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BA Top 10 Prospects: Tampa Bay Rays

TOP TEN PROSPECTS

1. Matt Moore, lhp
2. Hak-Ju Lee, ss
3. Chris Archer, rhp
4. Taylor Guerrieri, rhp
5. Alex Colome, rhp
6. Alex Torres, lhp
7. Tim Beckham, ss
8. Enny Romero, lhp
9. Drew Vettleson, of
10. Mikie Mahtook, of



Star-divide

BEST TOOLS

Best Hitter for Average Drew Vettleson
Best Power Hitter Derek Dietrich
Best Strike Zone Discipline Tyler Bortnick
Fastest Baserunner Hak-Ju Lee
Best Athlete Ty Morrison
Best Fastball Matt Moore
Best Curveball Matt Moore
Best Slider Chris Archer
Best Changup Marquis Fleming
Best Control Matt Moore
Best Defensive Catcher Mark Thomas
Best Defensive Infielder Hak-Ju Lee
Best Infield Arm Tim Beckham
Best Defensive OF Kevin Kiermaier
Best Outfield Arm Brandon Guyer

PROJECTED 2015 LINEUP

Catcher Luke Bailey
First Base Ben Zobrist
Second Base Jake Hager
Third Base Evan Longoria
Shortstop Hak-Ju Lee
Left Field Matt Joyce
Center Field Desmond Jennings
Right Field B.J. Upton
Designated Hitter Tim Beckham
No. 1 Starter Matt Moore
No. 2 Starter David Price
No. 3 Starter James Shields
No. 4 Starter Jeremy Hellickson
No. 5 Starter Jeff Niemann
Closer Chris Archer

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Comments

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After Moore and Lee the drop off is pretty big

Big Sexy

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by King Billy Royal on Dec 21, 2025 10:51 AM EST reply actions  

I don't even like Lee that much

The drop from Moore to Lee is almost as big as Lee to #3.

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by The Congo Hammer on Dec 22, 2025 2:50 PM EST up reply actions  

that's an interesting vote of confidence in Dietrich

Doesn’t say a whole lot for the guy they drafted in the first round a couple of years ago solely on the strength of his power, though . . .

by mrkupe on Dec 21, 2025 11:06 AM EST reply actions  

I was surprised by that too

also quite a vote for Ty Morrison’s athletic ability, for a guy who has mostly just run fast in 3+ seasons

by PrincetonCubs on Dec 21, 2025 12:56 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't see why not.

He is a wriy athletic guy.

by mr. maniac on Dec 21, 2025 1:32 PM EST up reply actions  

for sure, but there are some other pretty great athletes in the system though

Lee and Guyer, and also Vettleson (a very good basketball player, and also a Venditte-esque switch pitcher…he must have freakish coordination)

by PrincetonCubs on Dec 21, 2025 2:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Lee doesn't seem that strong (although Guyer does make sense).

Vettleson is pretty athletic, but not as much as Morrison, I think.

by mr. maniac on Dec 21, 2025 2:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Mike Mahtook looks way too low

Inconceivably so almost. I think he rises quickly in the estimations of many this Spring & I’d have had him third here.

by Matt0330 on Dec 21, 2025 11:11 AM EST reply actions  

I second

. . that emotion :)

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by casejud on Dec 21, 2025 2:16 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

He’d be third for me

by cookiedabookie on Dec 21, 2025 3:45 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

High floor does it for me

by ttnorm on Dec 21, 2025 8:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Not at all for me.

Mahtook is more a lack of weaknesses than any strengths. Not an impact guy and has adjustments to make to end up a solid regular.

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twitter: @alskor

by alskor on Dec 22, 2025 1:19 AM EST up reply actions  

Is there any major league "lack of weakness" comp you can point to so that I understand why it's not a good thing?

Am I the only one flagging this guy? 
Seriously, do we have to wait for the money shot or a "F*** THE SOXXXXXX!" before we ban him? Doubleteapot… BAN HIM!!
by AlohaSox on Sep 28, 2025 10:20 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Dec 22, 2025 7:01 AM EST up reply actions  

Nothing comes to mind and I don't want to force a comp...

I don’t really like Mahtook’s swing (very armsy, don’t see much power coming). He just lacks impact tools, IMO, and he’s not a terribly exciting prospect. Typical college corner guy type… the kind of guy who has lots of 45s to 55’s on his scouting report.

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by alskor on Dec 22, 2025 8:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Is Allen Simpson qualified . .

