Andy Marte
What Do You Do With A Problem Like Marte?
Question for the House: If you were the Atlanta Braves, what would you do with Andy Marte in 2006? Trade bait?
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Marte
I'm nearly certain Marte will be in the starting lineup next year at either third or first. LaRoche may have actually done the Braves a favor by slumping horribly down the stretch -- it should make the Braves realize that he (LaRoche) is a nice player to have around, but not someone you need to move your superstars and potential superstars around just to keep in the lineup...especially since he can only play first, and he doesn't really project as hitting enough to play there.
If I was in charge, Marte at third, Chipper to first, LaRoche traded for a reliever or prospects. The Braves might do that, or they may just insert Marte at first to avoid ruffling Chipper's feathers. Either way, he's in there.
by Tanto on Sep 20, 2025 11:23 AM EDT 0 recs
agree
I don't know what kind of deal someone would offer for him, but I agree that it would have to be pretty freakin' good - McCarthy/Aybar/Sowers/Wood kind of good.
by lenred on
Sep 20, 2025 11:30 AM EDT
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Very simple:
Chipper Jones -> 1b
Adam LaRoche -> Traded
I think Chipper will be more ameniable to move to 1b than he was to lf. It was the organization's long term plans to move him there until LaRoche had a good second half of the year last year.
I think scenario would particularily appeal to the Braves since 1). LaRoche hasn't developed much, and will be 26 next year, so we're /probably/ seeing as good as it gets from him 2). they need to keep Chipper healthy, and a move to 1b might help with that.
by smt on Sep 20, 2025 11:49 AM EDT 0 recs
gotta do this
He certainly won't be moving anywhere else after 1B, anyway; that's as far right on the defensive spectrum as you can go.
by Mean Dean on
Sep 20, 2025 12:36 PM EDT
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I'm not letting go of him for anything
by sfjg85 on
Sep 20, 2025 1:49 PM EDT
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Basically Agree
I say that the Braves trade LaRoche (I've thought of packaging him with Estrada for some relief help or maybe an SP now that Hampton's down, with McCann taking over there), then offer Chipper the option of playing first or third. I feel that he'd move to first, allowing Marte to slip in.
I don't think you can really throw the towel in on Marte just because he struggled in those 15 games in the ML this season. We all would have liked to see a Franceour-like explosion of ability, but that's incredibly rare.
This is how I see the Braves lineup next year:
- Wilson Betemit (SS)
- Marcus Giles (2B)
- Chipper Jones (1B)
- Andruw Jones (CF)
- Jeff Franceour (RF)
- Kelly Johnson (LF)
- Andy Marte (3B)
- Brian McCann (C)
- Pitcher
by cinqua on Sep 20, 2025 12:23 PM EDT 0 recs
Fingers Crossed
To start the offseaon you shed Furcal, Kolb, Jordan and Mondesi. Thats 10.7 mil. And word is Hamton's insurance will cover like 75%.
If you get Brian Giles you can take more risks putting unproven young players in the lineup AND on the back end of the rotation.
Marte did look unusually calm for a 21yo.
His 4.26 Pitches/PA would put him 4th in the MLB.
by vipervisor on Sep 20, 2025 1:11 PM EDT 0 recs
Uhhuh
Dump Laroche somehow, same goes for Johnny Eric Estrada, that would cut the teams double plays down by about 75%, surely the Braves can find a good righthanded backup catcher who plays above average defense, right?
Gently ask Chipper if he would agree to move to first, and if not, then make a run at Overbay, or just go with Marte at first and bring up Thorman to see if he can be usefull,
Plus, I think the Braves would really struggle next year without Furcal, so I would attempt to come to terms on a one or two year deal which would allow them to move their SS prospects along slower than would have to. This leaves Betemit as the super utility player. If he plays SS for an extended period the errors will pile up pretty fast.
by JFP on Sep 20, 2025 2:49 PM EDT 0 recs
I'm not a Marte fan
For all the hype surrounding him, I would have expected at least 1 great year or a 1/2 season breakout like Cabrera did.
