i’m not gonna eat crow just yet. there’s something off about his performance. from afar, it seems like he was told not to go deep into counts. his BB rate is 1/3 of last year’s, and his K rate is 1/2, and that’s just completely counter to his profile. he’s always been kind of a free swinger, but it was usually more in the mold of ‘i swing until i get a pitch i like,’ rather than his apparent approach right now, which seems to be ’i’m making my mind up to swing before the pitch is even thrown’.

Then top-50 might be conservative

Michael Main on Texas. Another guy who was really overrated by some, although I’ll admit I’m biased. I’ve always seen him as a future closer type, not an ace starter.

I think you have to give Holt a break here. He had a really bad first start where his control seemed to have abandoned him. Since then, he’s made four startss (interrupted by a minor injury) and hasn’t allowed more than two runs in any of them including a six inning, zero run performance in his latest start.

Currently, he’s struck out 25 batters in 24.2 innings and walked only 8, four of which came in his first start, 21 hits. I think he’s doing okay.

I’m not impressed. His line is pretty standard.

A crappy season?

http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?n=Isaac%20Galloway&pos=OF&sid=milb&t=p_pbp&pid=543194

I’m not seeing eye to eye on some of these guys.

But it seems like he was actually under-hyped coming into this year

He’s in double-A, isn’t getting more than a K per inning and his GO/AO is under 1.00. I mean he’s promising to be roster filler, but not elite.

I’ll put all my Mets comments here, just to have them in one place in the thread.

My current top 20:

B+ Fernando Martinez
B+ Jenrry Mejia
B Reese Havens
B Brad Holt
B- Wilmer Flores
B- Jon Niese
B- Brant Rustich
C+ Ike Davis
C+ Kirk Nieuwenhuis
C+ Francisco Pena
C+ Jeffry Marte
C+ Ruben Tejada
C+ Josh Thole
C+ Kyle Allen
C+ Scott Moviel
C+ Eddie Kunz
C+ Aderlin Rodriguez
C+ Dillon Gee
C+ Rob Carson
C+ Lucas Duda

Add: Jennry Mejia - his pure stuff, esp. when he has the slider working, is jaw dropping. The numbers are good as well, but he’s better than they show yet.

Add: Havens - the bat belongs, but doubts about his defense are enough to drop him to the bottom third of a top 100. The defensive tools are there, and he should get it with work, at least enough to play a solid 2B. I go back and forth on whether he’s before or after Holt right now.

No big change: Martinez - He ranked on average around 30 in the offseason, his strong start in AAA so far might even put him in the top 20.

No big change: Holt - I didn’t think he belonged in the top 100 in the off season, I thought he was too raw. His stock has definitely risen in my eyes, after seeing him. I think people are over reacting to a small sample, where his numbers are hurt by one start, the first of the season. Truth is he’s making good progress on both the slider and change up, and his numbers have been reasonably dominant since that first start. Maybe still not quite polished enough for top 100, but he belongs in the discussion.

maybe subtract: Flores - I don’t want to over react to a small sample, esp. for a young player with his tools and ceiling, but with a .583 OPS so far, I think you will get some debating whether he belongs in the top 100 at all.

Subtract: Niese - He was ranked a couple of places in the top 100, and has probably fallen since then due to a bad start. But, he hasn’t been as bad either as his 6.55 ERA in AAA, as it came with a 2.88 FIP, and only 55% LOB%. While there was some bad luck there, I think poor command of the fastball early on was also a factor, but he seems to have gotten back on track, including an impressive outing in his 4th career big league start. I’m thinking I had him maybe a bit over rated, arguing for him in the top 100, but I think he’s still close, maybe 110-130 range.

Keep an eye on: Brant Rusitch - If healthy, his combination of stuff, repertoire, command, and performance belongs in the top 100 discussion. Some doubts about his ability to stay healthy keep him out for me for now. Note the Mets seem to have handled him gingerly so far, working on a starters schedule, with 4-5 days rest between appearances, while working only 3-5 innings each time out. The results have been impressive, but I’ll wait and see how he holds up if his workload expands a bit as the season moves on.

Beyond that, I’ll comment on just a couple others. Alot of people have complained about Tejada being aggressively promoted, but he now has gotten on base for 18 straight games in AA, and has his OBP around .400. A plus defensive SS with a .400 OBP in AA at age 19 is liable to end up in the discussion if he keeps it up. But I still think his ceiling is lower than the guys I ranked ahead of him. Thole has an impressive bat, but it’s his defense which should keep him out of the top 100 discussion for now, and ultimately he’s not as good a catching prospect as Pena, who has the defense and power. Kyle Allen is an intriguing one to watch, as he had advanced secondary offerings for a HS pick. And, while he was in the high 80s in HS, some reports from Savannah have the fastball now in the low 90’s touching mid 90s, along with a plus changeup.

his line is now .435/.509/.826. Obviously its early in the season, especially in his season of only 46 AB’s but he’s cut down on the K’s by a nice margain with 11 so far. He’s a legit defensive CF so a breakout season offensively would have to push him into the top 100.

I’m also with those mentioning Dominic Brown. I’ve like him since the start, and you gotta like what you’ve seen thus far in the early going.

Horrible comments…I’m sorry, but I have to say it.

He’s been amazing. Lyles got more of the hype coming into the season but Seaton is great. Could lead this team in a few years.

MASSIVE power potential. I wonder if the K/BB ratio will hold him back. But the man has got POP.

Second Reckling. Kid’s been kicking all kinds of bum units so far this year.

Because he was in my top 100 going into the year.

That being said, looks like all he needs to do is stay healthy to be considered a top 10 guy. His talent is off the charts.

I believe he was JUST promoted to AA. He should definitely be an interesting one to follow. Relatively unheard of and a great set of skills. Plus, in San Fran he doesn’t have much competition. He should take advantage of his opportunity.

i’m rooting for him.

I’m assuming the injury wasn’t especially serious if he’s expected to be back so soon?