This Crystal Ball assumes good health, no blown elbows and no shredded rotator cuffs. 2011 is a non-arm related injury, like a knee or something, that costs him much of '11 and part of '12 but doesn't ruin his career otherwise.
Although I like to caution people not to take these Crystal Balls too seriously, I do think that Verlander is quite capable of having a career like that shown above. Note tremendous "peak" season in 2010 and a late-career stellar campaign in 2018, leading the Tigers to World Series wins both years.
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