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More Projection Reviews

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More Projection Reviews

Jeremy Bonderman

Projection: 31 starts, 202 innings, 95 runs, 87 earned, 3.86 ERA, 15-10, 189/62 K/BB, 201 hits, 17 homers, 2 CG, 1 Shutout

Reality: 28 starts, 174.1 innings, 105 runs, 97 earned, 5.01, 11-9, 145/48 K/BB, 193 hits, 23 homers, 0 CG, 0 Shutouts

Comparison: Bonderman has been pitching regularly for five years now, and in just one of those seasons was he better than league average. At what point, if any, does that change?

Rich Harden

Projection: 23 starts, 141 innings, 57 runs, 52 earned, 3.33, 12-5, 136/47 K/BB, 122 hits, 10 homers, 2 CG, 1 shutout

Reality: 7 games, 4 starts, 25.2 innings, 7 runs, 7 earned, 2.45, 1-2, 27/11 K/BB, 18 hits, 3 homers, 0 CG, 0 shutouts

Comparison: Injuries the obvious problem here. He's certainly capable of hitting that projection if he can stay healthy. Huge if.

Zach Greinke

Projection: 28 games, 26 starts, 162 innings, 84 runs, 77 earned, 4.30 ERA, 9-10, 121/42 K/BB, 166 hits, 19 homers, 1 CG, 0 shutouts

Reality: 52 games, 14 starts, 122 innings, 52 runs, 50 earned, 3.69 ERA, 7-7, 106/36 K/BB, 122 hits, 12 homers, 0 CG, 0 shutouts

Comparison: Spending much of the summer in the bullpen seemed to do wonders for his level of confidence and his overall ability to maintain his stuff. He could be one of the best pitchers in the league in 2008.

Chad Billingsley

Projection: 33 games, 24 starts, 162 innings, 77 runs, 71 earned, 3.94 ERA, 11-8, 136/73 K/BB, 151 hits, 16 homers, 1 CG, 0 shutouts

Reality: 43 games, 20 starts, 147 innings, 56 runs, 54 earned, 3.31 ERA, 12-5, 141/64 K/BB, 131 hits, 15 homers, 1 CG, 0 shutouts

Comparison: The projection wasn't that far off, main difference was that his command was a bit better in reality and his strikeout rate was higher. Should be excellent going forward.