringy talent being handed a MLB job either. #1 pick overall who is the favorite for opening day job on his team? Gotta be #1.
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by alskor on Dec 14, 2025 5:18 PM EST up reply actions
Callis does not think he has the tools
If he did, why would he say “move him to the OF and get it over with”? Lawrie has just as good a chance as Ackley to stick at 2B based on abilities.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 14, 2025 5:23 PM EST up reply actions
Jim Callis
Is not an infallible authority on prospects. Plenty of analysts and scouts think Ackley can stay at second
by MatthewD on Dec 14, 2025 9:31 PM EST up reply actions
Who are these scouts, analysts?
The majority say that he has not shown the ability to be decent at the position.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 14, 2025 11:02 PM EST up reply actions
Majority is hyperbole
Sure, there’s a fair share of those that don’t think he can do it but I don’t you can accurately say it’s a majority. But to answer your question, Churchill, Crawford, and Yenich off the top of my head (and Churchill and Crawford I know talk to plenty of scouts)
by MatthewD on Dec 15, 2025 2:25 AM EST up reply actions
Ackley to OF
seems more about expediting the addition of his bat to the line-up than anything. I don’t think Callis claiming that he can’t play 2B…some day…just that it might waste time that he could be helping the team at the plate. See also Myers, Wil and Montero, Jesus.
by blackoutyears on Dec 16, 2025 5:57 PM EST up reply actions
Disagree on Ackley
He COULD hit .300 but his performance this season didn’t scream perennial .300 hitter. Also, why exactly is he going to steal a lot of bases? The guy may have plus speed but it hasn’t translated to steals so far, with only 10 steals on the season.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 14, 2025 3:38 PM EST up reply actions
No, his performance this season didn't scream that, especially in the 1st half.
Nonetheless I maintain that’s what he is. I also think the steals will come.
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by alskor on Dec 14, 2025 4:51 PM EST up reply actions
I've heard it's not really "plus speed"
More of a 50 tool rather than a 60 or 65. And that would really explain the lack of running on his part in 2010.
by guru4u on Dec 14, 2025 7:00 PM EST up reply actions
ackley
graded out at as a 60 runner that flashes 70 speed. 50 is selling him well short. I still don’t see how kipnis and/or lawrie will have better offensive numbers over the course of their career.Lawrie and Kipnis have average power and are average baserunners, and aren’t close to the pure hitter than ackley is. I’ll take .300/15/20 vs. .280/20/10 out of my 2B every day of the week and twice on sundays.
by another know it all on Dec 14, 2025 10:35 PM EST up reply actions
I would take .300/15/20 as well
Unfortunately Ackley has not shown that he can do that.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 14, 2025 11:03 PM EST up reply actions
really?
because I’ve seen little that would show me Lawrie can do much better…. and I think Kipnis, while a good hitter, is overrated and won’t hit for much power in the bigs. If you ask me, Kipnis will be a poor man’s Ackley, and Lawrie’s plate discipline needs to take a step forward before he can be considered an above-average, offensive 2B.
by another know it all on Dec 14, 2025 11:23 PM EST up reply actions
Did I say that Lawrie or Kipnis is better?
I don’t remember making those claims. You really are ‘another know it all’.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 14, 2025 11:29 PM EST up reply actions
didn't say you did
just stating my opinion on the three hitters.
by another know it all on Dec 14, 2025 11:36 PM EST up reply actions
you
remind me of that deush with the ponytail from ‘Good Will Hunting’
How do you like them apples?
by another know it all on Dec 14, 2025 11:39 PM EST up reply actions
Wow
That is really out of line. No need to take things to a personal level. Stay classy.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 15, 2025 12:01 AM EST up reply actions
im just
tired of everyone regurgitating these tired-ass comments over and over and over. These forums seriously lack some originality… hopefully these new writers can introduce some interesting banter so you old farts can come up with a thought of your own… something that’s not a rehash of a BA article.
by another know it all on Dec 15, 2025 12:17 AM EST up reply actions
So you are tired of legit sources?
