I love this CB. Very interesting and insightful.

One of the reasons I requested EJ’s CB is that his career has been so variable; he’s a very difficult guy to make sense of given his: a) relatively late conversion to pitching, b) checkered performance record, c) raw stuff. I think your general evaluation of him here makes intuitive sense.

I agree with you in that I believe he will have a dominant year at some point, although I wouldn’t have the courage to predict when exactly that will occur. I see that you anticipate a significant jump in his K/BB ratio in the near future (2011), followed by a brief period of legitimate "Acedom".

One thing I wonder about is your sense that he will have a severe injury early in his thirties. Of course anything is possible, but I would think he would be less susceptible to injury than others considering his: a) late introduction to pitching, b) lack of arm abuse during early twenties, c) lack of injury history, and d) relatively sound delivery. Is there any particular reason why you sense a serious injury at a relatively early age? Too many sliders, perhaps?

Thanks for the great work!