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2012 College Baseball Prospect Notes: 2-27-12

This weekend a few things happened that could change the draft a lot. It is very early on but a huge blow was delivered to a player that could have been a top 10 pick. Victor Roache dove for a ball in the game Saturday night and broke his wrist. It looks like he'll miss quite a bit of time if not the entire season. I wish him a speedy recovery and maybe he can follow in the footsteps of Jackie Bradley last year and make it back toward the end of the year and still get drafted high enough to be worth signing and going pro.

Star-divide

Mark Appel looked better this week striking out 10 in 7 innings and only allowing 3 hits and 3 walks. This was against a weak hitting Texas squad. I hope he can replicate this going forward.

Kevin Gausman struck out 7, walked none and allowed 4 hits to Appalachian State.

Georgia Tech Ace Buck Farmer K'd 13 Ohio State hitters in just 6 innings.

Andrew Heaney at Oklahoma State had 12 k's and 2 walks in 7 1/3 IP. Kurt Heyer, Branden Kline, Brady Rogers and Michael Wacha had good outings as well. These guys aren't in the top tier of college pitching but all should be top 3 round draft picks and could move into the 1st with good seasons.

Marcus Stroman at Duke had a very good start against Canisius after a rough outing to open the season. Kyle Zimmer looked great against Missouri as well. These two could be top 10 picks with their upper 90's velocity. Zimmer could even move into #1 overall talks. Stroman is looked at as a future closer, so I don't think he will have much chance of breaking into the top 3 but could be a top 10 pick.

Brett Mooneyham at Stanford looked good against Texas as well. He K'd 7 and walked 3 in 8 innings. I really hope he keeps moving in the right direction. Big potential there. Matt Price at South Carolina threw 81 pitches in 5 Innings, struck out 8, walked 1 and gave up 1 hit. He is on his way to stretching out that arm.

At Vanderbilt, Sam Selman had a rough 3 2/3 Innings. He gave up 1 hit, 4 BB's and 3 K's with 68 IP against Oregon.

One last name to watch on the mound is Austin Maddox. He has looked great out of relief in 3 games. He has pitched 8 2/3 innings, allowed 4 hits, no walks and 9 strike outs. He has a mid 90's fastball and a nasty slider. He is looking like his future is on the mound and not at the plate.

At the plate, offense seems to have picked up a lot this season. I'm trying to keep this to 2012 draft guys but sophomore and 2013 draft pick Josh Dezse at Ohio State crushed 3 homers in one game. He can pitch in the upper 90's as well. It's a good name to know for next season. He is probably a top half of the first round type of pick.

Preston Tucker is raking right now. He just set the record for most RBI in Florida Gators history, surpassing Brad Wilkerson.

James Ramsey for Florida State keeps hitting following a very good summer. The other usual suspects showed up this weekend. Richie Shaffer at Clemson homered as well as Nolan Fontana at Florida, although he isn't much of a power guy. Mike Zunino is fighting a groin pull but it should be fine by next weekend. Peter O' Brien at Miami is crushing the ball right now as well. I don't have stat compilations for the weekend but O'Brien is hitting .519 with 4 homers at this point.

Next week, I'll start the stock up and stock down most likely. This week though, stock is up on Zimmer and down on Roache for sure.

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My week 2 notes are up:

http://bullpenbanter.com/rtmenu/685-2012-college-baseball-notes-volume-2

Mark Appel was SOO much better than he was last week. He actually looked like a top 5 talent.

by Jeff Reese on Feb 27, 2026 12:43 PM EST reply actions  

I also did a little recap on Fullerton vs TCU

from Friday night w/ some videos of the higher profile guys

Follow me on Twitter

by SoCalSoxFan on Feb 27, 2026 5:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Roache

Is a broken wrist really going to drop his stock that much? I would hope someone is smart enough to grab him in the first round. We are not talking about a pitcher hurting his shoulder. Wrist injuries are not really a career killer.

by cookiedabookie on Feb 27, 2026 1:19 PM EST reply actions  

His only big tool was his power though

And a wrist injury does cloud that. He needed to use this spring as an opportunity to prove that the second half of Cape Cod stint wasn’t a long term concern, and that he will make enough contact for the power to shine through. I don’t think I would take him in the first round. Supplemental, sure, but not the first round.

by Jeff Reese on Feb 27, 2026 1:29 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed

This year was big for him to prove himself. Even if it would be against mediocre competition. I don’t see him as a 1st rounder at all now unless he has a Pujols like return.

by Matt Garrioch on Feb 27, 2026 1:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Since the Cubs have 4 of the first 70,

I hope he slips. While I want them to pick at least 2 pitchers from those 4, I have no problem with Theo giving Roache the JBJ treatment in the supplementary first, or in Round 2.

10-25-2011. Theo Epstein joins the Cubs. Now, the fun begins.

by timh815 on Feb 27, 2026 3:14 PM EST up reply actions  

JBJ dropped to #40 overall.

