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2010 Top 20 Florida Marlins Pre-Season Prospects in Review

2010 Florida Marlins Top 20 Prospects in Review

Here is a review of the 2010 Marlins prospect list, originally published January 9th, 2010. THIS IS A REVIEW OF THE OLD LIST AND PRE-SEASON GRADES. THIS IS NOT A NEW LIST.  The 2011 list and new grades won't be ready until the season is over and I start writing the book.

Star-divide

1) Mike Stanton, OF, Grade A-:  .313/.442/.729 for Double-A Jacksonville, .259/.332/.519 in 52 games for the Marlins. I was concerned that he was being rushed, but despite his high strikeout rate he's held up very well in the majors.

2) Logan Morrison, 1B, Grade B+:  .313/.424/.502 in 73 games for Triple-A New Orleans and brief High-A Jupiter rehab assignment, .283/.356/.358 so far in 13 major league games. The power will come eventually.

3) Matt Dominguez, 3B, Grade B:  .251/.329/.412, 12 homers for Double-A Jacksonville. Bat is blah at this point, but defense continues to impress and he's still just 20 (21 later this month).

4) Chad James, LHP, Grade B:   4.96 ERA, 82/53 K/BB in 85 innings for Low-A Greensboro, 84 hits. Good K/rate and gets some grounders, but poor command has held him back this year.

5) Ryan Tucker, RHP, Grade B:  5.50 ERA, 33/31 K/BB in 54 innings, 66 hits combined between GCL Marlins, High-A Jupiter, and Triple-A New Orleans. Still held back by bad command, stock is dropping quickly for me.

6) Gaby Sanchez, 1B, Grade C+:  .290/.351/.455 in 105 games for the Marlins, 12 homers. A good rookie season.

7) Scott Cousins, OF, Grade C+:  .289/.335/.464 for New Orleans, 11 homers, 10 steals, 25 walks, 57 strikeouts in 343 at-bats. Does a little bit of everything, but I wish his OBP was higher.

8) Bryan Petersen, OF, Grade C+:  .260/.340/.336 for New Orleans, 2-for-24 in the majors. Power has vanished since he hit 23 homers in A-ball in 2008.

9) Kyle Skipworth, C, Grade C+:  .253/.319/.463 for Greensboro, 16 homers, 27 walks, 114 strikeouts. This is better than last year, but the BB/K ratio remains abysmal. Has thrown out 39% of runners, but passed ball and error rates are high.

10) Jake Smolinski, 3B, Grade C+:   .244/.303/.369 for Jupiter. Little power, no speed, production disappointing across the board.

11) Jhan Marinez, RHP, Grade C:  1.80 ERA, 10 saves between Jupiter and Jacksonville, 60/21 K/BB in 40 innings, just 21 hits. Three runs allowed in 2.2 major league innings so far. Love the K/IP and H/IP.

12) Isaac Galloway, OF, Grade C:   .200/.259/.290 in 30 games for Jupiter. On DL since May for a wrist injury.

13) Brad Hand, LHP, Grade C:   3.23 ERA, 120/42 K/BB in 125 innings for Jupiter, 133 hits. Much better than last year, with greatly improved control.

14) Garrett Parcell, RHP, Grade C:   3.98 ERA, 47/28 K/BB in 61 innings for Jacksonville, 61 hits, 1.44 GO/AO. Not bad, not great either.

15) Chris Leroux,RHP, Grade C:   20 innings between Jupiter, GCL Marlins, and New Orleans, 6.20 ERA with 14/5 K/BB and 23 hits.  15 major league innings, resulting in 6.60 ERA and 17/9 K/BB.  Given sample sizes, none of this means that much. He does get a lot of grounders, including a 2.25 GO/AO in the majors.

16) Steve Cishek, RHP, Grade C:   3.21 ERA, 48/22 K/BB in 53 innings between Jupiter and Jacksonville, 45 hits. Good year, not a great one.

17) Arquimedes Caminero, RHP, Grade C:  3.52 ERA for Greensboro, 86/30 K/BB in 64 innings, 51 hits. Love the strikeouts. If he lowers the walks next year he could blossom. Caveat: he's already 23.

18) Ramon Benjamin, LHP, Grade C:  3.66 ERA, 47/26 K/BB in 52 innings, 43 hits for Greensboro. Another decent but not great year, already 23.

19) Marcell Ozuna, OF, Grade C:  .257/.313/.514 for Jamestown in the New York-Penn League, 12 homers, 14 walks, 59 strikeouts in 179 at-bats. Power is obvious, but contact is a problem. Just 19.

20) Tom Koehler, RHP, Grade C:  2.85 ERA, 13-2, 117/41 K/BB in 133 innings for Jacksonville, 123 hits. No major problems here, nice numbers across the board, stuff is average but he knows how to use it.

Sanchez and Stanton have been strong in the majors, Morrison was great in Triple-A, while Hand, Marinez, and Koehler have all done very well on the pitching side. I'm about to give up on Tucker, and Dominguez and James have some things to prove next year. Skipworth's inability to make consistent contact undermines his other strengths.

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Comments

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Stanton

was also fearful of the early call-up as I thought he’d start all sorts of bad habits with the high K totals wrecking the confidence. However, he’s hung tough and nice to see the Marlins never jerked around his playing time. So far in August he’s got a fantastic line going including 7 BB’s v 7 K’s.

Need a fantasy fix? Come visit http://www.fantasycafe.com/ for all your basketball, baseball and football needs!

by RedHopeful on Aug 13, 2025 3:39 PM EDT reply actions  

He absolutely abused the Nationals in that series.

