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Minor League Run Environments


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Good article from the Hardball Times illustrating how varied the different minor scoring can be in terms of runs scored, as well as other factors such as HR rate.The key chart re: runs -

image

I think this something the average prospecteer should pay more attention to. Everyone seems to know that the CAL and the PCL are high scoring leagues and that the FSL is an intense pitchers league, but I don't think most people really realize just how disparate the environment is between the two complex leagues (GCL and AZL) or the two A- leagues (NYP and NWL). Or how high scoring the Pioneer league is *cough*Wil Myers*cough*

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thats great stuff...

i’ve already favorited this post and im gonna rec it…. gonna be one of my go to’s when deciding between prospects from now

For in depth fantasy analysis be sure to visit the Hawk Fantasy Sports site @ www.HawkBall.com

by PHGold09 on Feb 24, 2026 1:09 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Great info

Your point about Myers’ numbers is well taken, but I still love the bat. The scouting was excellent, and even adjusting for the league and run scoring environment .426/.488/.735 still ends up pretty impressive…

by alskor on Feb 24, 2026 1:23 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Don't get me wrong, I like Myers a lot

It is just that his stat line from 18 games in the Pioneer league is far down the list of reasons while.

by aCone419 on Feb 24, 2026 9:10 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

why*

by aCone419 on Feb 24, 2026 9:10 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

rec'd + bookmarked

valuable info

www.oriolesprospects.com | twitter @orioleprospects

by ravensfan3 on Feb 24, 2026 11:10 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

yup

Thanks aCone419

by wobatus on Feb 24, 2026 12:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

leagues

I account for this in my book….which is why I always look at OPS and other measures WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF THE LEAGUE

by John Sickels on Feb 25, 2026 10:09 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Yep

I’ve always appreciated that.

I think one of the best things that could happen to general appreciation of minor league context is if bb-ref.com added OPS+ and ERA+ to their minor league pages, as they have on their major league pages.

When a casual observer looks up (to take a current example) Aaron Hicks’ numbers, they see that he put up a .735 OPS and probably think “That kinda sucks.” But it would great if right next to that number, there were a stat saying “But wait, his OPS+ was actual slightly above average at 106!”

by aCone419 on Feb 25, 2026 10:59 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think most casual observers still have the feeling that "it all evens out."

That the difference between leagues and parks and even with luck just can’t be that different.

It just doesn’t “even out” in so many ways…

by alskor on Feb 25, 2026 12:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs


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