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Favorite High School Pitchers from 2010 Draft


My Favorite High School Pitchers from the 2010 Draft

   
A reader asked me for a list of my favorite high school pitchers from the 2010 draft. "Favorite" is not necessarily the same thing as "best," so I decided to have some fun with this.   
     What I'm going to do here is look at all the high school arms in the first, supplemental, and second rounds, and then a few beyond that that have caught my interest. I'm only going to talk about guys who signed. Also note that just because a player is not listed as a "favorite" does not mean that I'm rooting against him. It is bad karma to root against a player on a personal level, in my view. There are lots of prospects I root for, but I don't root against anyone.
     This is more impressionistic than analytical at this point, and there is a lot of "gut feeling" with this list.

Star-divide

1) Jameson Taillon, RHP, Pirates: He's an outstanding prospect, but I'm sort of bored with the whole "big Texas fireballer" thing, so I don't count him as a personal favorite. I'm very interested to see how he'll develop of course, but I'm not emotionally invested either way.

1) Mike Foltynewicz, RHP, Astros: I usually root for the cold-weather high school guys, especially if they are from the Midwest, and Folty is no exception. For some reason I tend to like high school pitchers from Illinois, first Michael Bowden, then Jake Odorizzi, than Tanner Bushue, and now Folty.

1) Jesse Biddle, LHP, Phillies: I love it when a local kid gets drafted by his hometown team, and usually root for these guys. His command failed in the NY-P, but potential power lefties intrigue me.

1) Zach Lee, RHP, Dodgers: I like the two-sport athlete types and there is something about Lee that strikes me as very positive on an intuitive level. He wasn't cheap to sign obviously, and part of me thinks the Dodgers overpaid considering the risks in high school pitching. But I think this one has a decent chance to work out. I would rather have had A.J. Cole though.

1) Cam Bedrosian, RHP, Angels: I also find bloodline players interesting, and I also like rooting for shortish right-handers who overcome the prejudice of scouts, so Bedrosian intrigues me in both ways. Question: if Cam Bedrosian was named Cam Smith, would he have gone this high in the draft?

1S) Aaron Sanchez, RHP, Blue Jays:  I like this one; love the K/IP and strong ground ball combination in rookie ball. 37 K in 25 innings, with a 2.60 GO/AO. And guys from places like Barstow, California, are more interesting to me than guys from heavily-scouted regions.

1S) Noah Syndergaard, RHP, Blue Jays: First of all, "Noah Syndergaard" is a cool name, so right there he gets some extra points. He was a fast-riser before the draft, which I always find interesting, and it wouldn't surprise me if he ends up being more successful than some guys who got a lot more pre-draft coverage.

1S) Taijuan Walker, RHP, Mariners
: Raw, high-ceiling athlete type, put up some good numbers in seven rookie ball innings, 9/3 K/BB, just 2 hits, 1.75 GO/AO, sample is tiny of course. I like him intuitively but he will need some time to develop.

1S) Luke Jackson, RHP, Rangers:
Inconsistent command from this Florida high school kid, but stuff is very, very good and I have one very trusted source who insists Jackson is going to take the lower minors by storm next year. I'm not invested emotionally but he certainly sounds interesting.

1S) Peter Tago, RHP, Rockies:
This is another one that many of my sources really like and feel got lost in the shuffle a little bit pre-draft. I have no strong feeling about him either way.

1S) Tyrell Jenkins, RHP, Cardinals:
Another one of the athlete types, another football guy turning his attention to baseball full time. I like him intuitively, impressed by his athleticism and projectability. He'll need time but I think he could develop into a number two starter if all goes well. Big if of course.

2) Stetson Allie, RHP, Pirates: I love Stetson Allie. I love his fastball, and I love the improved command and feel for pitching he showed this year. His upside is higher than anyone in this class except Taillon, As with any pitcher, Allie could get hurt or stagnate, but he has number one starter or overpowering closer stuff, and I like to see high school guys from non-Sun Belt states succeed.

2) J.R Bradley, RHP, Arizona
: Got hit around a bit in rookie ball (5.93 ERA, 40/24 K/BB in 55 innings, 66 hits for Missoula), but the jump from West Virginia high school ranks to the Pioneer League is a big one. Very projectable, like him intuitively.

2) Vincent Velasquez, RHP, Astros:
Did well in his pro debut, 3.07 ERA with 25/5 K/BB in 29 innings in the Appy League. Another good athlete with projectability, has some health problems in his past with a stress fracture in the elbow, but I do find him intriguing.

