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Discussion Question: Under Pressure

 

 

Discussion Question: Under Pressure

Here is a discussion question for you. I've asked this in previous years and I find the answers interesting.

It is Game Seven of the World Series. You are playing the New York Yankees, in New York, so pressure is maximized. You have to choose a rookie pitcher to start this game for you. It cannot be anyone who is not a rookie entering the 2010 season. It also cannot be Stephen Strasburg, Neftali Feliz, Brian Matusz, or Aroldis Chapman.

Who do you pick, and why?  Keep in mind that more should go into your decision than just picking the next guy on your pitching prospect list...there are a lot of things to consider here.


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Tanner Scheppers or Jenrry Mejia

If it’s one game, I grab the guy with the nastiest stuff I can get, and I let him dial it up to ten for as many innings as he can.

by gogotabata on Mar 23, 2026 2:15 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Jhoulys Chacin

I’m gonna go with Chacin….

Reasons…he transitioned well to the upper levels, and at least got a taste of the bigs.

His K rate is respectable enough, but with his ground ball tendencies, he can allow his defense to work for him, instead of trying to force to much on his own and give up demoralizing deep balls (which in NYY is easy to do). With his makeup, I think the chance he can tame his control for one game is reasonable enough to give your team a chance to win the game….and possibly even dominate it.

by BobbyS on Mar 23, 2026 2:21 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Jeremy Hellickson

I’m going to go in a different direction of the pure power arm, not that Hellboy doesn’t throw hard. He has never struggled at any level, will mix his stuff up, and has the attitude it would take to handle the pressure.

by robertgold on Mar 23, 2026 2:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm a little torn

now, actually, between Hell-boy and Mejia/Scheppers.

I think you want to minimize the number of runners and batters; it would be easier, I’d guess, to just be a live arm when there’s no one on base. My first impulse was to go w/ the high-k, crazy-stuff guys, but going with a guy with plus stuff but superb command is also a great option. Plus, as you say, Hellickson SEEMS like a guy who’d embrace the spotlight and not be intimidated.

by gogotabata on Mar 23, 2026 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

well

Helly did mow down some Yankees in his first spring start… including making Jeter look bad on a K

by daveh33 on Mar 23, 2026 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hellickson, easily

Not because he’s next on the list, but because he’s already shown the ability to throw strikes, miss bats, and completely dominate AAA hitters.

by AgitationStation on Mar 23, 2026 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Hellickson is the guy for the job.

PPPPPPUNTO 4 MVP 2010

by punto4mvp on Mar 23, 2026 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Hellickson has great mound presence and seems to always keep his composure. His first “TV” start in the AAA championship he dominated Memphis last year. Oh and he is also really good too.

by Dbullsfan on Mar 23, 2026 8:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Another vote for Hellickson

Has to be a guy who can get the ball over the plate consistently as the Yanks are known to work pitchers. WIth a plus fastball + change and a good curve, he’s got enough stuff to keep them off balance. His confidence has to be among the highest of any rookies as he’s coasted through the minors. In addition, he finished last year on a big note including five scoreless innings in AAA championship game.

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by RedHopeful on Mar 24, 2026 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Chacin/Mejia

Interesting thoughts by gogo and BobbyS, as I immediately thought of groundball guys as well. Decent choices, although I would wonder how deep mejia could go and how he’d fair 2nd and 3rd times through. I also thought about a guy like Niese, who also is a groundball guy, good control and a lefty (although I am not sure about new yankee Stadium, but i know the old one favored lefties)

by wobatus on Mar 23, 2026 2:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

or

Grover Cleveland Alexander. or Howard Ehmke.

Oh, they have to still be rookies.

by wobatus on Mar 23, 2026 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Can I cheat?

Since he’s not technically ruled out, I’ll take Yu Darvish.

But seriously, Wade Davis. Unlike Chacin I wouldn’t be terrified that he’d walk the world, and I think he’d keep enough balls on the ground to keep us in the game.

Scheppers and Mejia wouldn’t be bad choices but I think either could pull a Joba and blow up under pressure. Davis doesn’t seem like he has quite that risk.

Zach Stewart might be another interesting option.

by OccamsRazor on Mar 23, 2026 2:31 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

Davis definitely

"Chicks dig the long ball, although fat chicks will settle for warning track power" - Nick Diamond

by hero66 on Mar 23, 2026 8:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

always a fun question

In this situation, you pretty much can’t take a guy who doesn’t have any AAA experience . . .the likelihood of a player from a lower level blowing up command-wise is just too high. You can only make exceptions for guys with really good sinkers, because they have a pitch to get rid of multiple baserunners via DP and thus can overcome some of those command issues.