I would trade him, but that's just me. Someone "sell me" on Marte.
by So Cal Bob on Sep 20, 2025 3:08 PM EDT 0 recs
One number
But the age relative to league is a huge factor here.
by mhsiegel14 on
Sep 20, 2025 3:15 PM EDT
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And as it happens
You also have to remember prospect analysis is as much art as science. I haven't heard a scout yet who doesn't think he's got a bright future ahead.
by mhsiegel14 on
Sep 20, 2025 3:20 PM EDT
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MUST ARB FURCAL
Lose him and get a Pick or Get him for 1 more year and get to look see if Escobar can get to AA and hit there. His Defense is there. Luis Hernandez is in AA and still young. Will probly be there next year. Just needs to find his stroke, his K and BB numbers got up to solid level. But raising BA 50 points won't be easy.
ATL corner IF is only getting more crowded. Campbell can slugg and speed and defense look good. Saltalamacchia is a beast.
by vipervisor on Sep 20, 2025 3:20 PM EDT 0 recs
Marte
And, as mentioned, he's been younger than the league at virtually every level and doesn't have any glaring injury problems.
by Tanto on Sep 20, 2025 3:28 PM EDT 0 recs
Marte
His defense is solid.
And EVERY year he is young for the league and puts up a .850-ish OPS while playing in Leagues/Parks that aren't hitter friendly. Myrtle Beach. Greenville.
This year he did a nice job of cutting down on his K's
2005 4.69 AB Per K
2004 3.69 AB Per K
by vipervisor on Sep 20, 2025 3:29 PM EDT 0 recs
Campbell
That said, I firmly believe the Braves or even a fantasy league owner should never base decisions on what to do with the future of their big league club based on the promise of an Appy League player.
If Campbell forces the issue and conquers AA/AAA then fine... but Appy League? Only the scouting director should be thinking about him at that point. If I'm the GM he doesn't enter into my thinking at all.
by natsfan2005 on Sep 20, 2025 3:32 PM EDT 0 recs
I'm just not
Salty didn't have any problems hitting over .300 in Myrtle Beach.
Isn't there a point where a guy "needs to do it" before saying he is "all this and all that." If the biggest factor in his favor is age relative to league, then that's not very good. How about a batting title, HR title, or RBI title?
I think I see him as a .260ish, 25 HR, 80 RBI type.
by So Cal Bob on Sep 20, 2025 3:37 PM EDT 0 recs
Don't think that's far...
I do see him more of a .265/30/100 guy though. He has more power than a 20 hr guy, and his body is still filling out. I don't think that BA will be terribly worring, since he has good (and improving every year) plate discipline, and his OBP will be much higher.
His defense has also improved every year.
by smt on
Sep 20, 2025 4:00 PM EDT
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in the numbers
Maybe Marte will improve his numbers...it's happened before.
For example, consider the following 3B prospect's numbers: a .211 AVG, .350 SLG (8 HR) line in AA (age 21), followed it with a .291/.550 (26 HR) line in the PCL (age 22), and then hit .206/.294 and .196/.373, with 1 and 18 HRs in his age 22-23 seasons in MLB (OBPs were .325, .324).
Clearly the PCL numbers look like those of at least a marginal prospect, but the remainder of those numbers aren't terribly good. The numbers in the remainder of the career, however, (like 529 more HRs) were more than acceptable....
by Tom Talavage on
Sep 21, 2025 1:37 PM EDT
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Marte
He was 12th in Slugging in Internation League.
