Update and Suggestion Thread
I've completed the Prospect Smackdowns and Career Profiles that I promised, but would like to do more. Make some suggestions. Minor League Notes (which will be called Prospect Notes until the season starts) will start up again tomorrow or Friday. Matt G. and I are planning on doing a Mock Draft once a month until draft day in June.
A few other housekeeping items:
**It is never too early to start planning for my 2012 Shadow Twins draft. The top candidates I'm looking at at #2 overall are Louisiana State's RHP Kevin Gausman, California prep RHP Lucas Giolito, Florida C Mike Zunino, and Puerto Rican HS shortstop Carlos Correa. I could use some power pitching, but I think Zunino and Correa are the two best position players in the draft and catching and shortstop are needed as much as pitching. I suspect the Real Twins are looking at the same guys, for the same reasons.
UPDATE: Shortly after I posted this article, word came down that Giolito sprained an elbow ligament and will miss the rest of the high school season. That throws a wrench into the draft. More on this tomorrow.
**A baseball friend asked me the other day, "barring injury, is there any way Bryce Harper does NOT get 400 at-bats for the Washington Nationals this year?" What do you guys think about that? Seems like a good topic for a discussion question. I'll post that later.
**We still have some paper copies of the 2012 Baseball Prospect Book available, but at the current rate they will be gone or almost gone by Opening Day. The .pdf will always be available, of course. I actually won a bet with Jeri about this. When it came time to order the book from the printer, I boosted the original order by 20%. She felt these would go unsold, but we've sold more than half of the extras. Thanks to everyone for helping me win a bet with my wife. That doesn't happen very often.
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Smackdown suggestion
Matt Harvey vs. Jake Odorizzi
by BigG'S on Mar 7, 2026 2:06 PM EST reply actions
Giolito and the draft.
Because of the recent news on Giolito, an article about what has happened to top prospects that fell in the draft because of injuries. Were the teams rewarded for taking the risk? or were these players never the same? Something along those lines.
by ROBERTS04 on Mar 7, 2026 2:12 PM EST reply actions
Not Bad
Yeah something from you or Matt on injures impacting draft stock and how it played out could be something worth looking into
by FenixL on Mar 7, 2026 2:48 PM EST up reply actions
Carlos Guillen
Career Profile and Prospect Retro.
by da5id on Mar 7, 2026 2:32 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
+1
Not too many light hitting SSs switch to middle of the order LF/DHs
by Aesop on Mar 7, 2026 7:30 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Smackdown Suggestions
Bauer vs. Skaggs
Rendon vs. Arenado
Rosario vs. Mesoraco
by Aggiefan17 on Mar 7, 2026 3:10 PM EST via mobile reply actions
Career Profile
With recent news of his contract, Andrew McCutchen would be an interesting look
by Bulldawg5 on Mar 7, 2026 3:26 PM EST reply actions
Agreed
Or some type of retro-prospect smackdown between Cutch vs. Bruce and/or Justin Upton because of the contract similarities.
by KentuckyPirate on Mar 7, 2026 4:10 PM EST up reply actions
smackdown
mason williams vs. aaron hicks
by Ryan Kennedy on Mar 7, 2026 3:37 PM EST via Android app reply actions
MiLB 3B comparo
Starting with Sano, Arenado, and Rendon (and going 10+ deep) the minors are full of good and/or interesting prospects at the “hot corner.” Breaking down their collective merits and upside would be interesting…
-peter
by PeterF on Mar 7, 2026 4:05 PM EST via mobile reply actions
former top prospects and if they can still provide value
Reese Havens, Nick Weglarz, Donavan Tate come to mind
go long with extenze...i do
by angelsownredsux on Mar 7, 2026 4:06 PM EST reply actions
Smackdown
Ideally I would have liked Bundy vs Taillon since they were two best prep pitchers of the last 5 years, but since Taillon has already been used than how about
Bundy vs Bauer
Both are small pitchers that still use the long-toss training program, and both drafted top 5. Comparable enough.
by oriolekid on Mar 7, 2026 6:23 PM EST reply actions
Top 25-and-under players
I know we’ve been asking for this for a while, but there’s a reason why. :)
by RM on Mar 7, 2026 7:52 PM EST reply actions
+1
You dont like making and lists, and you dislike mixing pitchers and hitters even more, so what about doing a top 25 under 25 for hitters then another one for pitchers?
by CaptainHowdy on Mar 8, 2026 12:49 AM EST up reply actions
Miss the eye candy!!
Would like to see a crystal ball on Bauer.
I’m a bit old fashioned, but miss the “Guess the prospect” retro’s. Dennis Tankersley’s comeback sparked my interest again.
by ByANose on Mar 7, 2026 7:58 PM EST reply actions
From Matt
Maybe a series leading up to the draft (and the community mock draft) examining teams drafting tendencies, what types of players they go for historically, who they might target in the early rounds this year, and how the CBA might impact these strategies.
by cookiedabookie on Mar 7, 2026 8:32 PM EST reply actions
The next $200 million contracts?
Votto looks pretty well lined up to get that kind of monster deal, but who else could garner that kind of money in the next 5-10 years? Ellsbury? A pitcher? Are the two signed this offseason going to be a trend or an outlier?
by Jaumiusk on Mar 7, 2026 9:22 PM EST reply actions
Non-prospect smackdown: Lucas Duda vs. Allen Craig
by ArbeeEye on Mar 7, 2026 10:12 PM EST reply actions
+1
Like this
"BA doesn't stand for Batting Average. It’s Brandon Allen, as in the percentage of a hitter’s worth compared to Brandon Allen. Ted Williams, at his best, was only 4/10th of the hitter Brandon Allen is today." - YonYonson
by hero66 on Mar 8, 2026 10:34 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
Draft stuff.
Like a top 10 at each position, maybe 5 high school guys, and 5 college guys, when they’ll go, and teams that may be interested.
by Ambient on Mar 7, 2026 11:13 PM EST reply actions
Hot Baseball Wife smackdown
Jamie Kotsay vs. Amanda McCarthy
by sourstuff on Mar 8, 2026 2:05 AM EST reply actions
Minor league position smackdown
Take two teams and compare one position all the way down their minors.
For example, take the Texas Rangers and Anaheim Angels and compare their AAA 3B, their AA 3B, their high A 3B etc
Obviously, some of the depth of comments you get in individual player smackdowns would have to sacrificed because you have to cover more players.
by siggian on Mar 8, 2026 10:08 AM EST reply actions
Maybe some kind of top 25 or 50
of guys who just lost their prospect eligibility towards the end of last season, and where they would rank (in the top 120) if they still had eligibility.
Guys like Jose Altuve, Dayan Viciedo, Henderson Alvarez, Hector Noesi, etc.
by ArbeeEye on Mar 8, 2026 5:22 PM EST reply actions
Top 10 lists for each tool?
So a top 10 list of the prospects with the best power potential, batting potential, fielding potential, throwing potential and speed/base-running potential. Also, would like to see a list of pitching prospects with the best fastball, breaking ball, control/command, etc.
by Gadfly26 on Mar 8, 2026 8:49 PM EST reply actions
Breakout prospects
This is your “official” reminder from last week’s AQA about exploring prospects you expect to make the next big step this year
by innerBodhi on Mar 8, 2026 10:43 PM EST reply actions
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