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Top 20 Dodgers PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review

Top 20 PRE-SEASON Dodgers Prospects in Review

    This is the PRE-SEASON list. That means it was generated BEFORE THE SEASON STARTED and that the grades were PRE-SEASON. Anyone complaining about the grades based on 2006 performance will be smacked up the side of the head with a Dan Opperman autographed baseball.

1) Chad Billingsley, RHP, Grade A-
     6-3, 3.95 in 13 starts for Triple-A Las Vegas, then 0-2, 4.45 in 6 starts for the Dodgers, 18/26 K/BB in 32 innings points need for sharper command. Very high upside remains of course.

2) Joel Guzman, OF, Grade A-
    .281/.341/.442 in 70 games for Vegas, 9 homers in 260 at-bats. Doing OK but I thought he was poised for a breakout, and I am starting to have doubts about how he is going to develop. More on this later.  

3) Andy LaRoche, 3B, Grade B+
    .309/.419/.483 in 62 games for Double-A Jacksonville, .279/.367/.512 in 11 games for Vegas. Still looks good to me.

4) Jonathan Broxton, RHP, B+
    3.29 ERA in 32 games for the Dodgers, 44/17 K/BB in 38 innings. Can dominate when his command is working.

5) Russell Martin, C, B+
    Hitting .286/.356/.448 in 55 games for the Dodgers. Doing very well and should continue to do so.

6) Scott Elbert, LHP, B+
    5-5, 2.37 in 15 starts for Class A Vero Beach. Just promoted to Double-A, won his first start with 9 strikeouts in 5 innings. Looks good to me.

7) Blake DeWitt, 3B, B+
     Hitting .269/.348/.427 with 12 homers for Vero Beach, 40/63 BB/K in 342 at-bats. I like his BB/K mark, and I think he will break out in 2007.

8) Chin-Lung Hu, SS, B
     .260/.331/.317 for Jacksonville in 85 games. Making contact, but lack of power appears to be an issue.

9) Andre Ethier, OF, B
     Hitting .345/.396/.532 in 60 games for the Dodgers. I don't think he's really a .345 hitter, but I expect he will be a consistent .280-.300 guy, and who knows, maybe he really can hit .340 over a full year.

10) Justin Orenduff, RHP, B
     4-2, 3.40 in 10 starts for Jacksonville, 54/19 K/BB in 50 innings. Decent numbers but pitching time limited by an elbow injury.

11) Etanislao Abreu, 2B, B-
     .287/.353/.414 for Jacksonville, 21 doubles is a good marker. Holding his own.

12) Delwyn Young, 2B, B-
      .274/.336/.463 with 27 doubles, 11 homers for Vegas. Numbers look OK but aren't that hot for Vegas. I think he can and will do better but might not fit on the roster.

13) Travis Denker, 2B, B-
      .220/.309/.330 at Vero Beach, resulting in demotion to Columbus where he is .284/.463/.444. Which is the real Denker?

14) Matt Kemp, OF, B-
      Hitting .279/.316/.500 with 7 homers and 5 steals in 37 games for the Dodgers. Rushed a bit, and his strike zone judgment is a weakness, but I think he will be excellent down the road. Underrated at this slot at the beginning of the season.

15) Blake Johnson, RHP, B-
      4-4, 4.45 in 18 starts for Vero Beach, 72/19 K/BB in 95 innings, 100 hits allowed. Good control, but hittable. Still projectable and intriguing for the future.

16) Hong Chi Kuo, LHP, B-
     5.60 ERA in 21 games for the Dodgers, struggling with command issues, note 29/24 K/BB in 27 innings. Still trying to figure out how to pitch but has upside.

17) James Loney, 1B, C+
      Hitting .383/.422/.555 for Vegas, also 9-for-40 (.225) in 14 games for the Dodgers. Looks like he is finally breaking through.

18) Justin Ruggiano, OF, C+
      .261/.369/.446 for Jacksonville. Sleeper candidate is drowsy but conscious.

19) Anthony Raglani, OF, C+
     .224/.330/.350 for Jacksonville. Sleeper candidate has taken too much ambien.

20) Josh Wall, RHP, C+
      1-2, 5.11 in 5 starts for short-season Ogden, 10/12 K/BB in 25 innings. Sample is small but these numbers aren't impressive at this point.

Comment:
      Still lots of good news here. Although Guzman has been somewhat disappointing, the strong performance from Martin and emergence of Kemp help make up for that. Loney looks great again, and Ethier has been even better than expected. Foundation for future success is definitely here.

0 recs  |  Comment 14 comments

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Thoughts
I love Ethier - he's very, very solid and has no real glaring weaknesses. I see his upside as being right around Paul O'Neill.

