Kevin Kouzmanoff Community Projection

by John Sickels on Feb 1, 2026 11:40 AM EST in News

Per reader request, a CP for Kevin Kouzmanoff of the San Diego Padres. Project these numbers:

Games
At-Bats
Hits
Batting Average
2B
3B
HR
RBI
BB
K
SB

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Comments

My Take

Games 108
At-Bats 404
Hits 121
Batting Average .298
2B 31
3B 1
HR 18
RBI 68
BB 48
K 72
SB 2

Petco will turn some would be homers into doubles and he will have some minor injury issues

by Kanst42 on Feb 1, 2026 11:58 AM EST reply actions

My projection

G: 144
AB: 502
H: 144
Avg: .287
2B: 33
3B: 3
HR: 17
RBI: 71
BB: 40
K: 79
SB: 3

by doug frobel on Feb 1, 2026 12:39 PM EST reply actions

Kouz Projection

G: 122
AB: 367
H: 87
Avg: .240
2B: 16
3B: 0
HR: 7
RBI: 39
BB: 23
K: 81
SB: 2

The Padres will regret trading Barfield on this one!!

by GripDog on Feb 1, 2026 12:58 PM EST reply actions

Kouz

G 130
AB 430
H 120
AVG .279
2B 22
3B 1
HR 12
BB 33
K 82
SB 1

by limozeen on Feb 1, 2026 1:03 PM EST reply actions

Projection

G:120
AB:340
H:72
AVG:.245
2B:18
3B:2
HR:10
BB:42
K:77
SB:2
E:22(Horrible Fielder, just an extra stat)

by Bravesin07 on Feb 1, 2026 1:12 PM EST reply actions

SHOCKED

Most people rate this guy pretty low. John has said on a few occations that this guy can hit, shocked to see such low numbers.

by ChrisRef19 on Feb 1, 2026 1:27 PM EST reply actions

Hmmm....

Since I requested this, I thought it should be the first one I particapate in...

G: 140
AB: 465
H: 136
Avg:.292
2B: 34
3B: 0
HR: 18
BB: 35
K:75
SB: 1

I agree that Petco will eat steal some of the home runs so the double numbers will be higher.

by Brock20 on Feb 1, 2026 2:38 PM EST reply actions

Kevin Kouzmanoff

...can fucking hit!

by battlekow on Feb 1, 2026 2:43 PM EST reply actions

Quote

Gotta put the quotes around that comment!

by ChrisRef19 on Feb 1, 2026 4:56 PM EST up reply actions

Kouz projection

Games 102
At-Bats 341
Hits 97
Batting Average .285
2B 19
3B 2
HR 14
RBI 68
BB 32
K 60
SB 2

by Fundamentals on Feb 1, 2026 2:47 PM EST reply actions

Wolfpack

G 128
AB 421
H 115
BA .278
2B 33
3B 1
HR 16
RBI 74
BB 36
K 62
SB 1

"To give anything less than your best is to sacrifice the gift." -Steve Prefontaine

by jrose643 on Feb 1, 2026 3:14 PM EST reply actions

Struggles early

Struggles early in the year, sent to minors and is replaced by Branyon, comes back in August and hits well

Games 93
At-Bats 314
Hits 78
Batting Average .248
2B 16
3B 0
HR 16
RBI 46
BB 30
K 63
SB 1

by dlpme77 on Feb 1, 2026 3:18 PM EST reply actions

Barfield is nothing to write home about

Games 156
At-Bats 570
Hits 173
BA .304
2B 38
3B 1
HR 24
RBI 86
BB 52
K 83
SB 1

.304/.362/.500

Some people bring the Bible to college...we bring Moneyball.

by uga007 on Feb 1, 2026 3:41 PM EST reply actions

Kouzmanoff

I think he'll be above average
Games: 128
At Bats: 530
Hits: 146
BA: .276
2B: 25
3B: 1
HR: 25
RBI: 77
BB: 32
K: 112

