Our main current project is an updated Top 100 list for the end of the 2016 season.
The first step in the process is reviewing the pre-season Top 175 list.
Obviously we don't know how things will look three years from now, but we can at least come up with some preliminary assessments.
THIS IS THE 2016 PRE-SEASON LIST. It is the research starting point for the 2017 list
126) Beau Burrows, RHP, Detroit Tigers, Grade B: 97 innings over 20 starts in Low-A, 3.15 ERA with 67/30 K/BB; held his own but I'd like to see more dominance given reported quality of his stuff. Likely to hold at B.
127) Mike Soroka, RHP, Atlanta Braves, Grade B: 143 innings in Low-A, 3.02 ERA with 125/32 K/BB; very effective late in the season, scouting reports very positive. At least into the B+ range now.
128) Daz Cameron, OF, Houston Astros, Grade B: Struggled in Midwest League (.442 OPS), better after moving down to New York-Penn League (.770) until season ended in mid-July with broken finger; disappointing season but still has time at age 19.
129) Mallex Smith, OF, Atlanta Braves, Grade B: Hitting .241/.316/.382 in the majors with 14 steals, 17 walks, 43 strikeouts in 170 at-bats; ultimately I think he becomes a .270 hitter; graduated, too soon to know if the grade will fully verify.
130) Christin Stewart, OF, Detroit Tigers, Grade B: Hit .255/.386/.517 with 30 homers, 86 walks, 131 strikeouts in 443 at-bats between High-A and Double-A; have to like the power and patience, batting average may not hold up. Grade steady.
131) Colin Moran, 3B, Houston Astros, Grade B: Hit .259/.329/.368 in Triple-A; 10 homers; some word that he was more aggressive this year trying to hit for more power and strikeouts were up but overall production did not improve; defense has been solid but looks blocked here.
132) Tom Murphy, C, Colorado Rockies, Grade B: Impressive season in Triple-A, .327/.362/.647 with 19 homers, 16 walks, 78 strikeouts in 303 at-bats; 8-for-25 with four homers in the majors so far; glove is good-enough if he hits and the power is quite real.
133) Jake Thompson, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies, Grade B: Effective in Triple-A but has been hit hard in the majors (5.64 in 45 innings, 30/22 K/BB) although recent starts have gone well. Likely to exceed rookie limits so won't show up on '17 lists; I still expect him to be a good workhorse.
134) Pierce Johnson, RHP, Chicago Cubs, Grade B: Command failed in Triple-A resulting in 6.14 ERA in 63 innings; walked 43. He also stuck out 75 and pitched better after moving to bullpen in second half. Prediction: he turns out to be an above-average reliever.
135) Keury Mella, RHP, Cincinnati Reds, Grade B: Made 24 starts in High-A and one in Triple-A; posted 3.76 ERA with 101/57 K/BB in 139 innings, 153 hits; not a terrible year but not as good as I expected. Downgrade inevitable but how far will depend on exact reports that I have yet to study. In any event, I over-rated him here.
136) Trent Clark, OF, Milwaukee Brewers, Grade B: Hit .231/.346/.344 in Low-A and made two trips to disabled list; showed good approach but lacks power and didn't use his speed well, has time to improve at age 19.
137) Spencer Adams, RHP, Chicago White Sox, Grade B: Made 27 starts between High-A and Double-A at age 20, posted 3.98 ERA with 100/31 K/BB in 163 innings, 179 hits; throws strikes, durable, but doesn't dominate yet.
138) Derek Fisher, OF, Houston Astros, Grade B: Hit .255/.367/.448 between Double-A and Triple-A with 21 homers, 28 steals, 83 walks, 154 strikeouts; very impressive physical tools and power/speed combo but contact issues remain biggest concern. Stock stable.
139) Chance Sisco, C, Baltimore Orioles, Grade B: Hit .320/.406/.422 in Double-A, 61 walks, 88 strikeouts; blessed with tremendous feel for hitting but distance power remains so-so; still inconsistent on defense, stock stable.
140) Roman Quinn, OF, Philadelphia Phillies, Grade B: Keeps getting hurt but effective when healthy, hit .302/.372/.451 in 77 games between Double-A and injury rookie ball rehab, stole 36 bases and power is getting better, good glove too. I like him.
141) Amed Rosario, SS, New York Mets, Grade B: Excellent campaign in High-A and Double-A, hitting .324/.374/.459 with 19 steals at age 20 and can remain at shortstop; skills catching up with tools very nicely; stock way up, probably an A-.
142) Tyler Stephenson, C, Cincinnati Reds, Grade B: Season ruined by concussion and two trips to the DL with wrist injuries; hit .220/.287/.340 in 44 games between Low-A and rookie ball injury rehab; catching is hard, grading problematic considering the circumstances.
143) Clint Coulter, OF, Milwaukee Brewers, Grade B: Weird year, struggled in High-A (.220/.285/.333) but hit fairly well there last year so maybe he was discouraged at not moving up; promoted to Double-A in August and started hitting again (.387/.332/.442). Won't hold the Grade B but I haven't given up on him overall.
144) Ke’Bryan Hayes, 3B, Pittsburgh Pirates, Grade B: Limited to 65 games in Low-A by injury, hit .263/.319/.393; very good with the glove, still just 19. I think he'll improve.
145) Rowdy Tellez, 1B, Toronto Blue Jays, Grade B: Mashed in Double-A at .297/.387/.530 with 23 homers, 63 walks, 92 strikeouts; critiqued by some for lack of pure bat speed but he's always hit and hit well; power output continues to increase. He's doing something right.
146) Tyler Naquin, OF, Cleveland Indians, Grade B-: Highly successful rookie season in the majors, hitting .302/.372/.539 with 14 homers, 31 walks, 104 strikeouts in 295 at-bats; more home run power than expected, also more strikeouts but trade-off worthwhile. Graduated.
147) Socrates Brito, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks, Grade B-: Hit .294/.332/.439 in Triple-A, .190/.200/.367 in 79 major league at-bats with one walk and 20 strikeouts; looks great in uniform but still learning how to use his tools at age 24.
148) Michael Kopech, RHP, Boston Red Sox, Grade B-: Made 12 starts between NY-P and Low-A, posting 2.08 ERA with 86/33 K/BB in 56 innings, just 29 hits; had a 32/4 K/BB during a run of three starts in mid-August; stock certainly up into B+ range at least.
149) Matt Chapman, 3B, Oakland Athletics, Grade B-: Hit .237/.328/.519 with 36 homers, 68 walks, 173 strikeouts in 514 at-bats between Double-A and Triple-A; Gold Glove quality defense with impressive power; you can make a B+ case despite the low average and whiffs.
150) Juan Hillman, LHP, Cleveland Indians, Grade B-: 63 innings in New York-Penn League with 4.43, 47/24 K/BB, 66 hits; less polish and success than expected but just 19 years old; detailed reports will be interesting, likely to hold at a Grade B-.