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Around SBN: Breeders' Cup 2011 Full Coverage
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Tuesday Notes

Tuesday Thoughts

Sick, miserable, and unable to concentrate all day, but there are a few recent news items I want to comment on.

Star-divide

 ***James Paxton signed with the Mariners yesterday for a reported $942,500. He supposedly turned down $874,000 from the Blue Jays in 2009. Was sitting out a year worth that extra $68,500? It hardly seems like it to me.  One of the things I am planning on studying soon is the fate of these "get drafted, don't sign, go to independent ball and/or sit out most of a year" guys. Does it impact their development? 

***Lots of buzz revolving around Toronto Blue Jays prospects Brett Lawrie and Eric Thames. Lawrie is the bigger name, of course, acquired from the Brewers for Shaun Marcum over the winter. He's reportedly looking good in his switch over to third base, and he's hit well thus far (6-for-18, .333 with a homer and a double). There's been considerable internet chatter recently about Lawrie's "red-ass" personality and how it could impact his career. I've heard mixed things about it from baseball people. Some really like his intensity on the field and high-energy style of play, while others say he's immature off-the-field, volatile on it, and doesn't work enough on defense. I've tended to be pro-Lawrie but we'll see how that pans out. I can think of examples of similar players who channeled their energy in a positive way, and others who didn't. Makeup is a tough thing to assess in the present and even harder to predict for the future. Lawrie seems to have a sense of fearlessness which will be helpful for the future, but eventually he will fail. How will he handle that?

Thames, meanwhile, is 6-fo-19 (.316) with two walks, three strikeouts, a double, triple, and homer thus far. He looked good to me when I saw him in the Arizona Fall League, as a guy with solid across-the-board tools, power from the left side, and good-enough plate discipline. I've heard knocks on his defense and complaints about his handling of inside pitches, but my observations and instincts are that these issues are overblown. I don't think he's a future star but I do think he will be a good player.

***Lefty Scott Diamond has pitched four scoreless innings in Twins camp, albeit with four hits allowed and a 1/2 K/BB. Rumors indicate that the Twins like this Rule 5 pick and will try to work out a deal with the Braves to keep him if they can't fit him on the major league roster to begin the year. Diamond is like a stereotype of a Twins pitcher: he doesn't have super-blazing velocity, but he keeps the ball down, changes speeds, and throws strikes. I can see him being a successful fifth starter or long relief type. He could be a useful source of filler innings for fantasy players.

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Comments

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Yay!

Jays stuff!

John, how likely (or unlikely rather) is it that Lawrie starts the year in Toronto?

by Pikachu on Mar 8, 2026 8:22 PM EST reply actions  

not john

but, considering the switch to another position and being really young I don’t see why he would start in the majors this year, I think if he performs really well in the minors for the first couple of months and shows he can handle 3B, he could get the call. I think it would also help if the Jays manage to trade Rivera. That way they can put Bautista back in RF, then bring up Lawrie to play 3B.

by daman316 on Mar 8, 2026 8:25 PM EST up reply actions  

I watched the Jays on Sunday

And Thames looked impressive, really kick bat and nice swing. Lawrie looked pretty good as well, hands were really kick, though his whole swing didn’t look as nice as Thames. Zach Stewarts line was nice, although he left many pitches up in the zone, but at the same time both his fastball and slider looked good.

by daman316 on Mar 8, 2026 8:23 PM EST reply actions  

I worry about the jays having room for Thames this year. Short of dealing EE in July and going back to the unfortunate “young player as a DH” problem again, i don’t see where he fits unless Lawrie fails.

I’ve been a big believer in him since he was drafted and i hope they give him every chance to succeed (or get something really nice for him at some point)

by TamRa on Mar 8, 2026 8:53 PM EST reply actions  

i think he'd be a september call up

if he does well in AAA this year with a chance to be the DH next year. I don’t see a reason to bring him up this year. despite his age he is still relatively inexperienced.

by daman316 on Mar 8, 2026 8:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I like the idea of an article on guys that sit out a year for a bigger bonus....

but it will be interesting to see if we could really ever tackle the fact that there isn’t really a control group. There is only 1 James Paxton and he will only follow 1 career path. We will never know what James Paxton would have been like had he signed last year.

by Kenneth Arthur on Mar 9, 2026 11:31 AM EST reply actions  

Levon Washington comes to mind right away

just off the top of my head, not sure what the diff is in what TB offered or if there were other circumstances

by BigG'S on Mar 9, 2026 1:34 PM EST up reply actions  

What would the Twins be willing to give up for Diamond?

I’d think he’s worth would be around another prospect in the lower tier minors that would be in the C\C+ range. I wouldn’t think that we’d looking for Aaron Hicks or anything so I’d think a deal could be struck.

The names I’d test the waters with would be along the lines of Nate Roberts or Eddie Rosario, but I’d take an A ball arm with good stuff as well. Thoughts from MIN fans?

by theatlfan on Mar 9, 2026 11:59 AM EST reply actions  

How’d he steal Gorman Thomas’s mustache without the big guy noticing?

by realitypolice on Mar 10, 2026 8:59 AM EST up reply actions  

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