Rating last year's rookies-Community Prospect #9
by Dalman on Nov 15, 2025 9:56 AM EST
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PrintAlthough far from a consensus pick, garnering just 27% of the vote, Brandon Beachy still manages to get some separation on all of the other candidates and wins round 8 of the voting for top prospect for future performance among last year's rookies.
1. Brett Lawrie, 3b Toronto Blue Jays (51%)
2, Eric Hosmer, 1b Kansas City Royals (57%)
3. Michael Pineda, P Seattle Mariners (38%)
4. Dustin Ackley, 2b Seattle Mariners (41%)
5. Desmond Jennings, of Tampa Bay Rays (47%)
6. Jeremy Hellickson, P Tampa Bay Rays (49%)
7. Freddie Freeman, 1B Atlanta Braves (45%)
8. Brandon Beachy, P Atlanta Braves (27%)
The voting breakdown for the eighth round round after Beachy was, Mike Moustakas 20%, Brandon Belt 18%,: Dominic Brown 16%, Cory Luebke 7% (write in), Paul Goldschmidt 5%, Jason Kipnis 5%, Vance Worley 2% (write in). 0% for Kyle Drabek, Chris Sale, and Salvador Perez
I'm going to keep everyone on the ballot who got at least 5% of the vote, and also Worley, who only got 2% but who was due to come on the ballot as a tester anyway. Chris Sale, Kyle Drabek and Salvador Perez go back into rotation. We'll rotate back in Zach Britton, Craig Kimibrel and Danny Espinosa.
In rotation: Wilson Ramos 0% (round 5), Jordan Walden 0% (round 5), Ivan Nova 0% (round 5), Henderson Alvarez 0% (round 6), Aroldis Chapman 0% (round 6), Mark Trumbo 3% (round 7), Jemile Weeks 0% (round 7), Danny Duffy 0% (round7), Chris Sale 0% (round 8), Kyle Drabek 0% (round 8), Salvador Perez 0% (round 8)
As mentioned above, Vance Worley gets his first time on the ballot this round. This leaves as testers for the upcoming rounds:
Josh Collmenter, Kenley Jansen, Jose Altuve, Lucas Duda, Dayan Viciedo, Juan Nicasio Alex Cobb, JD Martinez and Mike Minor.
As always voting is by +1 and there are places below to suggest testers or vote for players not currently on the ballot.
So who is your number 9 prospect for future performance among last year's rookies? And, while I've got my own opinions, as I'm only typically getting 1 new testers in a round at this point, if in the tester section below you could also say which 1 to 3 of the testers we've identified you want on the ballot next that would be a big help.
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+1
If everybody likes you, then either no one knows anything about you, or you're dead.
by Archie A on Nov 15, 2025 10:22 AM EST up reply actions
+1
" It's never just a game when you're winning" - George Carlin
by casejud on Nov 15, 2025 10:29 AM EST up reply actions
+1
"We did a lot of good things last year, and now we've got Julio ... That does nothing but improve the offense, and we expect to do better. That's our goal, to lead the NFL in everything. Every offensive category." -Roddy White
by Beachy Keen on Nov 15, 2025 3:17 PM EST up reply actions
+1
http://bullpenbanter.com
RIP Randy "Macho Man" Savage
by gatling on Nov 15, 2025 12:59 PM EST up reply actions
+1
It’s really a shame that he gets absolutely zero recognition.
139 IP 3.29 ERA 2.93 FIP 3.02 XFIP 9.92 K/9
by walnut falcons on Nov 15, 2025 1:42 PM EST up reply actions
+1
The 2008 Rogelio Moret League Fantasy Baseball Champions!
by The Congo Hammer on Nov 15, 2025 12:19 PM EST up reply actions
+1
__________________________________________________
"He who gets the best players usually wins" - Bobby Bowden
by Russ on Nov 15, 2025 10:16 AM EST up reply actions
+1
Yoenis Cespedes
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=15469
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aW9ge8l3jY8
^ the bottom video ^
by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Nov 15, 2025 8:47 PM EST up reply actions
Ranked
1 Jose Altuve 2 Mike Minor 3 JD Martinez 4 Dayan Viciedo 5 Jaun Nicasio
" It's never just a game when you're winning" - George Carlin
by casejud on Nov 15, 2025 10:24 AM EST reply actions
Beachy
I love his story and, he’s a nice little pitcher but, there are no less thasn 8, 9, 10 guys who are left that I would take ahead of him if I were drafting for the future.