Martin is a stud and will be great for us.

I think Loney is the real deal BUT I don't think the Dodgers are anyone else believes that yet. I think he'll be dealt but this will probably hinge on whether the Dodgers sign Garciaparra. I fear that he'll end up like Choi - a player that people look at and only see the things he can't do.

I like Young but the Dodgers don't seem interested in giving him much of a chance.

I defend the Pedro for Delino trade.

by Nolan on Jul 14, 2025 10:42 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

pre-season grades
man, if the grades can change so drastically in half a season, what's the point of giving them at all?

ahahaha

no! no not the opperman

by wily mo on Jul 15, 2025 12:17 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

a sleeper
that didnt make the list is Steven Johnson, 18 yr old pitcher down at Odgen. Why is he a sleeper? well, any 18 yr old with a 36:4 k:bb ratio in 30IP is a sleeper.

and for John, Orenduff is out for the season, he underwent exploratory shoulder surgery about a week to 2 weeks ago to see what was ailing him.

by npurcell on Jul 15, 2025 12:49 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dodgers
could be a powerhouse in a couple of years.

by Ian Miller on Jul 15, 2025 3:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The list could be even better next year...
Martin, Ethier and Billingsley will have hopefully graduated to the big league roster.  
  1.  I can't wait to see what the 06 draft class is going to do.  I have a very strong feeling that Preston Mattingly is going to exceed expectations and (even though its just the tiniest sample size) Clayton Kershaw has started his pro career with 12 Ks in seven innings and just one earned run.
  2.  I agree with John that DeWitt is in the process of making 'the Leap'.
  3.  Babies like Josh Bell, Ivan DeJesus, Bryan Morris , etc., are just starting to shake out.

by silvysilv on Jul 15, 2025 12:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

best farm system

 in the minors by far imo.

 Ethier is an under rated stud

 Martin is truely amazing at catcher

 Kemp has 30/30 written all over him at his peak

 Billingsly i think will get it together he has more of an upside then Hughes and Bailey

 and thats just the guys who got promoted this year.

 the list really goes on and on with this club.

by High Heater on Jul 15, 2025 12:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

next years top 20
graduations
Billingsley
martin
broxton
ethier
kemp

players who shouldnt be on next years top 20
denker
raglani
wall

new additions to next years top 20
Clayton Kershaw
Preston Mattingly
Bryan Morris
Ivan Dejesus
Mark Alexander
sergio pedroza
Josh Bell
Steven Johnson

by npurcell on Jul 15, 2025 4:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

ehh crap
forgot about John Meloan. Maybe move Orenduff off it because if shoulder surgery and put Meloan on it. too many players, cant keep track :)

by npurcell on Jul 15, 2025 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

guzman-abreu
agree that guzman really has to be considered a suspect at this point. he'll certainly be a pro, and likely a productive one, so that righ there makes him a good prospect. and his numbers have to be seen in the context of his age.

but....two things. one, being moved off of SS really reduces his value. two, i just don't see the production justifying the really high rankings/hype he has received in the past. I agree with Sickels in moving a bit away from Guzman and wonder if others agree.

and certainly agree that this is a great system. what do people think of Tony Abreu? Given reports on his defense are very strong (though he's making a lot of errors), is he the Dodgers' 2B of the future?

by scooter on Jul 15, 2025 4:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

abreu
he could be but I think the Dodgers are really high on Dewitt. The Kent contract extension ends right when Dewitt should be ready.

by npurcell on Jul 15, 2025 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

wait...
isn't dewitt playing 3b? been so many position changes in this organization that it's hard to keep track, but i had him as their 3bman of the future, abreu as the replacement for Kent, and most of the rest of the guys in the OF.

by scooter on Jul 15, 2025 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

DeWitt playing 2B
He has been playing 2B all year because of LaRoche and to some extent, Guzman's move as well.

by bhsportsguy on Jul 15, 2025 7:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Another pitcher in Rookie Ball
Alongside Morris and Johnson at Ogden, Jesus Castillo has a 20K/3BB ratio in 19 IP, while having a BAA of .236 and has had been able to both get strikeouts and get ground balls for double plays.

With Morris, Johnson, and Kenshaw, it will be really interesting to see where they assign these pitchers next year.  My hunch is that Morris and Johnson will go to Vero Beach and Kenshaw and Castillo will go to Columbus, no reason why except Morris is little older and Johnson will be is already going longer in games than the rest.

by bhsportsguy on Jul 15, 2025 6:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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by Opheliakesal on Dec 9, 2025 7:45 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

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