I would really recommend knocking off the insults as I am a pretty big deal in these parts. What ‘tired ass comments’ are you tired of exactly?
by King Billy Royal on Dec 15, 2025 12:43 AM EST up reply actions
are you gonna ban me?
go right ahead
by another know it all on Dec 15, 2025 8:46 AM EST up reply actions
You are so edgy
You remind me of one of those ‘indy rock’ emo kids who think they are so deep and hate everything that the majority like.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 15, 2025 10:25 AM EST up reply actions
I am a pretty big deal in these parts.
I love it when you play the " I’m a pretty big deal" card, KBR. Eternally awesome. lol
by blackoutyears on Dec 16, 2025 6:00 PM EST up reply actions
Haha
Thanks buddy. I have to keep my pimp hand strong blackoutyears!!!
by King Billy Royal on Dec 16, 2025 11:27 PM EST up reply actions
Where's my MONEY, another know it all?!?
by blackoutyears on Dec 17, 2025 6:19 PM EST up reply actions
Hahaha
Don’t make me go Old Dirty Bastard on you!!!!
by King Billy Royal on Dec 17, 2025 11:02 PM EST up reply actions
Is this JUST for 2011?
Because that’s implied by the title.
Ackley strikes me as far more likely to spend time in the majors in 2011 than Kipnis or Lawrie - whatever you think about the long term fantasy merits of any of the three.
by FI2 on Dec 14, 2025 3:54 PM EST up reply actions
yes
but I don’t know that his fantasy impact will be all that much, and Kipnis and Lawrie have a shot to play in the bigs this season as well.
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 14, 2025 4:13 PM EST up reply actions
Hmmm...
If this is all about 2011 then it should be almost entirely an exercise in forecasting playing time and opportunity, because that’s going to dictate value for the most part.
Given that Ackley played at AAA part of last year, while Lawrie and Kipnis have yet to play a AAA game, I find little to debate. Ackley is likely to have the most MLB at bats and I think by a pretty good margin.
by FI2 on Dec 15, 2025 2:12 PM EST up reply actions
Ackley
will have a nice BA and decent SB total, but he doesn’t have the power that Lawrie and Kipnis have.
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 14, 2025 4:06 PM EST up reply actions
It's not all about HR.
I’m still shocked that people are overreacting to Ackley’s first month of baseball.
Ackley will get between 180 and 200 hits a year, with 15-20 stolen bases, 10-15 HR, hit .290-.320, an OBP near .400, and if he’s getting on base that much, and moving around the bases well and we count about 30 doubles, he’s going to score between 90 and 100 runs.
Yes, this is peak Ackley stats, and peak best case scenario. But when you take those numbers and compare them to the overall numbers that a Lawrie or a Kipnis will produce, with a lower batting average, potentially less runs and less stolen bases, I would rather have Ackley. The additional 10 HR per year won’t make up for what Ackley can do in other areas.
I’d venture a guess of 400 PA’s, .270/.350/.390, 5 HR, 15 SB. Runs and RBI’s are too hard to predict.
And in 2011, with Ackley getting called up right after Super two status is done with, he will most likely produce more this season that the other two.
by Kenneth Arthur on Dec 15, 2025 2:31 PM EST up reply actions
but
there aren’t many 2bman with power profiles that Kipnis and Lawrie have. LAwrie led the Southern League is hits and total bases as a 20 year old…..not bad. I see him in AAA to start the season, and if Toronto is out of it come July, they deal Hill and bring him up. Same with Kipnis….Donald and Valbeuna won’t be blocking him for long.
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 15, 2025 2:46 PM EST up reply actions
Ackley
still needs work at 2b, so he could be called up later than you think…..its possible. To me, he is good BA….decent SBs….runs….the other two will have BA, HR, RBI, runs, and with Lawrie…SBs…..
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 15, 2025 2:47 PM EST up reply actions
To me, its still a lot of overreaction to a small bad sample size from Ackley and he's not different than the guy who was drafted 2nd overall (And by a longshot) less than two years ago.
The tools that Ackley had when he was drafted are all still there and when he was drafted, he was immediately one of the top prospects in baseball, and not for defense.
His numbers won’t jump out at you the way that a Chase Utley’s do, but they could be comparable to Pedroia when Ackley peaks.
