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Arizona Diamondbacks Top 20 Prospects for 2011

Arizona Diamondbacks Top 20 Prospects for 2011

All grades are EXTREMELY PRELIMINARY and subject to change. Don't get too concerned about exact rankings at this point, especially once you get past the Top 10. Grade C+/C guys are pretty interchangeable depending on what you want to emphasize.

Feel free to critique the list, but use logic and reason rather than polemics to do to. The list and grades are a blending of present performance and long-term potential. Full reports on all of players can be found in the 2011 Baseball Prospect Book. We are now taking pre-orders. Order early and order often!

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Arizona Diamondbacks Top 20 for 2011

1) Jarrod Parker, RHP, Grade B: My policy is to be cautious with grades following a serious injury until we see actual game performance, not just reports from instructional league. That said, Parker is still the best prospect in the system.

2) Tyler Skaggs, LHP, Grade B: I liked him a lot when the Angels drafted him, and I like him a lot now.

3) Matt Davidson, 3B, Grade B, borderline B-: Bat developed nicely this year, but glove at third is problematic. Where does he end up?

4) Chris Owings, SS, Grade B-: I don't like the low walk rate, but his other skills look good and I think he can remain at shortstop.

5) Wade Miley, LHP, Grade B-: Erratic in 2009 but better in 2010, could surprise in '11 if he maintains this progress improving his consistency.

6) Bobby Borchering, 3B, Grade B-: Fell behind Davidson with an okay-but-not-great year. Also has defensive doubts, but still quite young and could put up big numbers in Cal League.

7) Marc Krauss, OF, Grade B-: I like him more than some people, but his defense and lack of speed are legitimate issues.

8) Pat Corbin, LHP, Grade B-: Another intriguing lefty acquired from the Angels in the Haren deal. Will velocity pick up to match pitching skills?

9) Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, Grade B-: California League power monster has strikeout issues that could prevent a good batting average/OBP at higher levels.

10) Charlie Brewer, RHP, Grade B-: Sleeper pitcher needs more attention, has excellent command of decent stuff, could be a huge surprise if Double-A transition is successful.

11) A.J. Pollock, OF, Grade B-: Injury mulligan for a player with across-the-board average tools and skills.

12) David Holmberg, LHP, Grade C+: Another trade acquisition lefty, could follow in footsteps of Skaggs and Corbin on this list next year.

13) J.R. Bradley, RHP, Grade C+: Projectable kid from 2010 draft.

14) Robbie Rowland, RHP, Grade C+: Projectable kid from 2010 draft.

15) Colin Cowgill, OF, Grade C+: Across-the-board skills would make him a great fourth outfielder.

16) Josh Collmenter, RHP, Grade C+: Throws strikes, changes speeds, could eat innings despite weak fastball.

17) Ryan Wheeler, 3B, Grade C+: A blah-season with the bat, did OK with the glove at third base, stick could still improve.

18) Chase Anderson, RHP, Grade C+: Another pitchability arm with good performance record that we need to see at a higher level.

19) Michael Belfiore, LHP, Grade C+: Somewhat disappointing season from '09 early pick, rebound is possible like Miley this year.

20) Adam Eaton, OF, Grade C+: Undersized 20th round pick has solid athleticism and tore up Pioneer League, but we need to see him at higher levels.

21) Kevin Munson, RHP, Grade C+: Intriguing relief arm could move quickly.

OTHERS OF NOTE: Scottie Allen, RHP; Keon Broxton, OF; Kevin Eichhorn, RHP; Tyler Green, RHP; Tyler Linton, OF; Wagner Mateo, OF; Raul Navarro, SS; Kyler Newby, RHP; David Nick, 2B; Rossmel Perez, C; Blake Perry, RHP; Wes Roemer, RHP; Bryan Shaw, RHP; Eric Smith, RHP; Matt Torra, RHP; Zach Walters, SS; Cody Wheeler, LHP; Bryan Woodall, RHP.

Arizona has an interesting group of bats, but the most impressive of them are going to slip the wrong way on the defensive spectrum: how will Davidson, Borchering, Goldschmidt, and Krauss all fit into the same major league lineup, assuming their bats develop properly?

