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NL Top 150 and System Rankings

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I've finished my AL Rankings (culminating in my AL Top 150 link) and now I move on to the NL 150 list. A 5-star system roughly correlates to a top 4 system, 4-star top 5-10 range, 3-star 11-20, 2-star 21-26, 1-star 27-30. For player grading I basically use John's system rankings (although I may be a bit more generous, particularly with the B- guys). An A is a top 4-8 player, A- Top 20-25, B+ Top 65, B Top 135, B- Top 240. All Ages are of Opening Day. In the sleeper section, I try to tab guys outside of each system's top 10-15.

 Let me know what you think- overrated, underrated, or just things you liked. Always like to here criticisms.

1. Stephen Strasburg, 21.8, RHS (WAS)- Once in a generation talent that should instantly improve the Nationals. I'm a firm believer that you win with pitching, so I'm taking Strasburg over Heyward. Grade A

2. Jason Heyward, 20.8, RF (ATL)- Potential impact player. The approach, hit tool, and power are all there. Reports say that he forced the Braves to erect a fence beyond the right field wall to protect employees' cars from Heyward's BP bombs. Grade A

3. Buster Posey, 23.0, C (SFG)- Really not much not to like. Patient hitter who should hit for average and around 20 homeruns a year. He has some improvements to make in his receiving skills, but talent evaluators are confident he can make the necessary strides. May not have the star power of Strasburg and Heyward, but he will be a very valuable player in his own right. Grade A

4. Michael Stanton, 20.5, RF (FLA)- One pure upside, Stanton rates right with Jason Heyward, but due to his propensity to swing and miss there is significantly more risk. I love the power, and he is a good enough athlete that I think he'll be able to make the necessary adjustments. Profiles as an all-star right fielder. Grade A-

5. Pedro Alvarez*, 23.2, 3B/1B (PIT)- Absolutely destroyed Eastern League pitching. I love the swing and power, but he is more than just a homerun hitter. He has a good idea of the strikezone, and should hit for solid average. Reports are mixed on his defense. I think he'll be below average there, but I think he'll stay there. Grade A-

6. Starlin Castro, 20.0, SS (CHC)- I'm on the bandwagon big time. Good defender at short, and he has all the tools to hit in the middle of a major league lineup. I think he's closer than a lot of people realize. Grade A-

7. Jenrry Mejia, 20.6, RHS (NYM)- True front of the rotation potential. Great stuff combined with an excellent 2.49 GO/AO ratio. I hope the Mets allow him to develop in the minors, because I think he can be special if he's not rushed. Grade A-

8. Alcides Escobar, 23.4, SS (MIL)- Not the same upside of the other A- guys, but he's major league ready and his ceiling is pretty darn good too. I think a 300/350/420 slash line with 20-30 steals and gold glove caliber defense is not out of the question. Grade A-

9. Aroldis Chapman, 22.1, LHS (CIN)- Great stuff, but I worry about his command. The potential is undeniable, but I think he needs (would greatly benefit from) a full year in the minors. Floor of Oliver Perez (pre-2009 version). Grade A-

10. Logan Morrison*, 22.7, 1B (FLA)- One of the most patient hitters in the minors, Morrison will have the power to profile at first base, and his OBP should be amongst the league leaders year-in, year-out. Just needs get wrist to 100 percent. Borderline A-. Grade B+

11. Christian Friedrich, 22.9, LHS (COL)- Polished left-hander with the ceiling of a number 2. Could be up by the middle of the season depending upon major league health. Borderline A-. Grade B+

12. Domonic Brown*, 22.7, RF (PHI)- Great athlete. He showed his power potential with huge bomb off of Verlander in spring training. Despite his athleticism he is not a great outfielder. Should be a 6. Borderline A-. Grade B+

13. Julio Teheran, 19.2, RHS (ATL)- Electric fastball and developing secondary stuff. He has the potential to become a true number one, but he is a long way away. Grade B+

14. Tyler Matzek*, 19.6, LHS (COL)- Incredible blend of stuff and polish is likely to make several teams regret passing on him. I think he'll be the first prep pitcher from 2009 to reach the big leagues. Potential top-of-the-rotation arm. Grade B+

15. Dee Gordon, 21.11, SS (LAD)- Despite being the son of a big leaguer, Dee didn't pick up baseball until high school. He is one of (if not the) fastest players in the minors, has the tools to stay at short, and the bat speed to make scouts think he'll be a solid offensive contributor. High risk, high reward guy. Grade B+

16. Jarrod Parker, 21.4, RHS (ARZ)- A- if not for Tommy John, but surgery docks him some. I don't harbor too many long-term concerns about his ability to comeback. Another potential top-of-the-rotation arm. Grade B+

17. Madison Bumgarner, 20.8, LHS (SFG)- I don't think anyone can predict with much confidence how Bumgarner's career will go. With his 2008 velocity he is a potential 1 or 2, without it I can't picture him as more than a 3. Giants are publicly confident that he'll be fine, but I am concerned. Grade B+

18. Arodys Vizcaino, 19.5, RHS (ATL)- Raw stuff to profile as a front-of-the-rotation arm. Swing-and-miss curve to go with low-90s fastball and good command for such a young arm. It had to be tough for the Braves to move Vazquez, but they got a good arm in return. Grade B+

19. Shelby Miller, 19.6, RHS (STL)- My favorite prep arm in the 2009 draft, I think his fastball curve combo give him two potential plus-plus pitches. His command is not good, but he has smooth mechanics, and I think he'll be able to improve with innings. Grade B+

20. Derek Norris, 21.2, C (WAS)- Great combination of plate-discipline and power. If he can improve his defense he could become a real force. Broken hammate bone could depress 2010 power numbers. Grade B+

21. Jaff Decker*, 20.1, LF (SD)- First teenager to lead the Mid West League in OPS since Prince Fielder did it in 2003. He's a better athlete than he's given credit for. Profiles as a 20-25 homerun guy who posts OBPs around 390. Grade B+

22. Chris Withrow, 21.0, RHS (LAD)- Despite throwing only 20 innings in his first two seasons, scouts love Withrow's clean arm action. Needs to improve control, command, and change, but has the pure stuff to become a dominant starter. Grade B+

23. Jhouyls Chacin, 22.3, RHS (COL)- Close to major league ready #3 starter. Pounds the zone with low-90s sinking fastball and gets strikeouts with plus change. Needs to improve curve to reach full potential. Grade B+

24. Jason Castro*, 22.10, C (HOU)- Doesn't have a huge ceiling, but looks like a solid major league catcher (and boy are those hard to find). Should be a similar offensive player to AJ Pierzynski, but I view him as a better defender. Grade B+

25. Brett Lawrie, 20.3, 2B/COF (MIL)- Absolutely love the bat, but it seems most view him as a future outfielder. Grade B+

26. Mike Leake, 22.5, RHS (CIN)- Ultra athletic, undersized righty reminds me of Tim Hudson. Should be a solid third starter with five pitch repertoire and pitchability. Grade B+

27. Freddie Freeman*, 20.7, 1B (ATL)- Lost in Heyward's shadow, Freeman is still a very good prospect. I'm discounting AA numbers due to wrist injury. Great defender and should hit for average. I think he'll develop enough power. Grade B+

