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AL East Possible Breakouts/Sleepers

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Some Potential Breakout/Sleeper Players, AL EAST

      I've was asked in the All Questions Answered thread on Friday to name some breakout players for 2009, guys not yet on top prospect lists but who could be by this time next year. So that will be our theme this week, sleeper prospects and potential breakouts.
     There are two basic types of "breakouts." The first types are guys who are already in the consciousness of the prospect community, but who are still unproven or at a low level of play. These would be guys rated as Grade C+ or C types at lower levels, but with the potential to improve. The second type is the guy who REALLY comes out of nowhere, or who makes a dramatic, unexpected, or unpredictable improvement from year to year.

Here are a few guys to consider from the AL East.

Joseph Cruz, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays; A 30th round pick in 2007 out of East Los Angeles JC, Cruz is 6-4, 195, can hits 94 MPH, and posted a 62/14 K/BB with a 3.17 ERA in the Appalachian League last year. He needs work with his secondary pitches, but the Rays have had good luck helping similar pitchers develop, he already throws strikes, and his body is very very projectable. I'd keep a close eye on him. He's more of a second breakout type...not many people have heard of him yet, but there are hints here.

Oliver Drake, RHP, Baltimore Orioles: Drake was a 43rd round pick in 2008 out of the US Naval Academy, but would likely have gone at least 30 rounds higher if his signability had been more clear. As it was, he was able to avoid military service and sign for $100,000, then posted a 0.82 ERA with a 24/3 K/BB in his first 22 pro innings, in the Appalachian and New York-Penn Leagues. He pushes his fastball past 90, has a plus slider, and might be able to start (which would greatly boost his prospect status) if he can improve his changeup more. Obviously he already throws strikes.

Tyler Pastornicky, SS, Toronto Blue Jays: A deep sleeper type, Pastornicky was a fifth round pick out of high school in Florida last year. He hit .263/.349/.356 in rookie ball, showing decent plate discipline but lacking power. However, he kept his strikeout rate low, stole 27 bases in 32 attempts, and has a good defensive reputation. He's young, athletic, and commands the strike zone, qualities inherent in prospects who can sneak up on us. Power development will be his key.

David Phelps, RHP, New York Yankees: 14th round pick last year out of Notre Dame, but at one point before an erratic junior year he was being mentioned as a possible second rounder. He put up reasonable numbers in the New York-Penn League (2.72 ERA, 52/18 K/BB in 73 innings), has a low-90s fastball, and showed better breaking stuff as a pro than he did in college last spring. If he can get back to where he was during his sophomore year, he can surprise.

Stolmy Pimentel, RHP, Boston Red Sox: Perhaps one of the more obvious people, a clear first type, he had a decent year in the New York-Penn League (3.14 ERA, 61/17 K/BB in 63 innings, 51 hits). He already has good command for his age (19), has an excellent changeup, and has enough physical projection to boost his velocity past it's current 88-91 range. A push in dominance due to greater velocity would vault him up the charts, as long as he maintains his command. He could be a Top 50 guy if everything comes together.

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Cool

I like this idea John. That had been one of my favorite questions in the all questions answered thread.

by gore51 on Mar 9, 2026 5:28 PM EDT reply actions  

Sleeper lists

Do you happen to have a schedule for when you are going to publish lists for sleepers from the rest of the divisions?

by CoolCat23 on Mar 9, 2026 8:36 PM EDT reply actions  

Mr. Sickels

by CoolCat23 on Mar 9, 2026 8:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

schedule

one a day until they are done

by John Sickels on Mar 9, 2026 11:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oliver Drake

Cool! I found out yesterday that I went to high school with him. I’m pretty sure he was small and awkward at the time.

by Fanon on Mar 9, 2026 10:44 PM EDT reply actions  

Navy commitment

Is there a reason that Drake was able to avoid military service and Mitch Harris(Cardinals’ 13th rounder) wasn’t? Just wondering what the difference is in their cases…

In what St. Louis Cardinals manager Tony La Russa called a "big day" for his club, starter Chris Carpenter took the mound for his first session of live batting practice and promptly buzzed the fuzz on catcher Jason LaRue’s chin with an errant fastball.

"Sorry," Carpenter called from the mound.

"Don’t say you’re sorry," LaRue barked back.

"He said it," pitching coach Dave Duncan said from the side of the cage, "but he didn’t mean it."
~ DG

by mateodh on Mar 10, 2026 12:14 PM EDT reply actions  

Yes

Apparently if you go to Navy you don’t have to actually commit until just before your third year. As a result he had until the end of summer last year to declare eligibility. Having seen what happened with Harris being denied permission to play, he jumped ship before he was locked in. Harris had already passed that threshold.

by Fanon on Mar 10, 2026 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

So what exactly does projectable mean?

How likely is Pimentel to add 2-3 mph to his fastball? Does it mean it’s possible, likely, almost certain?

TheSouthWing.com - A Magazine of essays, prose and poems

by OldProspects on Mar 10, 2026 7:47 PM EDT reply actions  

I would say a decent chance

he just turned 19 in February, for one.

He has a good frame for a pitcher and pretty much everything Ive seen about him assumes he will add velocity.

by alskor on Mar 10, 2026 7:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Os prospects, Zagone and Bundy

Those guys pitched little in Instructional league.

BOBBY BUNDY
Bundy was seen as a 2nd RD pick (maybe 1st?) but dropped substantially because of a knee injury he suffered prior to the draft in a pick-up basketball game. Since then the injury looks to be minor, and may be a nice pick up in the 8th RD. He’s a sturdy framed 19 yr old, 6’2" , 215 lbs RHP with a live 89-93 mph fastball that touches 94 (while pitching with a brace at GCL). Though before the brace, scouts clocked him at an easy 92-96 mph. He also has a big looping curveball that is still developing. The benefit of pitching with a brace in GCL is that it’s forced him to simplify his delivery. He’s a big upside power pitcher.

RICK ZAGONE
Big 21 yr old, 6’4", 185 lbs, LHP with a deceptive (but clean) high leg kick high side-arm delivery. Average 88-91 mph fastball and good late breaking slider. Slider and fastball deliveries mirror each other well. Posted good command, 10.9 K/9, 7.9 H/9, and just 2 HRs n 65.1 IP at Short season Aberdeen (A-). He’s seen as a future RP who may move pretty quickly as a fairly polished college lefty. The eventual jump to AA will be the most telling. Not sure if that will happen this year though.

by basemonkey on Mar 12, 2026 1:07 PM EDT reply actions  

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