Crystal Ball: Anthony Rizzo

by BigBlack on Dec 26, 2025 11:33 PM EST

Age/Year

2011/21

2012/22

2013/23

2014/24

2015/25

2016/26

2017/27

2018/28

2019/29

2020/30

2021/31

2022/32

2023/33

2024/34

2025/35

2026/36

Total

128

489

511

587

550

609

611

572

603

571

424

198

385

500

401

155

7,474

AVG

.141

.231

.249

.245

.257

.271

.250

.266

.241

.232

.215

.223

.260

.266

.243

.209

.246

OBP

.281

.315

.330

.333

.348

.366

.355

.369

.350

.323

.302

.309

.354

.353

.330

.288

.337

SLG

.242

.437

.489

.460

.483

.535

.488

.583

.501

.454

.440

.333

.484

.502

.411

.425

.461

353

RBI

108

985

Team

Padres

Cubs

Twins

Rays

Phillies

Position

via mlblogssnaggingbaseballs.files.wordpress.com

With the acquisition of Yonder Alonso, it seems likely the Padres will part ways with their other top first base prospect Anthony Rizzo. I think it would be neat if Theo swings a trade to re-acquire his former slugging prospect. I am not too concerned with the struggles Rizzo had this year in his 153 PA's with the Padres, but I do think his long swing will make him vulnerable to the strikeout. He still has some time to fix that however, as he is still just 21 years old. Though Rizzo won't be mistaken for Michael Bourn, he does have some surprising speed for a first baseman. He reminds me of Carlos Pena.

Note: I know these little series are a little premature, but they are just for fun, and I do not actually think I know how these players career will turn out. They are intended to stimulate discussion on each player, and serve as a visual of how the Minor League Ball community sees the prospect long-term.

Poll

What do you think of the Anthony Rizzo crystal ball?

Optimistic

82 votes

Just Right

29 votes

Pessimistic

33 votes

144 votes | Poll has closed

Tweet Comment 8 comments | 0 recs |

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Comments

At 12 votes, 83% of you believe its optimistc

I honestly thought I was being a little conservative with his low batting average. Do those of you who voted optimistic see him with a lower batting average? Walk less? Hit less home runs?

by BigBlack on Dec 27, 2025 12:48 AM EST reply actions

his power

im just not seeing it that high

by High Heater on Dec 27, 2025 8:04 AM EST up reply actions

I see..

Higher batting average, lesser power…

by Vega-0021 on Dec 27, 2025 10:30 AM EST up reply actions

353 home runs seems very optimistic and

his 2018 season could make him the MVP of the league, which I just dont see from Rizzo. Couple that with 8 25+ home run seasons makes it too optimistic for me.

by Looney4baseball on Dec 27, 2025 10:32 AM EST up reply actions

agreed with above post

Power projections are too high for me, his average will probably be higher, and his BB-rate will be much lower.

by cookiedabookie on Dec 27, 2025 10:54 AM EST up reply actions

I'm not convinced

you’re that far off, but coming off a rough start (even at 21), I think people will have a hard time saying that a young player will go on to hit 350+ big league homers with nearly 1,000 RBI. Those are just big totals that not many major leaguers have ever reached. Regardless of how highly touted a prospect is, it’s never easy to assume that he’ll hit more HRs that George Foster and drive in more than Barry Larkin…

by KentuckyPirate on Dec 27, 2025 10:21 PM EST up reply actions