28. Yonder Alonso*, 23.10, 1B (CIN)- Numbers were hurt by broken hammate bone last year. Patient approach and solid power, but struggles against lefties limit his upside. Should be a solid major league first baseman. Grade B+

29. Donavan Tate, 19.6, CF (SD)- Maybe the best athlete available in 2009 draft, Tate is a potential 5-tool star. However, he is raw. Grade B+

30. Jiovanni Mier, 19.7, SS (HOU)- May have had the best debut of any 2009 1st rounder. Defense has always been there, but looks like the bat may be a plus (for a shortstop), as well. Grade B+

31. Jordan Lyles, 19.6, RHS (HOU)- Doesn't have the elite stuff to profile as a number one, but his stuff is good and his command is very good. I think he'll be able to handle the jump to AA. Grade B+

32. Josh Vitters, 20.7, 3B (CHC)- Polarizing prospect. All the tools to be an all-star, but needs to improve approach. If he can watch out, if he can't he'll only be a regular. Grade B+

33. Simon Castro, 22.0, RHS (SD)- Great stuff and great frame, but he is an extreme fly ball pitcher. He's older than the majority of toppitching prospects, and I think he'll get hit around at higher levels if his command doesn't improve. He's a 3rd starter for me. Grade B+

34. Zach Wheeler, 19.10, RHS (SFG)- Great combination of stuff and projection. Needs to improve the consistency of his breaking ball and work on his change, but the tools are all there for him to be a 2 starter. I look for the Giants to assign him to the Sally League. Grade B

35. Ethan Martin, 20.10, RHS (LAD)- Power fastball and a potential plus curve. Needs to improve command and change to avoid a move to the pen. I love the athleticism and think he'll be able to make the necessary improvements. Grade B

36. Wilmer Flores, 18.8, 3B/RF (NYM)- Held his own in the Sally League at 17! Scouts love his bat-speed and power potential. The Mets need to let him catch his feet by repeating A ball. If they are patient they could have a star on their hands. Grade B

37. Tony Sanchez, 21.10, C (PIT)- Not likely to be a star, but should be an above average catcher. Solid offensive debut, but there were some concerns about his bat coming out of college. Grade B

38. Eric Arnett, 22.2, RHS (MIL)- Great combination of frame, athleticism, and stuff. I think the Brewers got a steal late in the 1st round. Innings eating third starter. Grade B

39. Matt Dominguez, 20.7, 3B (FLA)- Can pick it with the best of them at third, but I'm not completely sold on the bat. I think he'll be a solid regular, but it could be another 2-3 years before he is ready to hit in the bigs. Grade B

40. Mike Minor, 22.3, LHS (ATL)- Might not have been the best available player with the 7th pick, but I think Minor is underrated. Not going to be an ace, but should be a solid 3rd/4th starter for a long time. Could be up to start 2011. Grade B

41. Andrew Cashner, 23.7, RHP (CHC)- Ultimate role is up in the air (I think would be better out of the pen). But in any role it is tough not to love his power stuff. Grade B

42. Fernando Martinez*, 21.6, RF/LF (NYM)- Hard to believe he is still only 21. I don't think he'll ever be a star, but he looks like a 5 in either corner outfield spot. Would benefit from some more AAA seasoning. Grade B

43. Drew Storen, 22.8, RHR (WAS)- Good stuff and great command, but I think some are getting a little carried away because of his strong debut. Looks like a future closer, but it's not a lock. Grade B

44. Randall Delgado, 20.2 RHS (ATL)- Lacks the top-end stuff of Teheran and Vizcaino, but he is pretty good in his own right. I think he'll be a solid 3rd starter. Grade B

45. Todd Frazier, 24.2, 2B/3B/LF (CIN)- I think he is generally overrated. Good, but not a great hitter. Probably will be able to stick at 2nd, but it's not a guarantee. Should be a solid regular at any rate. 

46. Wynn Pelzer, 23.9, RHS (SD)- Under-the-radar prospect who strikes me as a solid middle of the rotation arm. Heavy fastball gets a lot of groundballs, and he has a plus slider. Must improve change to avoid a move to the pen.Grade B 

47. Danny Espinosa#, 22.11, SS (WAS)- Looks like he will continue in the illustrious tradition of Long Beach State shortstops having major league success. Good defender, walks, and has some pop. Those are the ingredients of a solid major league shortstop. Grade B

48. Hak-Ju Lee*, 19.5, SS (CHC)- Similar tool-set to Alcides Escobar (not quite the defender, but could become a more valuable offensive player), but he is far away. Grade B

49. Ike Davis*, 23.0, 1B (NYM)- Underrated this time last year, overrated now. Good power and solid approach should make him a regular, but I have some concerns about strikeouts. Grade B

50. Aaron Miller, 22.7, LHS (LAD)- Reluctant to pitch until his sophomore year of college (he preferred to play right), Miller has two plus pitches in his fastball and slider. Change is unrefined, so he could become a future reliever. Likely will need more development time than the typical college starter. Grade B

51. Hector Gomez, 22.1, SS (COL)- Has all the tools to become a star. Needs to stay healthy and improve discipline. It wouldn't surprise me to see Gomez win a gold glove. Grade B

52. James Darnell, 23.3, 3B (SD)- Tough to put up better numbers than he did last year, but it is important to keep in mind that he was old for the Mid West League, and then played in the hitter-friendly Cal League. No reason to think the bat won't play at higher levels, but always likely to be a below average defender. Grade B

53. Jamie Garcia, 23.9, LHS (STL)- Missed almost entire 2009 season while recovering from Tommy John, but has come back strong. Classic middle-of-the-rotation starter, gets groundballs and misses enough bats to be effective. Grade B

54. Juan Carlos (JC) Ramirez, 21.8, RHP (PHI)- The best prospect the Phillies got back for Cliff Lee, Ramirez has power stuff but may profile better as a reliever. If moved to the pen he has the potential to become a closer. Grade B

55. Jay Jackson, 22.5, RHS (CHC)- 9th Round steal continued to impress in 2009. Stuff is there to become a 3/4 starter. Needs to hone command and change. Grade B

56. Wilin Rosario, 21.1, C (COL)- May not have been ready for Hi A, but still a very good prospect. Solid defensive tools and the bat speed and power potential to be an all-star. Needs to improve his approach. I look for him to have a big 2010 season. Grade B

57. Thomas Neal, 22.8, LF (SFG)- Finally healthy, Neal put up big numbers in 2009. The bat is going to have to carry him, because he is limited to left field. And I think it will. Should be a regular in left. Grade B

58. Jon Niese, 23.5, LHS (NYM)- Not a sexy name, but a valuable pitcher. Like Garcia, he gets groundballs, throws strikes, and misses bats to bring a lot of value. I think Garcia's stuff is just a touch better. Grade B

59. Jonathan Lucroy, 23.10, C (MIL)- Underrated guy. Has hit everywhere he's gone, has some pop and a great approach. Defense will be good enough to make him a solid regular. Grade B

60. Mat Gamel*, 24.8, 3B/RF/1B (MIL)- Bat without a position at this point. He'll be a disaster at third, but the bat should profile in right and even at first. Grade B

