clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Clayton Kershaw Community Projection Results

New, 24 comments

We had 26 entries and a lot of interesting debate in the Clayton Kershaw Community Projection project. Most of the projections were very optimistic; some overly so in my view, especially in the H/IP department where there were some entries that looked weird to me. Nevertheless, I decided to tally the results as-is just to see what happens. The results:


32 games, 31 starts, 1 complete game, 194.2 innings pitched, 78 runs, 71 earned, 3.28 ERA, 203/86 K/BB, 150 hits, 12 homers allowed.   9.38 K/9, 3.98 BB/9, 6.93 H/9.


Comparing to other projection systems

Community               3.28 ERA     9.38 K/9   3.98 BB/9   6.93 H/9,  0.55 HR/9, 194.2 IP
Bill James                3.25 ERA     9.40 K/9    4.55 BB/9   7.00 H/9, 0.55 HR/9, 180 IP
CHONE                     3.58 ERA    9.48  K/9    4.65 BB/9   7.69 H/9, 0.72 HR/9, 151 IP
Marcel                        3.31 ERA    9.12 K/9    4.18 BB/9   7.26 H/9,  0.64 HR/9, 155 IP
Fangraphs Fans     3.26 ERA    9.61 K/9     4.08 BB/9   8.20 H/9,  0.66 HR/9, 192 IP