I was at two of those games, and listened to a 3rd, the 5-5 destruction that included the longest LF homerun ever in NatsPark according to the announcers. That thing almost hit the concourse and bounced into the concession stand. I wanted to duck and run for cover by the end and wave my white flag. Livan Hernandez appeared to be most careful with Stanton and Uggla in the Marlins lineup. If he keeps producing with the power, the walks may come just with guys pitching around him.

On a desperate search for Sunshine at Nats Park. In Rizzo and Ramos we trust.

by souldrummer on Aug 13, 2025 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Stanton

He already gets a lot of August. Since the All Star break he has the 4th best OPS and the 3rd best BB/AB in all of the majors. At 20 years old. Seriously impressive.

by bucklin12 on Aug 13, 2025 4:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Matthew Montgomery

142.1 Innings
135 hits
25 BB
115 K
2.78 ERA
1.12 whip

"The key to winning baseball games is pitching, fundamentals, and three run homers."

by fourfingerwoo on Aug 13, 2025 4:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Brent Keys

Keys is a guy who has intrigued me since last year. While the power isn’t there yet (and I’ve seen differing reports that say both that it will and that it won’t come eventually), he’s got nearly as many walks (23) as strikeouts (25), and he’s rebounded from a terrible June to put up a respectable .288 batting average with a .381 OBP since. And, considering that his BABIP in June was ,133 while it’s hovered around .350 since, I think we can chalk June up to horrendous luck.

So, I’m wondering if he sneaks on this list for 2011, somewhere in the 15-20 range, and what John thinks of him - will he ever develop the power that could push him from decent prospect to a good one? If he doesn’t, does he have the speed to compensate?

by djromano on Aug 13, 2025 4:35 PM EDT reply actions  

Noah Perio

Same draft class as Keys, but a little younger, he’s got quite a similar profile. He’s a slick defender in the middle of the infield with the ability to make some contact and draw some walks. The power hasn’t shown up much, but also like Keys he has turned it on as of late with .922 OPS in August, which ain’t bad for an 18 year old.

 I also would like to know if he cracks this list somehow or if he remains a C level prospect until he shows some more pop.

by bucklin12 on Aug 13, 2025 4:46 PM EDT reply actions  

Perio is thin as a stick... Saw them last week on my Baltimore trip

Ozuna is 6’3 225 already and looks like a future LF. Great arm though, and good speed once at full speed. He need some work on the off speed stuff, but you can’t help but notice the potential.

by Bravesin07 on Aug 13, 2025 5:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Tim Torres

In AA, he has a .216 IsoP, 15.3 BB%, 19.7 K%. He is playing mostly 2B and CF, though he’s played some SS and RF as well, and last year he was a SS/3B, so he probably had some defensive skill. He did sort of ok in his brief stint in AAA. He has really had a pretty solid minor league career, if you exclude last season after his promotion to AA, with a K% usually under 20% and a BB% almost always above 10%. He is showing the most power this year, but it has been decent enough before. Any thoughts on him? I know he made your Astros top 20 a few years back, although that was sort of the best of the worst kind of thing.

by auclairkeithbc on Aug 13, 2025 5:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Brad Hand surprised he only got a C even 6 months ago.... or at least was not 11th here....

John, in you’re estimation how high has he risen? i think he’s a top 100 guy now honestly… and probably a C all the way to a “B” gotta be at least a B- right?

If Carlos Gomez could net J.J. Hardy then Wilson Ramos should have netted at Least Matt Capps...

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Aug 13, 2025 7:28 PM EDT reply actions  

hand

At least a B-. May get a B depending on scouting reports once the season ends.

by John Sickels on Aug 13, 2025 7:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

What about Edgar Olmos?

Finally healthy and having a good year. Olmos, James, and Hand make a very cool lefty core in the lower minors. Their Greensboro are all basically the same (High strike outs, good ground ball rates, bad control), and hopefully James and Olmos can improve in control like Hand did.

by nny on Aug 13, 2025 9:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nice to see that....

Chad James’ only real problem as a pro so far is control. He’s another one of the hyped lefties in the minors that I think has legit 1-3 starter potential.

by SenorGato on Aug 13, 2025 10:16 PM EDT reply actions  

Stanton has an IFFB% of 23.9%, yet he has a .336 BABIP.

Coupled with a 35.4% K rate he has 59.3% of his plate appearances turn into automatic outs. I do not think there is a chance he sustains that BABIP or anything close to his current BA unless he cuts down on the K’s and IFFB’s.

by lmeyer40 on Aug 14, 2025 2:18 AM EDT reply actions  

Au Contraire

His LD% is over 20% and he hits more groundballs than flyballs so I think his BABIP is pretty much where it should be. If anything is due for a fall, it’s his HR/FB ratio (28.6%).

I reject your reality and substitute my own.

by WayneCampbell08 on Aug 14, 2025 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think it'll regress all that much

20% seems reasonable for a true talent level, for someone with his power

by Hillstop on Aug 14, 2025 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

half of those IFFB leave the park

thats how good stanton is

by matthewmafa on Aug 14, 2025 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cousins

More than aggregate numbers, does that fact that Scott Cousins has had a tremendous 2nd half of the year matter? In other words, is that a break-out?

by scooter on Aug 14, 2025 7:25 AM EDT reply actions  

Ceda

Any input on Ceda? Or is 26 innings not enough coming back from the injury? h/9 k/9 great at Jacksonville.

by Flasportsfan88 on Aug 15, 2025 8:44 PM EDT reply actions  

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