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Last of the Community Projection Reviews

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Last Group of Community Projection Reviews

Mike Pelfrey

Projection: 25 starts, 146 innings, 72 runs, 67 earned, 4.17 ERA, 11-7, 114/54 K/BB, 140 hits, 14 homers, 1 CG, 0 shutouts

Reality: 15 games, 13 starts, 72.2 innings, 47 runs, 45 earned, 5.57 ERA, 3-8, 45/39 K/BB, 6 homers, 0 CG, 0 shutouts

Comparison: I thought the CP was too optimistic, and that turned out to be the case. Pelfrey still has time to turn things around but perhaps a change of scenery would help.

Josh Hamilton

Projection: 130 games, 465 at-bats, 120 hits, .262, 24 doubles, 2 triples, 23 homers, 79 RBI, 75 runs, 51 walks, 101 strikeouts, 9 steals, 4 caught.

Reality: 90 games, 298 at-bats, 87 hits, .292, 17 doubles, 2 triples, 19 homers, 47 RBI, 52 runs, 33 walks, 65 strikeouts, 3 steals, 3 caught.

Comparison: Hamilton turned out better than even the optimists anticipated. It will be extremely interesting to see what advanced projection systems like PECOTA anticipate from him in the coming years.

So, what do you guys have to say about the future of Pelfrey and Hamilton?