During the first month he hit .147/.289/.227
May: .303/.475/.447
June: .295/.387/.451
July in AA: 40 PAs - .333/.400/.389
July in AAA: 60 PAs - .281/.377/.421
August: .271/.312/.450
I mean seriously, a .475 OBP? As a person who checked Ackley’s box score every day I can tell you that after April, it was anomaly when Ackley didn’t do something in a game. Draw a walk, draw 3 walks, get 2 hits, double.. and by the end of the season and during AFL a lot of those hits were turning into doubles and home runs.
Ackley is a small, small fellow. But he’s left-handed and Safeco is death to righty’s, not lefties. Ackley has a realistic shot to be a 15 HR player with potential for more… let’s call it Tony Gwynn or Craig Biggio type hitting where every few seasons they pop off for more HR than you expect because they are great hitters who go on good runs sometimes.
And I don’t want to put too much emphasis on “intangibles” but honestly, how valuable is it for a 23-year-old Dustin Ackley to spend the first 2-3 years of his career hitting behind the greatest singles history in the history of the game? One of the greatest base runners of all-time? One of the greatest defensive players of the last decade? I don’t think that Ichiro will rub off on most players, but I do think that when you have a player as talented as Ackley (the most talented young hitter we’ve brought up in the organization in 15 years) there is a chance that him learning from the best will do wonders for his career. Preparation and technique are going to be big keys for Ackley over the next year as he continues to adjust to 2nd base and being a table-setter for years to come.
Now, this is all about Dustin Ackley in my comment obviously and I failed to mention anything about Lawrie and Kipnis - I understand that. I obviously can’t say I know as much about them as I know about M’s prospects. But I do believe that Lawrie has already set himself back by rubbing one organization the wrong way and additionally the fact that few people believe he will play 2B for long. I will however say that there’s something in the water in Toronto for hitters and no matter where he plays, he’s going to hit.
I might have Kipnis as 1a, Ackley as 1b and Lawrie as 3. Just based off the fact that its a 2B fantasy rankings and Lawrie is the longest shot to stick at 2B.
by Kenneth Arthur on Dec 15, 2025 3:16 PM EST up reply actions
i would enjoy seeing an Ichiro & Ackley double steal
To Infinity. And BEYOND!!!
by YunelTheLazyLatino on Dec 15, 2025 4:23 PM EST up reply actions
Except
-Kipnis doesn’t really have any kind of special power profile, IMO; and
-Lawrie is a 2B in name only.
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by alskor on Dec 15, 2025 11:01 PM EST up reply actions
Wow
Ackley is polarizing. I see him anywhere from #5 prospect in all of baseball to the #3 or 4 ranked 2B prospect. Crazy.
Personally, I lean more on the side of one of the top prospects in baseball as long as he stays at 2B. If he moves to the OF, he can still have significant impact—probably a top 25 outfielder in MLB in a few years.
The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. It reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.
by Savoy on Dec 14, 2025 8:42 AM EST reply actions
Really?!?!?
a top 25 hitter in the majors? Wow. You must like him a HELL of a lot. I doubt he ever cracks the top 25 hitters in baseball in his career let alone in a couple of years. If you would have said a top 25 2B in the next couple of years I would have agreed, but I could name at least 30 guys who should easily be a better hitter than Ackley in the next few years barring injury.
ETHAN MARTIN!!!!
by joegonzo on Dec 14, 2025 3:18 PM EST up reply actions
reading is good
“probably a top 25 outfielder in MLB in a few years.”
The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. It reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.
by Savoy on Dec 14, 2025 4:29 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
-1
I’m shocked by all these Ackley doubters. I think there is a good chance he is a top 25 hitter (much less outfielder) - in my opinion there is a better chance he is a top 25 hitter than either Kipnis or Lawrie. He may not have the power at this point, but I think his natural swing and good eye will eventually produce a respectable number of homers, and I fully expect him to be a .300 machine.
The wind is in the buffalo.
by journeymen on Dec 15, 2025 5:33 PM EST up reply actions
Ackley
I will throw out a hitter who I think Ackley could be comparable to based on projections from the readers here….does Martin Prado make sense? Here is what Prado did last year:
.307-.359-.459, 15 HRs, 100 runs, 66 RBIs, 184 hits in 651 PA
I think Kipnis’ and Lawrie’s power, and speed combo for Lawrie, would rank them higher than a Prado-type hitter….for me….
