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Mailbag Question: Cedric Hunter

Reader David J. sends in this email about Padres prospect Cedric Hunter:

Star-divide

I know you, as well as many others, were once high on Ced Hunter.  He was so athletic coming out of school and had that killer debut in Arizona.  He was solid enough, but not remarkable in the MWL and at Elsinore, and seemed pretty viable.

Then 2009 happened...

Now that he's rebounding this year, I'm trying to figure out what to make of him.

Offensively, he doesn't strike out and has finally decided it's not a disgrace to take a walk (it looks like he might set his new career high in walks by mid-July).  He's got awesome hand-eye coordination and his quick swing really lets him wait to go after his pitches - something he seems to have figured out somewhere between August and May.  But, he has developed little power (even accounting for being a lefty at Wolff Stadium) and seems fairly unlikely to at this point.  If he can maintain his new-found patience at the plate, I guess he profiles decently in the second spot in a lineup.

BUT...

Defensively, he's probably not good enough to play CF - especially given Jed Hoyer's new focus on players who are built for Petco Park.  He's quick, but he's not fast; his arm is neutral, his routes are not remarkable, and he is still prone to lapses in the field.  Add to that his inexplicable regression on the basepaths after two years of trying to prove he might have some tiny amount of instincts as a base-stealer...

I just don't know what to make.  Are his skill sets finally catching up to his tools, or is he a tease who is destined to be a tweener?

*******************************


Hunter is hitting .305/.375/.414 this year for Double-A San Antonio. His power is still unimpressive as David points out, but his plate discipline is much better this year, with a 31/21 BB/K in 266 at-bats. He's repeating the league, which is a negative, but he's still just 22 years old, which means he isn't at a bad spot on the age curve relative to other Double-A players.

I used to be very high on Hunter, but at this point I don't know what to think either and don't have any genuine advice to offer David. My guess is that Hunter will never develop much additional power, and that he's something like a "natural" .280 hitter who can hit anywhere from .300 to .260 in any given year depending on luck and BABIP.Most of his value will be tied into his batting average unless his power unexpected spikes or unless he gets his stolen base percentage back to a reasonable level. Right now he looks like a possible reserve outfielder to me, but there's still a chance he could get beyond that.

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Comments

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the home run he hit in san antonio last night displayed plenty of power

but it’s true, there hasn’t been much of it over the last year.

Director of the 2010 Free Casper Wells campaign
No Run Support

by allikazoo on Jun 22, 2025 1:23 PM EDT reply actions  

Every once in a while

He seems to start getting doubles and HRs and tease you ever so slightly. I think he’s about to start a bit of a power streak right now. We’ll see how long it lasts. He’s only 22 so I guess that power could develop, but I’m not holding my breath.

No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.

Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't

by Wonko on Jun 22, 2025 2:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

power

Don’t really see the power with him. He’s not very big and I’d be afraid that if he added any more muscle, he’d slow down too much to play CF.

by mrkupe on Jun 22, 2025 11:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lemme toss this one out there for SD fans

Cedric Hunter or Aaron Cunningham?

I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy

by Satchel Price on Jun 22, 2025 2:41 PM EDT reply actions  

Cunningham, without much pain in that decision-making

If you look at performance through the half-way point of his age 22 season, when he got promoted from AA to AAA, Cunningham had consistently outperformed what Hunter’s done until today. Even acknowledging that he came into the pros as a JuCo freshman, he went to the Appy League instead of the far friendlier AZL and collected 2/3 of his Hi-A at-bats in the Carolina League, not Cal.
When he moved up to Sacramento in 2008, he was exactly the age Hunter is today, and owned a career OPS about 100 pts higher than Hunter’s is now. He’s got about the same defensive abilities, runs the bases better, and profiles a bit better for the Padres and Petco as a righty than left-handed Hunter does.

by realitypolice on Jun 22, 2025 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with you, just wondering what some others think

I mean, look at his OPS line numbers from each level of the minors:

Rookie: .315/.392/.446 in 255 plate appearances
Single-A: .292/.374/.469 in 431 plate appearances
Advanced Single-A: .315/.379/.501 in 441 plate appearances
Double-A: .310/.381/.514 in 533 plate appearances
Triple-A: .293/.364/.471 in 665 plate appearances

That’s some astonishing consistency across every level. I’m a Cunningham fan, I’m thoroughly disappointed that the White Sox traded him for freaking Danny Richar.

I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy

by Satchel Price on Jun 22, 2025 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

We Padre fans have been asking for Cunningham for some time.

For some reason or another, Buddy Black hates him and refuses to play him.

"This is no ordinary honey!"
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.

by Zach (maestro876) on Jun 23, 2025 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Comp.

From what I hear, he sounds a bit like David DeJesus. What do you guys think? Obviously DeJesus is proving himself to be a solid contributor average and OBP wise, but doesn’t hit for much power or steal bases. If Hunter continues the season he’s having, and can provide good defense, I don’t see why he can’t turn into a player like DeJesus.

www.pbfantasysports.com
^^ check it out

by Preston Barclay on Jun 22, 2025 11:04 PM EDT reply actions  

That seems like a bit of a best-case scenario though, right?

Although I do like that comp.

But if Hunter can average 3 WAR over the course of a five-year span like DeJesus did from 2005-2009, the Padres will probably be ecstatic.

I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy

by Satchel Price on Jun 22, 2025 11:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

absolute best case

David is so unbelievably underrated.

baseball rules.

by doublestix on Jun 23, 2025 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

I suppose that's what happens when the only thing that people can focus on about your team is how poorly they're managed

Hopefully DeJesus gets dealt somewhere where people realize that he’s actually an exceptional outfielder.

I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy

by Satchel Price on Jun 23, 2025 7:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hunter

Maybe early DeJesus. Hitting-wise, kind of a Ryan Theriot type from the left side.

by mrkupe on Jun 24, 2025 4:07 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Best case is much higher than Dejesus

problem is I too am not sure he’ll reach his ceiling and his floor is closer to a 4th OF. Thing is, in 2008 he led the minors in hits, in 2009 he totally sucked.

Although it’s his second year in AA Wolff might be the hardest hitting environment in AA. Honestly, it rivals and probably surpasses Petco with it’s winds. But no doubt, Hunter’s stock is tied to his hitting and obp.

by johnnycomelately9 on Jul 20, 2025 1:20 AM EDT reply actions  

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