Controversial Prospect: Tyler Robertson
Here is the first of a series of posts about Controversial Prospects who generate different opinions from different analysts.
Today we have Tyler Robertson of the Minnesota Twins. I gave him a Grade B+ in the 2008 Baseball Prospect Book and personally rank him as the best current Twins prospects. Others disagree.
Baseball America reportedly ranks him as the Twins fourth-best prospect behind Nick Blackburn, Joe Benson, and Wilson Ramos.
Kevin Goldstein at Baseball Prospectus also ranks him at fourth, behind Ben Revere, Anthony Swarzak, and Jeff Manship.
My current ratings for the Twins have Robertson at first, with the top five looking like this: Robertson, Swarzak, Revere, Manship, Glen Perkins. I suspect I'm higher on him than anyone else.
So what gives? Why does Robertson draw such mixed reviews? The problem isn't his statistics: he went 9-5, 2.29 with a 123/33 K/BB ratio in 103 innings. He allowed 87 hits and a .226 average against. He gave up just three homers and posted a 2.00 GO/AO ratio. He was 19 years old in a full-season league. Midwest League or not, those are strong numbers without any holes that I can see. Everything was above average or better. He's a big guy at 6-5, 220 pounds and still has some physical projectability.
The problem is the mixed scouting reports. Baseball America says his fastball was just 87-90 last year. He threw 90-92 in high school. Midwest League observers I spoke with say he was anywhere in the 88-92 range last year, which makes the BA numbers sound a bit pessimistic; I guess our sources are a bit different. He has good breaking stuff and throws strikes. The main bugaboo for scouts is his delivery, which is stiff, looks funny, and gives rise to fear about injuries. He's smoothed it out a bit, but given that he repeats it well, is his injury risk really any higher than it is for any other pitcher his age? I'm not convinced of that.
For me, Robertson is a low-end Grade B+ /borderline Grade B prospect based on his performance, his youth, and the fact that I think the delivery issue is a bit overblown. I considered moving him to regular Grade B in my final grade changes, but decided to stick with my original instincts. As for his rating in the Twins system, for me he is very close to Swarzak (who almost got a Grade B+). Revere could end up as a Grade B+ very soon and could push ahead of both of them if he continues to hit.
In any event, Robertson as a Grade B+ is an aggressive rating, but it's a risk I am comfortable taking.
Tomorrow we will discuss Jed Lowrie.
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To me at least
by Terry Ryan Jr on Jan 23, 2026 4:53 PM EST 0 recs
Andy Pettitte
by RollingWave on
Jan 24, 2026 1:16 AM EST
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Do you think?
by Terry Ryan Jr on
Jan 24, 2026 11:21 AM EST
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I thought...
I like Robertson a lot, though. Way more than KG and BP, but less than John.
by alskor on Jan 23, 2026 7:05 PM EST 0 recs
Love this new feature
by Brickhaus on Jan 23, 2026 8:20 PM EST 0 recs
I am curious...
by ajake57 on Jan 23, 2026 10:09 PM EST 0 recs
Ben Revere
Carlos Gomez gave the twins a ton of flak in his segament in Hardballtimes for drafting him in the first round. he thinks the guy isn't going to hit for ANY power without a pretty significant swing adjustment. and while he did do well in rookie ball he didn't hit one out. which kinda confirm the notion that he has no power. if he has no power that makes him Jason Tyner / Juan Pierre / Brett Gardner / Joey Gathright ... not exactly a B prospect is it.
by RollingWave on Jan 24, 2026 1:20 AM EST 0 recs
Pierre
by guru4u on
Jan 24, 2026 11:29 AM EST
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Revere
One of these things is not like the others.
If Revere turns out to be Pierre it will have been a brilliant pick by the Twins. (despite Pierre's drawbacks)
by GregJP on
Jan 24, 2026 3:48 PM EST
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Out of hs...
Also at that height, is it possible he could pick up a few mph on his fastball?
by mckeeno on Jan 24, 2026 10:40 AM EST 0 recs
Height
by HuskerBob on
Jan 24, 2026 11:45 AM EST
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Size matters
by cmathewson on
Jan 24, 2026 1:32 PM EST
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"Easier" in terms of potential energy
More important than that, potential energy is the least, percentage-wise, of the energies (potential, kinetic or linear and rotational) that create velocity.
I am of the belief that for the most part bigger pitchers are more capable of withstanding the forces involved in pitching and thus are less prone to injury (not a view shared by everyone) but I don't believe that taller pitchers inherently are capable of throwing harder.
by HuskerBob on
Jan 24, 2026 2:28 PM EST
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To be constructive
by HuskerBob on
Jan 24, 2026 2:36 PM EST
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I have not seen him pitch...
My system shows: Joba, Hughes, Rohrbough, Bucholz, Kershaw, McGee, Fautino De Los Santos, Kennedy, Cahill, Vanden Hurk, Neftali Feliz (possibly - only short-season data), Gio, Scherzer, Whelan (he's not really going to start, is he?)
Anyway, that makes him 15th-best, just based on numbers. The knocks on his "stuff" and "delivery" would obviously knock him down a little bit, but he's gotten it done 2 years in a row now.
by BobbyMac on Jan 24, 2026 2:14 PM EST 0 recs
Velocity
by cmathewson on Jan 25, 2026 11:06 AM EST 0 recs
yeah
by siddfynch on
Jan 25, 2026 7:00 PM EST
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Tuning fork
by cooper7d7 on
Jan 29, 2026 10:53 AM EST
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