Prado doesn’t steal bases, so throw in 15 SBs for Ackley…for now….15-100-66-15-.300…..I still think Kipnis and Lawrie can do better.
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 15, 2025 6:01 PM EST up reply actions
I see more OBP potential in Ackley than Prado
Not sure if he quite gets to 15 HRs though (at least not in the first few seasons).
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by Jeff Reese on Dec 15, 2025 8:04 PM EST up reply actions
2007 version of Todd Helton is what I would give Ackley as an offensive ceiling
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by Jeff Reese on Dec 15, 2025 8:08 PM EST up reply actions
90+ RBIs?
not sure he gets there….but he could depending on where he hits in the lineup….could see the high .300 BA…and a few years around mid-teen HRs.
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 15, 2025 11:31 PM EST up reply actions
RBIs are more of a product of the team than player
I meant the batting line more than anything (park adjusted down from Coors to Safeco of course)
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by Jeff Reese on Dec 16, 2025 9:25 AM EST up reply actions
I would say about .40 points of OBP more.
and I’ll take the over on Ackley at 15 SBs
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by alskor on Dec 15, 2025 11:02 PM EST up reply actions
Ackley
I don’t see how he would be a very valuable fantasy player without steals or HR. Unless you are in a OBP league or something, he shouldn’t be one.
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by JD Sussman on Dec 14, 2025 8:59 AM EST reply actions
disagree
Would you say 330 BA with 10 steals & 10 HR from the 2B position is not valuable?
The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. It reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.
by Savoy on Dec 14, 2025 9:20 AM EST up reply actions
Sounds like Howie Kendrick to me...
Well, if he could ever hit .330…which is what many predicted of him when he was a minor leaguer. Ackley has much better plate discipline, though.
by dbreer23 on Dec 14, 2025 9:42 AM EST up reply actions
330 is quite high
He would be valuable (I rate him higher than most), but I don’t think he would be as valuable as the other two, no.
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by JD Sussman on Dec 14, 2025 10:33 AM EST up reply actions
+1 to JD
.330 is VERY high imo…..not many .330 hitters
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 14, 2025 4:14 PM EST up reply actions
If I had to predict a batting title for a current top prospect
Ackley’s as good a name as any. He’s a much better contact hitter than his minor league avg shows, has advanced pitch recognition and shouldn’t be selling out for power. Anyone who watched Ackley at UNC will tell you that his feel for hitting is tremendous. He’s got fewer than 600 minor league PAs, all of them accrued in Double- and Triple-A. I’d be extremely wary of taking his accumulated stats at face value or attempting some linear projection from them.
by blackoutyears on Dec 16, 2025 6:19 PM EST up reply actions
When it comes from the OF it's not really all that valuable
And I just don’t see him sticking at 2B after his performance there in 2010.
by guru4u on Dec 14, 2025 7:03 PM EST up reply actions
I love Ackley as a 2B prospect, but this is fantasy.
The things Ackley excels at are not things that rack up fantasy numbers. A reasonable expectation of the next couple of years for Ackley would be Placido Polanco (in his prime) fantasy numbers. That won’t kill your team, but it’s not going to win your league for you either.
by PissedMick on Dec 14, 2025 10:44 AM EST up reply actions
I think high average and the steals will come up.
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by alskor on Dec 14, 2025 1:34 PM EST up reply actions
If only Havens could stay healthy
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by Jeff Reese on Dec 14, 2025 9:27 AM EST reply actions
+1
would like to see waht he can do in a full season
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 14, 2025 4:25 PM EST up reply actions
Espinosa
No mention of Espy? He may be considered a SS, but it is pretty common knowledge that the Nats intend on playing him at 2B, while Desmond plays SS.
It sounds as if Espinosa has the arm and range to hang at SS, but his K’s & hamate surgery could hurt him quite a bit this year. Fantasy Phenoms ranked him #32 in MLB this year with this comment: Stay Away!
Thoughts?
The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. It reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.
by Savoy on Dec 14, 2025 9:45 AM EST reply actions
#32 ranked for 2B that is
.