61. Chase D'Arnaud, 22.2, SS/2B/3B (PIT)- Some questions his defense and tools, but I like him a lot. Great approach, plus runner, and should be able to be a productive big leaguer at either short or second. Grade B

62. Chad James, 19.2, LHS (FLA)- 2009 first rounder sits 90-92 with an advanced change. If he can develop his breaking ball and smooth out his mechanics he could become a solid 3rd starter. Grade B-

63. Scott Elbert, 24.8, LHR (LAD)- Shows electric stuff when healthy. Trouble is, he has struggled to do so. Effort in his delivery and history of arm trouble make me believe he is better suited for the pen (although Dodgers have used him as a starter this spring). If they choose to make him a reliever he could be a dynamite late-inning option. Grade B-

64. Juan Francisco*, 22.9, 3B/LF (CIN)- Like Gamel, Francisco is a bit of a bat without a position. He has a better shot of sticking at third than Gamel, but he is not quite the hitter. I love the power potential, but he is a hacker of the highest order. To maximize his offensive potential, and to succeed at higher levels, he will need to become a more patient hitter. Grade B-

65. Bobby Borchering#, 19.5, 3B/1B (ARZ)- Drew some Chipper Jones comparisons as a switch-hitting third base prospect. Scouts love the bat speed and power potential, but he may eventually have to move to first. Grade B-

66. Phillippe Aumont, 21.3, RHR (PHI)- Great fastball (although I question the reports that say he has great sink on it, as his GO/AO ratio was only 1.4 in 2009) and great size. Phillies will try him as a starter, but I think his ultimate home is as a late-inning reliever. I think he is overrated. Grade B-

67. Ian Desmond, 24.6, SS (WAS)- Tools to be a good defender at short, but needs to maintain focus on routine plays. 2009 numbers were fueled by an unsustainable BABIP, but he should hit for enough average to hold down the position. Grade B-

68. Garret Gould, 18.9, RHS (LAD)- Great athlete who stared as his high school's quarterback and at power forward. May have had the best breaking ball available in 2009 prep class. Potential 2 starter. Grade B-

69. Tyson Gillies, 21.5, CF (PHI)- Legitimate 80 speed allows him to be a difference maker on both sides of the ball. Plays a little out of control and very unlikely to repeat Cal League induced power. I think he can be a regular in center, but there is some risk. Grade B-

70. Jose Tabata, 21.8, RF (PIT)- Scouts love the bat speed and hit tool, but swing is too level for me to project more than 12 homeruns in the future. Solid defender in right. Profiles as a batting average driven regular, but doesn't offer much in the way of secondary skills. Grade B-

71. Everrett Williams*, 19.6, CF (SD)- One of my favorites from the 2009 draft. Solid defender with power potential. Wouldn't surprise me to see him beat Tate to the big leagues. Grade B-

72. Brett Jackson, 21.8, CF (CHC)- I'm sure some will be up in arms that I have him behind Williams and Gillies, but I'm not biting on the strong pro debut. Let's remember, as a three-year college player, Jackson should hit in the North West League. Strikeout rate jumped to almost 29 percent in the Mid West League, and I think strikeout rate is a major concern. Grade B-

73. Christian Bethancourt, 18.7, C (ATL)- Very impressive numbers in Appy and Gulf Coast Leagues. Scouts like his defense too. I'm very bullish on Bethancourt. Grade B-

74. Trevor May, 20.6, RHS (PHI)- Strong-armed power pitcher has front-of-the-rotation potential. Will need to add consistency to curve and change that both flash plus. His development made losing Jason Knapp acceptable. Grade B-

75. Sebastian Valle, 19.8, C (PHI)- Struggle in Sally League but dominated in NYP League. Scouts love the bat speed, and he handles breaking stuff very well for a young hitter. Probably a better hitter than Bethancourt, but Valle is can't match Bethancourt behind the plate. Grade B-

76. Dae-Eun Rhee, 21.0, RHS (CHC)- Underrated arm heading into 2010. Gets groundballs, and has the stuff to miss a lot of bats. If he's healthy, he should be a solid 3rd starter, with the ceiling of a 3. Grade B-

77. Jake Odorizzi, 20.0, RHS (MIL)- Brewers handled him very carefully in 2009, but he should be ready for bigger workload in 2010. Love the athleticism and projection. Another sleeper. Grade B-

78. Rex Brothers*, 22.4, LHR (COL)- Indications are that the Rockies will use the college starter out of the pen. As a reliever his mid-90s fastball and slider could make him a possible closer. Grade B-

79. Brad Lincoln, 24.10, RHS (PIT)- Derailed by arm injuries early in his career, Lincoln is healthy now but his stuff isn't quite the same. Command and pitchability are there, but needs to improve his change. I think he'll be a solid 4th starter. Could make his debut sometime in 2010. Grade B-

80. Zack Von Rosenberg, 19.6, RHS (PIT)- Signed for $1.2 million. Von Rosenberg is extremely polished for a high school arm, but at 6-foot-5, he has the potential to gain some velo. He's advanced enough to start in the Sally League. Grade B-

81. Kyle Heckathorn, 21.10, RHP (MIL)- Pro numbers need to be discounted, as Brewers limited him to only fastballs. Big frame and big stuff make him a tough guy to face. If change doesn't improve could become a late-inning reliever. Grade B-

82. Wily Peralta, 20.11 RHS (MIL)- A Tommy John survivor, Peralta has a very live arm. His command comes and goes a bit, so some are projecting him as a reliever down the road. He's got the stuff to profile in any role. Grade B-

83. Craig Kimbrel, 21.10, RHR (ATL)- Stuff to close, but command is a serious question mark. Did not impress in AFL, but the talent is too great to pass up here. If he can improve his command just a bit he could be a valuable late-inning option. Grade B-

84. Ruben Tejada, 20.5, SS (NYM)- He's been promoted aggressively, but has equipped himself well to each new challenge. There are some rumblings that he could open the regular season with the Mets because of Jose Reyes' injury. Not particularly toolsy, but the complete package could make him a second-division regular. Grade B-

84. Brandon Allen*, 24.2, 1B (ARZ)- Important not to get too carried away with 167 plate appearances in PCL. I think he'll eventually become a second-division regular at first, but Arizona's decision to sign Adam LaRoche speaks to the fact that they don't consider Allen to be major league ready. Grade B-

85. Zack Braddock, 22.7, LHR (MIL)- Couldn't handle a starter's workload physically, but his fastball-slider combo make him a dynamite reliever. Posted an other worldly 8.73 K/BB ratio in 2009. Could help in the Brewer's pen in 2010. Grade B-

86. Yorman Rodriguez, 17.8, CF (CIN)- Signed for $2.5 million in 08, Rodriguez has the talent to match anyone on this list. Can handle center, although he may ultimately have to move to right. Tremendous offensive ceiling. Grade B-

87. Rafael Rodriguez, 17.9, RF (SFG)- I think people are sleeping on Rodriguez. Physical freak and already showed an advanced approach in debut. Already 6'5", I hope he doesn't get any taller, because it is very tough to hit with such long arms. Grade B-

88. Adys Portillo, 18.3, RHS (SD)- $2 million dollar bonus in 08 set a record for highest bonus ever given to a Venezuelan pitcher. Portillo hasn't lived up to that money yet, but the potential is still evident. I think too many have forgotten about him. Grade B-

