Monday Discussion Thread
Basically an open thread, but if you want a thought to discuss, try this one.

"The theory of strategy scarcely goes beyond the first principles of common sense."---Helmuth Graf von Moltke (Moltke the Elder)
Does this apply to baseball?
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I think so...
See common sense...
by Christopher Michael on Feb 14, 2026 3:39 PM EST 0 recs
yeah
"Don't overwork your pitchers."
"Get people on base."
by John Sickels on Feb 14, 2026 3:45 PM EST 0 recs
I read...
I agree with Christopher Michael, more bases are probably going to lead to more runs. This is why I think stolen bases are vastly underrated, especially in the minors where home runs are few and far between (in my watching experience). It may not show up immediately, but making it a habit to accumulate bases will pay off over the long run.
by Express Fan on Feb 14, 2026 4:43 PM EST 0 recs
SB
Sometimes I think we make things too complicated. To paraphrase Bull Durham, it's a simple game, really. Get on base. Keep the other guy off base.
by John Sickels on Feb 14, 2026 4:50 PM EST 0 recs
SB success percentage
by KLSnow on
Feb 14, 2026 7:41 PM EST
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percentage
by John Sickels on
Feb 14, 2026 7:43 PM EST
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But then...
by KLSnow on
Feb 14, 2026 7:46 PM EST
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success
If a player steals 20 bases in A-ball, but is caught 14 times, most of the time he will not be successful stealing at higher levels, on either a pure total basis or a percentage basis.
If a player steals 20 bases in A-ball and is caught 3 times, he has a better chance to sustain that at higher levels.
by John Sickels on
Feb 14, 2026 7:50 PM EST
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Kind of a weird tactic
You have a Runner on First Base. You have your runner go and take a lead but stand on the edge of the Outfield Grass.
It only works a couple times. What you're aiming for is the Pitcher to do a double take and not understand whats going on. He will think the Runner is out of the basebath (though the rules say you can be out of it as long as your not being chased by the ball, etc). The idea is to make the pitcher Balk the runner to 2nd Base.
by Zonis on Feb 14, 2026 4:52 PM EST 0 recs
But there's more to it than that:
However, organizational strategy is much more difficult. For example, it's hard to find a good catcher, so do you:
a) Draft lots of catchers and hope one pans out?
b) Draft lots of players at other positions and try to make one into a catcher?
or c) Acknowledge the fact that you'll have a catcher in your 8 hole forever and focus your efforts on more sure things?
This question is far from abnormal and the answer is far from common sense.
by KLSnow on Feb 14, 2026 6:57 PM EST 0 recs
strategy
In-game managerial decisions are the tactical level. Organizational decisions come under the rubric of strategy or, perhaps, operations.
Here's a question. Let's say you are a baseball team owner. Would you like to have an excellent general manager (the strategist) and a mediocre field manager (the tactician)? Or would you prefer to have a mediocre general manager and an excellent field manager? Ideally both of course, but let's say you can't have both, just one or the other.
by John Sickels on Feb 14, 2026 7:00 PM EST 0 recs
I'm taking the GM
by KLSnow on
Feb 14, 2026 7:06 PM EST
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He can't win yet...
by The Rocc on
Feb 15, 2026 2:19 AM EST
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Good Question
My vote would be for the GM.
If you accumulate enough talent even an average manager can win a championship. Basically I think it's a lot easier for an average or even poor manager to win a championship with great talent than it is for a great manager to win with poor talent.
by eastin on
Feb 14, 2026 7:10 PM EST
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having seen
I'll take a sharp GM any day of the week.
by pure bull on
Feb 24, 2026 8:18 PM EST
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GM
You can have an excellent tactician in charge of the battle once it begins...but if the master strategist is an idiot, the tactician may not be able to do much given the conditions of the battle itself.
Even excellent division or brigade commanders may have trouble winning the battle if the general in charge is someone like, say, Braxton Bragg. Or name your least-favorite baseball GM here.
On the other hand, if you have a horrible division or brigade commander (or baseball manager), the best designs of the overall commander (the GM) may not be reached or can even be sabotaged.
by John Sickels on Feb 14, 2026 7:24 PM EST 0 recs
Boston
by RBooth on
Feb 14, 2026 8:48 PM EST
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I take the excellent manager
If I owned a pro baseball team I could not have a GM like Billy Beane. He wants autonomy and I want to be involved in the developement of the team, therefore our principle interests would clash. I would have to be hands on with my team and that would allow for my GM to be merely average. I'd need a GM with good people skills, who could manage the front office and scouting department and make sure that the organizational direction is followed.