2) Griffin Murphy, LHP, Blue Jays:
Polished prep lefty from California with strong command of decent stuff, good breaking ball in particular. I think he will do well but I'm not emotionally invested.

2) Cody Buckel, RHP, Rangers
: Smallish righthander but has a good fastball and excellent breaking stuff for a high school guy, makeup is well-regarded. He could advance very quickly for a prep arm if his command holds strong. I like him.

2) Ralston Cash, RHP, Dodgers:
Typical high school arm of the kind that interests the Dodgers: he throws hard, has a great body, but is a bit raw and needs to refine his breaking ball and changeup. A Georgia prep, he didn't receive as much attention pre-draft as most of these guys. I don't know that much else about him at this point, but I tend to trust Logan White.

2) Justin Nicolino, LHP, Blue Jays:
Florida prep with average velocity but chance to pick up more, best pitch is his changeup at this point. I don't have a feeling for him right now.

4) A.J. Cole, RHP, Nationals: 
I like A.J. Cole a lot and I think there was some nitpicking going on with him in the weeks before the draft. He was expensive to sign in the fourth round for $2 million, but as high school guys go, I thought he was second only to Taillon and Allie in terms of pure talent.

4) Nick Kingham, RHP, Pirates:
Good fastball and changeup from this Nevada product, still working on the breaking ball but projectable. Scouts like his delivery and his size/frame. Sounds like a good combination of talents to me.

5) Jason Adam, RHP, Royals:
The Royals have made an effort to sweep up local talent in recent drafts, wanting to avoid a repeat of the Albert Pujols "overlooked in his own backyard" debacle. This kid out of Overland Park, Kansas, needs to build up his strength to maintain his velocity through games, but his ceiling is high and I think there's a lot of potential here. It cost $800,000 to sign him but I think it is a good move.

6) John Barbato, RHP, Padres:
Cost $1.4 million in the sixth round but I understand why: he throws strikes, has a clean delivery to go with his good command, and trusted sources are full of praise for him. He didn't get as much attention as some Florida prep products but he sounds really intriguing to me.

6) Drew Cisco, RHP, Reds:
Could have gone four rounds higher but needed to be bought out of Georgia scholarship, which the Reds did for $975,000. Velocity is average and might not pick up much, but has superb pitching instincts and command, and great bloodlines. I think he could move very quickly.

6) Gabe Encinas, RHP, Yankees:
California kid, has good breaking ball and an excellent changeup. He could move faster than most preps, and I like him intuitively. I have mixed reports on his velocity, some rate it as average, some above.

8) Tyler Green, RHP, Diamondbacks: Caught my attention because he's also a good hitter and fine overall athlete with excellent makeup, 90-94 MPH fastball, and promising curve. May need some extra development work, but has much more potential than the average 8th round pick. Cost $750,000 to sign.

9) Parker Bridwell, RHP, Orioles:
Like Green, Bridwell is a Texas prep who was a multi-skilled athlete, in his case also playing basketball and football. Stuff is average right now but should get better as he concentrates on pitching. $625,000 to sign, like Green he has more upside than normal for his round.

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Here are mine

Personal favorites:

Folty - I liked his stuff, frame, and mechanics before the draft, so I’m not just saying it because I’m an Astros fan.

Jesse Biddle - Huge lefty with a ton of upside.

Zach Lee - Love his delivery and like John, I just have a good gut feeling about him.

Not as excited about:

Stetson Allie - This may sound weird, but I almost grade a prep arm down for already throwing as hard as Allie does.

To explain this a little more, I like the projectable guys because their velocity will probably peak when they are actually pitching in the majors; Allie could spend 3+ years in the minors throwing this hard without contributing any major league value, wearing down his arm in the meantime and possibly getting injured. Not enough focus is placed on injury risk in evaluating pitching prospects in my opinion. It’s a little different for Jameson Taillon because he could be such a fast mover. Allie, on the other hand, I think will need a lot of time if they want him to start instead of relieve, and the combination of the arm strain from throwing high-90s fastballs with all the hard sliders he snaps off concerns me.

by OremLK on Sep 11, 2025 5:00 PM EDT reply actions  

That's an interesting take on Allie

John, what were your feelings on Covey and Whitson by chance? Based on you remarks you liked Cole better Whitson? FWIW, I agree that Cole’s slide seemed OTT. He was mostly about projectability coming into the season and still is imo. Great frame and pretty athletic.

by blackoutyears on Sep 11, 2025 11:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

covey and whitson

I liked both pre-draft. Covey’s diabetes kind of puts him in neutral for me now. I’m sure he’ll manage it, but we need to see what happens in college.