He was 14th in OBP in Internation League.
by vipervisor on Sep 20, 2025 3:48 PM EDT 0 recs
One more thing
by JFP on Sep 20, 2025 3:48 PM EDT 0 recs
if memory serves me
by So Cal Bob on
Sep 20, 2025 4:06 PM EDT
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One year in the minors
by JFP on
Sep 20, 2025 5:45 PM EDT
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not sure where you are going with this
by So Cal Bob on
Sep 20, 2025 5:52 PM EDT
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Re: Pujols
Pujols is a once in a generation (maybe lifetime) exception - not the rule. I suppose if someone wants to act like every hot new prospect is the exception they can... good luck with that!
by natsfan2005 on
Sep 20, 2025 6:07 PM EDT
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The Braves Organization ---
by Hud Giles on Sep 20, 2025 4:03 PM EDT 0 recs
I get that part
I think he'll be more of a Cey than a A Ram or Rolen or A Rod.
by So Cal Bob on
Sep 20, 2025 4:09 PM EDT
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Scott Rolen
The difference between Marte and Rolen's minor league careers is of course the breakout. Rolen's breakout occured in AA ball after he partially repeated it at the age of 21. I think Marte would have broken out in a similiar way if he were at AA to start this year like Rolen was.
I don't think you can fault Marte here though; although he hasn't broken out, he hasn't ever repeated a level (even for part of a season), and he has seemingly improved every time he's gotten promoted.
by smt on
Sep 20, 2025 6:18 PM EDT
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Carlos Lee
I dont know how Carlos Lee produced in the minors and how he was as a prospect, but I think I could definitely seeing Marte progressing to be a 30 homerun, 100 rbi guy with a .280 to .290 average (as he progresses). I'll think he'll turn out to be a very solid ballplayer that any GM would love to have on his team. I also believe he will go to some All Star Games.
by z4 landshark on
Sep 20, 2025 9:42 PM EDT
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I'll go with the consensus
For those of you questioning Marte's future numbers, I think most Braves fans are envisioning something like the numbers Andruw has been putting up prior to this year - 25-30 hr, 90-100 RBI, and an average between .250 and .275. Maybe not a true superstar, but definitely someone you could fit into your lineup.
by AJ25 on Sep 20, 2025 5:02 PM EDT 0 recs
Superstar
by Tyler on
Sep 20, 2025 5:05 PM EDT
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I think that...
by smt on
Sep 20, 2025 6:00 PM EDT
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that's my problem---
If he hits .260 with 25, I think that will be pretty good. What is not in the numbers that says "he's gonna be a star" at 3B for a long time?
He's the one guy everyone is "ON" about, but I can't get a good feeling.
by So Cal Bob on
Sep 20, 2025 6:19 PM EDT
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gotta agree with So Cal
all that said, i think the NL east is gonna have some great 3B comparisons over the next decade, especially if the fish move cabrera back to 3B and put hermida in the OF. also factoring in wil be ryan zimmerman with the nats. good to see all these young 3B popping up, i have always found it to be a very interesting position. thanks for "listening".
by DavidWrightismyGod on
Sep 20, 2025 7:33 PM EDT
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Why I'm a Believer
Look at Jhonny Peralta, for instance. Here's a guy who didn't even have Marte's scouting pedigree, but there were a number of people who were firmly in his corner. He was consistently young for his level, and didn't even put up decent numbers until last year at AAA. Look at him now.
Mags Ordonez is another example of a guy who never put up the power numbers in the minors scouts said he would in the majors. There are plenty of others -- heck, Rolen never hit more than 14 home runs in a minor league season, and even in his great half-year at AA Reading he still popped only nine.
Yes, scouts have been wrong before. But the Braves have a pretty good track record when it comes to identifying which of their hitting prospects will pan out and should be kept, and which they should cut loose (Jermaine Dye's about the only one I can think off the top of my head who "got away".)
There's nothing alarming in Marte's statistical profile, no glaring weaknesses. The scouting community is basically unanimous in their praise of him. And Atlanta's front office clearly feels that he'll be a good one.
At a certain point you just have to take it on faith that all those smart people know what they're talking about, even if he hasn't yet had a monster year.
by ESiegrist on
Sep 20, 2025 8:09 PM EDT
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i agree
by DavidWrightismyGod on
Sep 21, 2025 10:16 AM EDT
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I don't disagree
I do disagree, albeit slightly, with your comment about Peralta. HE DID have the breakout I would like to see from Marte. He hit .323/.382/.489 with 44 2B's and 15 HR's. That's was a fantastic year and sure beats the heck out of .270 with 20+ HR's. With all the people in Marte's corner, why can't he put up a year like Peralta?