The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. It reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.
by Savoy on Dec 14, 2025 9:45 AM EST up reply actions
…Nelson is egregiously underrated on this list. I’d have him above Lawrie, Descalso, Giavotella and DeJesus without doubt this season.
by WrenFGun on Dec 14, 2025 9:54 AM EST reply actions
Hamilton
Wonder where he would’ve placed on this list
by dbreer23 on Dec 14, 2025 9:56 AM EST reply actions
nevermind
I forgot to read the part about impact on the 2011 season in the bigs…Hamilton is looking at 2013 at the earliest.
by dbreer23 on Dec 14, 2025 11:37 AM EST up reply actions
HAmilton
has he played 2b in the minors yet? I know many project him to move to 2b…..need to check that, but yeah, this is for 2011,. He would have made my keeper list if he played 2b last year.
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 14, 2025 4:16 PM EST up reply actions
Played 55 games at 2B in 2010
I don’t know that his future position is set yet, but he has played as much 2B as SS in the minors. 54 games at SS over 2 seasons; 55 at 2B in one season.
Though I agree he is too far away to be a factor in 2011.
by FI2 on Dec 14, 2025 6:29 PM EST up reply actions
Nelson
if Colorado has no use for him then they really need to ship him out while his stock is high. I can think of 4-5 teams that would give him a look at SS/2B right now.
by ScottAZ on Dec 14, 2025 11:52 AM EST reply actions
+1
I’m really surprised someone hasn’t tried to steal him away. I’d think it might be closer to 10 teams who could use him right now actually.
http://bullpenbanter.com
by gatling on Dec 14, 2025 1:24 PM EST up reply actions
+1
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 14, 2025 4:26 PM EST up reply actions
I know the Cardinals could sure use him
And teams like Baltimore and San Diego should be offering up packages as well. Nelson is a lot more valuable than most give him credit for.
by guru4u on Dec 14, 2025 7:05 PM EST up reply actions
I think Colorado just doesn't think he's ready yet
His development had taken a hit because of the injuries and until 2010, hadn’t played in a full season since 2007. Besides, while Lopez is the favorite for the 2nd base job, nobody’s proclaimed the victor of it yet, and because of last year’s injuries, the Rockies are stockpiling as much talent as possible.
The 2010 Colorado Rockies: We may have lost the battle, but not the war. It ain't over till it's over.
by MattBerger on Dec 14, 2025 9:03 PM EST up reply actions
Emaus
How about Brad Emaus? He might get a shot at second for the Mets who recently selected him in the Rule V draft.
by mentalpowers on Dec 14, 2025 12:44 PM EST reply actions
If you're in an OBP league
Sure
To Infinity. And BEYOND!!!
by YunelTheLazyLatino on Dec 14, 2025 1:25 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Nishioka
Where does Tsuyoshi Nishioka fit on both lists? He’s only 26 and is available in my dynasty league for the 2011 draft. What is his projected slash line? .290/.345/.390? In leagues that play with SB (I’m in a points league) he would even have more value if he steals 20-25.
by two fishsticks on Dec 14, 2025 1:28 PM EST reply actions
I'm Shocked, Shocked I Say
Ackley will be worth more next year, the year after that and the next decade. He was the #2 pick in the draft for a reason. He is an on-base machine, a high average and 15-15 guy at a minimum. He found himself in the AFL - - was hitting off his front foot too much and made great strides toward correcting this flaw.
by HeavyHitter on Dec 14, 2025 4:52 PM EST reply actions
yes
Ackely was teh MVP of the AFL, but remember the pitching there is not that great…..its a hitters league for sure.
For fantasy purposes, he is nothing more than BA and mid-teens SBs in my eyes. Lawrie and Kipnis have more fantasy potential, than Ackley….and both could help in 2011.
