Top 25 AL Prospects for Fantasy
So I know it's hard to generalize what kind of players are good players in fantasy baseball due to the many different types of leagues with their own set of rules, categories, etc. For the sake of just keeping things simple though, I'll just do it this way, even though its not quite how my own league runs. Offensive Cats as BA, HR, RP, OPS, and SB Pitching - Wins, ERA, WHIP, SV and K. I will assume that players must get promoted from a fantasy team's minor league roster when reaching the majors (except for Sept. call-ups) so that their spot on the minor league roster gets filled at the next year's draft by another minor leaguer. Also lets say there is a limit to the amount of years you can keep a particular player once they reach the majors (let's just say 5 years) Basically I'm doing this so that the emphasis changes from a standard prospect list in this way.
- Higher-level major league ready prospects are more valuable than long-term projects in the lower minors since the latter will clog up your minor league roster spots
- Early peaking prospects are more valuable than late bloomers. Therefore older prospects may be more valuable than young players than haven't yet filled out or will take time to figure out things at the major league level.
- Hitting prospects are more valuable than pitching prospects. In most leagues, a quality hitter is harder to come by off the waiver wire than a quality pitcher or at least a succesful fluke. Hitters also tend to be more valuable early on.
- Defensive ability is not weighted. The only way it comes into play is regarding current and future position eligibility.
So now, with that out of the way, here is my list. I write something for the positives and negatives of every prospect regardless of how good they are, so don't get too hung up on it. I hope you find it helpful somewhat or at least interesting. Enjoy!
1. Jesus Montero - Good - Massive power hitting ability, should hit for great average too. May qualify at catcher initially due to minor league games played, giving him incredible immediate value.
Bad - If he doesn't qualify at catcher, will need to beast to maintain value at DH, though he still should. Also, while the bat is ready, he may have to wait until 2011 before making his debut. Of course N. Johnson may get injured...
2. Carlos Santana - Good - Likely to stay at catcher, has great plate discipline with great power and overall hitting skills. Has the door wide open for him to make his debut midseason, and should succeed early.
Bad - Not much to say except that Marson is still a solid catching prospect so he may not be a full backup, and gives the Indians a slightly shorter leash. Some may worry that he won't get a full season in Triple-A, i think it's fine though.
3. Desmond Jennings - Good - The steals potential alone will give him a high floor in terms of having immediate value, and can do much more. Also has already played in Triple-A so a promotion should be coming soon.
Bad - Well-rounded so it's tough to say. Will help in every category, but won't be a huge asset in power hitting. Power may improve over time, but may take some time to put it all-together
4. Justin Smoak - Good - Has the tools to hit for average and power, will be in a great hitting environment, and should be major league ready very soon and should immediately produce.
Bad - Is an injury risk after his 2009 season, and also may get stuck in a logjam if Davis succeeds at 1B this year.
5. Neftali Feliz - Good - Has already shown he can dominate hitters on MLB level while pitching in relief in 2009, so there's no doubt his stuff is major league ready. Can get wins on an offensive powerhouse and should have value early.
Bad - While his stuff may be ready, he has a lot of questions regarding his transition to a starter. His dominance may come down some, and there's always the Joba risk in playing that game. Pitch counts may limit win opps in 2010.
6. Chris Carter - Good - Light-tower power, and has shown improvements in plate disciple every step of the way. Could have a Chris Davis of '08-like breakthrough in 2010. Should hit HR no matter what. Very major-league ready.
Bad - Has a low floor, since he could experience similar struggles to Davis in 2009 if he continues to whiff on solid breaking balls. May put up bad Batting average in first year or two, and walks don't count in fantasy.
7. Dustin Ackley - Good - has pure hitting skills, which are the easiest to build off of for early power development etc. Is very polished and could probably succeed even now. 2B eligibility would help a lot initially for value.
Bad - While he may rise quickly, the M's may decide to go slow and steady and he'll have to wait til 2011. If he only qualifies at OF, the lack of immediate power could hurt is value unless he builds it quickly.
8. Brian Matusz - Good - I think he may not make the biggest impression in 2010, but from 2011 on should find his groove and be a confident and dominating pitcher. Has some great outfield defense to help prevent HR (esp. Jones)
Bad - Wieters is still a rookie calling games at the major league level, and it may be a while before the Orioles are a contending team, making it hard for the O's to get him wins.
9. Brett Wallace - Good - Has done nothing but hit for a good combination of average and power at every stop, including in the pitcher-friendly PCL league. Is major league ready and has the opp to take over at 1B in 2010.