I really thought he would be drafted top 10 going into that year. The wrist injury really hurt him. I think it will really hurt Roache as well. Should it? No but people are fickle and when you are handing out money, it’s even worse.

by 306008 on Feb 27, 2026 10:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Susac

dropped too, and he was considered a potential mid-first pick even in last year’s stacked draft.

by charles wallace on Feb 28, 2026 8:29 AM EST up reply actions  

Worse case, and it's a broken hamate

Players usually recover in a year or so. If it is a broken wrist, recovery should be much quicker, especially with pro medical and rehab staffs. I can’t think of any player whose career was ruined by a broken wrist. I think the upside is big enough to grab him in the first while all the other teams think he will drop to the supplemental or second round.

by cookiedabookie on Feb 28, 2026 1:16 PM EST up reply actions  

There have been many players with raw power who couldn't translate it though

And losing his Junior season leaves scouts with the view that they got of him on the Cape. There is a lot of risk here even if you assume that he suffers no ill effects from the wrist injury long term.

by Jeff Reese on Feb 28, 2026 1:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Since it’ll be very hard for teams to give him an above-slot deal, do you think he might go back for his senior year if he falls into the sandwich round?

Not actually affiliated with whygavs.

by WHYG Zane Smith on Feb 29, 2026 2:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I wonder

if you could give ideas of where some of these players are valued when you do these write ups? I don’t mean to ask you to do more work but I know nothing of college baseball. If, after a guys name you added Mark Appel (a potential top five pick) or Sam Selman (a good season could push him into the sandwhich round) or some idea of how these guys are viewed. (I have no idea how Selman is viewed).

by Gunnarthor on Feb 27, 2026 2:17 PM EST reply actions  

Selman - live armed lefty who can hit the mid 90s

Control, command, and secondaries need to improve, but there’s a lot to like.

by Jeff Reese on Feb 27, 2026 2:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks for that

I have a tendency to assume everyone knows what I’m talking about. I’m sorry about that. I’ll get better at that and I typically do better when I take more time writing. The problem is time is not at a surplus for me, much to the contrary. I do have a list of how I rate all the players in the 2012 draft here.
It isn’t perfect but it’s a guideline for where a player falls into place. I will expound on this in the coming months but it’s something for now.

Selman is a high risk/high reward lefty. He is erratic, from 84-94 in my viewings. He has plus potential on his change and breaking ball but he needs development time. He may be a guy that flashes brilliance to keep getting chances. I have a gut feeling he is a dominant reliever in the vein of Chris Sale at his peak but I hope for more.

by Matt Garrioch on Feb 27, 2026 3:49 PM EST up reply actions  

I know it's early cause he's a Soph

But you seem to see a lot of Stanford ball and I was wondering what you thought of Brian Ragira…

Fathaigh go mbuaimid!

Proud adoptive father of Enmanuel de Jesus.

If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base.

by bigboneded on Feb 27, 2026 2:46 PM EST reply actions  

Like him quite a bit

Tremendous pure hitter who squares up pitches regularly. My only real problem is that he seems content to just lace line drive opposite field. He’s fairly projectable, but he will need to start hitting for more power to profile as a 1B or COF. Stanford isn’t exactly the place for him to develop into that kind of hitter either. Kauppila is my favorite Sophomore, but Ragira isn’t too far behind.

by Jeff Reese on Feb 27, 2026 3:19 PM EST up reply actions  

I love Ragira

He can really hit and he’s second on my list for college hitters in the 2013 draft behind teammate Austin Wilson. I wish he could play the OF but he may be relegated to 1B where his power will have to play up. He’s just not a quick guy and he is an awkward thrower, though he does have a good arm. I wish he would have signed with Texas out of high school.

by Matt Garrioch on Feb 27, 2026 3:22 PM EST up reply actions  

So would his 1B-only projectability hurt his draft stock? What I mean is, does he go in the 2nd round or lower based on that where lesser hitters with better D at SS, C, or OF would go higher?

Fathaigh go mbuaimid!

Proud adoptive father of Enmanuel de Jesus.

If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base.

by bigboneded on Feb 27, 2026 6:19 PM EST up reply actions  

I think

his bat can allow hit to be a first round pick. It would be better if he were an OF as well, but the bat should be good enough to be a 1st rounder.

by Matt Garrioch on Feb 28, 2026 9:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Wacha

is absolutely a top tier college pitcher, and was pretty much a first round lock coming into the year in this weak a class. If he keeps this up all year he has a good chance of going in the top of the first. His velo has been solid, the change is a pure plus pitch and the best in the draft class imo, and he’s a strong guy with a slightly funky but fundamentally sound delivery. If he can work the curve into a fringy pitch he’ll be high on a lot of boards. He also has a track record. He was being given mid-week starts early in his freshman career and was the Saturday starter behind Stilson as a sophomore, arguably out-pitching him. He’s always featured excellent feel and control to go with above avg stuff.

