How telling are a teenager’s A-ball stats?
1) This methodology measures the likelihood that a player made it to the majors and doesn’t take into account how well he played upon arriving. So a player with one big league game is counted the same as a player who went on to have a Hall of Fame-caliber career. A stat that predicts a player’s making the majors may also predict his level of big league success, but that’s not something I attempt to quantify here. 2) This methodology does not account for a player’s defensive skill or position. Obviously, a weak-hitting catcher or shortstop is more likely to crack the majors than a weak-hitting first baseman, but defensive skill is a little hard to quantify for minor leaguers. Prospects change positions all the time and there’s a good chance any given A-baller won’t stick at his current position as he navigates through three more minor league levels. - See more at: http://pinstripepundits.com/2014/07/how-telling-are-a-teenagers-a-ball-stats.html#sthash.pO5nP8F8.8Kjlr6c8.dpuf
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