Chris Davis
He has really elevated his game this year. He tore up AA and is now hitting just as well in AAA. His strike out rate is still high, but it is improved over last year and is under 25%. He has 17 homeruns and a .613 slugging percentage for the year. He is only 22 and I think has established himself as one of the best prospect hitter and imo the best prospect power hitter. He has also hit for a very solid average. If the rangers don't promote him I would think he would have to rank as a top 15 prospect going into next year.
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47 comments
Comments
I don't really think his numbers are sustainable
in the majors. 20:59 BB/K ratio. He’s been playing in some hitters’ leagues too.
by number_twentyone on Jun 13, 2025 9:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Since his numbers
would be like the best in the majors almost, I guess it’s ok if they’re not quite sustainable
by Brett Perryman on Jun 13, 2025 10:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
uh... matt LaPorta
yeah… .610 SLG, 18 HR, and he does his damage outside of the Texas League… Davis is nice, but not tha best
by daveh33 on Jun 13, 2025 11:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
ISOP
Davis= .285 (in AA, its lower since his move to AAA)
LaPorta= .315
BB/K
CD= 13/44 (in AA)
ML= 37/49
by daveh33 on Jun 13, 2025 11:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ages
Davis was 21 in AA, and LaPorta is 23. Both are going to be good hitters, kudos to the Rangers for getting Davis in the 5th round.
...and curse Sir Sidney Ponson, he was such a stupid git.
by t ball on Jun 14, 2025 12:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah.
If you want to compare Davis and Laporta, think about the fact that Davis would still be in college if he was following the same career path. Instead, he’s hitting .336/.385/.620 with 17 HR in 65 games of AA/AAA, and is has improved his K:BB at pretty much every stop in the minors.
Stick Davis back in AA next year and see what kind of numbers he puts up.
by DrunkIrish on Jun 14, 2025 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Davis
has also improved his contact rate at every stop in the minors the last two years, and was in high-A this time last year. He’s really adjusted well for a guy whose only knock is questionable plate discipline.
by DrunkIrish on Jun 14, 2025 3:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
im not knocking Davis...
...he’s great , but he’s not the best power prospect in the game. not sure i get the point of stick Davis in AA next year, unless you are referring to him being a little younger than ML…. cuz its not like LaPorta is repeating AA or anything… Im kinda surprised he’s not in AAA right now.
by daveh33 on Jun 14, 2025 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
My point is...
pretty similar to the guy’s above me. You can’t compare what Laporta’s doing in AA at 23 to what Davis did there at 21 without any kind of eye to the context. If Davis was hypothetically in AA next year (at 23), you could compare what would surely be a complete murder of the entire league to what LaPorta is doing now.
by DrunkIrish on Jun 15, 2025 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm a fan
If he’s eligible, which he probably will be, he’s going to have a very strong case for the top 10, maybe even top five prospects, depending who gets promoted. Laporta will be right there with him.
by rwperu34 on Jun 14, 2025 1:20 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
LaPorta>Davis
I don’t think Davis will be a top 10 guy if he stays eligible but possibly a top 25 guy. His K/BB is really his only problem but its a big one, however for all that he K’s he has still hit for a good average every step of the way. He isn’t likely to hit .330+ in the majors but is .290 with real good power out of the question?
by groundingout on Jun 14, 2025 11:20 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Agree
I’m thinking the 20-35 range right now. One good think about both his K/BB and his BA is that they don’t trend down as he’s progressed quickly from short season to AAA in a little over a season.
Starting in HA last season he had a horrible ratio: 123/22.
He improved that upon promotion to AA last summer: 27/13
This season starting back in AA he regressed: 44/13
But has improved again upon promotion: 15/7
If you throw in his stint in the NWL after being drafted, the one pattern that I see is that he gets better as the season goes along, regardless of level. It will be interesting to see if he does better the whole second half in his plate control or if he reverts for the first time.
Anyway, the fact that it seems to be up to him and not inevitably bad is a very good sign to me. And for his BA, he hit .277 in 06, .297 last year, and .336 this year (250 AB).
by Brett Perryman on Jun 14, 2025 12:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Plus
he’s doing those nice things as a pretty young player at each level. All this just makes the Blalock move annoying. Of course, the entire Blalock history and current situation is annoying.
...and curse Sir Sidney Ponson, he was such a stupid git.
by t ball on Jun 14, 2025 3:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I know this gets old, but ...
What’s up with all the LaPorta love?
He’s good. Don’t get me wrong.
