Dexter Fowler Update
Dexter Fowler Update
Several people have asked me for a current opinion on Colorado Rockies outfielder Dexter Fowler. I did a "Not a Rookie" piece for Dexter Fowler back in February, As I wrote back then, I expected his bat to be about the same this year and next year, maybe improve a little, but then take off in 2012.
In reality, he got off to a slow start with the Rockies, hitting just .204/.320/.299 in 49 games, 147 at-bats. However, although the batting average was too low, he did have a good walk rate with 25 free passes, and his strikeouts (while higher than ideal at 39) were not that bad. Sent down to Triple-A on May 31st, he hit .340/.435/.566 in 27 games for Colorado Springs. Much of his damage came in the friendly home park (.379/.478/.655 against .292/.382/.458 on the road), but overall he played quite well. The main negative was just one stolen base in one attempt. The Rockies called him back up a couple of days ago, although given their outfield situation, playing time may be spotty unless he gets hot fast.
Several readers have asked me if my opinion about Fowler has changed. It hasn't, I still like him, he just needs to play. Keep in mind that the month he just spent in Triple-A was his only experience at that level: he had one season of Double-A under his belt before spending last year in the majors. Despite his slow start this year, I still think he'll be a good player, he just needs more experience in my view. His BABIP for the Rockies this year was quite low at .271, and I think bad luck likely played a large factor in his slow start. It was .351 last year, which was in line with his minor league BABIP numbers.
As for the poor UZR rating with his defense last year, this year it's been much better, with 5.4 UZR/150 so far. . .yes, sample size, etc., but it is still good to see. Overall, I don't think there is anything wrong with Fowler that playing time won't fix.
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He's 3-3 tonight with acouple SBs
…they should send down Huntington & Nutting, because they aren’t ready, either. - royshowell
by Marinerfanjake on Jul 1, 2025 10:13 PM EDT reply actions
fowler
Good timing on the article then, lol.
by John Sickels on Jul 1, 2025 10:16 PM EDT up reply actions
I know he is a speed guy
and therefore his BABIP will be high, but do you really think he will have a BABIP in the 350 range? That seems excessive…
Also, and I know you said SSS in your writeup, but UZR isnt useful in a season size, let alone a couple months
by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Jul 1, 2025 11:00 PM EDT reply actions
I don't think
John was implying that it would be that high in the future, simply stating that the .271 he was posting in the MLB this year is low and that he had post impressively above average BABIP numbers in the minors and would likely move back towards an above average number in the future.
Like Rick Bosetti my goal in life is not to do well but to piss on things.
by mudie on Jul 2, 2025 7:35 AM EDT up reply actions
Ye Gods
His career BABIP in the minors was a redonkulous .387. There’s no way possible that he should come close to that number in the Major Leagues. The fields and fielders are way too good and his LD% is extremely low for a number that high. Only once in his life was his LD rate as high as it was last year too.
I reject your reality and substitute my own.
by WayneCampbell08 on Jul 2, 2025 7:36 PM EDT reply actions
Power
The one thing, for me, that has changed a bit since he’s been a big leaguer is the idea that he was or is going to hit for power. Its happened before with a player like Alex Rios but other than that there is nothing in watching him hit (especially from the left side), his record, or results that indicate he’s goig to hit for the 20 HR a year power some projected for him. I still hope the est for him because hes a likeable player with some good skills but 10 Homers would be a good goal for this kid. He’ll stay in the bigs by getting on and catching the ball.
by casejud on Jul 4, 2025 12:15 AM EDT reply actions
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