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Project Prospect Top 25



Project Prospect

They posted their top 25 on facebook. Doing a chat on their website and releasing the top 100 later today.

Really interesting list like always from them. Banuelos even higher on this list than MLBs.

- Surprised not to see Turner on a top 25.

- Bogaerts looks pretty high considering how much PP weighs floors.

- Delgado looks pretty high for me.

- I also think Parker is ranked too high compared to some of the guys he's ranked over.

Always a interesting discussion...

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Make that top 100

Projectprospect.com

by CaptainHowdy on Jan 27, 2026 12:30 PM EST reply actions  

I can't believe I ever used to pay attention to what they said

Teheran outside the top 10 pitchers?!?!?!? Behind Jarrod Parker, who has never posted an FIP in any extended stop in his career as low as what Teheran just did in AAA, and Teheran just so happens to be over 2 years younger. Teheran behind Martin Perez, who is basically the same age and has struggled far more at the same levels as Teheran the past 2 seasons. Teheran behind multiple guys who have yet to throw a pitch in a regular professional game. But hey, Adam saw him a few years ago in spring training and his curve didn’t look good at that point, so obviously the ranking must be justified…SMDH

by nixa37 on Jan 27, 2026 12:38 PM EST reply actions  

I don't mind it.

It seems they’re making a strong comment on Teheran’s fastball command, and his ability to improve it. It may not be a popular opinion, but they’ve at least got a reasonable justification for it. I find it interesting, personally.

by PissedMick on Jan 27, 2026 1:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Except fastball command isn't the worry with Teheran

Its the command of the secondaries that’s the issue. There’s also the issue of consistency, as Delgado, who has lesser stuff and results and more of an issue with fastball command, is ranked right behind Teheran.

by nixa37 on Jan 27, 2026 1:32 PM EST up reply actions  

His justification is basically that he doesn't like Teheran's delivery

I don’t see that as much of a justification, especially when it has been a complete non-issue up to this point. For a guy who is apparently consistently throwing strikes despite an inability to hit his spots, he sure does an amazing job limiting BABIP and HR/9. Its almost like he’s able to throw his pitches where guys have trouble hitting them, or something. Must be the luckiest pitcher in the world or something.

by nixa37 on Jan 27, 2026 1:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I am actually shocked

At how conventional this list appears to be. Miguel Sano is way too low, but whatever. They are not taking chances by ranking certain players very high that might not make other top 100 lists. I mean Neil Ramirez and David Holmberg are pretty high, but they aren’t going way out on a limb with those two. I preferred the more original controversial lists of past years..

by auclairkeithbc on Jan 27, 2026 12:47 PM EST reply actions  

Haha

I’ll miss the Adam that could kill trolls with his kindness ;-)

Faced with the choice between changing one's mind and proving that there is no need to do so, almost everyone gets busy on the proof. -John Kenneth Galbraith, economist (1908-2006)

by chewbalka on Jan 27, 2026 7:26 PM EST up reply actions  

i believe

They have always been quite high on delgado.

by St.Steve on Jan 27, 2026 1:12 PM EST reply actions  

Adam

Has always preferred Delgado to Teaheran.

by CaptainHowdy on Jan 27, 2026 3:27 PM EST up reply actions  

D’Arnaud not in the top 25?

by Sniderlover on Jan 27, 2026 1:42 PM EST reply actions  

d'Arnaud is too low

And Kelly, again, is too high. I also don’t think Hech is a top 100 prospect.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 27, 2026 1:45 PM EST reply actions  

his reply

@AdamWFoster:
We had d’Arnaud pretty high entering 2011. He struck out a fair amount in Double-A and doesn’t draw many walks. If not for a 16.9% BB rate in May, he’d be under 6% BB on the season.

by pedrophile on Jan 27, 2026 2:18 PM EST up reply actions  

I hate that stuff sometimes

“If not for going 7-10 on sunny Thursdays, his average would have been lower”.

by killa on Jan 27, 2026 2:38 PM EST up reply actions  

His power makes up for that K%, though

An ISO of .231 (1.74 bases per hit) ranked 3rd in the entire Eastern League and 16th among all qualified players in AA. For a catcher who can play good defense, that’s really good.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 27, 2026 2:38 PM EST up reply actions  

but there are legit concerns on the BB/K ratio

and for a good D catcher his ability to stop the running game was quite poor and he allowed quite a few passed balls.

As good of a prospect as he is there are a few red flags. It will be hard to gauge his progress in 2012 since he will be in Vegas.

by pedrophile on Jan 27, 2026 4:22 PM EST up reply actions  

d’Arnaud had a (MiLB) career 0.44 BB/K ratio going into the 2011 season, which isn’t too bad. We’ll have to see if he can drop the K-rate a bit this season, but is it really surprising to see it go up after such a rise in the power department in 2011?