He’s the second-best hitter on his team. Gamel has more hits, doubles, triples, total bases, a higher average, a higher OBP, a higher OPS, fewer Ks in 30 less ABs.
"That ain't no etch-a-sketch. This is one doodle that can't be un-did, homeskillet."
by criminal type on Jun 14, 2025 5:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Gamel
Has a .417 BABIP, too. He won’t sustain that, and his numbers will all deflate. LaPorta, being more of a 3TO guy, has stats which are more likely to be repeated.
That said, if Gamel can find any sort of consistency with the glove, the Brewers really need another lefty bat, and that Hall/Branyan platoon is a lot easier target than what LaPorta has to deal with to get MLB time.
by BobbyMac on Jun 14, 2025 11:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Honest Question
I don’t know if there have been any studies to this effect, but I’ve found that the closer a player leans towards being a TTO guy, the more likely he is the bust in the majors. Consistent, hard contact seems to be the best indicator of future success from my vantage point, and that tends to express itself in a great BA, lower strikeout rate, and a very high LD%. Wouldn’t LaPorta’s ARL and TTO tendencies work against him?
by GuyinNY on Jun 15, 2025 9:59 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Response
I’m not sure where the impression of LaPorta as a TTO guy is coming from at this point. There were times that he didn’t hit for a high average in college, but his strikeout rate was never in any sort of a danger zone. He struck out a fair amount in his short stint in the minors last year, but one could blame that on a small sample size in the midst of adjusting to pro ball. 37/51 BB/K this year in 248 ABs against Double A pitching is just fine, especially in his first full season of pro ball. And he’s hitting for a fine average on top of that.
I guess it’s convenient to call LaPorta a TTO player because he IS a guy who’s going to walk a lot and hit for a ton of power, and he probably will strike out a decent amount of the time in the majors. But the guy is a legit good hitter in every sense.
by mrkupe on Jun 15, 2025 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
labels
I didn’t mean to slap a “label” on LaPorta, and you’re probably right that 31% TTO isn’t much different from 38% TTO (Gamel v. LaPorta, taking TTO/[AB+BB]), I was more trying to explain why some people were skeptical of Gamel continuing his tirade. Not that he’s bad, but I think it’s somewhat easier to have a good feeling about LaPorta as a star hitter at this point.
by BobbyMac on Jun 16, 2025 12:23 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Stupid question
What is a 3TO/TTO guy?
by OldProspects on Jun 15, 2025 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Three true outcomes
i.e. someone who walks, strikes out and homers a lot, and doesn’t do anything else very often.
Think Ryan Howard or Jack Cust.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Jun 15, 2025 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
or adam dunn
I heard Tim Lincecum will win 1 Cy Young & 11 Tim Lincecums. Question is, how many Cole Hamels will he win?
by the pinstripes on Jun 16, 2025 3:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just a thought
How about the comparison of Rangers AA DH Max Ramirez to LaPorta?
2 month age difference, Both Righties, very similar BB:K ratio, looks like LaPorta’s power numbers are better, but Ramirez has the better SLG. %
What do you think?
by madisonp on Jun 15, 2025 10:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Laporta vs Davis...
I think it is safe to say that they are not to far apart in terms of potential. They both have 40+ homerun potential in the majors and both have shown the ability to hit for pretty good average as well. Both showed huge power last year. Davis is a year younger and is absolutely mashing in AAA…I would think both will have everyday jobs to lose next year.
If Laporta>Davis…then it is just by a little bit. But I would say both have huge homerun potential.
by tt68 on Jun 15, 2025 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like Ramirez alot
but though he exploded this year, I’m still a little more wary of him than LaPorta who has been doing this for a longer time. I think you’re right that their values are similar, but I’d prefer LaPorta
by OldProspects on Jun 15, 2025 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Davis>Gamel
Gamel is having a nice year but he only hit 26 home runs in the previous 2 seasons combined including just 9 in 128 games last year. Davis hit 36 home runs last year alone.
by groundingout on Jun 15, 2025 12:57 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Davis Legit
I saw Davis when Frisco came to San Antonio. He absolutely mashed a hanging slider over the 20 foot high wall in right center. This guy has hit well at every level, and seems to be stepping up his game in AAA as well. I think the Rangers would be foolish not to consider him or Max Ramirez at first base over a gimpy Hank Blalock who seems to have lost it. The problem for the Rangers is a good one: too many prospects relative to available positions. Jarrod Saltalamachia needs a place to play, and I’m not sure they’re sold on him at catcher. Justin Smoak could be the first baseman of the future, and a plus defender, which is an edge over Ramirez/Davis/Saltalamachia at first, all of whom have suspect defensive skills. I think they may eventually try Davis at a corner outfield spot, Ramirez as DH, and wait for Smoak to claim first base. But I think Davis is a fine option at first until Smoak is ready. The guy could legitimately hit 30 homers a year, albeit with 150 strikeouts per to go with them.
by sggut95 on Jun 15, 2025 5:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Another homer tonight...