And for the Rolen (.290 3 years and then .361 in AA) and Maggs (hit .329 in his AAA season), they might not have had the 25-30 HR season, but they had no issues hitting above .300 which Marte just can't do.
I like him and I hope he proves me wrong.
by So Cal Bob on
Sep 21, 2025 1:14 PM EDT
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I Think...
You say Peralta's .323/.382/.489 2004 season is exactly what you're looking for from Marte. Well, Marte hit .285/.372/.469 at Myrtle Beach in 2003 -- you're talking about little more than Crash Davis' proverbial "one dying quail a week" difference between those two stat lines.
When you're looking for core offensive skills that will translate to the majors, what's more important -- batting average? Or walk rate and ISO?
by ESiegrist on
Sep 21, 2025 5:03 PM EDT
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maybe so
Let me throw a question back, can you project a .300+ season when they guy has failed to do so in his past and hasn't come close by using walk rate and ISO?
by So Cal Bob on
Sep 21, 2025 5:26 PM EDT
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.300 seasons
What does a .300 season matter? Have I been deluded all my life in believing that Mike Schmidt was a superstar (and more of one than George Brett) because he only had one (1) .300 season?
Clearly the "safe" projection systems that everyone develops and utilizes (i.e., those that rely upon regression to the mean for the pool of players) would never have projected a .300 season for Schmidt, who never hit above .291 (and that in the PCL) until 1981, and never did so in anything resembling a full season.
BUT...one would expect (based on the Weak Law of Large Numbers) that walk rates and (year-to-year) variance in batting average are correlated. Fewer ABs should produce a lesser quality estimate of the "true" AVG ability/skill of the player, implying that single-season AVG is a less relevant measure of the performance of such players. Note that this reduction in relevance is in addition to the normal statement that AVG is not terribly well-correlated with run production.
So, for a comparable number of PAs, the observed AVG is less meaningful as a measure of Marte's abilities than it is for, say, Francoeur.
Ultimately, Marte's AVG numbers are the least predictive (by a wide margin, I would posit) of his three rate stats, and thus should be among the least of your concerns regarding his future performance.
by Tom Talavage on
Sep 21, 2025 11:47 PM EDT
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AVG, Ks not entirely irrelevant
That said, I think do agree with those who state that you ideally want a .300+ AVG and the high ISOd and ISO when trying to peg someone as a superstar and future MVP candidate. All 3 is ideal.
I don't find Batting Average and High Batter K rates as irrelevant as some 'statheads'. I saw a comment in the Rickie Weeks diary that if Weeks has an OBP of .380 who cares if he strikes out 200 times. I do care a little. In the postseason the quality of pitching often really ramps up. Hitters with Hi-K rates and alot of offensive value rapped up in BBs/HBPs can be more effectively handled by pitcher who can control the strike zone well and get ahead in counts.
I have Edmonds on my team. So I don't ignore Hi-K players. They are still highly valueable. But I do believe a guy like Sheffield who hits .300 and Ks much less while posting roughly the same OPS is more of a threat against quality pitching. Ideally the guy with a broad base of well developed offensive skills is even better than the upper echelon take and rake hitter.
by natsfan2005 on
Sep 22, 2025 12:27 AM EDT
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I understand your point Tom
I haven't heard one projection of Marte as a 40 HR guy and 500+ career HR guy. I've heard 20-30 HR projections. That combined with a .270 average is not Mike Schmidt and certainly not a superstar. It's just a good player and there is nothing wrong with that.
by So Cal Bob on
Sep 22, 2025 1:24 PM EDT
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Rolen
Of course, these are "if" and speculations, but the fact is that Marte has never even partially repeated repeated a level (except for, I suppose AAA->Cup of Tea in MLB-> AAA this year). While doing so, he has seemingly improved most of his peripherals as he gets promoted. That's a sign of a great prospect when he does it in such a young age.