89. Anthony Gose*, 19.8, CF (PHI)- Great tools. Hit 97 off the mound in high school, but wants to play center. 80 runner, but as the old saying goes: "you can't steal first". I'm not sure if he'll hit to take advantage of his stellar tools.Grade B-

90. Edison Rincon, 19.8, LF (SD)- Bat looks exceptional- hit tool and patience are both there and should develop solid power. Question is where he will play, as he is not a third baseman. Grade B-

91. Daryl Jones*, 22.9, CF/LF (STL)- Great athlete, with impressive approach. May have to move to left because of poor arm. Could be a poor man's Carl Crawford/similar to Michael Brantley. Grade B-

92. Chris Carpenter, 24.3, RHS (CHC)- Always shown good stuff, but two major elbow surgeries at Kansas St.  have led to questions abut his long-term durability. Gets groundballs, and misses some bats. Could be a solid 3rd/4th starter, provided he stays healthy. Grade B-

93. Jeff Kobernus, 21.9, 2B (WAS)- Reminds me a bit of Chase D'Arnaud. Won't blow you away with his tools, but he is a deceptively good athlete who know how to play the game. Wouldn't surprise me to see him become a 5 at 2nd. Grade B-

94. Dan Runzler, 25.0, LHR (SFG)- Always had good stuff, but light went on working with former big league left-hander, Steve Kline. Mid-90s heat and plus breaking ball make him a potential late-inning option, but I still worry about his command a bit. Grade B- 

95. AJ Pollock, 22.4, CF (ARZ)- A lot of people like him more than me, but I'm concerned by the lack of tools. Isn't a true plus runner, but plays solid defense in center. Not likely more than 10-15 homeruns. Needs to adopt a more patient approach. Grade B-

96. Keyvius Sampson, 19.3, RHS (SD)- One of the best arms available in 2009 draft. Slipped to 4th round due to some off-the-field issues. Padres got him in the 4th and were able to sign him for $600,000. Mid-90s heat, sharp breaking ball, and athleticism make him a potential front-of-the-rotation starter. Grade B-

97. Josh Lindblom, 22.10, RHR (LAD)- Has bounced between rotation and pen as a pro, although he was a closer at Purdue. Reports say he has good sink on his fastball, but GO/AO of just over 1 last year doesn't support that. I think he's better suited for relief, but he is competing for rotation spot in spring training. Grade B-

98. Travis Wood, 23.2, LHS (CIN)- Looked like a non-prospect after a poor 2008 season, but the addition of a cutter has revitalized his career. Has always had a good change, but stuff may be a little light to project as more than a 4/5. Small frame is also a concern, but he's major league ready. Grade B-

99. Jarred Cossart, 19.10, RHS (PHI)- Above-slot 2008 signing has good stuff: 92-94 mph fastball and a curve that flashes the potential to be a plus-plus offering. Raw, but talent is there. Grade B-

100. Logan Forsythe, 23.3, 3B (SD)- Great patience, but power is limited. Talk that he may be moved to 2nd, somewhere in the outfield, or even behind the plate to make room for Darnell. Grade B-

101. Zeke Spruill, 20.7, RHS (ATL)- Pounds the zone with 89-91 mph fastball, curve, and fringy change. Still some projection remaining in the frame, but not likely to be more than a 4th starter. Grade B-

102. Cody Scarpetta, 21.7, RHS (MIL)- Solid three-pitch repertoire, including curve that Mid West League managers rated as the League's best offering. Needs to stay on top of his conditioning to become solid 3rd/4th starter. Grade B-

103. Brad Boxberger, 21.10, RHP (CIN)- Debate over whether he should be developed as a starter or fast-tracked as a reliever. Fastball-curve combo would make him a solid late-inning option if he is moved to the pen, and it seems most talent-evaluators like him there. Grade B-

104. Jiwan James#, 21.0, CF (PHI)- Drafted as a pitcher, James turned to hitting in 2009 after a stress fracture in his forearm didn't heal as expected. With the debut he has gotten off to, it's a wonder he didn't start his career as a position player. Potential 5-tool player. May be an even better athlete and Gose or Gillies, as he was an all-state basketball and football player in high school. Grade B-

105. Eduardo Sanchez, 21.2, RHR (STL)- Only 5-foot-11 155, but he has a big-time arm. Reminds me of Leo Nunez and could become a similar late-inning reliever. Grade B-

106. Aaron Poreda, 23.6, LHR (SD)- Main piece acquired in Peavy deal, Poreda struggled mightily after the trade. Still the power stuff is there. Control keeps him out of rotation, but should be a valuable pen arm. Grade B-

107. Roger Kieschnick*, 23.2, RF (SFG)- Good numbers in 2009, but like with all Cal League sluggers, the stat line needs to be taken with a grain of salt. Scouts seem to think power is for real, but discipline is below average and long swing could result in a lot of Ks as he climbs the ladder. Not sold on him as a regular. Grade B-

108. Andrew Lambo*, 21.8, 1B/LF (LA)- Value is all in the bat, so he'll have to hit to make it. AA numbers not impressive, but signs for optimism. Still very young, and showed solid gap power. Reminds me a bit of current Dodgers first baseman James Loney. Grade B-

109. JJ Hoover, 22.8, RHS (ATL)- There isn't much projection remaining, so what you see is pretty much what you get. Not likely more than a 4, but a pretty safe bet to reach that. Grade B-

110. Kenley Jansen, 22.6, RHR (LA)- Former catcher converted to the mound in 09. Scouts love easy delivery and mid-90s velocity. Slider shows great life and is a potential out-pitch. Grade B-

111. Jeremy Jeffress, 22.6, RHR (MIL)- On pure talent alone may rank in top 15, but three positive tests for Marijuana have led to a 100 game suspension. One more and he will receive a lifetime ban. Mid-90s heat and potential for a plus breaking ball could make him a closer. Grade B-

112. Reese Havens, 23.5, 2B (NYM)- College shortstop will move to second this year. Power and patience are there. I think numbers were depressed by FSL and injuries, look for him to bounce back strong. Grade B-

113. Kentrail Davis*, 21.9, CF (MIL)- Potential top 10 pick before poor sophomore season. 5-tool potential is still there. Grade B-

114. David Freese, 26.11, 3B (STL)- At 27, there obviously isn't much projection remaining. Not going to repeat AAA numbers in big leagues, but will bring enough with the bat to hold third base down for the season. Grade B-

115. Ivan DeJesus Jr., 22.11, SS/2B (LA)- Looked poised to make big league debut coming off impressive 2009 campaign, but broken leg in spring training ended his season before it began. There were some questions about his range at short before the injury, and those have only grown in the face of a leg injury. Probably more solid utility/second division regular than everyday regular. Grade B-

116. Ryan Flaherty*, 23.8, 2B/3B (CHC)- Put up big numbers in Mid West League, but it's important to remember that as a three-year college player that is to be expected. Already 23, should reach AA during the year. If he can't handle second defensively he could become left-handed Mark DeRosa. Grade B-

117. Tanner Bushue, 18.9, RHS (HOU)- Extremely projectable 2nd round pick from Illinois. He's raw, and will likely spend 2010 in Appalachian league, but there is a lot of upside. Grade B-