As for Whitson, the reports that he reneged on a verbal agreement throw him in the dumpster for me as a favorite. i REALLY liked him pre-draft, more than Cole. But a player (or anyone else) who renegs on a verbal agreement lacks character in my view. Maybe I’m old-fashioned and out of place in the modern supercapitalist world, but it is dishonorable to reneg on your word. I feel the same way about Luke Hochevar.

by John Sickels on Sep 12, 2025 6:50 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

honor

honestly, pulling negotiating stunts like that pisses me off far more than a player using recreational drugs. I’d take Jeremy Jeffress and his pot habit over Whitson and Hochevar and their money-over-honor attitudes.

by John Sickels on Sep 12, 2025 6:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

more

That assumes, of course, that the rumors about Whitson and the negotiations are true. If they are not true, and he did not make a verbal agreement and then go back on it, then I would withdraw my objection

by John Sickels on Sep 12, 2025 6:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah

I have a low tolerance for that sort of chicanery as well. I’m hoping the rumors that this was mismanagement by his advisor rather than bad faith on Whitson’s part are true for Whitson’s sake. I do try to keep in mind that this is business, but as someone who works in the business world I can attest that there are ethics/standards and this left a bad taste in my mouth as it raises potential makeup issues. Accountability is key.

The Covey situation was really too bad — MIL seemed to have based most of the value in their draft on picking him — but I think he’ll be fine. San Diego has had a nice run of recent pitcher development, with relatively minor injury issues (and none clearly tied to usage), and Covey fits nicely in line as a talent behind Matusz, Solis and Blair. I think (hope) he’ll enjoy playing college ball and the opportunity to get a college education is a significant one.

The Jeffress remark is spot on. I don’t condone drug use, and there’s pot out there that’s strong enough to sedate a blue whale after one hit so it’s not all fun and games, but there are worse things a player can do. I think the furor over this has been somewhat archaic. Not speaking for myself (ahem), but I think most people would be surprised by the number of high-functioning individuals around them who are recreational marijuana users.

by blackoutyears on Sep 12, 2025 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

"I don’t condone drug use, and there’s pot out there that’s strong enough to sedate a blue whale after one hit so it’s not all fun and games"

Obviously off topic but do you have any links to support this statement? Not doubting you, I’d just love to see some sort of study backing this up.

Who loves orange soda?

by Kenan and Kel on Sep 12, 2025 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

" there’s pot out there that’s strong enough to sedate a blue whale after one hit"

where can i get some of this!?!?!?

R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9

by doublestix on Sep 12, 2025 8:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Tsk tsk

You know that the Patriot Act applies to baseball chat forums, right? lol

by blackoutyears on Sep 15, 2025 1:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

The supplemental round had a lot of arms that I like

Aaron Sanchez
Taijuan Walker
Luke Jackson
Peter Tago

I obviously like Allie/Taillon/Cole/Lee, but I already think of them as the elite from this year’s HS pitching class.

http://bullpenbanter.com/

by jar75 on Sep 11, 2025 5:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Allie Video

Damn, it looks like his arm is going to come off with one of those pitches. That’s a max effort delivery if I’ve ever seen one.

by loop on Sep 11, 2025 5:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Allie

Yeah I saw that video before the draft and like the gay above me said the effort was just scary and I instantly got turned off. I don’t see him ever becoming a #1 starter. He looks like he’ll dominant in the pen but for the price the Pirates had to pay I would hope for a starter not a pen arm.

Sanchez might be my favorite of the bunch followed by Folty. I think Tailon is a little overrated (but still amazing) and that Cole was an absolute steal in the fourth round thought he wouldn’t get out of the second and if he did would never have signed.

by Pelferized on Sep 11, 2025 7:19 PM EDT reply actions  

If Allie is an elite reliever

He’d be well worth the price paid.

http://bullpenbanter.com/

by jar75 on Sep 11, 2025 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

You're able to tell he won't be a #1

Based on a few minutes of video? You the man.

by Woo! on Sep 11, 2025 10:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Everyone has their own opinion

so if you can tell me he won’t otherwise good for you. you must be an even bigger man

by Pelferized on Sep 12, 2025 12:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think his point is

you can’t make a decision like that, particularly when none of us are baseball experts, with just a few minutes of video.

ya’ll get offended way too easily

Who loves orange soda?

by Kenan and Kel on Sep 12, 2025 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm the bigger man...

…or I just don’t feel the need to overreact and label an 18 year old kid as anything at all based on seeing him throw a few pitches in a high school video.

