The Recent History of Shortstop Prospects, Part Four
Origins of 2008 Major League Shortstops, sorted by Win Shares (10 WS and/or 300+ at-bats)
Free Agent, 2000,
Free Agent, 1999,
Second round pick, 1996, California HS. Rollins showed excellent speed in the low minors but took some time to get his bat going, not really breaking out until he reached Triple-A in 2000. Career .262/.329/.384 in the minors, but .277/.333/.441 in the majors. His pop developed better than anyone expected.
First round pick, 2004,
Free Agent, 1994,
Second round pick, 2001, Arizona HS. When drafted, Hardy was a defense-first guy with questions about his bat, and I had doubts about him for some time. His first two seasons weren’t great, but he’s been much more effective since hitting age 24 and should have a long and productive career if he stays healthy.
Fifth round pick, 1997, UC-Santa Barbara. Drafted by the Blue Jays, Young performed very well in the minors right off the bat but never seemed to get quite as much respect as he deserved, with scouts criticizing his defense. Indeed, he spent considerable time at second base and began his major league career there before moving back to shortstop in 2004. Hit .296/.367/.450 in the minors, .300/.346/.442 in the majors thus far.
Free agent, 1999,
First round pick, 1992, Michigan HS.
Seventh round pick, 2003,
Free agent, 1993,
Erick Aybar, Los Angeles Angels, 15 WS
Free agent, 2002,
Free agent, 1994,
Third round, 2001,
13th round pick, 2001,
11th round pick, 1997, Southern Illinois University. Moved to second base and reached the majors within a year of being drafted, though development slowed from there. Hit .302/.381/.452 in the minors, but just .260/.330/.370 in the majors thus far, though he’s had some good seasons.
Free agent, 1993,
Second round pick, 2005, Cuban defector. Considered very skilled with the glove but a few doubts about his bat kept him out of the first round. A so-so Double-A transition (.262/.359/.343) in ’06 concerned me, but he has been quite strong in the majors at .303/.373/.420, and even in Double-A he controlled the strike zone well.
Fifth round pick, 2001, William and Mary. Harris was considered a promising hitter with defensive issues, which is why he lasted until the fifth round, and indeed shifted between third base and second base throughout his minor league career. Hit .294/.365/.458 in the minors, .269/.330/.408 in the majors.
Free agent, 1992,
Free agent, 1998,
First round pick, 2001,
21st round pick, 1998,
First round pick, 1998, Florida HS
Free agent, 1997,
Fourth round, 2001,
First round pick, 2005,
9th round pick, 1998,
First round pick, 2002,
First Round: Drew, Jeter, Crosby, Lopez, Tulowitzki, Greene
Second Round: Rollins, Hardy, Escobar
Third Round: Theriot
Fourth Round: Keppinger
Fifth Round: Young, Harris
Sixth through Ninth Round:
10th round or later: Bartlett, Hairston, Punto,
Free Agent: Ramirez, Reyes, Guzman, Peralta, Cabrera, Aybar, Scutaro, Tejada, Renteria, Izturis, Uribe,
High School: Rollins, Hardy, Jeter, Lopez
Junior College: Punto, Wilson
College: Drew, Young,
Latin America including
It is just one snapshot, but in 2008 Jeter and Lopez were the only two who received significant playing time, as shortstops, who were first round high school picks as shortstops.
We will try to draw some conclusions from this mass of data in Part Five.