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 27, 2026 6:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Umm… they dropped him a bit on the list from last season after he had his best season yet and they have Gary Sanchez, Rosario and Grandal as catchers ahead of him.

And they didnt even have lawrie on the list last season.

by Sniderlover on Jan 27, 2026 10:58 PM EST up reply actions  

They love them some Padres

although I don’t really think Decker and Darnell are top 100 prospects. Especially not ahead of Gyorko.

by walnut falcons on Jan 27, 2026 1:47 PM EST reply actions  

David Holmberg

at 48 seems awfully high

by blue bulldog on Jan 27, 2026 1:58 PM EST reply actions  

D'arnaud d'oubter

I’m not crazy about Travis’ defense (13 PB’s in 98 games, and 27% CS [24% career]), and the BB/K/AB of 33/100/466 doesn’t inspire confidence, either. I like him in the 30-40 range.

Weird not to see any MWL position prospects in the top 50, and Taijuan Walker & Carlos Martinez outside the top 40 as well. As for Midwest League batsmen, I do like the aggressive Torreyes ranking at #75, but Taveras(65), Cuthbert(67), Wong(78), Liriano(79), and Marisnick(100) are all far too low, by my lights.

by Mekonsrock on Jan 27, 2026 2:53 PM EST reply actions  

D'Arnaud has some things to iron out

but he’s got soft hands and is quick behind the plate. Out of all the catchers I saw this year I think I would want to throw to D’Arnaud over anyone else. Its polish, not tools defensively.

D’Arnaud gets overly aggressive at times and his swing can get long as he starts looking for balls to jack, but he has good control of the strike zone in general.

For impact bat potential Mesoraco has him beat, but there isn’t a more complete catching prospect in the minors than Travis D’Arnaud.

www.bullpenbanter.com
twitter: @alskor

by alskor on Jan 28, 2026 2:52 AM EST up reply actions  

I agree, D 'Arnaud has such tremendous lower body strenght, not saying it matches Meso cause i'd be suprised by that.

But D’Arnaud just looks like he’s built to be a catcher for the long term and the long haul…. With power still developing imo.

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/photo-logan-morrison-bryan-petersen-share-tub-drink-043548597.html

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jan 29, 2026 10:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Adam started

doing a lot of hitting prospect lists over the winter that focused on age, and certain peripherals (e.g. walk and strikeout rate, IsoP) that were a couple of deviations above each league’s average. I haven’t taken a hard look but I’m betting the list reflects this new angle.

by charles wallace on Jan 27, 2026 3:34 PM EST reply actions  

Not really

He basically said they were just to start conversations, and I can think of at least a few rankings that completely ignore what those lists said.

by nixa37 on Jan 27, 2026 4:22 PM EST up reply actions  

I talked to hime about it,

and when he ran those lists it was to start conversations. He’s never hewed to any particular approach completely, so I don’t think that saying a few rankings completely ignore a given approach is anything but SOP. Even when they emphasized floor it’s not like every ranking clearly adhered to that. Mostly it informed a few of the more deviant and aggressive rankings, like Mike Leake or Darwin Barney. PP has always been a balancing act, where stats, conversations with evaluators and first hand viewing are blended together for a highly personal take.

More to the point, their rankings definitely reflect a few of the players turned up and highlighted by those winter lists, so it strikes me that they’ve gone beyond conversation-starters. YMMV.

by charles wallace on Jan 28, 2026 4:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Olt

Surprised to see him so low. And to see Montgomery’s rating went up. How did THAT happen?

The 2008 Rogelio Moret League Fantasy Baseball Champions!

by The Congo Hammer on Jan 27, 2026 7:51 PM EST reply actions  

Montgomery

I dont think its strange he went up. BA had him #1. A year has passed, prospects move up and down.

by CaptainHowdy on Jan 27, 2026 8:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Too low on Mike Olt, Jarred Cosart should at least be an HM

PP makes a bit too much of mechanics though, so it’s not surprising.

http://www.crawfishboxes.com

by OremLK on Jan 27, 2026 10:05 PM EST reply actions  

a mess at times

Taijuan Walker should be way higher. I’m surprised Jake Marisnick doesn’t get more respect. Another guy I like is Cubs OF Matt Szczur. He put together a nice first year and he hasn’t even played a lot of baseball. Never see him on any lists.

by The Scout on Jan 27, 2026 10:11 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Neil Ramirez

looks like he’s falling…they love(d) this guy over there.