Bad - He still didn't perform up to some people's expectations in 2009. Will have less position value at 1B instead of 3B, and will have more pressure to perform since his ceiling isn't great. Some people don't like his lower half.
10. Wade Davis - Good - Has already displayed that he can dominate in rotation at ML level, so will get an early shot in the rotation. Should have immediate success in every category. I see a high 3s ERA, many Ks and an early peak.
Bad - While his floor is considerably high, his ceiling is lower than most top pitching prospects. Will likely have other prospects breathing down his neck if he struggles early, though I doubt it'll happen.
11. Jeremy Hellickson - Good - has proved doubters wrong at every level and OWNED Triple-A, and his stuff has actually gotten significantly better. Great ratios in Triple-A and control of quality pitches. Great polish, only 22.
Bad - Some still have doubts as to how his stuff will hold up to HRs at the major league level due to flyball tendencies. He's ML ready, but the Rays rotation is stacked and his underdog status may work against him in getting a chance.
12. Hank Conger - Good - Has shown he can bounce back from injury with great well-rounded production in 2009. With another season removed from injury, could improve plenty more. Decent chance of keeping C elig.
Bad - Injuries can always recur, and for a catcher its even more likely. Will have to wait until 2011 to get his chance, so he needs to stay healthy that whole time. Injuries are really the only doubt, he can be a real sleeper if healthy.
13. Dan Hudson - Good - Starting the year in the major leagues, and has already had a taste test so he knows what to expect. A polished pitcher with good stuff, can be a solid #2 in the majors and a good likelihood of at least #3.
Bad - Like Hellickson, he may have issues with the long-ball, especially in Citifield. The team around him is rebuilding and currently a bit of a mess, so wins may be scarce. Also, doesn't have the ace upside of other top starters.
14. Michael Taylor - Good - Showing polish and a major-league ready bat, should hit for average and power with potential for even more, and has some speed too. Could contribute in every category and should have a strong debut.
Bad - He's already 24, so he doesn't have a lot of time to make an impression. Oakland's massive outfield logjam is not going to help him get opportunities to prove himself in 2010. May not get many SBs in majors.
15. Kyle Drabek - Good - soild chance of being a solid #2 starter, is major league ready with excellent stuff that is all the way back after missing time due to surgery. Great baseball bloodlines, and a good bet for early success.
Bad - Makeup issues can always come up, especially if he struggles early. Could fall into the trap of being a 2-pitch pitcher. Tends to get overrated, he isn't likely to become an ace. Tor is also rebuilding, so lack of wins.
16. Tyler Flowers - Good - Has shown at every stop that he can continue to hit for good power with a good walk rate, and average has been solid as well. After Triple-A success, he's knocking on the door. D much better, can stay at C.
Bad - Doesn't have the pure hitting skills of Conger, and may struggle some initially. Could become a valuable catcher with power, but lacks the star potential of other catchers on this list. Needs to keep showing improved D to stay there.
17. Ryan Westmoreland - Good - Has shown that he can do it all, with speed being his main asset right now but has shown that he has all the tools needed to be a 5-cat producer. On a team with great run-scoring opps.
Bad - He's rather far away (I think ETA 2012), though I see him making a bigger impact on reaching the majors than Hicks. May not have fully developed power early on. Will have to fight off other BOS OF prospects, but he's better.
18. Martin Perez - Good - while he's totally an upside play, the potential for dominance is similar to Feliz and he has a great makeup. Even without figuring everything out, he still should be able to dominate MLB hitters like very few can.
Bad - He's still extremely raw for such a highly regarded pitching prospect, and still has a lot of strides to make to become an ace. He's rushed if he debuts in 2011. I see him struggling initially, but once he gets broken in, watch out.
19. Josh Bell - Good - Did great in a full-season in Double-A, and had great plate discipline to go with power. With continued success, a starting 3B job should be his come opening day 2011. Should immediately hit well.
Bad - He's a little old for a prospect in Double-A, and some people don't think his lower half is meant to stay at 3b. May struggle to hit above .260 at major league level, though power should be good.
20. Casey Kelly - Good - Broke through this year with great control of fastball and secondary pitches. I see immediate success, stuff can improve since he's rather new to pitching. Will have great bullpen, offense and defense backing him.
Bad - Could make debut in 2011, but I see 2012 more likely with the BOS stacked rotation. Kelly needs to continue to improve FB velocity some to get into ace territory. Needs to succeed immediately or will get overtaken by other guys.