I don't know if he'll be a star, but he has great upside.
by smt on
Sep 21, 2025 5:34 PM EDT
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I agree with your premise
Not so sure your Rolen analogy is apt, if my memory serves me, Rolen played 2 or 3 levels 1 season ending in AA, then started the next year in AA. That's really not "repeating" as he never had a full season in AA to begin with.
Oh well, all good points. I'm still on the fence as to "very good" player or "superstar" as some would claim.
by So Cal Bob on
Sep 21, 2025 5:45 PM EDT
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The Braves Organization ---
yes they do, they say that they don't but they do, just as the A's claim they look at nothing but stats.
I'll rephrase- people writing books about these organizations make the above innaccurate generalizations.
The Braves spend more time on observation and scouting than propbably any organization, but that doesn't mean they are not cognizant of Marte's AA batting average. They publically questioned Giles' makeup at points in the past- but when hhe hit 35hrs in A ball it didn't stop them from promoting him.
by Johnny Ruin on Sep 20, 2025 6:44 PM EDT 0 recs
My approach
Have Marte as your starting 3B
Have LaRoche learn some LF/RF and use him as your primary backup at 1B and the outfield corners. He's also your backup planb in case Kelly Johnson or Jeff Francour struggles.
by JM Barten on Sep 20, 2025 11:42 PM EDT 0 recs
Other ideas
by achiappanza on Sep 21, 2025 3:52 AM EDT 0 recs
Marte
Marte may not be a superstar--only a star, but then again is that so bad? I would be cautious of trying to fixate on Marte's career minor league numbers because he has not always been completely healthy. He had a great year at Macon in 2002, but injuries slowed (bud did not stop his performance) his output. Bascially, I think that he still probably has a huge upside. We are looking at a classic kind of power-hitting 3B and comparisions with Cey, Bonilla, Glaus, Rolen and even Schmidt could prove to be apt.
Like many others on this list, I think that LaRoche should be traded for pitching (probably relievers, but the Braves may want to be flexible here) and then Marte either goes to first or third. Many of us have long believed that first is Chipper's eventual destination.
This move would also have the added benefit of freeing Scott Thorman for trading.
by hisslk on Sep 21, 2025 6:06 AM EDT 0 recs
with the arm LaRoche
Just kidding.
by So Cal Bob on
Sep 21, 2025 12:09 PM EDT
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Absolutely Not
My fear is that they sign Furcal and Andruw can't be signed and then trade Marte for a mediocre outfielder. Knowing the Braves, that's what they'll do.
by picard on Sep 21, 2025 12:35 PM EDT 0 recs
I hope you are kidding
As a Cub fan, I'll trade ya?
by So Cal Bob on
Sep 21, 2025 1:03 PM EDT
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Have you seen this guy...
by klmstrat on Sep 21, 2025 1:39 PM EDT 0 recs
not sure if you are asking me?
I'm not down on him, but I'm just not as high as a lot of people are. I just want a great season in his production before I drink the kool-aid.
I wish he were coming up in the Cubs system. I have to deal with Ronny Cedeno as our "up and comer." Wanna trade? LOL :-D
by So Cal Bob on Sep 21, 2025 3:30 PM EDT 0 recs
re:not sure if you are asking me?
As for the Peralta breakout year, Peralta had a lower OPS than Marte at AAA despite being younger. That being the case, you can't really say Peralta had a breakout year but Marte didn't.
by The Origenist on
Sep 22, 2025 10:03 PM EDT
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look at 1 measure to form your opinion?
Peralta had a better year in AAA than Marte did this year. He hit 50 friggin' points higher. Big deal if he had a few more walks.
You can keep Brad Wilkerson, I'll take Manny Ramirez. That's the same comp you just made.
Look, for the last time, I'm not down on Marte. I just haven't seen "superstar" in his performance.
by So Cal Bob on
Sep 23, 2025 2:03 PM EDT
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Marte is still a baby...
by alstl04 on Sep 21, 2025 10:29 PM EDT 0 recs
re: Marte is still a baby...
by The Origenist on
Sep 22, 2025 10:04 PM EDT
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