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Hit and Run, July 28, 2009

Bumbry_medium
I always liked watching Al Bumbry play.

Hit and Run, July 28, 2025

**We are now selling .pdf versions (delivered via email) of the Baseball Prospect Book, going all the way back to 2003 but including the 2009 version. Order at Johnsickels.net!

**Tomorrow I'll do a piece on Randy Wells of the Cubs. Then we'll do a Hit-and-Run on Thursday. Friday I will be part of a panelist discussion at Baseball Think Factory for the trade deadline.

Keep reading for some player updates  

Star-divide

**Bud Norris posted a 4.05 ERA with an 84/31 K/BB in 80 innings for Double-A Corpus Christi last year, with 89 hits allowed, his innings limited by a sore elbow. He converted to relief in the Arizona Fall League and was terrific, giving rise to the thought that he would be a full-time reliever. He's always had two good pitches (90-95 MPH fastball, good hard breaking ball), but his command was sometimes wobbly and his changeup was below average. The Astros went against winter rumors, however, leaving Norris in the starting rotation for Triple-A Round Rock this year, with excellent results: 2.63 ERA, 112/53 K/BB in 120 innings over 19 starts, 104 hits allowed. The walk rate is still higher than ideal, but his K/IP and H/IP are strong for context, and keeping your ERA below 4.00 in the PCL ain't easy. Scouting reports indicate he's made some progress with the changeup, while continuing to impress with the fastball and breaking ball. He deserves a lot more attention than he's received thus far.

**Ike Davis has had no problems adjusting to Double-A pitching, hitting .309/.397/.545 so far for Binghamton in 32 games. His strikeout rate has crept past one per game (35 in 123 at-bats), but he's maintained a good walk rate and continues to slam the ball for power, obviously good news considering the worries about his power pre-season. Caution note: he's got a VERY sharp platoon split, .345/.430/.655 against right-handers, but just .222/.317/.278 against lefties. Still, it is great to see him adapting and adjusting to higher levels, and Mets fans should be a lot more confident in him now. He's exceeded the expectations I had in the book certainly, as I thought he could struggle in the Florida State League.

**White Sox pitching prospect Dan Hudson is suffering from Broken Stat Line Syndrome: he's having a terrific year, but no one seems to be noticing because he's split it between three different levels. He began with a 1.23 ERA with a 30/2 K/BB in 22 innings in the Sally League, then posted a 3.40 ERA with a 49/13 K/BB in 45 innings in the Carolina League, and is now 2.03 ERA with a 46/7 K/BB in 44 innings in the Double-A Southern League. His composite line: 10-5, 2.43, 125/22 K/BB in 111 innings, just 78 hits allowed, with no deterioration in his ratios in Double-A. Hudson was a fifth round pick out of Old Dominion in 2008. He hits 90 with his fastball, has a plus slider, and has improved his changeup this year. He obviously throws strikes and has good command, and he definitely belongs on your prospect lists.

**Rangers lefty Martin Perez is just 18 years old, but is doing well in his full-season debut for Hickory in the Sally League, with a 2.36 ERA and a 96/31 K/BB in 88 innings, 76 hits allowed. His walk rate is a bit higher than ideal, but his K/IP and H/IP marks are strong, and he's living up to pre-season expectations. He's not a big guy at 6-0, 178, but he gets his fastball past 90 MPH with movement, and has a plus curveball. He's also got a fairly strong ground ball tendency, and I love the strikeout/ground ball combination. Given his age and slight frame, we need to see how durable he is, etc., but so far things are going well for him and Rangers fans should be pleased with his development.

0 recs  |  Comment 12 comments |

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Comments

Display:

Site design

No disrespect intended … but have you ever considered a redesign of your site (your book site, not this blog)? The design is um, shall we say “less than optimal”? Functional, yes, but you might boost your sales conversion rate with a different design.

Anyway, not trying to be critical …

Reviews of some great baseball sites and other cool stuff on my web magazine @ The Casual Observer

by kosmo on Jul 28, 2025 1:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

it works

It works. The book operation is very mom-and-pop, literally, just me and Jeri. At some point we will upgrade the look of the site, but right now we have a lot of other things on the plate.

by John Sickels on Jul 28, 2025 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My only concern ...

… is that you might be costing yourself money. I sent the link for a friend of mine. He couldn’t figure out the prices, because of the gray lettering. You might be surprised at what you could get for a few hours of someone’s time - it’s not a hugely complex site. Maybe it costs a couple hundred bucks up front (or less, if you work out some sort of arrangement where you give the person some publicity/advertising in exchange for the work), but if you sell a couple dozen more books because of an improved design, you’re at break-even.

I’ll shut up now. It’s your business to run :)

Reviews of some great baseball sites and other cool stuff on my web magazine @ The Casual Observer

by kosmo on Jul 28, 2025 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

On Perz

There have been rumblings that he’s actually the most untouchable player in the Rangers’ stacked system. The dude’s not turning nineteen until April 4th of next year (at which point he will likely be in AA). His fastball sits at 92-94 and touches 96, the curve and change are both plus pitches. He’s also touted for his intangibles.

Kanye, you want to be the voice of this generation? Get in line! It goes me, Obamagirl, the Freecreditreport.com guys, then It's a tie between you-and Crocs.
-Stephen Colbert

by Conjunction on Jul 28, 2025 2:42 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Perez

Unless the A+ affiliate stays in Bakersfield, I’d be shocked if he started at AA next year.

by LiamP on Jul 28, 2025 3:59 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

I think the most likely route

Is a month or so in High A to close this year out, just because he’s been so dominant in Low A that It’d be nice to give him a carrot. If he impresses in ‘10 ST, It’s very plausible they take the Feliz route with him and bump him straight up to AA. Texas is very aggressive about promoting prospects.

Kanye, you want to be the voice of this generation? Get in line! It goes me, Obamagirl, the Freecreditreport.com guys, then It's a tie between you-and Crocs.
-Stephen Colbert

by Conjunction on Jul 28, 2025 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

As a Mets fan

I’m not too worried about Davis’ platoon splits. I’d be very happy if he and Nick Evans could platoon at 1B. They both are pretty strong defenders and mash the pitchers they are strong against.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Jul 28, 2025 4:48 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Bumbry...

Al Bumbry was my single favorite player ever… And I don’t know why. And I just had a chance to see his kid a couple times up at Aberdeen. He took some ugly hacks, but I’ll write that off to youth.

by ADLC on Jul 29, 2025 12:42 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hudson

I’ve been noticing his line all year. I think he’s the best arm in that system. I’d take him over Poreda in regards to the future. Probably more of a mid-rotation, “2/3” guy as his best case, but a solid, good looking arm.

by toonsterwu on Jul 29, 2025 10:08 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Hudson's 90mph fastball

Hey John — in one of your Sleepers columns earlier this season you mentioned in the comments that you had heard that Hudson is throwing with more velocity than the 89-94 you listed in your book. Do you know anything more now as to the veracity of that information?

by dloomer on Aug 9, 2025 1:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hudson promoted

One other note — I just looked up his profile on milb.com and noticed he’s now listed as a member of the AAA Charlotte Knights! He’s scheduled to pitch at 2pm ET today; I might buy the milb.tv monthly package just to see this game.

by dloomer on Aug 9, 2025 11:03 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bumbry

He is a great guy, fought in Vietnam, came back and won ROY in 73. Gave some very good years to the Orioles and was friends and taught his own replacement (Shelby).

Very good man.

by Gurgi on Jul 31, 2025 2:10 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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