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Crystal Ball: Hunter Renfroe, OF, San Diego Padres

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One possible future for the young Padres slugger

By John Sickels
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Denis Poroy/Getty Images

Here's a Crystal Ball, by reader request, for San Diego Padres outfielder Hunter Renfroe.

The Crystal Ball is NOT a PREDICTION in the sense of me saying "this is how the guy will turn out." The idea is to generate discussion about a player by presenting one possible outcome for his career, based on what we currently know about him.

I try to make them logical, based on the outcomes of players who were similar at the same stage of their career. Sometimes a CB represents a maximal outcome, sometimes it is more of a middle ground. I avoid CBs with "he blows out his knee at age 26 and never plays again" because who wants to read that?

You can pick out the imagined injuries, trades, and free agent signings. Teams are more or less random once you get past six years.

Hunter Renfroe
Year Team G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K BA OBP SLG SB HBP Age
2016 Padres 11 35 8 13 3 0 4 14 1 5 0.371 0.389 0.8 0 0 24
2017 Padres 139 539 69 134 28 2 25 70 27 157 0.249 0.289 0.447 5 4 25
2018 Padres 150 506 72 129 25 3 27 79 30 139 0.255 0.302 0.476 2 4 26
2019 Padres 137 448 55 102 21 2 20 68 25 140 0.228 0.276 0.417 3 5 27
2020 Padres 152 509 75 139 27 3 29 88 33 139 0.273 0.326 0.509 2 7 28
2021 Padres 153 539 88 143 30 4 33 108 57 142 0.265 0.341 0.519 4 5 29
2022 Reds 138 487 63 127 22 0 24 76 39 132 0.261 0.322 0.454 3 5 30
2023 Reds 77 282 43 72 18 0 15 49 22 52 0.255 0.314 0.479 1 2 31
Angels 59 208 21 45 9 2 6 22 18 48 0.216 0.282 0.365 3 1
2024 Phillies 127 433 54 119 22 2 24 79 41 89 0.275 0.342 0.501 0 3 32
2025 Phillies 38 131 9 33 7 1 5 19 8 27 0.252 0.295 0.435 1 0 33
2026 Red Sox 125 358 33 89 18 0 15 40 30 80 0.249 0.308 0.425 0 1 34
2027 Rangers 129 502 63 129 23 2 21 74 47 134 0.257 0.329 0.436 2 7 35
2028 Rangers 60 224 17 48 13 0 5 33 21 58 0.214 0.282 0.339 0 0 36
1495 5201 670 1322 266 21 253 819 399 1342 0.254 0.313 0.459 26 44 390

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