Ray Guilfoyle
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 14, 2025 5:15 PM EST up reply actions
Also, don't forget the AFL is a VERY small sample size
by King Billy Royal on Dec 14, 2025 5:24 PM EST up reply actions
And don't forget the Ackley was a beast for long, long stretches during the 2010 minor league season.
by Kenneth Arthur on Dec 15, 2025 2:35 PM EST up reply actions
I wouldn't say a 'beast'
Also, he was also pathetic for long stretches during the season. At the end of the year, when you combine both good and bad stretches, his .267/.367/.408 line was very disappointing. It doesn’t really make sense to just cherry pick the good months, while ignoring the bad months when a full season of data is available.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 15, 2025 5:15 PM EST up reply actions
That being said I still have Ackley as the #1 2B prospect
by King Billy Royal on Dec 15, 2025 6:38 PM EST up reply actions
for fantasy as well?
Ray Guilfoyle
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 15, 2025 11:32 PM EST up reply actions
Not for fantasy
I would go Lawrie, Ackley, Kipnis. Thanks for these posts as I am an avid fantasy player and have enjoyed your unique perspective.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 15, 2025 11:46 PM EST up reply actions
thank you
for the kind words. I enjoy readers perspectives as well. I learn alot from all of you.
Ray Guilfoyle
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 15, 2025 11:52 PM EST up reply actions
I don't put as much weight on April as I do on the rest of the months because it was his first real baseball in a year.
Once he adjusted, he was on base almost twice a game.
Then he struggled to get on base as much when he was promoted to AAA, but he hit for more power.
Then he dominated the AFL, and though you don’t take actual stats into account, he was on the same level playing field as the rest of the players, some of the top prospects in the game, and he was the best out of all of them.
Yes, at times, he was a beast.
I don’t think he’s the perfect player, and I wouldn’t put him in the top 5 prospects in the game, but he’s one of the better all-around 2B prospects we’ve had in awhile.
by Kenneth Arthur on Dec 16, 2025 3:04 PM EST up reply actions
He's already got one of the best eyes in the game, on any level.
by Kenneth Arthur on Dec 16, 2025 3:05 PM EST up reply actions
He does have a great batting eye
I do think he is the best 2B prospect in the minors but I could see his MLB performance ranging from Sean Burroughs to Placido Polanco with more speed. If he doesn’t show more power or ability to hit for average this year, I will be very worried about his long term future.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 16, 2025 3:14 PM EST up reply actions
I'm not worried about power. 10-15 Hr is what I expect now and what I expected when he was drafted and still believe him to be an elite prospect.
I admit that his numbers outside of walks don’t pop out, but getting on base is at least an intergral part of being an excellent hitter. His K/BB ratio in the minors this year was better than almost every player in the major league (save maybe one or two) and though minor league stats and major league stats can’t be compared, k/bb ratio is somewhat comparable.
by Kenneth Arthur on Dec 16, 2025 7:58 PM EST up reply actions
Thoughts
Calling somebody one of the better all-around 2B prospects we’ve had in awhile is like saying she is one of the hottest fat chicks we have seen in awhile.
by King Billy Royal on Dec 16, 2025 3:12 PM EST up reply actions
LOL
Why would I knock them? They know how to appreciate a fellow. ;)
by King Billy Royal on Dec 16, 2025 11:28 PM EST up reply actions
DeShields
just read this from Goldstein over at BP-is this true?? If so, I would slot him above Havens in my keeper league rankings.
DeShields grew up as an outfielder and is projected as a good center fielder, but the Astros are going to try him out at second base in 2011, which will likely come with some growing pains.
Ray Guilfoyle
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 14, 2025 5:28 PM EST reply actions
actually
as someone who follows the showcase circuit, Deshields was a SS for most of his youth. He was switched to CF around his soph/junior year to showcase his blazing speed in hopes it would help his draft stock.
I don’t see any reason to think he couldn’t be a solid middle infielder. He has great speed, and more importantly for the INF, quickness. His arm is solid and he has pedigree and baseball know-how.
What I would question with him is how far will the bat go. He has the ability to put the bat on the ball and won’t be overmtached or overpowered by quality stuff, but he is a little guy and I question what type of ceiling he has. IMO, he profiles as a 2b version of Ben Revere (not like that is a bad thing)
by ScottAZ on Dec 15, 2025 10:57 AM EST up reply actions
Ages
I’d like to see dates of birth on any review of prospects. Level and performance are kind of useless without them.
by ayjackson on Dec 15, 2025 12:53 PM EST reply actions

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