He is really rolling and now has 19 for the year and 6 in 75 at bats. The guy is putting together a huge year.
by tt68 on Jun 15, 2025 9:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Eh
Looks like another Brandon Wood. Strikes out a lot. And I don’t think he’ll sustain his average in the majors. Albeit in Texas he could probably be pretty valuable with that ballpark, at least at home. His power is legit. He’s a big kid too.
by Hobbes2d on Jun 16, 2025 5:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That seems like a lazy comparison
Wood had 1 real good year in the minors and followed it up with 2 lesser years, and he never hit great out of the Cal league.
by groundingout on Jun 16, 2025 6:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ok fine how about another disappointing Angels prospect
Dallas McPherson.
by Hobbes2d on Jun 16, 2025 7:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is Russel Branyan your next comp?
....
by groundingout on Jun 16, 2025 8:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
re: Davis
First, Davis is showing more power at a younger age than either of those two. Even then, when for every two or three Russ Branyan/Brandon Wood/Dallas McPherson you get a Ryan Braun/Ryan Howard, you’ve got yourself a stellar prospect.
by rwperu34 on Jun 16, 2025 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
the only problem with this...
is the numbers don’t match with what you’re saying.
For instance, here are your K numbers:
Wood K% Last 3 years:
A+ - 33%
AA - 27.5%
AAA - 31.8%
Davis K% Last 3 years:
A - 25.7%
A+ - 31.9%
AA - 24.8% (07)
AA - 23.7% (08)
AAA - 23.3%
Different trend line and not nearly the strikeout problems that Wood has had.
Batting average:
Wood - .276, .272, .250
Davis - .277, .298, .294, .333, .356
And here are the power numbers (ISO power):
Wood - .276, .224, .257
Davis - .257, .275, .394, .285, .378
This is with Wood playing in easier parks to hit in. Basically, the trend lines are different for Wood and Davis. Davis has raised his game another level and improved as a player while Wood has sorta stagnated.
‘
The BB% is obviously a concern, but he has the ability to hit for a solid average with a ton of power and I don’t think the Wood and especially McPherson comparisons are good ones.
BTW, for anybody interested, I wrote a piece on Davis for Baseball Digest Daily that does a little analysis on the mechanics of his swing. Basically you can see how this guy hits for the power he does. His swing is built for easy power:
Chris Davis
www.baseball-intellect.com
by NovaO on Jun 20, 2025 5:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Since that article
have you happened to see any clips of him, or seen him play again? Any changes or improvements?
...and curse Sir Sidney Ponson, he was such a stupid git.
by t ball on Jun 20, 2025 8:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
nope...
but only because his games were never televised or on MiLB.tv.
Oklahoma is on MiLB.tv all the time, so I’ll definitely be checking back on him and seeing the adjustments he has made at some point in the near future.
www.baseball-intellect.com
by NovaO on Jun 20, 2025 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Obviously, no one is as good as they look in their very hottest streaks and Davis is in a doozy of a hot streak at the moment, hitting a hr for the third straight night tonight. But this discussion started when tt68 identified Davis as the best power hitting prospect in the minors. Let leave this year’s draftees out of the discussion and only include last year’s to the extent they played most of a full year in the minors (ie. no Wieters) and ask if anyone else can be expected to hit more home runs a year at their peak and/or more home runs for a career than Davis among current minor leaguers?
An obvious starting point on the question of who will hit the most hrs is to ask who has hit the most hrs this year. The answer this year is Brad Eldred (27 years old, 30% st4rike out rate), Mike Hessman (30 years old, 37% strikeout rate), and the a three way tie between Dallas Mcpherson (27 years old, 37% strikeout rate), Nelson Cruz (27 years old, 22% strikeout rate) and Chris Davis (22 years old, 24% strikeout rate). If they played the “one of these things is not like the other game” the two who stand out for having a reasonable strikeout rate are Davis and Cruz and the only one who stands out for having a remotely appropriate age for a prospect at their level is Davis, who is five years younger than any of the other. Going one more you get to Laporta, who is 23, at AA rather than AAA like the others on this list, and has a 21% strikeout rate, clearly the next most interesting player on this list. However, with only 30 games last year, he’s not in this conversation and none of the other players mentioned are any kind of prospect so they aren’t either.
