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Arizona Diamondbacks 2011 Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review

Arizona Diamondbacks 2011 Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review

I am reviewing my PRE-SEASON list of Top 20 prospects for 2011 for each organization, continuing today with the Arizona Diamondbacks. This list was originally published November 18, 2025.  On Monday we will review the Tampa Bay Rays, on Tuesday we will review the Chicago Cubs, and on Wednesday we will review the Texas Rangers.


This is a review of the 2011 Pre-Season Top 20 list. IT IS NOT A NEW LIST.

The 2012 list and new grades won't be ready until the season is over and I start writing the book.

1) Jarrod Parker, RHP, Grade B: 4.08 ERA, 77/44 K/BB in 86 innings for Double-A Mobile, 75 hits, 1.69 GO/AO. Has recovered his stuff post-Tommy John, but still working on refining his command. Has pitched very well in last 10 starts, 2.25 ERA, 1.93 GO/AO, 48/23 K/BB with zero homers in 48 innings.

Star-divide

2) Tyler Skaggs, LHP, Grade B:   3.22 ERA with 125/34 K/BB in 101 innings for High-A Visalia, 81 hits. Has given up 14 hits and eight runs in 10 Double-A innings, 12/4 K/BB. Just 20 years old, very impressive campaign overall.

3) Matt Davidson, 3B-1B, Grade B, borderline B-:   .278/.351/.437 with 10 homers, 39 walks, 105 strikeouts in 378 at-bats for Visalia. Strikeout rate is excessive, defense at third remains rough, but will he hit enough for first base?

4) Chris Owings, SS, Grade B-:  Hitting .254/.286/.398 with 11 walks, 90 strikeouts in 354 at-bats for Visalia, error-prone on defense. Pre-season worries about contact/strikeouts were legitimate, but young enough to improve.

5) Wade Miley, LHP, Grade B-:   4.78 ERA, 46/28 K/BB, 1.76 GO/AO in 75 innings for Mobile. Is 3-0, 3.43 in three Triple-A starts, 13/8 K/BB, 16 hits in 21 innings. 1.96 GO/AO on the year. Good sinker/slider combination, could sneak up on people next year with proper defensive support.

6) Bobby Borchering, 3B-1B, Grade B-:  .267/.329/.475 with 18 homers, 34 walks, 112 strikeouts in 375 at-bats for Visalia. More power than Davidson this year, but also has serious strikeout issues and defensive doubts.

7) Marc Krauss, OF, Grade B-:  .240/.341/.445 for Mobile, 12 homers, 47 walks, 95 strikeouts in 308 at-bats. Will draw walks and has left-side power, but scouts weren't sure how his bat would hold up against advanced pitching and his tools are mediocre.

8) Pat Corbin, LHP, Grade B-:  4.07 ERA, 104/23 K/BB in 113 innings for Mobile, 113 hits. Just turned 22. Love the K/BB ratio.

9) Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, Grade B-:   .302/.422/.618 with 28 homers, 70 walks, 88 strikeouts in 348 at-bats for Mobile. Batting average has tailed off in July but still an outstanding season, terrific power and improved contact.

10) Charlie Brewer, RHP, Grade B-:  3.0 ERA with 32/9 K/BB in 39 innings for Mobile, 37 hits. I ranked him much higher than most people and he was pitching very well until he broke his hand on June 2nd.

11) A.J. Pollock, OF, Grade B-:  .310/.357/.447 with 31 walks, 74 strikeouts, 24 steals in 407 at-bats for Mobile. A very fine season coming back from 2010 elbow injury.

12) David Holmberg, LHP, Grade C+:  2.39 ERA with 81/13 K/BB in 83 innings for Low-A South Bend, 4.03 ERA with 22/9 K/BB in 22 innings for Visalia, 23 hits. A fine season.

13) J.R. Bradley, RHP, Grade C+:   5.02 ERA with 56/35 K/BB in 95 innings for South Bend, 118 hits. Projectable high school kid is having problems in first full season but is just 19.

14) Robbie Rowland, RHP, Grade C+:  7.31 ERA with 23/6 K/BB in 28 innings for Missoula in the Pioneer League, 46 hits, 2.80 GO/AO. Projectable high school arm, throwing strikes and getting grounders but struggling with consistency.