The pitcher with the greatest upside is clearly Parker, though I am conservative on the grade until we see him in real games. If his command is back to pre-injury standards, he would move up to Grade B+, if not A-, pretty fast in 2011. Skaggs, Miley, Corbin, and Holmberg provide some left-handed balance to the mixture of pitchability (Brewer, Collmenter, Anderson) and upside (Rowland, Bradley, Perry, Green) right-handers.

Overall, there are some significant question-marks here, but the system isn't dry and could look much better a year from now pending the development of the younger prospects.

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Comments

Display:

Surprisingly deep

When I saw that John ranked their #1 prospect a B, I thought it would be a tough-looking system for the Dbacks, but I’m surprised by their depth and the upside in the system. The top 11 guys are all interesting and with good upside, and the guys after that have some hope too. Could be a top system this time next year

-1 and only member of the Nick Weglarz fan club!

by Jgaztambide on Nov 18, 2025 6:20 PM EST reply actions  

Wow...

far, far more B- or better prospects than I expected. Given my understanding of John’s customary curve I probably would’ve started in at C+ right after Owings.

by slamcactus on Nov 18, 2025 6:35 PM EST reply actions  

gotta agree

i am surprised at a few of these grades that high. C+’s would start at 9 at the latest for me.

R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9
http://twitter.com/doublestix

by doublestix on Nov 18, 2025 7:38 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

Ty Linton looks really low to me too, but I understand being cautious.

http://bullpenbanter.com/

by Jeff Reese on Nov 18, 2025 7:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Linton

KG at Baseball Prospectus has Linton at #10, staying “Linton’s ceiling is sky-high, but so are the odds of him failing to get past Double-A.”

by bfeldman on Nov 19, 2025 10:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, that's why I understand being cautious

His ceiling seems to warrant a C+ though (to me at least).

http://bullpenbanter.com/

by Jeff Reese on Nov 19, 2025 11:08 AM EST up reply actions  

Raw

Mr. Science Boy

by DbacksSkins on Nov 22, 2025 10:24 AM EST up reply actions  

Not quite that harsh, but...

I think Miley and Borchering deserve B- grades, but after that, I would have no problem giving C+ to the rest. Corbin maybe could get a B-, but I’d lean against it. Even a case could be made for giving a C+ to Owings too since he’s soooo far away and has pretty major plate discipline issues.

by bardin on Nov 19, 2025 11:58 AM EST up reply actions  

Not an impressive group, particularly the position players.

But an Upton trade would go a looooong way to fixing that. Not necessarily saying they should trade him, however.

by mkries on Nov 18, 2025 7:24 PM EST reply actions  

fun stuff

There are a lot of question marks here, but there are some sneaky players who could end up being very solid contributors.

I really like the strong grade on Brewer. He was a highly rated prospect coming out of high school (and a mock draft pick by me at that time!) with good command and tons of projection. The projection didn’t quite turn out as well as it could have, but the stuff is pretty solid nonetheless. I like him as a possible No. 4 type.

by mrkupe on Nov 18, 2025 8:55 PM EST reply actions  

I'm guessing you have a problem with Nick going unranked?

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm an editor for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.

by Satchel Price on Nov 18, 2025 9:08 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

none whatsoever

John’s a smart guy, and is entitled (and should be encouraged) to give us his own thoughts. “Mildly disagree” is about the strongest term I’d use. “Having a problem” isn’t in my vocabulary when it comes to these sorts of things.

by mrkupe on Nov 18, 2025 10:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Wagner Mateo will make this list next year

If you didn't know by now, my screen name is sarcastic

by mathisrocks5 on Nov 18, 2025 10:12 PM EST reply actions  

Borchering...