118. Chris Owings, 18.8, SS (ARZ)- Similar to DeJesus in that neither is especially toolsy, but both get the job done. Needs to become a more patient hitter, because there isn't much power here. Solid defender who should hit for average. Grade B-

119. Trayvon Robinson#, 22.7, CF (LAD)- Hasn't shown much with the bat coming into 2009, but had a big year repeating the Cal League. Impressed in the AFL with athleticism and speed. On pure tools would rate higher, but I'm not biting on Cal League performance just yet. Still needs to improve approach. Grade B-

120. Allen Webster, 20.2, RHS (LA)- Early indications are that the Dodgers found a steal in taking Weber in the 18th round and signing him for only $20,000. Needs to add bulk to 6-foot-2, 165 pound frame. Works in low 90s, breaking ball is a potential plus pitch. Very intriguing arm to follow. Grade B-

121. Rymer Liriano, 18.10, RF (SD)- Potential to become an impact player. Cannon for an arm, tremendous raw power, and quick bat. His rookie league manager proclaimed that Liriano had the most potential he had seen in a Latin prospect in his years managing. There is some hyperbole there, but you get the point. Concern about pitch recognition and discipline. Grade B-

122. Starling Marte, 21.6, CF (PIT)- Biggest asset is plus-plus speed, but needs to improve jumps in the outfield and on the base paths to take full advantage of it. Good bat speed, but needs to improve approach. BABIP inflated 2009 numbers and I worry about power potential. Grade B-

123. Chris Heisey, 25.4, RF (CIN)- Not a big believer. Nice underdog story, but a bit of a tweener. Already 25 he is behind the learning curve, and I don't think he is more than a good 4th outfielder. Grade C+

124. Tommy Joseph, 18.9, C/1B (SFG)- One of the best prep bats available in 2009, evokes Paul Konerko comparisons as a high school catcher likely to move to first as a pro. Big-time raw power. Grade C+

125. Chris Marrero, 21.9, 1B (WAS)- Put up good numbers in the Carolina League and continued to hit in the AFL. Some scouts question the swing, and the general consensus seems to have him as a second-division regular. Grade C+

126. Kyle Allen, 20.2, RHS (NYM)- Guy I think is underrated. Gets ground balls and strkeouts, and there is projection remaining. Probably a 4th starter, but a guy I think a lot of people are sleeping on. Grade C+

127. Mike Belfiore, 21.6, LHS (ARZ)- Boston College's closer famously threw 9 2/3 of relief ball in marathon game against Texas, and Arizona plans to use him as a starter. Needs to improve his change, but I think he can be a solid 4th starter. Grade C+

128. Matt Davidson, 19.0, 3B/1B (ARZ)- A lot of people seemed to have inexplicably soured on him between draft day and today (10th on BA's list, 11th on John's, and 8th on KG's). May be a first baseman long-term, but he is an advanced high school bat with big-time power potential. Grade C+

129. Drew Cumberland*, 21.3, SS/2B (SD)- A star running back and DB in high school, Cumberland is an exceptional athlete. Has drawn Brian Roberts comparisons for speed and patience. Just needs to stay healthy. Grade C+

130. Antonio Bastardo, 24.6, LHP (PHI)- Live-armed, undersized left-hander. Arm problems in the past make me think he's better suited as a reliever. But reliance on change limits left-on-left potential. Grade C+

131. Ehidre Adrianza#, 20.7, SS (SFG)- A potential gold glover at short, Adrianza is reportedly the guy the Marlins wanted back for Dan Uggla. The bat is a work in progress, but you don't need to hit much when you can pick it like he can. Grade C+

132. Cory Luebke, 25.1, LHS (SD)- Good pitcher's frame at 6'4" 200. Command is good, but repertoire is just so-so. Been old for competition at every step, so I'm discounting the numbers a bit. Back-end guy. Grade C+

133. Domingo Santana, 17.8, RF (PHI)- 6-foot-5 physical freak. Timed at 6.7 in 60 and 90 off the mound! Raw power to match anyone in the system, but rawness is evident in 37 percent strikeout rate. Grade C+

134. Michael McKenry, 25.1, C (COL)- At 25, McKenry is approaching the stage where he is what he is, but there is value in that. Solid defender, who threw out 46 percent of would be base-stealers in 09. Patient hitter with some pop could profile as second-division regular or solid backup. Grade C+

135. Edwar Salcedo, 18.8, SS/3B/RF (ATL)- Tough to know what to make of him without any pro data, but tools are there. Seems destined for third or right, but Braves feel bat will play at either spot. Grade C+

136. Kyler Burke*, 21.11, RF/1B (CHC)- Cubs discussed moving him to the mound prior to 2009, but he was adamant that he could hit. And he backed it up in 2009. Patient approach and good defender, but needs to turn doubles into homeruns as he moves up through the system. Not quite ready to bite yet. Remember, he was an experienced hitter for Mid West League. Grade C+

137. Nolan Arenado, 19.0, 3B (COL)- Rockies love the makeup and work ethic. Needs to continue to improve defense to stay at third. Doesn't have above average power potential, but great hit tool as evidenced by 9 percent strikeout rate in debut and 300 average. Grade C+

138. Brett Wallach, 21.4, RHS (LAD)- Just now filling out 6'3" frame. Dodgers believe he will add velocity as he does. His off-speed stuff is advanced. I think he was a great pick in the third round. Grade C+

139. Ryan Tucker, 23.4, RHP (FLA)- Top prospect heading into 2009, Tucker seems to have become forgotten guy after missing most of 2009 with a knee injury. Fastball slider combo make him a solid bullpen option, but needs to improve his command. Grade C+

140. Brad Holt, 23.6, RHS (NYM)- Led NYP League in Ks in 08, but disappointed in 09. Some say injuries are responsible for AA struggles, but I see a guy with a true fastball and questionable secondary stuff. Future bullpen arm for me. Grade C+

141. Scott Mathieson, 26.1, RHR (PHI)- Underwent 3 surgeries over a two-year period, but appears healthy now. Fastball sits in mid-90s with usable slider and change. Could be a late-inning guy if healthy. Grade C+

142. Robinson Lopez, 19.1, RHS (ATL)- Lost amongst the likes of Teheran, Vizcaino, and Delgado, but Lopez is a solid arm. Scouts love easy delivery and solid stuff. Potential 3/4 starter. Grade C+

143. Jonathan Galvez, 19.3, 2B (SD)- Signed for $750,000 in 07, Galvez put together a strong US debut. Employes an advanced approach and quick bat gives him a chance for average and power. But questions abound about interest in playing defense. Grade C+

144. Kirk Nieuwenhuis*, 22.8, RF (NYM)- Well-built athlete may be a bit of a tweener. Concerns over swings-and-misses and ultimate power preclude higher grade. Grade C+

145. Brad Hand, 20.0, LHS (FLA)- Held his own pitching in hitter-friendly Greensboro as a high-school arm from Minnesota, very impressive. Needs to improve secondary stuff. Big-time sleeper. Grade C+

146. Logan Watkins*, 20.7, 2B (CHC)- Kansas State commit stared as a quarterback and defensive back in high school. Great tools, but needs to hone defense. Profiles as a leadoff type hitter. Grade C+