15) Colin Cowgill, OF, Grade C+:  .356/.432/.558 with 29 steals, 50 walks, 58 strikeouts in 382 at-bats for Triple-A Reno. Outstanding season with speed, OBP, power, deserves major league chance soon.

16) Josh Collmenter, RHP, Grade C+:  2.65 ERA with 58/16 K/BB in 85 innings for the Diamondbacks, 64 hits. Outstanding rookie season in the majors from a pitcher that scouts usually dismissed. Didn't rank at all in Baseball America's top 30 list for Arizona.

17) Ryan Wheeler, 3B, Grade C+:  .316/.373/.523 with 15 homers, 30 walks, 74 strikeouts in 348 at-bats for Mobile with adequate defense. A solid year.

18) Chase Anderson, RHP, Grade C+:  Pitched 13 innings for Visalia with a 20/1 K/BB but went on DL in May with elbow problems. Pitchability guy like Collmenter and Brewer when healthy.

19) Michael Belfiore, LHP, Grade C+: 6.07 ERA with 52/38 K/BB in 56 innings for Visalia, 66 hits. Command problems the issue here, though he has been more effective since switch to bullpen.

20) Adam Eaton, OF, Grade C+:   .332/.455/.492 with 24 steals in 65 games for Visalia, .329/.443/.534 in 18 games for Mobile. 51/56 BB/K in 317 at-bats combined. Similar to Cowgill: an undersized guy but has some tools and a lot of polish.

Interesting mixture of tools players from the high school ranks and skill players from college, with the more polished guys having better performance this year, lead by Collmenter. Feel free in the comments section to ask about guys who weren't on the Pre-Season Top 20 but who are doing well this year.

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What grade would Skaggs and Goldy have now?

close to A-? or more like B+?

I survived the 2004 & 2010 seasons.
Goldschmidt is AWESOME

by dbacks25 on Jul 24, 2025 1:10 PM EDT reply actions  

Goldy

I guess he has disappointed you as of late? In his prospect of the day feature you said if he keeps it up he would be an A-, and maybe even an A

by gobruins12345 on Jul 25, 2025 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Things change as we get more data

What date was the feature written?

Big Sexy

Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey

by King Billy Royal on Jul 25, 2025 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

June 2

https://www.minorleagueball.com/2011/6/2/2201292/prospect-of-the-day-paul-goldschmidt-1b-arizona-diamondbacks#68672796

Maybe John just got a little ahead of himself and with more time to evaluate an A- doesn’t seem quite as certain by the end of the season? Or maybe he still sees the A- as a good possibility but he wants more data to be sure.

by nixa37 on Jul 25, 2025 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

That is almost 2 months ago

That is quite a bit of time.

Big Sexy

Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey

by King Billy Royal on Jul 25, 2025 11:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

But like he said, barring a huge slump or horrible injury A-

I don’t think the last 7 weeks or whatever constitutes a huge slump, so I found the lack of an A- still somewhat interesting.

by nixa37 on Jul 26, 2025 12:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

He's regressed a bit

B+ is about right.

Founder and Chairman of the Hire A Body Double For David Hernandez's Right Arm Commission. A non-profit organization.

by Dan Strittmatter on Jul 25, 2025 9:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

"If he keeps it up"

In the two months since he wrote that, Goldschmidt’s OPS is 200 points lower, his K rate is 55% higher and his walk rate is 45% lower than it was in the two months before he wrote that. Now, “If he keeps it up” was kind of a crazy idea in the first place because

by realitypolice on Jul 26, 2025 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

hah, I bet you thought that sentence had an ending!

because… an 1140 OPS is just not feasible for virtually any hitter in the game.

by realitypolice on Jul 26, 2025 10:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

John

With Goldy’s obviously better plate discipline, why are so many scouts still so unsure of him?

by RedHopeful on Jul 24, 2025 1:30 PM EDT reply actions  

Bat Speed seems to be a universal negative among scouts/analysts who don’t expect big things.

by dj07551 on Jul 24, 2025 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

This

He still doesn’t pull much, as an excessive number of his home runs are opposite-field. Worries that he’ll be able to catch up to quality big-league fastballs on the inside part of the plate are huge among scouts.