.276/.317/.464

by Trenchtown on Feb 1, 2026 3:46 PM EST reply actions

Kouz

Games 120
ABs 375
Hits 104
Avg .277
2B 32
3B 2
HR 15
RBI 66
BB 44
K 75
SB 0

Bochy leaving could be a good thing for his development and playing time...

by fnpadre on Feb 1, 2026 4:49 PM EST reply actions

My Take

Games- 139
AB - 498
H - 144
Avg - .287
2B - 41
3B - 2
HR - 23
RBI - 79
BB - 42
K - 80
SB - 3

by ChrisRef19 on Feb 1, 2026 4:58 PM EST reply actions

PETCO

I'm not sold on Kouzmanoff putting up great counting stats. I'm pretty sure he'll hit well but Petco is awfully tough on hitters and will make his overall numbers not look as good.

by murraygd13 on Feb 1, 2026 5:08 PM EST reply actions

re

G- 145
AB- 530
H- 162
2B- 33
3B- 2
HR- 14
BB- 52
K- 89
SB- 4

.306/.368/.455

When you watch him, his swing looks a heckuva lot like Howie Kendrick's (with less explosive wrists and hands, but very similar balance and arc). Not going to hit too many home runs in the NL West, but some good parks to hit lots and lots of singles and eventually doubles (33 would be great for a rookie, but I could see this guy going over 40 a few times later on). I didn't really account for Branyon here, so the games played might be high, but maybe KK will get some starts at 1B vs lefties, so I'll leave it.

Kind of the anti-Marte. It will be fun to compare the two down the line.

by bootsy on Feb 1, 2026 5:26 PM EST reply actions

not a believer

Games 117
ABs 391
Hits 116
Avg .296
2B 16
3B 1
HR 9
RBI 48
BB 37
K 65
SB 1

.296/.391/.412

i see him hitting well for average, but not a lot for counting stats, and i really disliked his defense in the few times i watched him...i picked him up in a dynasty league early in 2006, but i dropped him at the end of the season after seeing him a few times...he'll be a good average hitter, but that's about it, i think...

by biggentleben on Feb 1, 2026 5:27 PM EST reply actions

re

Jftr, not trying to be a dick, but you're calculating OBP using ABs, instead of PAs (I noticed in the Marte thread also).

by bootsy on Feb 1, 2026 5:32 PM EST up reply actions

crap

you're right....a lot nicer when i have it plugged into a spreadsheet :p

by biggentleben on Feb 1, 2026 9:01 PM EST up reply actions

kouz

Games - 155
At-Bats - 575
Hits - 165
Batting Average - 0.285
2B - 35
3B - 1
HR - 15
RBI - 77
BB - 48
K - 91
SB - 0

.285/.344/.430

About Average.

by doublestix on Feb 1, 2026 6:05 PM EST reply actions

Projection

Games - 130
At-Bats - 440
Hits - 125
Batting Average - 0.284
2B - 27
3B - 2
HR - 12
RBI - 50
BB - 40
K - 85
SB - 2

.284/.344/.483 for an OPS of .827

Very solid season for a rookie in a tough park to hit in. I do think he'll miss some games from time to time, but will be consistent enough to be the primary starter all year.

by mcq fesijiba on Feb 1, 2026 7:24 PM EST reply actions

Ryan Shealy is a good one...

because he's one of those "is he gonna be good not just in the minors" one, like Kouzmanoff. I'm not optimistic.

Games
At-Bats 493
Hits 127
Batting Average .257
2B 20
3B 0
HR 7
RBI 45
BB 30
K 112
SB 0

by eeleye on Feb 1, 2026 8:24 PM EST reply actions

26-year old rookies

A step down from Josh Barfield:

Games: 116
At-Bats 458
Hits 120
Batting Average .262
2B 20
3B 2
HR 12
RBI 45
BB 25
K 77
SB 1
OBP .300
SLG .393

by C @ Minor League Ball on Feb 1, 2026 10:53 PM EST reply actions

"26-year old rookies"...

like this one?