147. John Gaub, 24.11, LHR (CHC)- Best arm acquired in Mark DeRosa trade. Makings of a great left-handed reliever. Power fastball and interesting breaking stuff. Should help pen this year, but poor command and advanced age keeps him behind other left-hander relievers on this list. Grade C+ 

148. Esmil Rogers, 24.8, RHP (COL)- Signed as a shortstop, Rogers has made a seamless transition to the mound. Unlike many converted position players, scouts like the delivery. Needs to hone command and change, but mid-90s fastball and curve make him a valuable arm. Grade C+

149. Lance Lynn, 22.11, RHS (STL)- Overrated. Reputation of sinker-baller, but only a 1.10 GO/AO last year. Doesn't strike many guys out, and walks too many. Don't think he'll be more than a back-of-the-rotation guy. Grade C+

150. Tim Wheeler, 22.2, RF (COL)- Not a big believer in Wheeler. Tools are pretty average across the board, but he is going to need to hit to profile in right. Grade C+

151. Josh Thole*, 23.5, C (NYM)- Poor defensive catchers without power don't profile as regulars. Thole's hit tools should be enough to find a home in the big leagues, but I think he's a backup catcher. Grade C+

 

Honorable Mentions:

Scott Cousins*, CF/RF (FLA)- Tools to become a regular, but he's getting up there in age. Needs to start taping into his raw power. Reminds me a bit of current Marlin Cody Ross, but I think he's more of a 4th outfielder.

Brett DeVall, 20.3, LHS (ATL)- Braves first pick in 08 hasn't been able to stay healthy, despite clean mechanics. I like the solid three pitch mix, and I look for him to have a solid 2010 season.

Eury Perez, 19.10, CF (WAS)- Under-the-radar prospect is like a Starling Marte light. Plus-plus speed, but not sure how to use it yet. Hit tool is there, but BABIP was unsustainable.

Nate Eovaldi, 20.2, RHS (LAD)- Classic Texas fire-baller. Runs fastball 93-96 but off-speed stuff is still crude. Durability questions still remain.

Mark Rogers, 24.2, RHP (MIL)- 5th overall pick from 2004 draft missed all of 2007 and 2008, but may finally be healthy. Showed impressive stuff in limited work in 2009. Could be a late-inning guy if he stays healthy.

Brody Colvin, 19.8, RHS (PHI)- Over-slot sign from 2009 draft has projectable frame and low 90s velocity, but his secondary stuff is very raw.

Victor Black, 21.10, RHP (PIT)- Top college arm from lone star state in 09 draft. Fastball-slider combo make him a potential late-inning option, but will be developed as a starter.

 

System Rankings:

1. Atlanta Braves (4*)- Heyward gives them an elite guy at the top of the system, and there is impressive depth throughout (especially on the pitching side). Teheran and Vizcaino are potential front-of-the-rotation guys, while Delgado, Minor, Spruill, Hoover, Lopez, DeVall, and Stovall are all legitimate starting prospects. Weaker on the positional side outside of Heyward and Freeman, but guys like Milligan and Mycal Jones have a chance (plus, bats are available on the free agent market- it's tough to find pitching out there). Twelve Braves on the top 151: (A, 3 B+, 2 B, 4 B-, and 2 C+). System Sleeper- Brett Oberholtzer- Funky delivery and great command make this left-hander a potential back-of-the-rotation starter.

2. San Diego Padres (4*)- There is a perception that the Padres always go for low-ceiling college guys; however, a look through the system reveals a lot of high upside talents. They have drafted well in recent years and have an underrated presence in Latin America. They don't have the top dog that most the other 4 star systems have, but I love the high upside talent they have assembled. Padres had fifteen players in the top 151: (3 B+, 2 B, 7 B-, 3 C+). System Sleeper: Dexter Carter- Acquired in Peavy deal. Good athlete, great frame, and good stuff. Lack of a third pitch could push him to the pen, but an arm too many are sleeping on.

3. Milwaukee Brewers (3*)- One of the most balanced systems in the game. Escobar, Gamel, and Lucroy are bats who should help in 2010, and there is a plethora of high-upside arms in the low minors. I think Arnett was a steal where the Brewers got him, and Odorizzi, Heckathorn, Peralta, and Scarpetta are all solid prospects. If Jeffress can stay away from Marijuana, he could become an impact late-inning arm. Rogers looks like he could help after all, although health is still a concern. I liked their 2009 draft a lot. Even though Max Walla got off to a rough start, I wouldn't give up on him yet. Twelve Brewers on the 151 list: (A-, B+, 3 B, 7 B-).  System Sleeper: D'Vontrey Richardson- The former Florida State football player, Richardson didn't play much baseball his sophomore or junior seasons, but he is an exceptional athlete with five legitimate tools. 

4. Los Angeles Dodgers (3*)- Underrated system. Lack an elite prospect, Gordon and Withrow have ceilings to match almost any prospect in the game. Lot of depth, especially in terms of high-upside arms. Between Withrow, Martin, Gould, Webster, Wallach, and Eovaldi there should be a steady stream of starters moving through the system. Furthermore, Elbert, Lindblom, and Jansen could all make solid late-inning options. Dodgers had 13 players in 151: (2 B+, 2 B, 8 B-, 2 C+). System Sleeper: Jonathan Garcia- Dodgers may have found a steal in 8th round right fielder out of Puerto Rico. Considered toolsy but raw in draft, showed impressive polish in debut. 

5. Chicago Cubs (3*)- There is more risk in this system than in most, as the talent is in the low minors, but this system also has the potential to produce several impact players. As his ranking indicates, I'm a big believer in StarlinCastro, and the Cubs have the luxury of also having another solid shortstop prospect in Hak-Ju Lee. Beyond those two Darwin Barney, DJ LeMahieu, and Ryan Flaherty give the Cubs rare depth in the middle infield. I think Cashner is better suited to be a reliever long-term, but I still like him. Jay Jackson was a great find in the 9th round, and he and Chris Carpenter could be solid mid-rotation, perhaps both pitching in the big leagues in 2011. The Cubs had 12 players in the top 151 (A-, B+, 3B, 4B-, 3 C+). System Sleeper: Blake Parker- Former catcher has big time velocity and good sink on his fastball. His secondary stuff is raw, but I think he will be a solid relief option perhaps as soon as the second half of 2010.

6. Cincinnati Reds (3*)- This may be the 2013 team to beat in the NL Central. With Homer Bailey, Johnny Cueto, and Edison Vosquez establishing themselves in the big leagues and Chapman and Leake arriving in the next year or two, the Reds have the makings of a very solid rotation. The lineup should be solid as well, although it will be interesting to see how the team tries to get Votto, Alonso, Francisco, and Frazier in the same lineup. I'm not as big on guys like Travis Wood and Chris Heisey as many seem to be, but both should contribute in the majors in 2010. This system is strong 1-10, but the 11+ depth is fairly weak. The Reds had nine players in the top 151 (A-, 2B+, B, 4 B-, C+).  System Sleeper: Neftali Soto- Looked to be on the fast track after big 2008, but struggled in 2009. Needs to improve his approach, but the offensive tools are there. I hope the Reds try him behind the plate.