by Rupert Pupkin on Jan 28, 2026 2:06 AM EST reply actions  

A couple things

Why is Manny Banuelos at 9, and Julio Teheran at 21? I mean, sometimes I like their style, going with more hitters, and going with more floor, as it’s a good idea, but some of their rankings don’t use that and have me scratching my head.Banuelos that high and Teheran that low just seems insane. John gave Teheran an A and Banuelos a B. What is with all this Banuelos hype, Piliere had him at 9, Mayo had him at 13, and now project prospect has him at 9. I would put him somewhere in the 50s to 60s range. John thinks Matt Barnes is better, and I agree. Also, what is up with their Red Sox prospect ranking? Last year, they had Yamaico Navarro on the list as the 3rd best prospect, he just got traded twice, but at least he fit their high floor style. Why is Sean Coyle third? This makes no sense, Sean Coyle is 11 or 12 to me, and he’s not even a high floor guy. I like that they haven’t given up on Iglesias, but he’s too high, I think he’s the 6th best Red Sox prospect.
This would be my top 15 Sox Prospects.
1.Bogaerts
2.Lavarnway
3. Barnes
4.Middlebrooks
5. Cecchini
6. Iglesias
7. Ranaudo
8. Brentz
9. Swihart
10. Jacobs
11. Coyle
12. Bradley Jr.
13. Wilson
14. Vitek
15. Owens

Also, this should go in the MLB prospects thread, but why does MLB have Oscar Tejeda as the fourth best second baseman prospect? That’s ridiculous, he has zero plate discipline, is coming off an awful season, and isn’t even the best 2nd baseman in the Sox minor leagues, Coyle is.

I am really looking forward to John’s top 100, finally we won’t have to see ridiculous stuff like Brentz as the 2nd best Red Sox prospect, or Coyle as the 3rd best, or Oscar Tejeda the 4th best 2nd baseman prospect, or Manny Banuelos in the top 10, or Julio Teheran out of the top 20.

by Bososx13 on Jan 28, 2026 10:41 AM EST reply actions  

wait, Oscar Tejeda got bumped up! He's now the 2nd best

2nd base prospect in baseball. How ridiculous can you get? Sean Coyle, while definitely not being the 3rd best Red Sox prospect like project prospect says, is way better than Oscar Tejeda.

by Bososx13 on Jan 28, 2026 10:43 AM EST up reply actions  

I have a question for you:

if there are many scout types that really like Banuelos then maybe it’s not hype. Maybe they like something more than the numbers. Maybe there is something to him?

After all, isn’t the purpose of these lists to learn?

by pedrophile on Jan 28, 2026 1:01 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I agree.

Scouts are always 100% correct and never overhype a certain player.

by mr. maniac on Jan 28, 2026 3:08 PM EST up reply actions  

No, I agree.

Any time scouts like a player who doesn’t line up with what amateur prospect hobbyists think, it’s because they’re overhyping said player.

by PissedMick on Jan 28, 2026 4:46 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

lol

i love how all you guys enjoy making comments regarding the extreme ends of a spectrum, and think that by making fun of other people’s extreme comments, that automatically means your own non-extreme view is more accurate

by blue bulldog on Jan 28, 2026 5:16 PM EST up reply actions  

i'm not talking about your comment

i’m talking about maniac and mick’s

by blue bulldog on Jan 29, 2026 2:57 PM EST up reply actions  

maybe I didnt understand

mr.maniac made a comment that could only be construed as sarcasm as it’s a known fact scouts are indeed wrong. This sarcasm could only be directed at my point supporting scouting. If indeed I had stated scouting was correct and should be taken over statistics then he would have a target. It would be a rude point and debatable whether it was correct. But it would be a point.

But since my statement only mentioned that when scouting and stats disagree then there might be a basis to see what scouting has to say. There was no favouritism of one over the other.

IMO PissedMick was just teasing mr.maniac because his comment was both rude and uninformed.

by pedrophile on Jan 29, 2026 4:43 PM EST up reply actions  

ahhh, instead of a thought out reply I get snark

when my comment didn’t say anything about the scouts being right. My comment was only when many scouts have a different view from your own maybe you should check why their opinion is different. Maybe they have something to offer.

After all if none of them have anything to offer, which I highly doubt, why are you even reading their reports or wasting your time commenting on it?

by pedrophile on Jan 29, 2026 11:31 AM EST up reply actions  

well John dosen't insanely overhype Banuelos.

and I’m guessing BA and BP and Law won’t

by Bososx13 on Jan 28, 2026 7:41 PM EST up reply actions  

You're just making noise.

You seem to have opinions you feel very strongly about. I suggest you put that energy into making some kind of cogent, supported argument, instead of posting 12 times in each subthread you’re interested in, while not really saying anything. I might actually want to read that.

by PissedMick on Jan 28, 2026 8:49 PM EST up reply actions  

oops, I was looking at the 2011 list,

Tejeda is still fourth, which I was complaining about in my original post.

by Bososx13 on Jan 28, 2026 10:52 AM EST reply actions  


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