21. Grant Green - Good - Has the defensive ability to stick at SS for sure, but the bat is also intriguing (star potential). I see him as a fast riser who will succeed early and he may get a cup of coffee as soon as 2011. The door's wide open
Bad - Still has to prove himself in the minor leagues. I think he'll hit well but I still have some questions about his overall plate discipline. Doesn't have as much speed as many SS, but the bat should make up for it.
22. Casey Crosby - Good - Came back from injury very well and showed his potential for dominance. He has ace potential if he can refine his control and secondary stuff to go with his great FB. The rotation will be waiting for him.
Bad - He may get rushed like other Tiger's prospects have, which could mess him up and increase injury risk. While intriguing, he still has some control issues to work on, and I can see him struggling with it in his debut.
23. Lonnie Chisenhall - Good - Younger and higher upside than Bell, Chisenhall is 21 and has already succeeded in high A and will be in Double-A. Good defense and power tools and continues to improve. 3b job is his for the taking.
Bad - Likely to take more time to reach the majors and make an initial impact than Bell, even if better in the long haul. Needs to work on plate discipline and keep hitting for solid average at higher levels, I think he may struggle.
24. Aaron Hicks - Good - Has one of the best toolsets in terms of potential of any AL OF prospect, since he has significant power potential with his speed. Great plate discipline. Could be a star with continued improvement.
Bad - Is still quite far away as a 20-year old who was meh in A ball, and probably won't debut until 2012 at earliest, but I think 2013. While the potential is there, he hasn't yet shown the power, and some question if it'll ever develop.
25. Matt Moore - Good - Captain K/9 has the stuff and strikeout potential that makes people drool. If he can continue to dominate at higher levels, could get 200+ Ks a year annually. Great GB rate too will help him plenty.
Bad - Gaudy numbers were just A ball, ETA could be 2013 due to TB rotation. His K rate hides just how bad his walk rate was. He'd be best off if he cuts out walks even if it means getting more GB instead of Ks. Could struggle initially.
Just Missed:
Jacob Turner - I like him and think he won't struggle like Crosby initially, but will need time to physically develop and slowly rise the ranks despite polish. I see his ETA as a year after Crosby's or less.
Michael Saunders - He's definitely close to majors, seems to have be as ready as he'll be, I just have never found him very intriguing as a prospect since he first came up. May be solid overall but nothing special in any category.
WIlson Ramos - His AFL showing showed just how beastly he can be. If he can keep working on defense, he may find a way yet to get to catcher despite Mauer. He'll need to improve plate discipline to succeed at higher levels though.
That just took me a long time, I'm gonna go to sleep now. Feel free to discuss the prospects that you felt were too high/too low should/shouldn't have been on the list, and what you think of the list overall. I'm not going to edit this list, but I still appreciate the feedback and I may not totally follow this list in my own minor league draft. Thanks!
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Santana is potential next Piazza in fantasy
HR and OPS like his while for sure being eligible at C….
by daveh33 on Feb 5, 2026 4:17 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Think Montero's more like the next Piazza
Potential first-round fantasy bat, the risk that he’s inevitably going to be moved off of catcher at some point because of his defense, causing him to lose value…
by ThomasG on Feb 5, 2026 9:16 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah Santana is great but he's more like a V-Mart than a Piazza
I also feel Piazza is a good comp for Montero, except for that people are less tolerant of poor defense now and so he may spend a shorter part of his career at catcher if he doesn’t catch up. But still the upside of the bat is insane no matter where he plays. Santana still has incredible fantasy value though since he’s much more likely to stick at C, it was a tough choice between the two.
The 2008 Rogelio Moret League Fantasy Baseball Champions!
by The Congo Hammer on Feb 5, 2026 11:04 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Im really not sure Santana's bat is that far behind Montero's.
Montero has some discipline issues, too, while Santana is supremely patient and has an excellent approach.
by alskor on Feb 5, 2026 2:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Santana and V-Mart:
Actually very similar. Similar power in the minors at 23 years old in Akron, but Santana had a better eye.
by slamcactus on Feb 5, 2026 5:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I like the list
and I enjoy the fantasy geared posts you do, but Hank Conger really sticks out as an odd placement to me. He would be behind almost everyone on the list for me, he’s ahead of Ramos I think and it would be a tossup between him and Green for me fantasy wise. I can’t understand how you have him ahead of guys like Taylor, Chisenhall, Hicks, and even Flowers.
Can you shed a little light as to why you have him so high?