I’d imagine that most would defer to Jeremy Hellickson, as he’s typically the top rated arm that you didn’t list other than the incredibly young Martin Perez. Given his good command and AAA experience, he’s a good choice, although Jacob Arrieta would be very tempting as well. Zach Stewart has the sinker to get by for a few innings.

Dark horse: Zach Britton on Baltimore. Dangerous to take an A ball pitcher, but he’s a lefty to negate the power advanage that lefty batters have in Yankee Stadium and it’s not hard to see his sinker getting him 5 or so innings. It’s not something you’d want to repeat (I suspect he’d get blown away his second time around), but he’d be a sneaky pick.

Going to have to think on this a bit more. The cool thing is that the best answers are very rarely the top prospect power arm types. You want polish, consistency, and keeping your team in the game.

by mrkupe on Mar 23, 2026 2:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't know

polish and consistency are fine, but I think I want more of a K-pitcher than a ‘pitch-to-contact’ type…. I mean, if this is a guy the Yankees have never seen, then I’ll take a guy like Mejia or Feliz, who can blow them away for 6 innings, as opposed to a guy who might get into trouble with runners on base, get unlucky with a big hit, etc… which can and does happen when you have a lineup like the Yankees, in a ballpark like theirs.

young pitchers are going to make mistakes, and I’d rather it be solo shots they’re giving up.
Also, with groundball types like Stewart and Britton and Chacin, defense matters, and we aren’t given the team defense in the question. So I’m going with one of the guys who’s going to rack up a bunch of K’s and maybe give up a HR or 2 but not get stuck with the bases juiced then give up a bases-clearing double or worse.

by daveh33 on Mar 23, 2026 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

More information needed

Who are they playing? Where is game 7 being played? Home or away? I would think the lineup this pitcher would be facing and where would be relevant.

by mcovey on Mar 23, 2026 3:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Aaron Crow

strikeouts. ground balls. he’s got the weird factor, nothing fazes the guy. i pick him easily.

baseball rules.

by doublestix on Mar 23, 2026 3:34 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Kyle Drabek

Pedigree, low walks, low HR rate, arrogance.

'Waiting for a girl and she gets me into fights
Waiting for a girl we get drunk on Friday night'

by scoop16 on Mar 23, 2026 3:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

haha

good points

by daveh33 on Mar 23, 2026 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

someone like a Mike Leake

too many of the guys picked above would implode. Guys with questionable command/control/haven’t show they can handle the mental aspects of a big game.

I would take someone like a Mike Leake or Mike Minor that has proven they can pitch in these types of situations in the College World Series and with Team USA. Also, I would take them because they have impeccable control and wouldn’t have a Chernobyl on the mound in front of 50 million viewers.

In this situation I want the sure thing. The guy that you know can handle it mentally, will battle, and won’t back down, even if I have to sacrifice the upside of someone like a Jenrry Mejia

by ScottAZ on Mar 23, 2026 4:07 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

With Yankee Stadium the Third being kind to LH hitters

and the Yankees having some great RH hitters in their line-up, I’m going to want someone with no discernable platoon splits, keeps the ball on the ground (to minimize the short porch), has some experience against batters above Single-A, and has at least one true strikeout pitch.

I’d go with Christian Friedrich.

by ThomasG on Mar 23, 2026 4:12 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Easy

Jason Heyward.

http://www.chop-n-change.com

by alexwithclass on Mar 23, 2026 5:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

John Boehner

If he lost the game, he’d just threaten to get new umpires, a new commissioner and overturn the score.

by Jihan1 on Mar 23, 2026 5:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Matt Wieters

Matt Wieters pitching to Matt Wieters with Matt Wieters playing all of the positions in the field. Matt Wieters is GOD

PPPPPPUNTO 4 MVP 2010

by punto4mvp on Mar 23, 2026 5:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Pujols now wants to destroy you.

In football, the object is for the quarterback, otherwise known as the field general, to be on target with his aerial assault, riddling the defense by hitting his recievers with deadly accuracy in spite of the blitz, even if he has to use the shotgun. With short bullet passes and long bombs, he marches his troops into enemy territory, balancing this aerial assault with a sustained ground attack that punches holes in the forward wall of the enemy's defensive line.