. . to evaluate players? He disagrees with much of that here . . .

http://www.perfectgame.org/articles/View.aspx?article=5586

“4.44 speed”, “superior speed”, “above-average arm strength and raw power potential”, “excellent bat speed and has developed a tight radius to his swing that enables him to hit with power to all fields”, "his natural arm strength has enabled him to switch seamlessly from center to right field throughout his career at LSU ", “Not only is he now an accomplished base stealer, but he can go from first to third as efficiently as anyone”, “..combination of athleticism, tools, instincts and approach…”.

There might bve the potential for some “60’s” in there and, perhaps few :“45’s”

I am looking for a job writing about baseball - collaborations, articles, scouting reports, research, anything baseball related I will try and help you. Samples available on request. - Casey

by casejud on Dec 22, 2025 4:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Hey, go right ahead

I am looking for a job writing about baseball - collaborations, articles, scouting reports, research, anything baseball related I will try and help you. Samples available on request. - Casey

by casejud on Dec 22, 2025 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I disagree

With the assertion that Mahtook is a ‘typical college corner (OF)’. In fact, I think his speed, arm, natural hitting ability, instinctual baserunning, versatility, etc, separate himself from the minions of generally similar types that I think you’re referring to. I think his present power is fine too. It’s far from scientific, but I like that the new college bats didn’t befuddle Mahtook (unlike guys like Alex Dickerson & Anthony Rendon who went dramatically the other way) &, in fact, his SLG went up & he tied his previous high in HR regardless. My man tripped the light fantastic in the AFL too.

I feel he is an exciting prospect & think he’s overlooked a lot in general. Time will tell though.

by Matt0330 on Dec 23, 2025 10:28 AM EST up reply actions  

Yep

I do have him higher than BA, but Ballew’s scouting report was on point.

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by Jeff Reese on Dec 22, 2025 9:12 AM EST up reply actions  

"Mahtook....Not an impact guy..."

Completely agree.

Projected 2015 lineup

LF: Matt Joyce
CF:Desmond Jennings
RF: BJ Upton

There you go.

Saw him in AZ..not impressed.

He’s an Eric Byrnes clone.

by Kelsdad on Dec 23, 2025 10:59 AM EST up reply actions  

Honest question

Eric Byrnes outcome - what in the world would be wrong with that? That’s a pretty good baseball player during the meat of his prime & Mahtook should reach the MLB level earlier than Byrnes did. I might lift that Byrnes comparison going FW to bolster people’s perceptions of Mahtook actually.

As for the projected 2015 lineup, please excuse me for not putting a ton of stock in that. Should I infer that Alexes Cobb, Torres & Colome will be AAAA guys because they’re not included in that cursory listing? If Ben Zobrist is manning 1b in the AL East for TB in 2015 by the way (he’ll be 33-34 & his defensive contributions likely minimized), maybe Baltimore will finally be able to make some headway for what that’s worth. In my opinion, that stuff is just there for basic fan placation. Not a copout, but I don’t gleam much from them.

by Matt0330 on Dec 23, 2025 11:25 AM EST up reply actions  

"Eric Byrnes outcome – what in the world would be wrong with that?"

“Eric Byrnes clone”

I meant physically, they look and move a lot alike on the field.

If Mahtook and Byrnes were playing and had on sweatshirts instead of uniforms with their names on the back, you couldn’t tell them apart.

by Kelsdad on Dec 23, 2025 11:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Ok, I see

I hear you & that is true from what I’ve seen of Mahtook on TV. The copious amounts of ‘unkempt lettuce’ doesn’t hurt that comparison either.

by Matt0330 on Dec 23, 2025 11:42 AM EST up reply actions  

"As for the projected 2015 lineup, please excuse me for not putting a ton of stock in that."

I happen to agree with you, to a point.

I think we both know neither Joyce or Upton will be Rays in 2015, so Mahtook likely will be the starting LF.

But the reason for the projections is more of a mirroring of how they view the future of the system, compared to their current rankings.

If I were a Rays fan I would be concerned about the general opinion that my number one pick isn’t projected to be better than a guy who isn’t very good today as a 27 year old, and who certainly won’t be any better as a 31 year old.

by Kelsdad on Dec 23, 2025 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Eric Byrnes outcome – what in the world would be wrong with that?