I’m not sure which one is true.

by Woo! on Sep 12, 2025 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Joel Zumaya (injuries included)

Is a career path I can see him taking and I would have hoped for more with that price tag even though I slightly healthy version would be a success and worth it.

by Pelferized on Sep 11, 2025 8:28 PM EDT reply actions  

No love for Tyler Vail?

31.2 IP, 26 H, 8 BB, 29 K in the AZL. I remember you saying he was raw and that you thought he was a future reliever. Has that prediction changed at all?

by NateHST on Sep 11, 2025 8:34 PM EDT reply actions  

some personal favorites

Walker
Jackson
Syndergaard
Kingham
Cisco

by rdf8585 on Sep 12, 2025 12:04 AM EDT reply actions  

Biddle's got my vote.

I also really like John Barbato. He’s got the same windup and arm as Andrew Cashner.

by SenorGato on Sep 12, 2025 1:23 AM EDT reply actions  

Luke Jackson looks good too...

I like the way his arm works for big HS pitcher. Nice breaking ball too…kinda resembles Matt Garza on the mound.

by SenorGato on Sep 12, 2025 2:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cisco

I’m keeping my fingers crossed as a Reds fan. I really liked the pitchability in the looks I got. Fits in well with the Leake/Wood profile of pitcher which CIN has excelled at finding and developing. Those guys make an excellent complement to the hard-throwing profile of the Cueto/Bailey/Volquez/Chapman group. Arroyo is the obvious exemplar here of how to succeed with movement and command rather than power.

I’m a Folty and Biddle fan too, simply because both look incredibly physically gifted and both have at least two promising pitches as of the draft.

by blackoutyears on Sep 12, 2025 11:05 AM EDT reply actions  

Gausman

How about one of the other big names that didn’t sign? I think his slide was more explicable/defensible than Cole’s, but I also think he was one of the more misunderstood/misanalyzed talents. Like Cole he’s about projectability rather than present stuff, and he could be tremendous.

by blackoutyears on Sep 12, 2025 11:09 AM EDT reply actions  

I love Kevin Gausman

He had a poor senior season which is why he fell, but I expect him to be an elite guy in 2012. His fastball is pretty legit (per BA’s California Collegiate League Top 10):

He had the league’s best arm, with reports he hit 100 and many reports of him hitting 97 mph, including at the league all-star game.

http://bullpenbanter.com/

by jar75 on Sep 12, 2025 12:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I read that too

There were links in another thread to articles toward the end of the Cali CL that were saying the same thing. He could make LSU fans very happy for the next two seasons. I’m interested to see what impact he has as a freshman.

Somewhat off topic, keep an eye on the guy behind him on that list, Sam Stafford of Texas. He may finally crack the rotation as a junior and he has interesting stuff for a LHP. He and Sam Selman are two LHPs who ranked highly in their respective summer leagues who have good present stuff and some projection left.

by blackoutyears on Sep 12, 2025 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Texas is just loaded with arms

Josh Urban, Hoby Milner and Austin Dicharry will certainly give Stafford some competition.

http://bullpenbanter.com/

by jar75 on Sep 12, 2025 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

I see Dicharry

as the other guy likely to make some noise. Texas does roll out an endless stream of power arms.

by blackoutyears on Sep 12, 2025 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Any opinion on 5th rounder Ian Kendall?

I know he didnt have that well of a debut, but I heard his fastball can hit 95.

"Pacing back and forth as he decides retirement, Brett Favre accidentally completes Redskins conditioning test." — ESPN.com's Jeff MacGregor

by thedudeofdudes on Sep 12, 2025 12:28 PM EDT reply actions  

The renig's

John, what about a kid who signs a letter of intent? I don’t think it’s the same thing but it makes my wife very angry when a kid signs a letter of intent and then uses it as a negotiating tactics. To her, the honorable thing to do would be honor your three year agreement. Her feeling is that they should wait and let the college teams use their scholarships and then if they don’t sign, be a Christmas present to some coach who didn’t think he was going to get you.

I'm trying a blog. It's about the Royals of course but more of a mechanical analysis type thing about players I see. Try it and let me know what you think! Scouting the Royals

by 306008 on Sep 13, 2025 9:33 AM EDT reply actions  

Thank you for the write up John

and to all the contributors. Gives me a nice short list on who to focus on out of the gate.

"The key to winning baseball games is pitching, fundamentals, and three run homers."

by fourfingerwoo on Sep 13, 2025 12:55 PM EDT reply actions  

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