In baseball the object is to go home! And to be safe! "I hope I'll be safe at home!"
-George Carlin (RIP)

by Taskmaster on Mar 23, 2026 9:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wade Davis

has the right combination of stuff and experience to send out there for a game 7. HIs stuff is good enough to make hitters respect him. 2+ years of success pitching above A ball gives him the proper amount of experience to be a good candidate for this assignment. I like his ability to grind thru rough patches, which are going to come in this game, and would give him the ball.

by red257 on Mar 23, 2026 6:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Aroldis Chapman

Nasty stuff and, along the lines of the Mike Leake reasoning (very sound imo), he’s pitched on a fairly large stage before, though not necessarily at an excellent level. I really like the Leake and Wade Davis picks though…

by blackoutyears on Mar 23, 2026 6:33 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

he said it cannot be Chapman

by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Mar 23, 2026 6:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

Saw that. Must have missed the name as it was the last in sequence.

by blackoutyears on Mar 24, 2026 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Friedrich

For park purposes, I’d favor a lefty. Knocking out the guys above, I’d go with Friedrich over Perez, based on the ability (so far) to keep the ball down.

by PrincetonCubs on Mar 23, 2026 6:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Wade Davis

with Scheppers out in the pen to close the door

"We're gonna do this f*ucking thing over again cuz I just f*cked it up.....oh, we're live, I didn't know that" Bert Blyleven

by smoooooth on Mar 23, 2026 7:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Stephen Strasburg

This may t obvious answer but give me da man with 3 plus pitches and dial it up to 10mph with pinpoint command and movement …. ’nuff said!

by bryeic on Mar 23, 2026 8:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dang keyboard

103 mph :-P

by bryeic on Mar 23, 2026 8:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Too funny

I must have misread … then I am all for Jennry Mejia or Drew Storen!

Both have nice live arms and should see MLB playing time in 2010 … nuff said! :-P

by bryeic on Mar 24, 2026 6:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Stewart

Can hopefully draw on closer mentality for one game. I sure hope he is a starter this year.

by TCapone30 on Mar 23, 2026 8:12 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dan Hudson

Misses plenty of bats and won’t issue walks. Top of the rotation stuff. Experience at all levels.

by Con on Mar 23, 2026 8:50 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Withrow

Dominating curve and fastball combo. Has been clocked at 99 in games, with his big curve in the 70s… thats a very nice differential.

by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Mar 23, 2026 9:22 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

stunned

baseball rules.

by doublestix on Mar 23, 2026 10:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wasnt going to post anything

Until I saw people saying Scheppers.. who is rawer and seems very likely to become a reliever. Withrow has been rated a top 50 prospect by every major publication. If I had picked someone like Elbert, OK, I could see you having a problem, but Withrow? Seems like you are just trying to be an ass

by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Mar 23, 2026 10:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

perhaps i am being an ass

but i can’t see why you’d possibly choose a fly ball pitcher with control issues in a game against the Yankees AT Yankee Stadium with their lefty stacked lineup (not to mention Withrow was far better against RH batters than LH last year). that’s a recipe for disaster.

baseball rules.

by doublestix on Mar 23, 2026 10:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here is the scouting report on Withrow from MOKM

It’s the most recent one I can find and the guy who writes them seems to be well respected here:

When he’s on, Withrow will pound the lower regions of the strike zone with his fastball, and elevate it only when he needs a strikeout. However, his command within the strike zone is a work in progress, as he seems to have difficulty working both sides of the plate.

Basically, he said he is not a flyball pitcher, unless he loses his release point. His GB/FB rate was nearly cut in half when he went from A+ to AA because of environment.

Withrow started his first full season in the California League at the age of 20, which is a difficult environment for pitchers. On the surface, Withrow wasn’t great, as he posted just a 4.69 ERA in 86.1 high-A innings. However, his FIP was 2.96, and he struck out 10.95 batters per nine, so the dominance was certainly present. A big part of his mediocre surface statistics were rooted in the high run scoring environment of the league and an unlucky .357 BABIP against. The one legitimate criticism of Withrow was his walk rate, which ended up at 4.69 free passes per nine.

The control issues are a legitimate issue. And they are an issue with 90% of the prospects named in this thread. It is something that is generally consistent with young power arms, lack of control.

http://www.memoriesofkevinmalone.com/2010/02/prospect-profiles-2010-chris-withrow.html

by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Mar 23, 2026 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Enlighten me.

I don’t understand something.

His GB/FB rate was nearly cut in half when he went from A+ to AA because of environment.

How does the environment have anything to do with whether or not I hit the ball on the ground or in the air? Last I checked, it had to do with location, pitch selection, and the type of batter you faced. Environment has nothing to do with it. If I’m missing something, please post so I figure it out this anomaly.

Coffee. The NEW Performance Enhancing drug for Sport's Writers. Just ask Ken Rosenthal.

by 306008 on Mar 24, 2026 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hm, I can see how it would make an impact

If one league has much smaller parks than another, players will be more willing to swing under the ball in the league where they can hit more home runs.

That being said, I agree that it makes little sense in this context.

