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One four million dollar man, or four one million dollar men?

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Alcides Escobar ($33,000 bonus) and Xander Bogaerts ($410,000 bonus)
Alcides Escobar ($33,000 bonus) and Xander Bogaerts ($410,000 bonus)
Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

Following up yesterday's post about international bonus pools, here is a Minor League Ball Community discussion question. If you were running a team, which of the following options would you prefer, in theory?

Option A: Sign one 16-year-old player from Latin America for $4,000,000

Option B: Sign two such players for $2,000,000 each.

Option C: Sign four such players for $1,000,000 each

Option D: Sign 10 such players for $400,000 each

Option E: Sign 40 such players for $100,000 each

Yes, I know, "it depends on who the players are." But theoretically speaking, based on the history of international signings over the last 20 years and the undoubted difficulty of projecting how good a 16-year-old kid will be ten years from now, which of these options do you think would be most likely to give you a positive return on the investment? Is it better to concentrate your resources or spread them out?

Or put another way, how much are you willing to invest in one egg in your basket?