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Minnesota Twins Top 20 List


Mr. Slider, Jesse Crain

  1. Jesse Crain              RHP         A-
  2. Jason Kubel              OF          A-
  3. J.D. Durbin              RHP         B+
  4. Scott Baker              RHP         B+
  5. Glen Perkins             LHP         B+
  6. Jason Bartlett           SS          B
  7. Adam Harben              RHP         B
  8. Francisco Liriano        LHP         B  (grade change)
  9. Alex Romero              OF          B
  10. Trevor Plouffe           SS          B
  11. Kyle Waldrop             RHP         B
  12. Matt Moses               3B          B-
  13. Jay Rainville            RHP         B-
  14. Matt Fox                 RHP         B-
  15. Anthony Swarzak          RHP         B-
  16. Boof Bonser              RHP         B-    
  17. Travis Bowyer            RHP         B-  
  18. Scott Tyler              RHP         C+
  19. Terry Tiffee              3B          C+
  20. Ryan Rowland-Smith     LHP         C+
  Notes:
    I'm moving Francisco Liriano from Grade C+ to Grade B based on recent positive health and velocity reports.    
    The rating of Jason Kubel at Grade A- might be controversial due to his severe knee injury. He would be a pure Grade A if healthy, but it is possible that he should be downgraded to B+ or even Grade B due to the severity of the injury. I want more information before doing that, however.
    I'm no longer counting Joe Mauer as a prospect, since I think his performance level has been established.
    Watch for Adam Harben. I think he is a major, major sleeper.
    Boof Bonser and Travis Boyer look overrated at B-. Both are probably closer to C+, but right now I will leave them where they are and take responsibility if the book grades turn out to be too aggressive. Per reader input, I have altered the list to include Terry Tiffee since he is closer to the Show.

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Harben
John, thanks again for posting the list.  Can you talk more about him?  What qualifies him as a major sleeper, especially in an organization that seems to promote its pitchers really slowly?

by dcbaseball on Feb 16, 2026 12:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

tiffee
i don't get it, Terry Tiffee could win the thirdbaseman spot in Minnesota this year, but isn't even in the top 20.

by mrmetaa on Feb 16, 2026 12:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

tiffee
Hmm...good point.

by John Sickels on Feb 16, 2026 12:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

oops
oops my eyes skimmed right over him.  

What about Kevin West or Michael Restovich?  With the injury to kubel, and with the injury-prone shannon stewart, West (even though not on the 40man) or Restovich may have a chance at making the opening roster as a 5th outfielder.  

by mrmetaa on Feb 16, 2026 12:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

west restoc
Both West and Restovich have good power from the right side, but shaky plate discipline. Restovich has a better pedigree, but West isn't far behind him. They'd both fit in right around the 21-22 spot I think, at least if you're looking at long-term potential. In the shorter run they would go higher.

by John Sickels on Feb 16, 2026 12:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

options
Of course the biggest difference between them at this point is West stlil having options and Restovich being at the end of the string.  With Kubel out and Ford able to cover CF it's going to be a pretty serious upset if he doesn't come north with the Twins.

by Cris E on Feb 16, 2026 3:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Harben
When I saw Harben in 2003, he was a raw thrower. He'd hit 92-93 MPH, but his curveball was poor and he had no real idea what he was doing with his fastball.

Seeing him again in 2004, it was like a different pitcher. His fastball was up to 93-94 consistently, with better movement AND better command. His curveball had gone from poor to above-average, and he mixed in a changeup. His mechanics were cleaner and more consistent. All this showed up in his stats, which were much better in '04 compared to '03.

Caveats: his control is still a work in progress, and he was repeating the Midwest League, although at age 20 he was not too old for the level. But all told, considering the improvement in his numbers and the improvement in person, he looks like a major sleeper to me.  

by John Sickels on Feb 16, 2026 12:31 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

tiffee
I gave Tiffee a C+ in the book, with the note that I may be underrating him. I like Porte's long-term ceiling better than Tiffee, but since Tiffee is closer to the Show he should go on the list I suppose.

by John Sickels on Feb 16, 2026 12:39 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Smith
John,

What chances do you give Rowland-Smith of making the Twins 25 man roster?  What kind of stuff does he have and would that allow him to stick as a 2nd LOOGY out of the Twins already full bullpen?

