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Chris Volstad Community Projection Results

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Here are the Chris Volstad Community Projection results. We had just 10 entries, which is pathetic. I guess people really have lost interest in this exercise, and with so few participants they really aren't worth doing any more.

The results:

30 games, 29 starts, 178 innings, 185 hits, 14 homers, 91 runs, 80 earned, 4.04 ERA, 126/59 K/BB ratio, 12-9 record.

Other projection systems:

Shandler      4.06 ERA, 79/53 K/BB in 140 innings (which would be 100/67 in 178)
CHONE       4.80 ERA, 88/66 K/BB in 150 innings, (104/78 in 178), 166 hits
ZIPS            5.03 ERA, 62/43 B/BB in 127 innings, (87/60 in 178), 147 hits
PECOTA      5.17 ERA, 119/83 K/BB in 201 innings (105/74 in 178), 230 hits

I think the Community Projection is too optimistic, and I think something like the ZIPS or PECOTA numbers is more likely.