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Washington Nationals 2011 Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review

Washington Nationals 2011 Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review


I am reviewing my PRE-SEASON list of Top 20 prospects for 2011 for each organization, continuing today with the Washington Nationals. This list was originally published November 27, 2025. We will look at the San Diego Padres on Thursday, the New York Yankees on Friday, the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday, the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday, and the Kansas City Royals on Monday.

This is a review of the 2011 Pre-Season Top 20 list. IT IS NOT A NEW LIST.

The 2012 list and new grades won't be ready until the season is over and I start writing the book.

1) Bryce Harper, OF, Grade A: Hit .318/.423/.554 with 14 homers, 19 steals, 44 walks and 61 strikeouts for Low-A Hagerstown at age 18. Promoted to Double-A, struggled at first but hot lately, hitting .238/.303/.325 with eight walks, 16 strikeouts in 80 at-bats.  .297/.357/.486 in last 10 games. Amazing talent.

Star-divide

2) Derek Norris, C, Grade B+:  Hitting .207/.365/.423 with 55 walks, 75 strikeouts, 13 homers for Double-A Harrisburg. Hitting for power with high walk rate, as expected, but batting average is too low to be acceptable. Has thrown out 40% of runners but passed ball rate has more than doubled from last year.

3) Danny Espinosa, INF, Grade B:  Hitting .226/.314/.421 with 17 homers, 12 steals, 36 walks, 107 strikeouts in 390 at-bats for Washington. I think he'll get better.

4) Sammy Solis, LHP, Grade B:  3.69 ERA with 68/21 K/BB in 71 innings for Hagerstown and High-A Potomac, 73 hits. Throwing strikes as expected, picking up some grounders, doing OK.

5) A.J. Cole, RHP, Grade B:   3.47 ERA with 67/13 K/BB in 57 innings for Hagerstown, 53 hits. Very solid performance, no complaints, command has been sharp.

6) Wilson Ramos, C, Grade B-: Hitting .248/.324/.415 with nine  homers, 29 walks, 49 strikeouts in 258 at-bats for the Nationals. I bet the Twins would like to have him back.

7) Robbie Ray, LHP, Grade B-:  1.91 ERA with a 76/30 K/BB in 71 innings, 48 hits for Hagerstown. Could stand to lower the walk rate but otherwise very impressive.

8) Michael Burgess, OF, Grade C+: Traded to Cubs in Tom Gorzellany deal. Hitting .223/.324/.412 with 14 homers, 51 walks, 91 strikeouts in 345 at-bats for High-A Daytona. Still has the power and patience, but other skills have not developed as hoped.

9) Eury Perez, OF, Grade C+: Hitting .271/.306/.312 with 16 walks, 45 strikeouts, 32 steals in 317 at-bats for High-A Potomac. Good speed, but lack of walks and zero power suppress his stock.

10) Rich Hague, SS, Grade C+: Season ended after four games for Potomac with a shoulder injury.

11) Cole Kimball, RHP, Grade C+: Threw 14 shutout innings for Triple-A Syracuse, then 14 innings for the Nationals with three runs but an 11/11 K/BB. Out with rotator cuff surgery.

12) J.P. Ramirez, OF, Grade C+: Very disappointing, hitting .225/.277/.3445 with 21 walks, 57 strikeouts in 307 at-bats for Potomac.

13) Chris Marrero, 1B, Grade C+:  Hitting .309/.381/.449 with 11 homers, 47 walks, 81 strikeouts in 408 at-bats for Syracuse. A good year, but questions still remains: will he hit for enough power to play first base?

14) Steve Lombardozzi, 2B, Grade C+: Hitting a combined .310/.360/.437 with seven homers, 28 walks, 63 strikeouts, 22 steals in 435 at-bats for Harrisburg and Syracuse. Extremely reliable, has made just two errors this year. Deserves a major league trial.

15) Brad Meyers, RHP, Grade C+: 3.46 ERA with 93/11 K/BB in 107 innings combined at three levels, 115 hits. K/BB in Triple-A is 51/11 in 64 innings. Outstanding control.

16) Brad Peacock, RHP, Grade C+: Breakthrough guy, 2.01 ERA with 129/23 K/BB in 99 innings for Harrisburg, 62 hits. Command has slipped some since promotion to Triple-A, 19/12 K/BB in 20 innings, 4.43 ERA but just 12 hits. Always had strong stuff, just needed to refine it. Stock way up.

17) A.J. Morris, RHP, Grade C+: Traded to Cubs. Injured all year.

18) Tyler Moore, 1B, Grade C:  .274/.313/.538 with 24 homers, 20 walks, 108 strikeouts in 409 at-bats for Harrisburg. You have to like the power, but I remain suspicious about his plate discipline.

19) Tom Milone, LHP, Grade C:  Amazing command, 120/10 K/BB in 117 innings, 110 hits for Syracuse with a 3.62 ERA. Just went on DL with "bicep tiredness." Unfortunate since rumors from Washington indicated he was about to be promoted.

20) Daniel Rosenbaum, LHP, Grade C: 2.59 ERA with 108/41 K/BB in 132 innings for Potomac, 113 hits, 1.62 GO/AO. No complaints here. Just promoted to Harrisburg.