by murraygd13 on Feb 16, 2026 12:49 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

R-S
Given the pen, R-S making it may be a long shot. His stuff is OK....not bad, not Santana-esque. He'd make a useful long reliever if his command holds up.

by John Sickels on Feb 16, 2026 12:57 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Literally
Exactly the same grade as the A's got. The a's got 2.91, so did the Twins. So thats a B.

by ohad on Feb 16, 2026 1:09 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

College Game
Hey John -

I realize this is off-topic, but do you keep track of college players? If so, I am curious what you think of Stanford's Jed Lowrie and John Mayberry, Jr...

Thanks,

Nolan

by Nolan on Feb 16, 2026 1:22 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

stanford
i go to stanford, and have had a chance to watch the baseball team fairly regularly. those two guys, lowrie and mayberry, are studs.

i can see why scouts like mayberry better (he's a first-round lock, probably top 15). the guy is huge, but moves very well around the bag and on the bases. he has light-tower power and has a very refined approach at the plate. plus, he has pedigree--it certainly helps that his dad was a big-league star.

lowrie doesn't excite the scouts as much, but it's impossible to find anything not to like about his performance. he's a very good defensive 2B, both in terms of range and reliability. and his hitting is out of this world--nobody in the entire NCAA hit better last year, in terms of average, walks, power, and level of competition. he's also a switch-hitter who is just as dangerous from either side. sure, he's a little-ish guy, but i can't for the life of me figure out why he won't be a star in the majors; he does literally everything well (and the most important thing, hitting, extremely well), and guys like that are hard to come by. he's an unimpressive physical specimen; that's the only knock against him, but it might be enough to drop him out of the first round come june.

by jpahk on Feb 16, 2026 4:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

draft
I'm just now beginning research for the draft, and what jpahk says about the Stanford duo matches well with what I have heard. Mayberry should go in the first round, Lowrie sometime in the second or third round, perhaps to a stathead team.

by John Sickels on Feb 16, 2026 5:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks
I'm at the law school at Stanford and went out to the Fresno State games. Lowrie and Mayberry looked awesome but I haven't been around college baseball for too long and was wondering where they stood relative to comptetition. Thanks to the both of you for filling me in.
Nolan

by Nolan on Feb 16, 2026 5:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Romero
Hey John,

Great list.  Can you give us a little more info about Alex Romero?  I'm surprised to see him so high.  

Will the Twins ever stop churning out good outfielders...

by cranston shoemakers on Feb 16, 2026 1:25 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I'm not John, and I didn't even stay at a Holiday
Inn Express last night, but...

Alex Romero is from Venezuela.  Last season he played at Fort Myers in the FSL, where he produced the following line:

.292/.387/.405 at age 21.  He had a 54:47 BB:K ratio in 380 ABs, and has always shown good plate discipline and low strikeouts.  

His age 21 season at Ft. Myers compares favorably to Jason Kubel's line at the same age and level in 2003; Kubel posted .298/.361/.400 with a 48:54 BB:K rate in 420 ABs.  

The lack of power from both players isn't suprising; nobody hits for power there.  Justin Morneau, as a 20 year old, slugged .600 in half a season at Quad Cities (Midwest), then got promoted and could only manage a .437 SLG (with a .294 BA) at Ft. Myers in 200 ABs.  Its where power goes to die.  

Kubel, of course rediscovered his power in 2004 at New Britain and Rochester.  The difference between he and Romero statistically is that Kubel had shown good power before arriving at Ft. Myers, slugging .521 at Quad Cities the year before.  Romero has never shown that kind of power, and while he appears to be a solid on base guy, especially given his age, he hasn't been a basestealer either.  I think he'll have to develop some power to be a top notch prospect.  

John might have more insight about whether he thinks this is a likely development.  

by ericinmadison on Feb 16, 2026 3:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

A couple of other notes:
He is a switch hitter, and according to some who have seen him, has a very good OF arm.  

I assume he will start at AA in New Britain.

by ericinmadison on Feb 16, 2026 3:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Matt Moses
John-

Thanks for the great site.