G: 140
ABs: 500
H: 145
BA: .290
2B: 30
3B: 1
HR: 20
RBI: 85
BB: 45
K: 85
SB: 3

.290/.358/.474 in his rookie year, and a Hafner-lite peak ~.300/.385/.550 in the next couple of years.

by DrunkIrish on Feb 2, 2026 11:31 AM EST up reply actions

re: Questionable move by the Padres

Kouz is ok, but Barfield already put one full season under the belt.

I guess for the Pads, the Curse of the Thirdbasemen forced Towers' hands. But, finding a good secondbaseman is harder than finding an adequate thirdbaseman.

However, I DO believe Kouz will break the Pads' Curse of the Thirdbasemen.

Kouz's numbers:
(platoons with Branyan at first + PetCO)

G: 133
AB: 447
H: 124
BA: .277
2b: 27
HR: 16
BI: 65
R: 45
BB: 44
SO: 94

Not bad, for a first full season, and at 26. In 2008, when he's 27, that's when he will have a good season...

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Feb 2, 2026 10:53 AM EST reply actions

Says who?

Barfield was nice, but he the Padres got Marcus Giles off the Braves scrap heap. Third basemen are harder to find? Sure... That why last year the Padres openned the season w/ Vinny Castilla.

"Kouz is ok, but Barfield already put one full season under the belt."

Who would you rather have, Teahan or Gordon? But Teahan's "...already put one full season under [his] belt"

Great logic.

-peter

by PeterF on Feb 3, 2026 11:42 AM EST up reply actions

Here goes nothing...

G: 138
AB: 434
H: 118
Avg: .272
2B: 24
3B: 1
HR: 18
RBI: 56
BB: 39
K: 83
SB: 2

by ConorGlassey on Feb 2, 2026 12:51 PM EST reply actions

Hey, Hey, Kouz

Free Russ Branyan! (Just kidding-- mostly)

Games 150
At-Bats 552
Hits 153
Batting Average .277
2B 29
3B 3
HR 17
RBI 83
BB 46
K 94
SB 4

by Joy in Melville on Feb 2, 2026 12:54 PM EST reply actions

Should have kept Barfield....

Games- 127
At-Bats- 421
Hits- 111
Batting Average- .263
2B- 20
3B- 2
HR- 11
RBI- 59
BB- 31
K- 87
SB- 3

by ScottAZ on Feb 2, 2026 2:09 PM EST reply actions

not mentioned thus far

...but there's a clusterflub of 2b/3b guys in san diego right now...kouz is the 3b right now, but that's written in light pencil...branyan, marcus giles, todd walker, paul mcanulty (who's listed at outfield, but may be put at 3b now and then to get him at bats), and geoff blum off the bench...that's a lot of guys for two positions worth of at bats....

by biggentleben on Feb 2, 2026 2:16 PM EST reply actions

can't keep them all

Somehow I don't see the Pads keeping Blum, Walker and Branyan... Seems kind of redundant.

I think Walker gets shown the door.

If it wasn't for disappointments, I wouldn't have any appointments.

by kings33 on Feb 2, 2026 3:59 PM EST up reply actions

If anyone gets traded, it'll be Walker

Because of Blum's "ability" to play SS. They might keep all 3, though.

McAnulty's the odd man out. Kouz and Branyan have pushed him all the way off the 3b depth chart. If he doesn't win the LF job outright in the spring, it's back to Portland.

The Padres could have a tremendous bench if they'd resist the urge to carry 12 pitchers. Cust, McAnulty, Walker, and Branyan as PH?

by Hurley on Feb 2, 2026 4:41 PM EST up reply actions

There's also the fact that...

The Pads didn't trade away Jesse Barfield so Kouz could share time with journeymen infielders. I'd be surprised to see any of Branyan, Walker, or Blum take his ABs.

by DrunkIrish on Feb 2, 2026 4:50 PM EST up reply actions

Ah!

We traded Jesse Barfield? We could have put him in RF, moved Giles to LF, had the best OF defense in the league and lots of power. What were we thinking?

But yeah, the Padres didn't trade Josh so Kouzmanoff could chew seeds next to Black on the bench.

by Hurley on Feb 2, 2026 5:05 PM EST up reply actions