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Crystal Ball: Byron Buxton, OF, Minnesota Twins

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Marilyn Indahl-USA TODAY Sports

Here's a Crystal Ball, by reader request, for Minnesota Twins outfielder Byron Buxton.

The Crystal Ball is NOT a PREDICTION in the sense of me saying "this is how the guy will turn out." The idea is to generate discussion about a player by presenting one possible outcome for his career, based on what we currently know about him.

It is not just thrown together; I try to make them logical, based on the outcomes of players who were similar at the same stage of their career. Sometimes a CB represents a maximal outcome, sometimes it is more of a middle ground.

This particular CB is intended to be somewhat optimistic but not a maximal outcome. Does Buxton's tear late in 2016 presage a full breakout that would make this look too weak, or was it just a sample size fluke?

Byron Buxton
Year Team G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K BA OBP SLG SB HBP Age
2015 Twins 46 129 16 27 7 1 2 6 6 44 0.209 0.25 0.326 2 1 21
2016 Twins 92 298 44 67 19 6 10 38 23 118 0.225 0.287 0.43 10 3 22
2017 Twins 152 481 63 129 31 8 14 57 44 156 0.268 0.335 0.453 18 4 23
2018 Twins 162 578 83 167 33 10 18 78 49 149 0.289 0.349 0.474 24 4 24
2019 Twins 148 562 89 162 31 4 20 89 50 126 0.288 0.352 0.464 22 5 25
2020 Twins 154 581 83 152 36 5 17 76 52 119 0.262 0.325 0.429 18 3 26
2021 Twins 138 520 79 160 37 7 16 83 50 107 0.308 0.373 0.498 24 4 27
2022 Twins 153 567 90 165 33 5 21 90 48 100 0.291 0.354 0.478 23 7 28
2023 Braves 98 372 63 100 24 1 14 56 34 80 0.269 0.341 0.452 12 7 29
2024 Braves 147 557 90 159 31 3 17 89 45 108 0.285 0.342 0.443 15 3 30
2025 Braves 160 600 94 175 39 2 20 81 52 99 0.292 0.352 0.463 12 4 31
2026 Braves 147 552 85 153 27 2 15 83 47 92 0.277 0.342 0.415 19 7 32
2027 Braves 140 534 92 169 40 3 22 90 52 103 0.316 0.381 0.526 20 4 33
2028 Braves 129 418 79 119 22 2 15 70 59 100 0.285 0.378 0.455 15 4 34
2029 Braves 42 159 29 48 15 2 3 26 14 43 0.302 0.366 0.478 7 2 35
2030 Braves 58 234 21 49 12 1 3 25 20 52 0.209 0.275 0.308 5 1 36
2031 Braves 130 452 61 116 21 2 12 61 41 93 0.257 0.321 0.392 8 2 37
2032 Braves 70 156 14 31 6 0 1 7 11 19 0.199 0.251 0.256 2 0 38
2166 7750 1175 2148 464 64 240 1105 697 1708 0.277 0.342 0.446 256 65