Shawn Spencer: "I’m receiving a transmission from your husband. Really more of a voicemail, if I'm being honest. A status update. Perhaps a twitter."
Burton Guster: "I believe it’s called a tweet."
Shawn Spencer: "There’s no way I’m saying that."

by PaulThomas on Mar 24, 2026 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

For the Dodgers

Our High A is an extreme hitters park. That is the reason Trayvon Robinson’s breakout is being questioned as legit. It has been called the Coors Field of the minors at times. Any ball that is slightly squared-up flies off the bat.

Meanwhile, our AA park is more of a pitchers park(environment wise). That big of a jump (especially when you are facing elite hitters for the first time) shows that he was pitching in a hitters park in A+ ball, and when he went to a more neutral place, his flyballs plummeted.

by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Mar 24, 2026 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Scheppers

I don’t think Scheppers is more raw than Withrow, he just has bigger injury questions. Scheppers is a top 20 talent at worst without the injury history. He was regarded by many as having the 2nd best stuff in last year’s draft after Strasburg.

While Withrow is a very good prospect, he’s not a good fit for this particular scenario.

http://bullpenbanter.com

by gatling on Mar 23, 2026 11:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Withrow

Seems to have some very good stuff, very AJ Burnett like.

"This has got to hurt"

by Da.aron on Mar 23, 2026 10:44 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

more beckettt like

his curve and heavy fastball are more beckett like then burnett

by matthewmafa on Mar 23, 2026 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Eri Yoshida

Throw someone with some true funk out there. No one in the pros have ever seen her pitch and would have no clue what is coming until it leaves her hand. She could take the stress she might really have some success.

Yadi is my hero

by Big Phil on Mar 23, 2026 11:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Wow

I had no idea - pretty cool story.

But seriously, though, if we’re allowed to pick people who aren’t even in a farm system, why can’t I take Yu Darvish? He’s far and away the best candidate if he’s legal.

by OccamsRazor on Mar 24, 2026 1:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wade Davis

Has had a lot of seasoning in the minors, can be dominant at times, and has some major league experience, Hellickson is another good option.

by daman316 on Mar 23, 2026 11:55 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hisanori Takahashi

He may be 35 years old and top out at 89 mph but the Yankees won’t be able to adjust to the screwball, the shuuto and the pause in the middle of his delivery!!

by Sam Page on Mar 24, 2026 2:32 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

thats gotta be a met fan

by jarjets89 on Mar 24, 2026 2:58 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Depending on my offense,

if I felt I had a solid shot to score 4+ runs against their starter, I might go with Bumgarner. Goal being just to get 4-5 innings out of him without suffering a command implosion. Hellickson is also a good choice.

Shawn Spencer: "I’m receiving a transmission from your husband. Really more of a voicemail, if I'm being honest. A status update. Perhaps a twitter."
Burton Guster: "I believe it’s called a tweet."
Shawn Spencer: "There’s no way I’m saying that."

by PaulThomas on Mar 24, 2026 4:19 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Michael Leake

How you like them apples. If I am going to throw a rookie into the fire he must have savvy, poise and polish. All of that plus four plus to average offerings. Why Not.

by rupertoooo on Mar 24, 2026 6:41 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Well, it is the Yanks

And they are playing in Yankee stadium.

Because of these two main points, I want a lefty on the mound. Specifically, I want a lefty that is not prone to giving up the long ball.

I am not a huge fan of Bumgarner, but he would make a very good choice given these circumstances. My darkhorse pick though? Mike Montgomery. The kid gave up 1 HR in 110 IP last year, while posting a 3:1 K:BB ratio. Good control, coupled with a great HR rate, is exactly what I would want out of my pitcher in these circumstances.

by guru4u on Mar 24, 2026 12:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I’d definately have to go with a lefty. Montgomery,Freidrich or Perez.

by hrv1978 on Mar 24, 2026 1:17 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm gonna break mold a bit

Not too concerned with whether a guy has “poise” or upper-level experience. Poise is overrated imo.

All else equal I’ll take a guy, ideally a lefty, who can miss bats. You’re basically just trying to get through the lineup 2x anyway.

I’m gonna take Matt Moore.

(Let the jeers commence.)

by nivarsity on Mar 24, 2026 1:19 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Tim Lincecum

back to back cy youngs. best stuff. best pitcher the past 2 years. period.

by iam2asian4u on Mar 24, 2026 4:17 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Haha

“I’ll take Lincecum. Maybe Halladay. Why are all these guys taking Davis and Hellickson?”

by nivarsity on Mar 24, 2026 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tanner Scheppers

Nasty stuff, has dealt with the pressure before, and I don’t care if he blows his arm out.

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by Brickhaus on Mar 24, 2026 7:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs


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