7. Colorado Rockies (3*)- Friedrich, Matzek, and Chacin give them three very good pitching prospects to build around, and Gomez and Rosario have big ceilings and play premium positions. I'm not as big on Rogers, Wheeler, and Young Jr as most are, but the system does have good depth. Rockies had 10 players in 151: (3 B+, 2 B, 1 B-, and 4 C+). System Sleeper: Casey Weathers- Former Vandy closer had one of the biggest fastballs in the minors in 08, missed 09 due to Tommy John but healthy now.

8. San Francisco Giants (3*)- Posey and Bumgarner give this system a very good 1-2 punch, but there isn't much depth. Wheeler, Rodriguez, and Joseph all have impact potential, but all three are a long way away. Think this system is drastically overrated by some (4th by BA!?). Giants had 9 players in the top 151: (A, B+, 2 B, 3 B-, and 2 C+). System Sleeper: Nick Noonan- Suffered through a tough 2009 season, still like his overall package. Improved approach in 09, and I look for him to have a bounce back 2010. 

9. Washington Nationals (3*)- This ranking is in complete deference to Strasburg, because any system with him is automatically middle-of-the-pack. Outside of him, Norris, Espinosa, Storen, and Desmond all look like major league contributors, with the later three likely to help in the near future and Norris being the only one with any kind of likelihood of being an impact player. The depth of the system is poor due to the fact that a lot of the Nationals' high upside picks have struggled in pro ball (Burgess, McGeary, Nieto, and Ramirez), but it is too early to give up on them. Scouts seem to like Desmond hood, but I just don't see it. Not a great athlete and didn't show enough with the bat for me to project him as a regular in left. Nationals had 7 players in the top 151: (A, B+, 2 B, 2 B-, and a C+). System Sleeper: Adrian Nieto- I liked him a lot coming out of high school in 2008, but he has really struggled as a pro. Plate discipline is still there, and I still think he can become a major league contributor.

10. New York Mets (3*)- I'm very high on Mejia, and while I don't like Flores, Martinez, or Davis, all three are solid prospects. Throw in a guy like Jon Niese, and the Mets have a nice group at the top of the system. The 6-10 region of the system is a bit on the low-end, although Tejada and Havens are solid up-the-middle prospects. Solid depth in this system, especially in the low minors. Guys like Urbina, Familia, Marte, Matz, and Puello all have a chance to have a big impact. Mets had 11 players in the top 151: (A-, 4 B, 2 B-, 4 C+). System Sleeper: Robbie Shields-Generated some first round buzz with solid performance in Cape, but pro debut was marred by injury. Move to second may be in his future, but there might be something there with the bat.

11. Florida Marlins (3*)- Stanton and Morrison are two studs at the top of the system, but the depth is below average. There is some upside with guys like Smolinski, Skipworth, Jhan Marinez, Jose Ceda, Marcell Ozuna, Edgar Olmos, and Isaac Galloway, but there are some big questions with each one. Sprinkled in with those guys is Gaby Sanchez, but no one really jumps out at you. The Marlins had only six players in the top 151 (A-, B+, B, B-, 2 C+). System Sleeper: Bryan Berglund- Swedish citizen has a projectable frame and a potential out-pitch slider.

12. Pittsburgh Pirates (3*)- This system is lacking in impact talent outside of Pedro Alvarez, but they have been aggressive the last two drafts in the later rounds trying to find such players. However, the early returns on those players have been somewhat disappointing. Robbie Grossman and Quinton Miller only had so-so full-season debuts, but it is obviously too early to close the book on them. I like Von Rosenberg, but I'm not yet sold on Pounders, Cain, or Evan Chambers. Although I don't mind the strategy of going with Sanchez 4th overall to free up the money in the later rounds. I think the main problem with this system is the return they have gotten in trades. They have given up some substantial talent in the last two years, but they haven't gotten a whole lot back. The Pirates had seven players in the top 151 (A-, 2B, 4B-). System Sleeper: Jeff Locke- Acquired in the Nate McLouth trade, Locke had an up-and-down 2009 season. His mechanics are rough, but he has a live arm and gets some groundballs. If he can smooth out his mechanics a bit, I could see him as a solid 4th starter. 

13. Philladelphia Phillies (2*)- System is pretty clearly below average. Brown gives them a nice prospect at the top of the system, but a lot of talent has exited this system via trade in the last twelve months. There is a lot of upside in the lower levels, but the 1-10 group is weak. There is certainly the possibility that this is an above-average system next year with all the high upside players, but there is too much risk for me right now. I love Jiwan James, and I wouldn't be shocked to see him as a top 100 guy next year. Phillies had 12 players in the top 151: (1 B+, 1 B, 7 B-, 3 C+).System Sleeper: Anthony Hewitt- Results obviously haven't been there, but there were some signs of improvement in 09. High bust potential, but watch out if the light goes on.

14. Houston Astros (2*)- This system rivals only the White Sox and Cardinals for lack of depth in the 11+ range. An argument could be made to have the Astros as a one-star system, but I like Castro, Mier, and Lyles enough to keep them at the two-star level. Outside of those three, the system gets pretty rough. I like Bushue, but he is a long ways away. I'm not as high on Seaton. He doesn't have his high school velocity, and his lack of secondary stuff hurts his ability to succeed as a pitchability guy. Outside of those five, the system offers little outside of relief arms and outfielders who look like reserves. The Astros had 4 players in the top 151 (3 B+, 1 B-). System Sleeper: TJ Steele- Missed a lot of time last year due to a hamstring injury, but he has an impressive blend of tools. He's not a burner, but plays a great center field. If he can become more patient he could make himself into a second-division regular. 

15. Arizona Diamondbacks (1*)- Tough system to grade because of so many 2009 draftees in top 10-15. An absurd 7 of my top ten D-backs were drafted in 2009. That means there is a lot of risk, but higher upside than the Cardinals or other 1 star systems. I didn't downgrade as Parker as much as some others, so he is still a very good prospect in my mind. Diamondbacks had 7 players in the top 151: (B+, 4 B-, 2 C+). System Sleeper: David Nick- Comes out of the same school as former first-rounders Scott Moore and Josh Vitters. Despite unorthodox swing has a very solid hit tool. 

16. St. Louis Cardinals (1*)- This is not a good system. I like Shelby Miller, but there isn't much after him. Jamie Garcia should help solidify the Cardinals' big league rotation, and Freese will play third, but neither offer any kind of star potential. As previously stated, I think Lance Lynn is overrated. Daryl Jones is a great athlete, and Eduardo Sanchez and Francisco Samuel have power arms, but all three are far from sure things. Some like Allen Craig as an underrated bat, but your team is in real trouble if he is getting more regular playing time. The Cardinals major league team looks poised for another playoff berth, but they shouldn't be expecting much help over the coming years. The Cardinals had six players in the top 151: (1 B+, 1 B, 3 B-, 1 C+). System Sleeper: Pete Kozma- The 2007 first round pick disappointed with the bat in 2009, but his approach was still sound. He still rates strong defensively, and I think he's better than he showed with the bat last year.

 

 

 

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Where the hell is

Jacob Turner?