RIP Nick Adenhart
by gatling on Feb 5, 2026 11:22 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
+1
Didnt get that Conger placement at all.
by alskor on Feb 5, 2026 2:09 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Conger
He just has a really great swing and I think he’s the kinda guy that can break through in 2010 even though his 2009 numbers weren’t amazing. Even though he’s been in the minors for a while, he only just turned 22. At a scarce position, I think he’ll have more offensive value for his position than Taylor or Chisenhall, and Hicks is too far away. I’d consider drafting Flowers before him though, I just think Flowers isn’t as complete a hitter and has worse plate discipline and batting avg. I may be too optimistic on Conger’s chances of not having any more injury problems though.
The 2008 Rogelio Moret League Fantasy Baseball Champions!
by The Congo Hammer on Feb 6, 2026 2:23 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I like Conger, don't get me wrong
but he’s far from a sure thing at catcher and he has Napoli ahead of him there and Morales looks to be entrenching himself at 1B. That leaves the DH spot open there in the future and Conger’s bat isn’t too impressive in that light. Chisenhall and Taylor don’t really have much in the way of roadblocks ahead of them positionally, neither might get playing time until 2011 but Conger isn’t ahead of that schedule himself. Flowers has an easier path with AJ being a FA after this year, and he’s a bit better defensively than Conger and a better bet to hold C eligibility I think. I can buy the idea of Hicks being too far away, but I think his talent level is enough that he’d be worth taking over Conger even if you have to hold him for an extra year or two.
RIP Nick Adenhart
by gatling on Feb 6, 2026 2:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
My thinking was kind of different
But my placing was based on my opinion that Napoli will get moved to DH, not so much for bad defense as for his injury risk. This past year he was playing significantly more games at DH, starting at catcher at only 84 out of 114 games that he played, so to me it seems like they are trying to move him off of the position. Then again, Conger isn’t great defensively and also an injury risk, so perhaps I overrated him on this list due to wishful thinking. I would still have him ahead of Hicks though, I see the upside but I don’t totally buy into him tapping his potential early on in his career.
The 2008 Rogelio Moret League Fantasy Baseball Champions!
by The Congo Hammer on Feb 7, 2026 3:12 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Big Mike's man crush on Mathis
seems to be the biggest problem at this point. There isn’t much point to give him as much playing time as they do, Napoli is that valuable offensively. They’re at least smart enough to let him DH some when he’s not behind the plate. I can see the point about Hicks, but I honestly am not sure that Conger shows real value much earlier than Hicks unless something happens with the catching situation in LAAAAAAA that resembles a final decision. Maybe they platoon Conger/Napoli at DH/C with Mathis getting some starts for defense, but that remains to be seen. For my money, I wouldn’t try and guess what the Angels are going to do there. You’ll just end up with a headache.
RIP Nick Adenhart
by gatling on Feb 7, 2026 8:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Great List!
Thanks for taking the time to put together such a useful list. It’s much appreciated. A couple of questions about two players not on the list. What are the ETAs for J. Weeks and B. Revere and do you have any good comps for them? Also, how close were they to making the list? Thanks!
by afeyerherm on Feb 5, 2026 11:28 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Revere and Weeks
Thanks, glad you like the list! I have Revere’s ETA as midseason 2011, I think he is different from Hicks in that he doesn’t need to develop as much as he is what he is, since he already has great contact skills, has the speed and baserunning ability, and is unlikely to develop more than 10 homer power. I see Shannon Stewart as his upside, but don’t think he’ll hit for quite that much power. I was tempted to put him above Hicks on the list just for his SB + AVG potential, but falls just short.
Weeks - I see his best-case ETA as opening day 2011, but I get the feeling that he’s the kind of guy that will get a few cups of coffee without sticking a full-time job until late-season 2012 or later since offensively he still seems too raw to me to be able to handle major league pitching. I see Alexi Casilla as the best comp I can think up off the top of my head.
The 2008 Rogelio Moret League Fantasy Baseball Champions!
by The Congo Hammer on Feb 7, 2026 3:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks!
Thanks for the response. That’s very helpful.
by afeyerherm on Feb 8, 2026 7:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
PCL
Is the PCL really considered a pitching friendly league?
you mention this in Wallace’s writeup. I was under the impression it was a hitters league
by JJACK on Feb 5, 2026 5:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
sorry i think it is a hitter friendly league
It was pretty late in the morning when i wrote that. My bad. Still like Wallace though.
The 2008 Rogelio Moret League Fantasy Baseball Champions!
by The Congo Hammer on Feb 6, 2026 2:24 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
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