A sharp manager and his coaching staff can give me just as much input about major league talent as an astute GM, more even in some cases. Consider LaRussa and his pitching coach Dave Duncan. They were able to transform Dennis Eckersley and Dave Stewart into All-Stars, and they'd be able to identify players with the same kind of untapped potential. You need a top-notch scouting department, and I don't think that's necessarily a product of an excellent GM. The organization sets the criteia of what we want in a prospect, and it's the job of the scouts to go shopping and find what we're looking for.
by grover on Feb 14, 2026 9:22 PM EST 0 recs
A better example would be Bobby Cox
That being said, great managers and coaches are much harder to find and for the premium they command, it's much easier to find a GM who can acquire the talent a team needs. I'd take Billy Beane over Bobby Cox.
by Ellis on
Feb 14, 2026 10:42 PM EST
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No doubt Beane is more valuable
by grover on
Feb 14, 2026 10:48 PM EST
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Heck
by CatsBack2Back on
Feb 14, 2026 11:35 PM EST
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Connie Mack
Of course, we'd all fire him before he hit 50 years, he finished in last seven straight years from 1915-1922, then 8 out of 11 years again from 1935 to 1946.
by KLSnow on
Feb 15, 2026 12:11 AM EST
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After this season, I want to put out ultimate conc
However, I think that manager are more important than GM. Depotesta can use more budgets than Beane can. I think the result is sure to come out a little more fast.
PS . I'm poor at English...sorry.
by highlander jpn on
Feb 15, 2026 1:43 AM EST
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I'd take the GM
Extent - this is pretty clear. Compared to say, the NFL, the field manager's input is minimal.
Effect - it's been shown that things like shuffling the rotation have very little effect in expected runs scored. And if my GM has given the franchise decent starters and a decent bullpen, it's not going to matter when you bring in a reliever.
Of all the team sports I know, I think baseball is most about the players, and least about the field manager. Frankly, I think most teams win despite their managers. As the GM chooses the players, you've got to go for him.
by Salemicus on Feb 15, 2026 1:39 AM EST 0 recs
Sabean
I'm not sure Sabean has put together much of a team this year, despite having the greatest player this half century.
by MrIncognito on
Feb 16, 2026 12:19 AM EST
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"You can't polish a turd"
by duende5000 on Feb 15, 2026 2:06 AM EST 0 recs
Sickles Rocks!
Mr Sickels, I was bummed when I saw that you wouldn't be on espn.com any more - but this is even better! Not that it matters in the real world, but I used your excellent reviews a couple years ago of players such as Victor Martinez, Jake Peavy, Carl Crawford and others to stash minor leaguers away in my fantasy league, which allows a minor league roster. And, I won it all (w/ cash prize)!
More in line with reality, I really enjoy your prospect reviews and writing style - and it doesn't hurt that I am a Mariners fan and you rated King Felix at the top of the list!
If you could put out a Mariners Top 20 similar to the A's list, that would be wonderful.
Thanks for all your good work in the past, and I wish you great success in the future!
by kc on Feb 15, 2026 2:20 AM EST 0 recs
Ooops...
by kc on
Feb 15, 2026 2:21 AM EST
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Game Tactics
My point is that many of the above comments, in which folks chose "good GM" over "good manager," may not have taken into account the huge number of new and innovative things managers could do to affect game outcomes but simply haven't. Right now, given current theories about how to use players, I agree that I would take a good GM over a good manager. However, a manager who was willing to look at some sabermetric approaches might become extremely, extremely valuable.
Just an example of sabermetric game management: the work done in the BJHBA about the proper use of relief pitchers. This work has been implicitly approved of by recent studies published on hardball times about "high leverage" innings. Interesting stuff.
by Nolan on Feb 15, 2026 3:14 AM EST 0 recs
Depends
by ActionJackson on Feb 15, 2026 5:22 AM EST 0 recs
von Moltke
by studes on Feb 15, 2026 12:11 PM EST 0 recs
the younger von moltke
by shatner on Feb 16, 2026 7:23 PM EST 0 recs