Albert Pujols is a god, and you my friend should be doing no less than graveling at his feet.

by CoolCat23 on Mar 21, 2026 2:52 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Sorry forgot this was an NL list

Albert Pujols is a god, and you my friend should be doing no less than graveling at his feet.

by CoolCat23 on Mar 21, 2026 2:52 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

A couple of Dodger notes

63. Scott Elbert, 24.8, LHR (LAD)- Shows electric stuff when healthy. Trouble is, he has struggled to do so. Effort in his delivery and history of arm trouble make me believe he is better suited for the pen (although Dodgers have used him as a starter this spring). If they choose to make him a reliever he could be a dynamite late-inning option. Grade B-

Elbert has had one arm injury over two years ago. He has completely healed and was dominate last year. The injury idea is REALLY overplayed.

Lindblom doesnt have a sinker. He just works low in the zone with a good fastball, and some scouts mistake that for a sinker. From MOKM’s report:

Lindblom’s bread and butter pitch is his fastball, as it will sit in the 91-94 mph range and touch 96. It’s an explosive pitch that has solid arm side tail at times, but it’s not a sinker like i’ve seen it described

DeJesus was never going to stick at SS, IMO. He will be a 2B, and I think he will be a fairly good one. Again from MOKM, the report on DeJesus’s projection:

Projection-His ceiling is still the same as it was before the injury, and DeJesus has a chance to be a good everyday shortstop. At his best, he would carry a high average, high on-base percentage, gap power, and solid defense. Given his existing skill set of patience and contact, he still has a decent chance of getting there.

However, the road has become much longer for him, as his future is up in the air due to his injury. Everything depends on how well his tools bounce back, so it’s hard to be overly optimistic right now. The most likely scenario is that he ends up at second base and overcomes his health woes to be at least an average regular there.

Last year, I urged the Dodgers not to rush DeJesus to the majors like they did with Chin Lung Hu, and I would give the same advice this year. DeJesus needs to get healthy first, and rushing him would probably be counterproductive in the long run, as he could use development time in AA or AAA anyway. A full time role awaits him in 2011, but the Dodgers should be patient for now.

Here are the two links, first to Lindblom’s report, then DeJesus’s

http://www.memoriesofkevinmalone.com/2010/03/prospect-profiles-2010-josh-lindblom.html#more

http://www.memoriesofkevinmalone.com/2010/03/prospect-profiles-2010-ivan-dejesus.html#more

by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Mar 21, 2026 2:57 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Response

Elbert- Pretty serious injury, and he has dealt with shoulder tendonitis this spring. I think it is completely fair to consider his injury history when evaluating him, and I don’t think he will be a able to hold up as a starter.

As far as Lindblom’s fastball/sinker. We’re really arguing over semantics. I never said he throws a sinker. I said scouts say he has good sink on his fastball. Heavy fastball/sink are fairly interchangeable in scout speak.

I think you are selling DeJesus short defensively, and perhaps believing in the bat a bit too much.

by BrosbeforeShaincoes on Mar 21, 2026 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I didnt mean for it to sound like I was against your comments on Lindblom

just saying that it isnt a sinker, which you said.

With Elbert, not saying it wasnt a serious injury. However, it was two seasons ago and was able to completley overcome it last year. He threw over 100 innings as a starter and would have had more if he hadnt been called up to sit in the pen.

I’ve have always thought of DeJesus as a guy who will be a 2B who will have good gap power and a pretty consistent bat. The report above seems to be a little more confident in his defense, I guess it is just personal preference..

by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Mar 21, 2026 10:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

So Elbert has one season

where he essentially through starter innings a little over half the time. That does little to prove to me that he can handle a starter’s workload for a full year, every year. Its clearly a debatable question with no true right answer. If you don’t believe that Elbert will hold up as a starter (and I’m with the OP on this one), then there is no problem with ranking him #63 overall.

by nixa37 on Mar 22, 2026 9:22 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wheeler & Runzler

I have a question that is likely based on my Giants bias:

What makes Shelby Miller a better prospect than Zack Wheeler-From what I’ve read about the two Miller may have a tick higher upside but has a much lower floor.

What makes Rex Brothers a better prospect than Dan Runzler-they are both back of the bullpen lefties but Runzler has already done it (albeit in a SSS) in the majors.

I also like Brett Jackson more than you and I am not as high on JC Ramirez

Adopted Giant: Mike Krukow.
Grab Some Pine, Meat
Kevin Frandsen: The best SS on the Giants roster
Hoping for BowkerMania to hit AT&T; Park in 2010

by Gobroks on Mar 21, 2026 8:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Those are fair points

I’m a big Shelby Miller guy. Like I said in the write-up, I like Miller’s delivery a lot, and his stuff is better than Wheeler’s. I’m sure most other lists have those guys a lot closer, and some may even have them flipped.

I haven’t completely bought Runzler. Improved a lot last year, but command is still a question. Also, he is already 25, so I can’t see much more improvement. Brothers has similar stuff, but should have better command.

Ya, I know a lot of people like Jackson more, but I’m worried about Ks. I think JC is a big sleeper this year. Stuff is there for him to really come on in 2010.

by BrosbeforeShaincoes on Mar 21, 2026 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why don't you think Friedrich can be a #1?

"Chicks dig the long ball, although fat chicks will settle for warning track power" - Nick Diamond

by hero66 on Mar 22, 2026 12:30 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Depends on your definition of a #1

If you’re talking about a top 30 starter than I guess there is an outside chance. But when I say #1, I’m talking about an ace- a Lincecum, Grienke, Felix, Halladay, ect… There might only be 10 of those guys in baseball. Giving anyone the ceiling of those guys is really high praise, and I think Friendrich’s stuff is a bit light for those comps.

by BrosbeforeShaincoes on Mar 22, 2026 1:00 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, those are fair points as well.

Shelby Miller could gain a lot of helium before the end of the year and I do think BA overrated Runzler-FWIW I have him at #9 on the Giants list and I could understand some skepticism based on the SSS at every level I think.

Adopted Giant: Mike Krukow.
Grab Some Pine, Meat
Kevin Frandsen: The best SS on the Giants roster
Hoping for BowkerMania to hit AT&T; Park in 2010

by Gobroks on Mar 22, 2026 1:20 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Interesting, another NL East list giving lots of love to Kyle Allen but none to Jeurys Familia

Supposedly Familia’s added some velo this offseason. His fastball was already better, and his breaking ball is better. He doesn’t have a changeup though, which Allen does, or really a third pitch for that matter. Still, had a slightly better overall year in the SAL, also misses bats and gets grounders, good command to this point. I just don’t see how these two can be ranked so far apart. Same age, same team, similar results, slightly different projection paths but similar overall projections.

"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet

What a fool I was to defy him"

-HST

by Mark Himmelstein on Mar 22, 2026 12:05 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Not bad...

I already left some opions on other threads, but you are severly over rating Milwaukee. They have an okay farm system, but they are closer to the bottom five than they are to the top 5 in my opinion.

by joegonzo on Mar 22, 2026 3:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

ethan martin SP dodgers

Did I gloss over him or did he not make it?

by npurcell on Mar 23, 2026 2:14 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

nm

found him the 3rd time through!

by npurcell on Mar 23, 2026 2:16 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ctrl+F

by PissedMick on Mar 23, 2026 6:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs


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