I like him better than Davidson long term. He seems like he’s got Josh Vitters syndrome. Big framed, athletic, sweet swinging HS 3B prospects with perceived defensive problems and a slow start to his minor league career. He might take awhile, but this is the next big bat coming through the system.

by SenorGato on Nov 18, 2025 10:17 PM EST reply actions  

seems different from Vitters to me

Borchering has a more well-rounded bat than Vitters, but I’m pretty skeptical that Borchering stays at 3B. I’m not too worried about Vitters staying there if the Cubs want him to be there.

by mrkupe on Nov 19, 2025 1:57 AM EST up reply actions  

I'm skeptical either will stick at 3B

But of the two, Vitters is by far the better bet to stay at the position. He gets mixed reviews whereas Borchering’s defense gets bashed pretty hard.

http://bullpenbanter.com/

by Jeff Reese on Nov 19, 2025 8:48 AM EST up reply actions  

borchering v. davidson

i don’t think either has done anything to distinguish himself from the other, so I can’t see separating them in the rankings

by Scott the Shot on Nov 18, 2025 11:49 PM EST reply actions  

Davidson

had a 109 point OPS advantage (distinct edge in both components FWIW), is half a year younger, is rumored to be the better defender of the two and actually made the jump to Visalia to cap his season. I’d say that’s adequate “separation” to merit their spots on the list.

by blackoutyears on Nov 22, 2025 1:27 PM EST up reply actions  

so

is this Farm System ready to get an influx of talent from a possible JUpside deal?

I still think a JUpside for Freeman, Delgado, Minor, and C. Perez makes a hell of a lot of sense.

by apoxonbothyourhouses on Nov 19, 2025 8:28 AM EST reply actions  

No and no.

An influx of talent would be nice, but there are plenty of other guys to trade to help make that happen—- keep Upton and trade some of Drew, Reynolds, and Johnson.

And I still think the DBacks could probably do better for Upton.

by Blicks on Nov 19, 2025 9:34 AM EST up reply actions  

true but they aren't face of the franchis types either

AZ has a tenuous hold on their fan base as it is having Brandon Allen develop and Join Upton gives fans a reason to come to the park

Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have? Frank Chance 1908

by TomCat009 on Nov 19, 2025 5:53 PM EST up reply actions  

That would be

a reason not to trade Reynolds…

Mr. Science Boy

by DbacksSkins on Nov 22, 2025 10:26 AM EST up reply actions  

Barrett Loux

Of course he didn’t sign and is now a Ranger. But where would he have ranked on this list?

Scouting the Royals
Royals Prospects

by 306008 on Nov 19, 2025 10:53 PM EST reply actions  

hmm, good question

I think I’d have him at No. 7, between Borchering and Krauss, assuming the health issues are still there but that he is at present healthy enough to pitch. Pretty decent arm, not a high upside guy though. I think you can make an argument for him as high as No. 5, ahead of Miley.

by mrkupe on Nov 20, 2025 8:54 AM EST up reply actions  

Sounds about right to me

If there weren’t concerns about his future health, he’d have a strong argument for #3.

http://bullpenbanter.com/

by Jeff Reese on Nov 20, 2025 10:35 AM EST up reply actions  

where would he land with Texas though?

And is he a B- or the cream of the crop C+ guy?

JD’s like, "you want some fucking pitching? Here’s all the pitching you can stand. Now choke on it, bitches!"- RCCook

by laxtonto on Nov 20, 2025 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

C+

The injury concerns bump him down a 1/3 of a grade.

http://bullpenbanter.com/

by Jeff Reese on Nov 20, 2025 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Boerchering Krauss Davidson

what do you see these 3 guys’ slash line being like during their prime

by emarc on Nov 20, 2025 5:49 PM EST reply actions  

No huge complaints

Minor quibble would be Wheeler, but down years and rebounds happen. My top-10 has the same guys except w/o Krauss, and instead… well, now it’s a giant void since we just dealt Scottie Allen, who I was extremely bullish on. The Miley ranking is higher than mine, too, but I like it.

Not a gang-busters system, but middle-of-the-road, which is a heck of an improvement considering where it was at a year ago.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qU_9zTD9B98&feature;=related
Apparently there's an epilepsy warning on this video. But it's so incredibly cool.

by Dan Strittmatter on Nov 21, 2025 9:27 AM EST reply actions  

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