I didn’t drop that comp (and not sure I agree- Byrnes had much louder tools than Mahtook), but nothing is wrong with that… and bear in mind my projection for Mahtook is “pretty good player but not a star” rather than “bust.” His tools are good for a college player, but he doesn’t really stand out or have any carrying tools. Solid, but nothing special.

www.bullpenbanter.com
twitter: @alskor

by alskor on Dec 23, 2025 5:27 PM EST up reply actions  

We like Bortnick some, as well as Dietrich.

Always hesitant to put this year’s draft picks on a Top Ten list, but Guerrieri and Mahtook both look pretty good.

Has Beckham spent his credibility and can Hak-Ju Lee actually hit?

Luke Bailey at catcher in 2015 is a real stretch.

by Hairylady on Dec 21, 2025 11:21 AM EST reply actions  

Yes to Lee

He has hit .300, for three seasons, in tough leagues to hit in, while being young for each league and, playing shortstopo every day. He can actually hit.

I am looking for a job writing about baseball - collaborations, articles, scouting reports, research, anything baseball related I will try and help you. Samples available on request. - Casey

by casejud on Dec 21, 2025 2:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Disagree.

Lee isn’t much of a hitter. Even the BA scouting report uses the term “slapped.” He’ll hit enough and has some patience enough that combined with his glove he’ll be a valuable player but he’s really not much of a hitter.

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twitter: @alskor

by alskor on Dec 22, 2025 1:20 AM EST up reply actions  

I'll disagree there.

I see .300/.365/.430 lines in his future if he can adjust to AA.

Read this awesome interview: http://www.draysbay.com/2011/11/30/2601163/interview-with-hak-ju-lee

The dude will have success.

by mr. maniac on Dec 22, 2025 10:06 AM EST up reply actions  

.430 slugging?

In the majors? I don’t think so.

Also, nice interview but how is it supposed to show me he can hit in the majors?

Big Sexy

Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey

by King Billy Royal on Dec 22, 2025 10:27 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't see why not.

He is still filling out. Obviously, I was putting an upper end line, but I don’t see that as out of the realm.

No interview will show you a guy can hit in the majors. I thought you might like to read it.

by mr. maniac on Dec 22, 2025 11:10 AM EST up reply actions  

I find most interviews athletes give to be pointless

They never say anything interesting and if they are honest they tend to get raked over the coals.

Big Sexy

Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey

by King Billy Royal on Dec 22, 2025 11:46 AM EST up reply actions  

You didn't like it?

I think it is, perhaps, the most revealing and interesting player interview I ever read. He goes through his whole thought process and isn’t scared to hold any thought back.

by mr. maniac on Dec 22, 2025 12:55 PM EST up reply actions  

You are correct

I didn’t like it and found it to be filled with cliches and boring. These interviews are just boring drivel that players learn to spout from publicists.

Big Sexy

Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey

by King Billy Royal on Dec 22, 2025 5:30 PM EST up reply actions  

You want revealing and interesting?

Look up the old John Rocker interview!

by siddfynch on Dec 23, 2025 7:34 AM EST up reply actions  

This!!!!

I did not agree with what Rocker said, but he gave his true feelings and was suspended and vilified. Players have been taught to give standard cliches and not give any insight into political or honest viewpoints in fear of retribution.

Big Sexy

Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey

by King Billy Royal on Dec 24, 2025 11:03 AM EST up reply actions  

And there's never been a slap hitter who was a valuable hitter?

One who can walk 7% of the time to boot? Hell, even Juan Pierre at his peak was considered to be a valuable hitter.

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by Brickhaus on Dec 22, 2025 10:08 AM EST up reply actions  

His hit tool plays up thanks to his plus speed.

Plenty of doubles and triples with his wheels.

by ttnorm on Dec 22, 2025 11:02 AM EST up reply actions  

It actually doesn't matter what you think here

It is roughly inpossible to be a very giood hitter in the NWL at the age of 18, a good one in the MWL at the age of 19, and a very good one in nthe FSL at the age of 20 without being “much of a hitter”

How do you suppose he got all the hits he’s had the past three seasons exactly?

I am looking for a job writing about baseball - collaborations, articles, scouting reports, research, anything baseball related I will try and help you. Samples available on request. - Casey

by casejud on Dec 22, 2025 5:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Ok I have to ask

are you like a husband and wife prospecting team, or does the Borg follow the minor leagues?

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by gatling on Dec 21, 2025 3:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Rays System

Interesting system.

I agree that there is a drop off from Moore and Lee. Of course there is a big drop off from Moore to Lee as well.

The strength of the Rays system is in depth with potential. Having 13 first round picks the past two years and not signing your 1st and 2nd round picks from two years ago will do that of course.