Founder and Chairman of the Hire A Body Double For David Hernandez's Right Arm Commission. A non-profit organization.

by Dan Strittmatter on Jul 24, 2025 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Josh Collmenter

Becoming a favorite of mine for his “I don’t know how he does it” ability to succeed.

by cookiedabookie on Jul 24, 2025 1:39 PM EDT reply actions  

I still think he's a reliever

But… if he can keep doing this through the end of the year, do you just admit that it’s bonkers and give credence to the idea that he could be a starter?

Founder and Chairman of the Hire A Body Double For David Hernandez's Right Arm Commission. A non-profit organization.

by Dan Strittmatter on Jul 24, 2025 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Top 3 farm system in baseball?

John assuming they sign Bauer and Archie Bradley, is this a top 3 system in all of baseball now?

by Tim Montague on Jul 24, 2025 2:59 PM EDT reply actions  

No no no

Jays, Rays, and Rangers are the clear top-3 right now. There are a few other teams I’d talk about before the Diamondbacks too.

by gore51 on Jul 24, 2025 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

I see where your coming from but..

The Diamondbacks will have arguably 5 B+ or better prospects in Bauer, Bradley, Goldschmidt, Skaggs and Parker. Not sure if the Rays and Blue Jays can match that with their graduations.

by Tim Montague on Jul 24, 2025 4:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

If they sign Bradley

Which is by no means a sure thing.

Seth Rosin can hit the side of a barn with a baseball. From space.
Giants baseball: We're stupid enough to WIN that (TM)

by quincy0191 on Jul 27, 2025 3:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

He'll sign

$7MM to sign now or go be the second-string QB for Oklahoma and risk injury that loses it all? Pretty clear choice.

Founder and Chairman of the Hire A Body Double For David Hernandez's Right Arm Commission. A non-profit organization.

by Dan Strittmatter on Jul 27, 2025 4:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

farms

I don’t do mid-season farm system rankings.

by John Sickels on Jul 24, 2025 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not to mention

That Chafin and Meo are darned good picks as well. Winkler would be an interesting sign.

Top-5 for sure, in my mind.

Founder and Chairman of the Hire A Body Double For David Hernandez's Right Arm Commission. A non-profit organization.

by Dan Strittmatter on Jul 24, 2025 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Prospects

seems to me many analysts/ranking sites have been wrong(a little off) about many minor league level players. Looking around many players have exceeded pre rankings at alot of ranking/prospect web sites. Including some players who have made the jump from AA. And have stayed. No not a ton but eneough. i know there are many other factors but they still have to be talented. Not saying they are just better than many thought. But improved alot more than many thought they would.

by Strocat on Jul 24, 2025 10:42 PM EDT reply actions  

Yazy Arbelo

Slightly old for the Midwest League, but on pace for 30 doubles and 30 HR.

by BaseballEvolution on Jul 25, 2025 12:47 AM EDT reply actions  

Slightly old?

He’s 23, two years above league average age. Watched him plenty of times earlier this year - only thing he could hit outside of the infield is a fastball and his spray chart is probably 95% (perhaps a slight exaggeration, but… honestly, perhaps not) to the right of the second baseman. There’s raw power there, but nothing as far as approach is concerned.

Not a top-30 guy for me.

Founder and Chairman of the Hire A Body Double For David Hernandez's Right Arm Commission. A non-profit organization.

by Dan Strittmatter on Jul 25, 2025 2:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

For what it’s worth, the average age in the MWL rounds up to 22, though obviously you’d like to see a top prospect be 21 or under in single A.

by limozeen on Jul 25, 2025 12:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ryan Wheeler

Just curious if you’ve had a chance to see him in person or on video, or if you are hearing that he might be adequate enough to stick at 3B.

If Ryan Wheeler could stick at 3B, his prospect value would drastically improve in my opinion.

Thanks.

by blue bulldog on Jul 25, 2025 8:43 AM EDT reply actions  

Kable Hogben?

Aussie reliever put up a 0.53 ERA in 17 IP with a 27/1 K/BB in Short Season Yakima after a 0.72 ERA in 37 1/3 last year with the same team.
Has struggled a bit after promotion to South Bend though with a 3.29 ERA in 13 2/3 IP with a 12/7 K/BB

by bbtng on Jul 25, 2025 10:47 AM EDT reply actions  

Low arm slot,

Close to sidearm, slightly higher than that. ROOGY at best.

Founder and Chairman of the Hire A Body Double For David Hernandez's Right Arm Commission. A non-profit organization.

by Dan Strittmatter on Jul 25, 2025 9:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

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