A couple of disappointments, but for the most part things look quite good here. Harper is a monster, Peacock broke through, Cole and Ray have performed quite well, and Ramos and Espinosa have provided major league value.

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Comments

Display:

Ramos v. Norris

Who’s the catcher of the future? If Norris isn’t a catcher can we still consider him a top 100 talent? Even if he’s a catcher is he a top 100 talent?

by gobruins12345 on Aug 3, 2025 11:07 AM EDT reply actions  

thanks

i guess should have included if you expect norris to stay at catcher

by gobruins12345 on Aug 3, 2025 11:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

Espinosa

30/20 in his prime or is this wayyyy too optimistic?

by gobruins12345 on Aug 3, 2025 11:07 AM EDT reply actions  

i actually think thats reasonable...

but probably only a .320 OB % with sub .260 average

~David Kahn is pretty much clueless~
Twins top 11 ~ Gibson, Sano, Hendriks, Hicks, Arcia, Salcedo, Benson, Michael, Kepler, Rosario, Gutierrez ~

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Aug 3, 2025 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

that's basically

a rich man’s uggla? i’m looking from a fantasy perspective and uggla was a top 50 player, uggla didn’t really bring the speed, if espinosa can keep his average around .260 with some career seasons of .280, he can be very valuable

is there still any talk of moving him back to SS?

by gobruins12345 on Aug 3, 2025 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

oh yeah. with lombardozzi on the verge of making the majors

Ian Desmond seems expendable.

Adoptive father of 18th round draft pick and future ace, BRANDON ALLEN

by Nnamdi Asomugha on Aug 3, 2025 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Destin Hood

.282/.367/.462 in Potomac. 21 years old.

by Ja4ed on Aug 3, 2025 12:00 PM EDT reply actions  

Was surprised to see he didn’t make the original list. Some other guys to look out for are: Blake Kelso, J. Kobernus, D. Frietas, A. Sanchez, A. Nieto, N. Karns, M. Antonelli. With the lack of players graduating from this list and the boost we’ll get from the draft class Nats should have a top 10 farm system next year.

by mwyche on Aug 3, 2025 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

Sleep, those little slices of death. Oh how I loathe them.

by Daggerrrrrr on Aug 8, 2025 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hey John, can Milone become a #4 even if he never escapes the high 80s?

by limozeen on Aug 3, 2025 12:18 PM EDT reply actions  

How is Marrero's defense at 1B?

In this run environment, a 1B with an .800 OPS and good defense is probably an acceptable starter, and I think that’s a fairly reasonable outcome for him (if he has the defensive chops).

Now writing for BaseballInstinct.com

by Franchise887 on Aug 3, 2025 12:20 PM EDT reply actions  

Harper...

Is he any good?

follow @casetines

by Kenneth Arthur on Aug 3, 2025 12:36 PM EDT reply actions  

Any idea why they skipped him over A+ ball?

Was it merely to keep him geographically close to the home team and their fans? Is there some issue with the Nats A+ affiliate? It seems to me like he really should have finshed the year in A+ ball.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.

by Fla-Giant on Aug 3, 2025 2:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

High A

is actually the closest minor league team. They claim it wasnt the field, and thats probably only part of it, but the Cannons play in one of the worst parks in the league.

PLus Im guessing they wanted him to face some adversity. Hes been too talented for his competition the last couple of years, maybe they thought the jump would give him a slap in the face that would do him good.

by ADLC on Aug 3, 2025 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

owner

The Nats don’t care for the owner, the crappy field or the crappy stadium. There is a long standing history of dislike there. No question it was a slap in the face. Personally I think they would have had him start in Potomac and then move him to H-burg. But instead they started him in H-town.

by KSM on Aug 3, 2025 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

David Freitas

Any comments on him? He’s done nothing but succeed in two seasons now. He seems to me like a Derek Norris-lite, with better defense but less power.

by Willl on Aug 3, 2025 7:17 PM EDT reply actions  

Komatsu and Walters

Where do either of the deadline acquisitions fit into the picture?

by Willl on Aug 3, 2025 7:19 PM EDT reply actions  

Steve Lombardozzi

Does Lombardozzi have a chance to be an average major league guy or is he just a good minor league player? He’s been fairly consistent throughout his minor league career to this point, but can he continue that at a major league level?

by rw192925 on Aug 4, 2025 12:26 AM EDT reply actions  

Lomdo's numbers at every level

have been higher than Espinosa’s, so don’t see why he should hit as well or better than Espy.

by VladiHondo on Aug 4, 2025 10:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

Brad Peacock

Thoughts on his ceiling? Is he still a 3/4 type or this season a step towards higher ceiling?

by The Autodrafters on Aug 4, 2025 4:21 AM EDT reply actions  

If everyone's healthy, he has no shot at being better than #3 behind Strasburg and JZimmermann

But I know what you mean. I’m assuming he gets a few starts in September, and it will be interesting to see how he does.

by d_c_guy on Aug 4, 2025 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Clearly you missed

the “I know what you mean” part of my comment :-)

by d_c_guy on Aug 11, 2025 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

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