You could make a case for Heaney and he being on the same level, but he’s almost certainly better than Heyer/Kline/Rodgers and I’d take him over Mooneyham (Fitt is correct that it’s hard to get excited about anyone dominating the Longhorns right now) Stroman and possibly even Beck at this point. Appel, Gausman, and Zimmer are the only college arms clearly ahead of Wach imo. End of sermon. lol

by charles wallace on Feb 27, 2026 5:02 PM EST reply actions  

Completely agree about Wacha

I was impressed when I saw him last year, and I think he’s clearly fourth best college pitcher (after the three you listed). He is a much better prospect than Heaney in my mind.

by Jeff Reese on Feb 27, 2026 5:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Some may be, but I'm not

They both have questionable shoulders, but I don’t really see a reason to blame that on Childress. Stilson has a violent delivery with a short arm action, and Loux is diagnosed as more of an “injury waiting to happen” than anything else. Pitchers get injured, it’s just part of the prospecting business.

by Jeff Reese on Feb 27, 2026 10:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah

I’m hesitant to compare Wacha to either one. Jeff’’s exactly right that Stilson’s delivery was violent (tabbed as a reliever by many for that reason) and Loux just seems like normal pitcher attrition. I’ve never seen anything in Wacha’s usage patterns (pitch coutns, abnormally short rest) to think that he’s at risk.

by charles wallace on Feb 28, 2026 8:32 AM EST up reply actions  

I feel bad

because I don’t have a good feel for Wacha. I’ve only seen him once and I didn’t get a strong impression from him. I need to see him more. I feel like I’m underrating him.

by Matt Garrioch on Feb 28, 2026 10:38 AM EST up reply actions  

I expect

A&M will be in the post-season again, which is a good time to catch him, Matt. He was very good right up until his last post-season game last year. If you haven’t seen the change-up at its best then you’re definitely missing out. Seriously good pitch. FB is solid avg to above. Breaking ball is a get-over at best most days and he’s supposedly working on a cutter. His feel is as important as his stuff. One of the better “pitchers” this year.

by charles wallace on Feb 28, 2026 10:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Does anyone know of a site where i can college stats?

collegesplits just has last years stats, and i can go to each player’s individual profile, but that can be a hassle.

i’ve been looking for a site for about a week now.

thank in advance for the help!

Snoochies

by guessatomo on Feb 27, 2026 11:49 PM EST reply actions  

Colin Moran

is a beast. I know he’s not draft eligible until next year, but still.

.393/.419/.679

yeah, I know: SSS

but he’s not even the best hitter right now on his team. A name to remember:

Tom Zengel:

.556/.625/.889

Yeah, another SSS, but that guy is RAKING right now.

by JoelGuzman'sScout on Feb 28, 2026 1:27 AM EST reply actions  

Not just SSS,

but normal early season comp, which is to say weak. You think Wright St. might have been a bit overmatched? lol What’s up with the UNC vs. Cin-Day corridor kick-off anyway? It might explain why Fox has already secured commitments from Ohio’s two best prep arms I suppose…

College stats always have to be taken in context, but especially this early in the year.

by charles wallace on Feb 28, 2026 8:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Moran was

the one of the best Freshman I saw him last year. Well ahead of where he should be at that age. I’m looking forward to seeing him more this season. He could be a very high pick in 2013 but it is a pretty strong college class next year.

by Matt Garrioch on Feb 28, 2026 10:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Rice

Couple Rice guys that might be worth keeping tabs on for draft purposes:
(1) RHP Matthew Reckling - control has been an issue in the past, but he throws in the low 90’s with a curve Coach Wayne Graham said might be the best in college baseball. So far 15.1 IP, 20 K, 4 BB, 6 H.
(2) RHP J.T. Chargois - got some press this summer after a good stint in the Cape and serving as Rice’s closer. Throws in the mid-90’s. 5.1 IP, 7 K, 2 BB, 3 H.
(3) RHP Tyler Duffey - Kind of the reliever version of Matthew Reckling. Had a poor outing that is dragging down his stats, but had great K/BB in 2011. So far 5.0 IP, 0 BB, 3 K, 9 H.
(4) OF Jeremy Rathjen - blew out his knee in 2011 where he was poised for breakout. .417/.556/.667 with 8 BB, 4 K, 2 HR in 24 AB.
(5) OF Michael Fuda - very good speed and a little pop. Played (poorly) through injuries in 2011. .438/.472/.656 with 3 BB, 5 K, 1 HR, 4 2B in 32 AB.
(6) OF Michael Ratterree - played 2B last year, kind of Rathjen-light but he’s a year younger. Slow start but showing good plate discipline. .208/.394/.375 with 8 BB, 4 K, 1 HR, 1 2B in 24 AB.

I think the first 4 guys on that list are drafted in the top 10 rounds with all of them having a chance to go in the first 5 rounds.

by mymrbig on Feb 28, 2026 3:42 PM EST reply actions  


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