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A smackdown with Segura and Profar.
RIP Nick Adenhart
by miketrout on Jan 17, 2026 6:11 PM EST via mobile reply actions
I know Profar wins, just want to see how they compare
RIP Nick Adenhart
by miketrout on Jan 17, 2026 6:14 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Are you throwing out a top 100 prospect list John?
just wondering
by boltspeedman on Jan 17, 2026 6:32 PM EST reply actions
I think he's doing top 50 hitters/pitchers
His 2011 wRC+ is 26
by Pikachu on Jan 17, 2026 7:22 PM EST up reply actions
And probably a top 100
integrated, as it were.
by gabrielsyme on Jan 17, 2026 8:53 PM EST up reply actions
50/50 will be in the book.
Integrated Top 100 will be late February sometime. Coinciding with beginning of spring training games probably.
by John Sickels on Jan 17, 2026 9:09 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Cuthbert vs. Sano
And maybe a most likely to get called up for each team or Division, or League, whatever.
by High and Inside on Jan 17, 2026 6:35 PM EST reply actions
career profiles
Once it comes time for more career profiles, I’d love for a look back to the dark ages and El Sid Fernandez. It seems like he’s a common comp whenever there’s a pitcher who puts up great numbers despite so-so “stuff.” Somebody will say, “He has a deceptive delivery, like El Sid.” So what was the thinking on him back in his own days?
by mookstra2 on Jan 17, 2026 6:47 PM EST reply actions
Favor please
I’ll be in class tomorrow; would somebody please ask John who he would rather have going forward: Anthony Gose or Starling Marte?
thanks
by Woo! on Jan 17, 2026 6:53 PM EST reply actions
Favor please
I’ll be in class tomorrow; would somebody please ask John who he would rather have going forward: Anthony Gose or Starling Marte?
thanks
by Woo! on Jan 17, 2026 6:53 PM EST reply actions
Oh and Career profiles are really interesting
How about one of Wily Mo Pena?
by MilesC on Jan 17, 2026 7:02 PM EST up reply actions
I suggest rechecking comments on the M's top 20 if they're going in the book.
The sentence about Franklin being the best bat in the M’s system has been overtaken by events (obviously). Sorry if this isn’t a helpful comment.
by bookbook on Jan 17, 2026 8:04 PM EST reply actions
Noted. I should have caught that this morning
by John Sickels on Jan 17, 2026 9:10 PM EST up reply actions
Barry Larkin prospect retro
How did our new HoFer develop? Who do you see in the minors currently that project to have a similar type of skill set, and possibly career?
by cookiedabookie on Jan 17, 2026 8:27 PM EST reply actions
Also Organization Positional smackdowns
I believe this was talked about last year, but compare M’s pitchers to D’Backs pitchers, etc.
by cookiedabookie on Jan 17, 2026 8:28 PM EST reply actions
Who is the new A's and Rays?
I would love an article where you review different systems and then post which team will have a sustained run of success outside of an elite budget (i.e. Mets, Redsox, Yankees).
Big Sexy
Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey
by King Billy Royal on Jan 17, 2026 10:23 PM EST reply actions
yeah, was thinking somethung like this or
some kind of list showing right direction/wrong direction from total organization perspective but obviously heavily weighted by farm systems.
by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Jan 18, 2026 9:14 AM EST up reply actions
Just an fyi John
you still had Cates in the Padres top 20 list (in the others section.) there was also a comment comparing Liriano to Rizzo, but that may have been intentionally left in.
oh and a smackdown suggestion…maybe Olt v. Zack Cox?
by PrincetonCubs on Jan 17, 2026 11:07 PM EST reply actions
I would LOVE
to see a Pat Venditte write up. He’s such a unique prospect and I want to know a lot more about his past, present, and future.
Adoptive father of 18th round draft pick and future ace, BRANDON ALLEN
by Nnamdi Asomugha on Jan 17, 2026 11:10 PM EST reply actions
Controversial Prospects
You dig deeper into controversial prospects with more detailed analysis in a format that conveys potential and probability very clearly. I think the following format would generate lots of interesting discussions in a more constructive manner:
Out of 100 Jesus Monteros, you’d get the following # of players:
Pudge Rodriguez - 2
Mike Piazza - 3
Victor Martinez - 4
Jorge Posada - 10
Edgar Martinez - 2
Jason Varitek - 16
Yadier Molina - 2
Mike Sweeney - 8
Michael Barrett - 17
Miguel Olivo - 8
Jack Cust - 5
Ryan Doumit - 21
This format encourages people to think about prospects in more realistic terms. You eliminate the tedious chats about potential scenarios and extreme comments, forcing people to quantify their opinions. This format would eliminate debates that are driven more by different perspectives, rather than unique opinions about a player’s abilities.
To generate a list like this, you need to try to encompass everything that effects a prospect’s value, from skills, to talent, to probability, to risks. Given the effort it takes to generate these lists, you could apply it to only the most divisive prospects.
I’ll do one more just to illustrate:
Out of every 100 James Paxtons, you’d get the following # of players:
Randy Johnson - 1
Cliff Lee - 2
CC Sabathia - 3
Mark Mulder - 5
Cole Hamels - 5
Andy Pettite - 5
Ted Lilly - 12
Randy Wolf - 20
Dontrelle Willis - 10
Francisco Liriano - 7
Erik Bedard - 7
Billy Wagner - 7
Matt Thornton - 7
Sean Marshall - 7
Truck Driver - 2
Note: My evaluations of Montero and Paxton are just examples of the evaluation system. I put very little thought into their potential scenarios. They do not reflect my actual opinions of Paxton and Montero.
Most arguments are really about context.
by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 18, 2026 12:11 AM EST reply actions 2 recs
I really like this one.
+1
RIP Nick Adenhart
by miketrout on Jan 18, 2026 12:17 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
Top prospect of the decades
Would be cool to see how top prospects now (Trout, Harper, etc) rank against top prosepcts 10 years back, 20 years back, etc.
by horst_04 on Jan 18, 2026 9:49 AM EST reply actions
Org smackdowns
I enjoyed the debate around the Sox-Yankees “Which Would You Rather”, and would like to see more of these, especially around organizations that are similarly ranked but differently constitued in terms of minor league talent…
by whonichol on Jan 18, 2026 10:48 AM EST reply actions
Bounceback thread
How about a bounceback treatment of some sort? Mostly applied to pitchers I’d guess, but I’d like to see something on what the prospects might be for pitchers who were hurt or just didn’t perform to expectations in ’11, but may still have some ceiling left. Guys like John Lamb, Brody Colvin, Kyle Lotzkar, and the like. Maybe just a thread on where (or if) people think (insert falling prospects here) might land on the top 50/50 at this time next year.
by Jaywin jake on Jan 18, 2026 11:46 AM EST reply actions
Tools summary
Looking across the minors (or maybe by starting level), top fastball, best speed, best power, etc.
The Dodgers won't win a playoff series until the Cool-a-Coo returns.
by mckeeno on Jan 18, 2026 9:21 PM EST reply actions
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