You guys who voted Beachy would take him over Mike Moustakas? Dom Brown? Kipnis? Brandon Belt? Goldschmidt? On his own team. Mike Minor or Craig Kimbrel? I’d keep going with Trumbo, Altuve, JD Martinez, perhaps miore but, hey, let the community be heard! Beachy it is.
" It's never just a game when you're winning" - George Carlin
by casejud on Nov 15, 2025 10:29 AM EST reply actions
Reasoning?
Are we still holding his pedigree against him at this point? What else do you want to see? He posted a 10.74 K/9 to go along with the best swinging strike rate in baseball among SP, a sub 3.20 FIP and xFIP, one of the more effective sliders in baseball (20.5% whiff rate), a plus change, and an above average fastball.
by nixa37 on Nov 15, 2025 1:00 PM EST up reply actions
I guess I can't argue
. . . with what he did last year at all. he was sensational. I just look at his size, his delivery, and perhaps his pedigree and I just don’t know If I believe in his future as much as some other guys - many other guys.
" It's never just a game when you're winning" - George Carlin
by casejud on Nov 15, 2025 1:12 PM EST up reply actions
Huh?
6’3" 215 lbs with a smooth, easy delivery…what in the world is there not to like about that?
Throw in the fact that he was incredibly raw as a pitcher (having been a position player in college), had just 2 real professional seasons under his belt coming into the season, and this was his first year as a full-time SP, yet he was still among the best strikeout pitchers in the majors and I think you could actually make a case that he should have been on earlier.
I just honestly see no reason at all to question him outside of his total lack of pedigree in college. He’s got the stuff and he’s got the numbers. I’m really trying to understand your position here. What reason is there not to like him? Based on your history, it almost seems like you’re holding the lack of ARL success against him, which is completely unfair considering no one knew how good of a pitcher he could be until he was already 22 or 23 simply because he wasn’t given the right opportunities.
by nixa37 on Nov 15, 2025 7:42 PM EST up reply actions
Just a feeling
At some point that is all we have to go on, isn’t it? Let’s flip the coin for a sec and, look at Moustakas and Belt for a sec.
Did either of those really do anything to make us think less of thier futures in 2011? Not for me. They look like the same top prospects they were before last season.
I don’t care a lot for ARL for pitchers but, we’ll have to disagree on his delivery. I see “step and throw” not classic, power mechanics. Again, he was great last year but, we are tasked with predicting the future here and, there are a few more guys I like better. I’d take Danny Duffy ahead of him too so maybe there is some truth to your ARL accusation.
" It's never just a game when you're winning" - George Carlin
by casejud on Nov 15, 2025 10:51 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Agree
That at some point you have to break up with pegigree, and go with results. When is up to each person, but it is why I’ve been voting for Luebke. He was never a top prospect (similar to Beachy), but his minors numbers weren’t bad, and he has continued to improve. He essentially dominated this year at the MLB leve. To me, there is a lot less risk in assuming guys like him will be able to repeat their success, than hoping some prospects will ever be able to get there just based on projection (see B Wood, Wily Mo, Alvarez, …. etc).
by Mike Kaluk on Nov 15, 2025 2:38 PM EST up reply actions
Beachy performed very well last year
even more by measures like FIP than by the surface stats like era. He was also pretty spectacular in 2010. But, Moustakas was a grade A prospect going into last year, at the top of all the prospect lists, and even with the very strong 2010 John still had Beachy at B- which was quite a huge surge from being completely off the radar the year before. Not saying it is impossible to make up that much ground in a year, but it should be very, very tough.
by Dalman on Nov 15, 2025 11:03 AM EST reply actions
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