Do you think Matt Moses will stay at 3B this year?  It sounds like the Twins worked him out at 2B and in the OF during the fall instructional camp.  With Winfree and Portes also at 3b, there does not seem room for them all to stay there long term.

Any thoughts on Michael Rogers chances this season?

Thanks.

by ajc on Feb 16, 2026 1:35 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Thanks John!
This is quickly becoming one of my favorite blogs!  Do you know the current status of Kubel's injured knee?  Is he getting any better?

Also, I'm really looking forward to your Dodgers Top 20.

Thanks again!

by fernandomania on Feb 16, 2026 2:25 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

kubel
The last I heard, it was "going as well as could be expected", which doesn't mean much given how severe the injury was. He didn't just hurt his knee; he basically destroyed it. This would have been career-ending 15 years ago.

by John Sickels on Feb 16, 2026 2:40 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

How did this all happen?
I'm not a twins fan, but i was devastated when i heard this happened. I really like him.

by ohad on Feb 16, 2026 2:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Kubel
I'm not sure once Kubel recovers, which the local press in Mpls say is on track, that his game should be negatively impacted by the injury.  Speed wasn't a part of his game, in any form, and that's the only tool negatively affected.  I think he'll come back better that ever.
Daddyboy

by Daddyboy on Feb 17, 2026 7:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

kubel
Full-speed collision in the outfield during an Arizona Fall League game. He blew out a ligament and did a bunch of other damage to the tissues near the joint. Bad, bad injury.

by John Sickels on Feb 16, 2026 2:52 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Why did he go to the AFL even?
To me, that's like us sending Nick Swisher to the AFL. Why? He was pretty much guarenteed to be in Minnesota after his strong performance last year.

by ohad on Feb 16, 2026 3:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Pls say a few words about Garrett Jones
He had a huge 04, but it sorta had a whiff of fluke about it.  Is he for real?

by Cris E on Feb 16, 2026 3:35 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

perkins
A friend of mine who works with the Gophers baseball team told me last June that Perkins would be in bigs by Aug 05.  I told him that was nuts, but the 04 peformance looked very good at two levels. What's his ceiling? The sum seems greater than the parts, other than a big dose of "knows how to pitch". What can we expect in the next couple years?

by Cris E on Feb 16, 2026 3:40 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

perkins
I saw one of Perkins' starts in the Midwest League last year. Very polished, excellent command, with a better-than-advertised fastball. I think he will move quickly, though August 05 sounds a bit fast to me.

by John Sickels on Feb 16, 2026 4:05 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Durbin
I'm part of the Phillies Phaithful, so this may be a stupid question, but what are the plans for Durbin this year?  He had a pretty nice year last year and if I recall correctly got a September call-up, is he expected to crack the rotation this year?
Jeremiah 29:11

by BowmanChromeAddict on Feb 16, 2026 5:57 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I think he'll almost certainly start in Rochester
Where he didn't dominate last year.  Probably wind up getting a call up sometime in mid-season if he stays healthy.  

The rotation now is:

Santana
Radke
Silva
Lohse
Mays/Mulholland

Only the 5th spot is up for grabs if everyone is healthy.  

There has been some talk that he might be better suited to the bullpen, but I think they will keep him as a starter unless that proves unsuccessful.

by ericinmadison on Feb 16, 2026 6:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Durbin in '05
If Mays/Mulholland survive in the 5th starter role as well as Greisinger/Guerrier/Mulholland did last year, Durbin may not get many ML starts in '05.  He could probably use a solid year in AAA with a 4-5 spot starts after the All Ster Break to give the team an idea whether he can replace Mays or Lohse in the ML rotation in '06.  

Even if Crain or Balfour were on the DL for a while, I would see the team calling up Gassner or Guerrier so that Durbin can keep making his starts.

by ajc on Feb 16, 2026 7:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

sdsad
I'm not a twins fan, but i was devastated when i heard this happened. I really like him.>>>

Same here, he's been one of my favorite prospects for a couple years now. Sucks that he went down like that.

Hopefully he comes back.

by SenorGato88 on Feb 16, 2026 7:12 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Thoughts
Good list, for kicks I made one a couple weeks ago and my top 20 is nearly identical.

The guy I like that's not on John's list is Alexander Smit, the young Dutch lefty. He's a long ways off, but so is Rainville, and I like Smit better.

