The Mirror Universe Chris Lubanski
About a year ago, I wrote an article about what would have happened if Chris Lubanski had gone to college at Florida State.. I thought it would be interesting to revisit this, since Lubanski would have been a junior this spring and eligible for the 2006 draft.
Lubanski is currently hitting .250/.325/.393 in 60 games for Double-A Wichita. He's been very streaky this spring, cold at first, then blistering hot, now cold again. If he follows the same sort of path he followed last year and in 2004, he'll get hot again in July and finish with very solid numbers. His strike zone judgment has been better this year, and at age 21 he is exactly where he should be on the development curve in Double-A.
Let's say that Lubanski had gone to Florida State and had a similar season to this: cold start, hot in the middle, then cold the last few weeks of the college season. He is not the same player nowadays that the Royals drafted in 2003. He has lost most of his speed and his defense has deteriorated. On the other hand, he's shown more power than expected. Let's assume the same thing happened in college.
Where would Lubanski rank among 2006 college baseball hitter draftees?
1st round
Evan Longoria, 3B, Long Beach State
Drew Stubbs, OF, Texas
Tyler Colvin, OF, Clemson
Matt Antonelli, 3B, Wake Forest
1st round supplemental
Emmanuel Burriss, SS, Kent State
Chris Coghlan, 3B, Mississippi State
2nd round
Ron Borquin, 3B, Ohio State
Chad Huffman, 2B, TCU
Josh Rodriguez, 2B, Rice
Wes Hodges, 3B, Georgia Tech
Jon Jay, OF, Miami-Florida
Where does "Chris Lubanski, OF, Florida State" fit in there?
I don't have an answer, but I'd like to start the discussion. Would he fit in the first round ahead of Antonelli? Behind Antonelli? Would he drop out of the first round altogether?
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