So going back to last year, there really isn’t another prospect in the same area code as Davis’s 56 hrs since then. Jeffrey Larish, 25 years old, 44 hrs split between AA and AAA is next. Rasmus, only 21 and only a 22% k rate this year, but also only a .741 OPS and 240s batting average this year and Halman only 20 years old, but struck out 39% of the time last year, 30% this year followt with 39. Both Rasmus and Halman bear watching but remember that since the beginning of last year Davis has 17 more hrs than either.. Clement, Wood, Balentien, Laster and Ramirez, are among those at a reasonable age and with hr counts in the 30s since the beginning of last year.
At least I don’t see a reason to prefer the future of any of these guys to that of Davis, certainly not to prefer their future as hr hitters. You can take Maybin or others not even on this list if you prefer but I think that performance is predictive of something so I am pretty skeptical in predicting a guy who did something less than half as much the last two years to start doing it more once they reach the majors.
Bottom line, if there is anyone in the minors who is a better power prospect in the minors among those who have been in the minors for two years or more, there is nothing in what they have done to indicate it. at least imo.
by Dalman on Jun 17, 2025 1:20 AM EDT reply actions 3 recs
I generally agree
I think that the best hitters who will make the majors soon (excluding recent draftees) are Davis, Max Ramirez, Wieters, and LaPorta (and though I personally, don’t agree, you could put Gamel in that category as well) - I don’t think there is a terrific amount of observable difference between them at the moment though I certainly have my preferences (as everybody does)
by OldProspects on Jun 22, 2025 5:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Davis
in the game today he has hit 2 more HRs….that’s now 9 in AAA.
by Rupert Pupkin on Jun 18, 2025 2:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Guy is awesome.
Forget Blalock. Call CD up NOW!
Hard Drive Manufacturer Hires Barkley
by BudLight on Jun 18, 2025 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Another interesting thing about Davis
In 2006 and 2007, his Line drive percentage was in the low 10’s (ranging from 12-14). This year, however, he hit 20% of balls for linedrives in AA and (granted small sample size and all that) 27% of balls for linedrives in his first 92 ABs in AAA. I don’t know if this is evidence of an actual improvement or not, but it seems notable
by OldProspects on Jun 20, 2025 12:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Another homer tonight...
That is 7 in his last 10 games. The guy is on a serious hot streak.
by tt68 on Jun 20, 2025 10:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
No knock on laporta
But Davis is def. a more premier power prospect. No scout would say that Laporta has more power potential then Davis.
Sickels referred to him as the best power hitter in the minors last year, Deric McKamey of HQ gave him between a 70-80 power potential,
Kevin Goldstein said this in his recent top 100 update.
“Stock Report: Even now that he’s a first baseman, way up. He seemingly gets better at each level, and could play second half of the year in the big leagues. He now looks like a future home run and RBI machine in the cleanup slot.”
Baseball America said this in their recent hot sheet.
“If he doesn’t get called up to Arlington in the second half, you may be hearing Davis’ name bandied about for Minor League Player of the Year honors. That’s how good he’s been in 2008. “
The questions with Davis has nothing to do with his power, but as mentioned here, its his plate discipline. However, this has more to do with the fact that he doesn’t walk all that much, and that probably has more to do with the fact that when your killing the ball everytime you hit it, you probably dont feel like taking that many walks.
Most power hitters start getting more walks as they establish themselves as a threat to pitchers… in other words they start getting more respect from pitchers. Its hard to take walks if pitchers are throwing the ball over the plate.
Either way, to compare Laporta who is still at AA even though hes already 23 to Chris Davis who is two years younger and already at AAA, is really just not something you can do. Both have premier bats , Laporta seems to be a bit more of a complete hitter in terms of his ability to take walks and make contact, but I dont think Laporta projects as a 40+ homer hitter in the majors, and Chris Davis def. does.
"You also must admit, that outside of the facts, I made a compelling argument!"
by jbluestone on Jun 23, 2025 1:39 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Reportedly
This god amongst men has been called up to the bigs. And we can now start the countdown to 800 dongs.
... No, not those dongs.
Hard Drive Manufacturer Hires Barkley
by BudLight on Jun 26, 2025 10:44 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Thankfully
That movie was nowhere near as good as it’s box art would lead you to believe.
Neglectful father of David Quinowski
by marcello on Jun 26, 2025 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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