My only other difference really would be Rowland-Smith. It's not a big deal... I would just put Smith later in the 20s and maybe stick Johnny Woodard in the 20 spot.

It's tough to rank the Twins after 15 or so because of the organization's depth. On my quick and dirty (but long!) ranking, promising Aussie middle infielder Luke Hughes was #40 and #50 was the hard-throwing RHP Matt Yeatman (not going to make it as a starter, but potential as a reliever).

In other words, some prospects are going to come out of nowhere this year for the Twins... not that being in the Twins organization gets you too much hype.

by drivelikejehu on Feb 17, 2026 2:39 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Justin Jones
  John, I'm surprised that Justin Jones didn't make the top 20, though Minnesota does have a deep system.  What are your thoughts on his long-term potential?  Very high-risk but high-reward?  How is his health?

by okbluejays on Feb 17, 2026 9:03 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

my Twins prospect rankings.
  1. Jesse Crain- future closer
  2. Jason kubel- he'll be back next year
  3. Glen perkins- southpaw, loved him at U of M
  4. Scott Baker- Polished, #3 or #4 type guy
  5. Kyle Waldrop- Love this kid, future #2 possible
  6. Francisco Liriano- Southpaw, great stuff
  7. Trevor Plouffe- looks good so far at SS
  8. Alexander smit- Underrated by many, lefty
  9. Jay Rainville- Next clemens/schilling?
  10. Jason Bartlett- Who cares about Guzzy
  11. Adam Harben- Saw him pitch, love him
  12. Anthony Swarzak- Twins love him, battles
  13. Matt Moses- injured a lot, but huge bat
  14. Garrett Jones- Huge bat, needs a follow up yr
  15. Scott Tyler- Unreal stuff, needs to work on control
  16. Alex Romero - Could break out, solid Of'r
  17. Travis Bowyer- Can throw upper 90's, lights out, needs to work on control
  18. Matt Fox- nice pick out of UCF in last years draft, can really bring it.
  19. Deacon Burns- little guy, big pop in his bat
  20. Johnny Woodard- raw power, could move up this list soon, has big potential.

by hotshotschamp on Feb 18, 2026 5:39 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

by the way
Does anyone know anything about this guy the twins signed out of Venezuela?

Johan Pino'  - I believe he dominated competition down there and is 20 years old.

Anyone know what kind of stuff he has, his velocity, potential....what he signed for $$ wise.

I'm just looking for info on the kid.

I hope to see him in Beloit, if they start him there, I hear they may fast track him , cuz he's older.

by hotshotschamp on Feb 18, 2026 6:12 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

ooops
I'd put Durbin around 10th or so, and move every player 1 down.

I'm not completely sold on Durbin.  Besides a fastball he needs to develop another great pitch.

We'll see.  I see him as a bullpen guy , more likely.

Twins SP's im most excited about- Perkins, Smit, Waldrop, Liriano

by hotshotschamp on Feb 18, 2026 6:08 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Twins Prospect Rankings
In early September, right after the minor league season finished, I posted my Top 26 Twins prospects. There are a few changes I would make at this point (Smit, Romero and Rainville higher), but here is what I had at that point:
1.) Jason Kubel
2a.) JD Durbin
2b.) Scott Baker
3.) Jesse Crain
4.) Francisco Liriano
5.) Garrett Jones
6.) Glen Perkins
7.) Kyle Waldrop
8.) Adam Harben
9.) Jason Bartlett
10.) Matt Moses
11.) Trevor Plouffe
12.) Terry Tiffee
13.) Steven Duguay
14.) Boof Bonser
15.) Scott Tyler
16.) Denard Span
17.) Alex Romero
18.) Kevin West
19.) Luis Maza
20.) Alexander Smit
21.) David Gassner
22.) Ricky Barrett
23.) Jay Sawatski
24.) Jay Rainville
25.) Trent Oeltjen
There are probably a dozen or more names I should have mentioned including Justin Jones, Anthony Swarzak, Pat Neshek, Deacon Burns and others.

by SethSpeaks on Feb 19, 2026 6:34 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

nice
good list Seth

by Bobo2 on Feb 19, 2026 10:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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