There are a lot of question marks in this system, though.

by UncleBuck44 on Dec 21, 2025 11:34 AM EST reply actions  

What system doesn't have a lot of question marks?

Am I the only one flagging this guy? 
Seriously, do we have to wait for the money shot or a "F*** THE SOXXXXXX!" before we ban him? Doubleteapot… BAN HIM!!
by AlohaSox on Sep 28, 2025 10:20 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Dec 21, 2025 11:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Where would everyone rank this system?

Big Sexy

Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey

by King Billy Royal on Dec 21, 2025 11:50 AM EST reply actions  

Personally it doesn't sniff my top 10

Big Sexy

Follow KBR and Dewey on Twitter! @KBRandDewey

by King Billy Royal on Dec 21, 2025 12:09 PM EST up reply actions  

15-18?

I’d say it’s average for now. There’s some possibilities, but nothing outside of Moore that jumps off the page at me. And Lee could just be another weak bat, good glove option in the pipeline

by The Gottfather on Dec 21, 2025 12:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Absolutely does for me

pbfantasysports.com / pbfantasybaseball.proboards.com

by prestonb1291 on Dec 21, 2025 12:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Moore saves it.

Take out Moore and it really falls. Not that you would take out Moore for any reason. The depth is impressive but its a lot of tools and raw arms, moreso than in other years. Really transitional year for the system. Its definitely down.

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by alskor on Dec 21, 2025 2:40 PM EST up reply actions  

it would be in my Top 10 due to Moore alone

I look at prospect quality more than quantity, since fact is most of these guys just won’t make an impact due to attrition, injury, and all that stuff.

But man, once he’s off the list, I’d have this team in my bottom ten systems… I have to say I’m a little surprised they weren’t able to infuse their system with new talent as well as teams like the Red Sox.

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by The Congo Hammer on Dec 22, 2025 2:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Too early to make that statement

Right now, without Moore, the system looks mediocre. However, the are a number of high ceiling guys who could emerge next year and fortify the system.

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by Jeff Reese on Dec 22, 2025 4:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Woah

Didn’t expect to see Taylor Guerrieri so high. Freakin stacked system as usual.

by McCutchenIsTheTruth on Dec 21, 2025 12:25 PM EST reply actions  

He should be higher!

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by Jeff Reese on Dec 22, 2025 9:13 AM EST up reply actions  

only if you drop Archer

I have him fourth, behind Moore, Lee, and Mahtook.

by cookiedabookie on Dec 22, 2025 11:06 AM EST up reply actions  

No way I take Mahtook over Guerrieri

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by Jeff Reese on Dec 22, 2025 12:06 PM EST up reply actions  

I'd take

Enny Romero over Colome and Torres. Its easy plus velocity from the left side.

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by DominicanDandy on Dec 21, 2025 2:52 PM EST reply actions  

Certainly has that potential

LONG way from actualization though.

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by Jeff Reese on Dec 22, 2025 9:14 AM EST up reply actions  

It depends

Moore and to a lesser degree Lee if he hits enough are the only two top 50 overall prospects - with Moore probably in the top 3 overall.
The rest of this system lacks sure-thing prospects but a tremendous amount of depth & potential. While there´ll be a high attrition rate, the odds that this system produces multiple impact players seem significantly higher than for a system that may have a handful of top 75 overall prospects and thus more than the Rays but lesser depth.

To me, the Rays definitely have a top 10 overall system because they probably have 50 legitimate players who have the realistic upside of meaningful major league careers. Does it feature the most probable future All Stars ? Certainly not. Though if I had to choose as a smaller market team, I´d always go for the depth while trying to keep my few select star players - like they´ve smartly done with Longoria or Moore and otherwise hope enough of the young talent sticks and comes through.

Finally, a Tim Beckham question: Wouldn´t he be a logical candidate for an eventual shift to 2b ? The Rays lack a longterm player there and while he may not have the range for SS, he should project as a solid 2bman if the bat indeed plays.

by Doob on Dec 22, 2025 8:35 AM EST reply actions  

I think mobility wise and arm wise Beckham fits a lot better at 3B than 2B.

Not convinced he has the actions to be a middle infielder and it wastes one of his assets (his arm).

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twitter: @alskor

by alskor on Dec 22, 2025 8:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Ben Zobrist is there "long term".

It won’t be several years till he is gone, so I am sure someone can arise in the system.

by mr. maniac on Dec 22, 2025 10:07 AM EST up reply actions  

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